Lake Effect Snow Watch 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

757 
WWUS41 KBUF 092358
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
658 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

NYZ012-019-020-085-100800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0001.160111T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
658 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE...AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY 
  EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST 
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH PRODUCING 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY BRING 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY 
  POOR VISIBILITY.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY 
  WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF LAKE 
  EFFECT SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-100800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0001.160111T0300Z-160112T0900Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
658 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON...AND LEWIS COUNTIES. GREATEST 
  AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION.

* TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT 
  LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH PRODUCING 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY BRING 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY 
  POOR VISIBILITY.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY 
  WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF LAKE 
  EFFECT SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

778 
WWUS41 KBUF 100302
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1002 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

NYZ006>008-101115-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0001.160111T0300Z-160112T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0002.160111T0300Z-160112T0900Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1002 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST
TUESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON...AND LEWIS COUNTIES. GREATEST 
  AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION.

* TIMING...FROM LATE SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES SUNDAY NIGHT...10 TO 19 INCHES 
  MONDAY...AND 4 TO 7 INCHES MONDAY NIGHT...LEADING TO STORM 
  TOTALS OF MORE THAN 2 FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...UNDER A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS AROUND 20 SUNDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES NEARLY
  STEADY IN THE LOWER 20S MONDAY. LOWS IN THE TEENS MONDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
  PRODUCE EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED
  ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4408 7515 4408 7612 4353 7629 4342 7550 
        4360 7513 
TIME 160111T0000Z-160111T1200Z
COORD...4360 7513 4379 7548 4387 7628 4366 7614 
        4343 7658 4333 7587 
TIME 160111T1200Z-160111T2100Z
COORD...4414 7523 4408 7618 4354 7622 4360 7513 
TIME 160111T2100Z-160112T0300Z
COORD...4433 7568 4412 7634 4398 7605 4372 7622 
        4382 7551 4402 7516 
TIME 160112T0300Z-160112T0900Z

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-101115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0001.160111T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1002 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE...AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY 
  EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST 
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...UNDER A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY BRING 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY 
  POOR VISIBILITY.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY 
  WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF LAKE 
  EFFECT SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

RSH

503 
WWUS41 KBUF 100834
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
334 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

NYZ012-019-020-085-101645-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0001.160111T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0002.160111T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
334 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE...AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT...5 TO 9 INCHES MONDAY...
  AND AN INCH OR LESS MONDAY EVENING...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF
  7 TO 14 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS...ESPECIALLY
  ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

* WINDS...WEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS AROUND 15 TONIGHT. HIGHS AROUND 20 MONDAY. 
  AROUND 20 MONDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY BRING 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY 
  POOR VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.160111T0300Z-160112T0900Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
334 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON...AND LEWIS COUNTIES. GREATEST 
  AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES OVERNIGHT...10 TO 19 INCHES 
  MONDAY...AND 4 TO 7 INCHES MONDAY NIGHT...LEADING TO STORM 
  TOTALS OF MORE THAN 2 FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 15 TO 20 OVERNIGHT. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S 
  MONDAY. LOWS 15 TO 20 MONDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL 
  PRODUCE EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4408 7515 4408 7612 4353 7629 4342 7550 
        4360 7513 
TIME 160111T0000Z-160111T1200Z
COORD...4360 7513 4379 7548 4387 7628 4366 7614 
        4343 7658 4333 7587 
TIME 160111T1200Z-160111T2100Z
COORD...4414 7523 4408 7618 4354 7622 4360 7513 
TIME 160111T2100Z-160112T0300Z
COORD...4433 7568 4412 7634 4398 7605 4372 7622 
        4382 7551 4402 7516 
TIME 160112T0300Z-160112T0900Z

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
106 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
AN EXPANSIVE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH AND
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN ALONG
WITH SOME STRONG WINDS. A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE WILL TAKE PLACE FOR
THE UPCOMING WEEK...LEADING TO MUCH COLDER WEATHER WITH THE
LIKELIHOOD FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH A MORE PERSISTENT AREA OF SHOWERS EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO. THIS AREA OF MORE CONCENTRATED SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF
BY MID AFTERNOON...LEAVING JUST A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR
THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON ALONG WITH PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER. HIGHS
WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY...WITH MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

IT WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT WITH MOST LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. AS A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW TRACKS ACROSS
THE OHIO VALLEY A STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL COMBINE WITH
A SHARP VORT MAX AND PLUME OF DEEP MOISTURE TO BRING A PERIOD OF
STEADY WARM ADVECTION RAIN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT.
THIS SHOULD BE A SOAKING RAIN WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS GENERALLY A HALF
TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH...WITH MOST OF THAT FALLING LATE
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

THE STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET LIFTING ACROSS THE REGION AND
ASSOCIATED DOWNSLOPING FLOW WITH BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
STRONGER WINDS TONIGHT ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE. NOT AN IDEAL SETUP
WITH THE LOW LEVEL INVERSION WEAKENING...BUT STILL THE 55 KNOT LOW
LEVEL JET ORIENTED NORMAL TO THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE MAY PRODUCE A FEW
SPORADIC GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE OF
CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

THIS SAME LOW LEVEL JET WILL RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS
THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION SUNDAY MORNING...WITH NAM BUFKIT
PROFILES SHOWING 90+ KNOTS AT 5K FEET AROUND 15Z. THE LOW LEVEL
INVERSION REMAINS STRONGER EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...SO THIS WILL SET
THE STAGE FOR MORE ROBUST DOWNSLOPING OFF THE ADIRONDACKS AND TUG
HILL PLATEAU. EXPECT A FEW GUSTS TO 60MPH IN A SHORT TIME WINDOW
AROUND LATE MORNING ALONG THE NORTH SLOPES OF THE TUG HILL AND IN
PORTIONS OF THE BLACK RIVER VALLEY AND NEAR FORT DRUM.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST ACROSS THE REGION.
POST FRONTAL WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE IN THE STRONG COLD
ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH GUSTS OF 50-55 MPH IN THE TYPICAL
AREAS NORTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO...WITH SOME GUSTS OF 45-50
MPH ALSO POSSIBLE FARTHER INLAND SUNDAY EVENING AS FLOW BECOMES MORE
WESTERLY.

WITH ALL THE ABOVE IN MIND...WE HAVE UPGRADED THE HIGH WIND WATCH TO
A WARNING FOR JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. THIS IS MAINLY FOR THE
DOWNSLOPE WINDS SUNDAY MORNING AND MIDDAY...BUT DECIDED TO COVER THE
POST FRONTAL WINDS WITH THIS WARNING AS WELL. THE WIND ADVISORY FOR
SOUTHERN ERIE/CHAUTAUQUA HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT TO
COVER BOTH THE SOUTHEAST DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND THE POST FRONTAL WINDS.
A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE REST OF THE AREA FOR THE
POST FRONTAL WINDS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
THE FOCUS DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING
ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WHICH WILL BRING A SHARP CHANGE BACK
TO TYPICAL WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK WINTER WEATHER SUNDAY NIGHT.
THIS SYSTEM WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT THEN
CROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES INTO SOUTHWESTERN QUEBEC ON SUNDAY. A
COLD WESTERLY FLOW WILL THEN CROSS THE GREAT LAKES IN THE WAKE OF
THIS SYSTEM ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL TRIGGER SOME
SHIFTING BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WINDS BACK
AHEAD OF A GREAT LAKES CLIPPER APPROACHING FOR TUESDAY. A MORE
SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT EVENT IS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE CLIPPER
MID NEXT WEEK WITH DETAILS INCLUDED IN THE LONG TERM SECTION BELOW
AND HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

ON SUNDAY... LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES JUST
WEST OF BUFFALO WITH A SHARP COLD FRONT PASSING EAST ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AS TEMPERATURES DROP FROM
THE 40S INTO THE 20S BEHIND THE FRONT...WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL
PRODUCE RAIN SHOWERS...MIXING WITH SNOW...THEN CHANGING TO ALL SNOW
SHOWERS BY SUNDAY EVENING. ONLY EXPECTING UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW AREA
WIDE DURING THIS CHANGEOVER THEN A LAKE RESPONSE KICKS IN AS 850MB
TEMPS SHARPLY FALL FROM +2C AT 18Z SUNDAY TO -17C BY 00Z MONDAY.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL DEVELOP
EAST OF THE LAKES INITIALLY ON A WESTERLY 270 FLOW. STEERING WINDS
WILL THEN SLOWLY BACK TO ABOUT 250 THEN 220 LIFTING THE LAKE BANDS
NORTH BY MONDAY NIGHT. OFF LAKE ERIE...THIS WOULD LIFT THE BAND
ACROSS BUFFALO TO THE NORTHTOWNS AND NIAGARA FALLS. OFF LAKE
ONTARIO...THE BAND WOULD LIFT ACROSS WATERTOWN TOWARD THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER. THE LAKE ONTARIO BAND EVEN LOOKS TO HAVE AN UPSTREAM
MOISTURE CONNECTION WITH GEORGIAN BAY ALONG WITH A FAVORABLE FETCH
ACROSS THE LAKE. WHILE ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED EAST OF
BOTH LAKES...THE MORE SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO DUE TO MORE FAVORABLE PARAMETERS. THIS MAY ALSO IMPACT THE
EVENING COMMUTES MONDAY EVENING IN BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN. LAKE
EFFECT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TO COVER THIS EARLY WEEK
EVENT...WITH A SECOND STRONGER EVENT EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK. DUE
TO THE SHIFTING NATURE OF THE BANDS AND SOME MORE LIMITED PARAMETERS
OFF LAKE ERIE...WILL HOLD OFF ON THESE HEADLINES UNTIL A MORE CLEAR
SCENARIO DEVELOPS WITH CONFIDENCE INCREASING AS THIS EVENT
EVENTUALLY FALLS WITHIN THE RANGE OF MESOSCALE MODELS. OUTSIDE OF
THE LAKE EFFECT...A RETURN TO WINTER TEMPERATURES WILL BE FELT
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY
REACHING INTO THE 20S FOR HIGHS AND DIPPING INTO THE TEENS ON MONDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A MORE SIGNIFICANT...LONG DURATION AND HIGH IMPACT LAKE EFFECT SNOW
EVENT IS EXPECTED FROM MIDWEEK THROUGH FRIDAY ON THE HEELS OF AN
ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM FORECAST TO CROSS THE GREAT LAKES TUESDAY.
THIS CLIPPER WILL ARRIVE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK LATER
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A WIDESPREAD GENERAL SNOWFALL FOR
ALL. IT IS FAR TOO EARLY TO ESTIMATE ANY SNOW AMOUNT FROM THIS
CLIPPER BUT ADVISORY LEVEL TOTALS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

IN THE WAKE OF THIS CLIPPER A BROAD AND DEEP 500MB TROUGH WILL
SETTLE OVER THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WHILE THE
CLIPPER BOMBS OUT OFF THE MAINE COAST AND SHIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES. THIS FITS THE PATTERN OF CLASSIC SIGNIFICANT
LAKE EFFECT EVENTS WHEN COMPARING TO LOCAL RESEARCH COMPOSITES.
850MB TEMPS WILL LOWER TOWARD -20C WITH CURRENT LAKE TEMPS OF 3C TO
5C WILL CREATE VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND TALL LAKE INDUCED
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS. NEARLY 24 HOURS OF 270 DEGREE FLOW WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY WITH A FAVORABLE BACKGROUND SYNOPTIC MOISTURE PATTERN
WILL LIKELY BRING SNOW TOTALS MEASURING IN FEET OF SNOW FOR AREAS
EAST OF THE LAKES THAT SEE THE BANDS LOCK IN PLACE FOR AN EXTENDED
PERIOD OF TIME. THUNDERSNOW WITH SNOW RATES OF SEVERAL INCHES AN
HOUR MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE EVENT LOOKS TO CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY
BEFORE A BROAD ARCTIC HIGH BUILDS SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
WHICH WILL VEER WINDS TO NORTHERLY AND BEGIN TO LOWER LAKE INDUCED
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS AS A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION DEVELOPS. AS WITH THE
EARLY WEEK EVENT...IT IS FAR TOO SOON TO PRODUCE CONFIDENT SNOW
TOTALS FOR SPECIFIC AREAS FOR THIS EVENT. AN UPDATED HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK HAS BEEN ISSUED TO COVER THIS MORE SIGNIFICANT
SECOND EVENT. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK WILL AVERAGE NEAR TO
BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS ONLY INTO THE 20S AND LOWS OVERNIGHT IN THE
TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE.
ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AREAS OF MVFR CIGS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
GIVE WAY TO VFR TONIGHT AS SOUTHEAST DOWNSLOPE WINDS INCREASE AND
HELP TO SCOUR OUT THE LOWER CLOUDS. THE MVFR CIGS WILL THEN RETURN
FROM WEST TO EAST ON SUNDAY AS DOWNSLOPE WINDS DIMINISH AND DEEPER
LOW LEVEL WRAP AROUND MOISTURE ARRIVES.

A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WITH GENERALLY VFR VSBY. A PERIOD OF STEADIER HEAVIER
RAIN ARRIVES LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING WITH
AREAS OF MVFR VSBY WITH SOME IFR POSSIBLE ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.
THIS STEADY RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TO MORE INTERMITTENT LIGHT RAIN BY
MIDDAY BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST LATE IN THE DAY
JUST PRIOR TO ENDING.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES...VFR OUTSIDE OF
LAKE EFFECT.
TUESDAY...AREAS OF IFR WITH SNOW LIKELY AND LOCAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW.
WEDNESDAY...AREAS OF IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES...
WITH MVFR IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ELSEWHERE.
THURSDAY...AREAS OF IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHERLIES TODAY ACROSS BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO..
WITH MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS STILL IN PLACE FOR THE NEARSHORE
WATERS NORTH OF MEXICO BAY.

SOUTHEAST WINDS AHEAD OF A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL FRESHEN ACROSS
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS LIKELY IN
THE WAKE OF THE STORM LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     NYZ019-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     NYZ007-008.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     NYZ004>006-013-014-020-021.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     NYZ001>003-010>012.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
         MORNING FOR LOZ042>045-062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/TMA
SHORT TERM...SMITH/WCH
LONG TERM...SMITH
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...TMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
608 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

NYZ007-008-101115-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
608 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

SOME LAKE EFFECT BANDS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY...STARTING OVER
NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY AND SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE TUG
HILL PLATEAU...AN EVENTUALLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES THROUGH
WATERTOWN AND INTO THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY. WHILE SOME WEATHER
RELATED IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS BAND...A FAR MORE
IMPRESSIVE SETUP IS EXPECTED LATER TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
PRIMARILY OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THIS BAND WILL EVENTUALLY
SHIFT A LITTLE SOUTHWARD AND FURTHER INTO OSWEGO COUNTY BY FRIDAY.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-085-101115-
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
608 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

SOME LAKE EFFECT BANDS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY...MOVING FROM THE
SOUTHERN TIER NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY BY MONDAY
EVENING. WHILE SOME WEATHER RELATED IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
BAND...A FAR MORE IMPRESSIVE SETUP IS EXPECTED LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF BUFFALO AND ITS SOUTHTOWNS. THIS
BAND MAY CONTINUE AT TIMES THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE SNOW BECOMES
MORE FOCUSED ON THE SOUTHERN TIER TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-012-020-021-101115-
NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
608 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

SOME LAKE EFFECT BANDS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY...MOVING FROM THE
SOUTHERN TIER NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY BY MONDAY
EVENING. WHILE SOME WEATHER RELATED IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
BAND...A FAR MORE IMPRESSIVE SETUP IS EXPECTED LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF BUFFALO AND ITS SOUTHTOWNS. THIS
BAND MAY CONTINUE AT TIMES THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE SNOW BECOMES
MORE FOCUSED ON THE SOUTHERN TIER TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-101115-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
608 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ACROSS
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO AS A STRENGTHENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
PASSES THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES AND SOUTHERN ONTARIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-101115-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
608 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ACROSS
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO AS A STRENGTHENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
PASSES THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES AND SOUTHERN ONTARIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-101115-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
608 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ005-006-101115-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
608 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME. LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL MOVE NORTH AND SOUTH ACROSS THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION AND WILL AFFECT MUCH OF OSWEGO COUNTY
AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY DURING
MIDWEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>004-011-013-014-101115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
608 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY LATER IN THE WEEK...AND LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE
ERIE MAY REACH THE NORTHERN NIAGARA FRONTIER EARLY IN THE WEEK...
THEN EXTEND INLAND ACROSS THE GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN FINGER
LAKES WITH SUDDEN SNOW SQUALLS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF