Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Advisories in 2016
Lake Effect Snow Advisory 16, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow advisory at Feb 10, 2016, 7:58 PM EST for Livingston County, New York. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 10, 2016, 7:58 PM EST (00:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 11, 2016, 4:00 AM EST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
County Livingston County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 79 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 777 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -6 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 57 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
473
WWUS41 KBUF 110058
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
758 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
NYZ012-110900-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T0900Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0600Z-160213T0000Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
758 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY. A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING.
* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY.
* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT. POTENTIAL FOR
6 INCHES OR MORE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH THE
WATCH.
* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE WATCH IS
MEDIUM. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION AND
INTENSITY A BAND WHICH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
&&
$$
NYZ019-020-085-110900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0600Z-160213T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
758 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE
COUNTIES...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED JUST INLAND
FROM LAKE ERIE ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS AND SKI COUNTRY THROUGH
THURSDAY. LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY A NARROW BAND OF
STEADIER SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND MAY BRING LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
BETWEEN DUNKIRK AND BLASDELL...EXTENDING EASTWARD INTO THE
BOSTON HILLS AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.
* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FROM OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT...AND 3 TO 6
INCHES THURSDAY. ANOTHER 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FROM
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE WATCH IS
MEDIUM. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION AND
INTENSITY A BAND WHICH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
&&
$$
NYZ004>006-110900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160212T0900Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
758 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
FRIDAY...
* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND OSWEGO COUNTIES...
WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED FROM NORTHEASTERN
WAYNE COUNTY ACROSS NORTHERN CAYUGA AND SOUTHERN OSWEGO
COUNTIES.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 7 INCHES TONIGHT...3 TO 6
INCHES THURSDAY...AND 2 TO 4 INCHES THURSDAY NIGHT FOR STORM
TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 FEET IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4338 7593 4327 7723 4336 7866 4320 7859
4324 7759 4302 7650 4320 7647 4322 7587
TIME Y16M02D10T1300Z-Y16M02D11T1100Z
COORD...4324 7645 4329 7609 4341 7664 4326 7694
4329 7738 4301 7680 4302 7650
TIME Y16M02D11T1100Z-Y16M02D12T0900Z
$$
NYZ001>003-110900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
758 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...
* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA...ORLEANS...AND MONROE COUNTIES...WITH THE
GREATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED ALONG AND A BIT INLAND FROM
THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE AND MAINLY NORTH OF DOWNTOWN
ROCHESTER.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES TONIGHT AND 2 TO 4 INCHES
THURSDAY FOR A STORM TOTAL OF 6 TO 12 INCHES.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
&&
EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4338 7593 4327 7723 4336 7866 4320 7859
4324 7759 4302 7650 4320 7647 4322 7587
TIME Y16M02D10T1300Z-Y16M02D11T1100Z
$$
NYZ013-110900-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0016.160211T0058Z-160211T0900Z/
LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GENESEO
758 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY.
* LOCATIONS...LIVINGSTON.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL 3 TO 5 INCHES.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES.
* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 10 TO 15 TONIGHT.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
DANGEROUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND REDUCED
VISIBILITIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ010-011-110900-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0900Z-160213T0000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
758 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING.
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES.
* TIMING...FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL FOR 6 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW IN
PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE WATCH IS
MEDIUM. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION AND
INTENSITY A BAND WHICH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
&&
$$
NYZ007-110900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0900Z-160213T0600Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
758 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY.
* TIMING...FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH OVERNIGHT FRIDAY
NIGHT.
* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 11 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.
* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT
TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...ABOVE AVERAGE. AN INTENSE BAND OF
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AND IMPACT
PORTIONS OF JEFFERSON COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
&&
$$
THOMAS/APFFEL2 follow-up statements
225
WWUS41 KBUF 110333
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1033 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
NYZ019-020-085-111145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0600Z-160213T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1033 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE
COUNTIES...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED JUST INLAND
FROM LAKE ERIE ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS AND SKI COUNTRY THROUGH
THURSDAY. LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY A NARROW BAND OF
STEADIER SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND MAY BRING LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
BETWEEN DUNKIRK AND BUFFALO AND EASTWARD INTO THE BOSTON HILLS
AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.
* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FROM OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OVERNIGHT AND 3 TO 6
INCHES THURSDAY. THE SECOND ROUND WILL POTENTIALLY BRING AN
ADDITIONAL 6 TO 12 INCHES THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE WATCH IS
MEDIUM. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION AND
INTENSITY OF THE BAND THAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
&&
$$
NYZ012-111145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0600Z-160213T0000Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
1033 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY.
* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OVERNIGHT. THE
SECOND ROUND THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING MAY BRING AN
ADDITIONAL 5 TO 10 INCHES.
* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE WATCH IS
MEDIUM. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION AND
INTENSITY OF THE BAND THAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
&&
$$
NYZ004>006-111145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160212T0900Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
1033 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
FRIDAY...
* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND OSWEGO COUNTIES...
WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED FROM NORTHEASTERN
WAYNE COUNTY ACROSS NORTHERN CAYUGA AND SOUTHERN OSWEGO
COUNTIES.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES OVERNIGHT...3 TO 6
INCHES THURSDAY...AND 2 TO 4 INCHES THURSDAY NIGHT FOR STORM
TOTALS OF UP TO 2 FEET IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4338 7595 4327 7723 4338 7844 4325 7894
4325 7751 4316 7788 4307 7648 4320 7647 4316 7588
TIME Y16M02D10T1300Z-Y16M02D11T1100Z
COORD...4336 7641 4339 7664 4326 7694 4329 7720
4306 7686 4302 7650 4320 7647 4317 7597
TIME Y16M02D11T1100Z-Y16M02D12T0900Z
$$
NYZ001>003-111145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
1033 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...
* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA...ORLEANS...AND MONROE COUNTIES...WITH THE
GREATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE
104.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OVERNIGHT AND 3 TO
5 INCHES THURSDAY.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
&&
EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4338 7595 4327 7723 4338 7844 4325 7894
4325 7751 4316 7788 4307 7648 4320 7647 4316 7588
TIME Y16M02D10T1300Z-Y16M02D11T1100Z
$$
NYZ013-110900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-160211T0900Z/
LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GENESEO
1033 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...
* LOCATIONS...LIVINGSTON.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OVERNIGHT.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
DANGEROUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND REDUCED
VISIBILITIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ007-111145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0900Z-160213T0600Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
1033 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY.
* TIMING...FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH OVERNIGHT FRIDAY
NIGHT.
* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.
* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT
TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...ABOVE AVERAGE. AN INTENSE BAND OF
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AND IMPACT
PORTIONS OF JEFFERSON COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
&&
$$
NYZ010-011-111145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0900Z-160213T0000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
1033 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES.
* TIMING...FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...THE POTENTIAL FOR 6 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE
IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE WATCH IS
MEDIUM. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION AND
INTENSITY A BAND WHICH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
&&
$$
WOOD328
WWUS41 KBUF 110900
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
400 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016
NYZ012-111700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0600Z-160213T0000Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
400 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING.
* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY.
* TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.
* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE WATCH IS
MEDIUM. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION AND
INTENSITY OF THE LAKE SNOW BAND THAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
&&
$$
NYZ013-111000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-160211T0900Z/
LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GENESEO
400 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
LAKE SNOWS HAVE EXITED THE REGION...THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
$$
NYZ019-020-085-111700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0600Z-160213T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
400 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE
COUNTIES...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED JUST INLAND
FROM LAKE ERIE ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS AND SKI COUNTRY THROUGH
THURSDAY. LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY A NARROW BAND OF
STEADIER SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND MAY BRING LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
BETWEEN DUNKIRK AND BUFFALO AND EASTWARD INTO THE BOSTON HILLS
AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.
* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS
TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THIS
MAY BE FOLLOWED BY AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION
TONIGHT...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE WATCH IS
MEDIUM. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION AND
INTENSITY OF THE BAND THAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
&&
$$
NYZ004>006-111700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160212T0900Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
400 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
FRIDAY...
* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND OSWEGO COUNTIES...
WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED FROM NORTHEASTERN
WAYNE COUNTY ACROSS NORTHERN CAYUGA AND SOUTHERN OSWEGO
COUNTIES.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES TODAY...AND 2 TO 4 INCHES
TONIGHT.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4324 7586 4342 7589 4326 7739 4338 7859
4318 7856 4314 7770 4301 7719 4302 7650
TIME Y16M02D11T0900Z-Y16M02D11T2100Z
COORD...4328 7598 4341 7664 4326 7694 4328 7731
4303 7680 4302 7650 4320 7647
TIME Y16M02D11T2100Z-Y16M02D12T0900Z
$$
NYZ001>003-111700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
400 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA...ORLEANS...AND MONROE COUNTIES...WITH THE
GREATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE
104.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 7 INCHES TODAY...WITH THE
GREATEST AMOUNTS MOST LIKELY ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN
PORTIONS OF MONROE COUNTY.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
&&
EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4324 7586 4342 7589 4326 7739 4338 7859
4318 7856 4314 7770 4301 7719 4302 7650
TIME Y16M02D11T0900Z-Y16M02D11T2100Z
$$
NYZ008-111700-
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0900Z-160213T0600Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
400 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT.
* LOCATIONS...LEWIS COUNTY.
* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT.
* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.
* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT
TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...HIGH. AN INTENSE BAND OF HEAVY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AND
IMPACT PORTIONS OF LEWIS COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
&&
$$
NYZ007-111700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0900Z-160213T0600Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
400 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY.
* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT.
* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.
* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT
TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...HIGH. AN INTENSE BAND OF HEAVY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AND
IMPACT PORTIONS OF JEFFERSON COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
&&
$$
NYZ010-011-111700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0900Z-160213T0000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
400 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES.
* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.
* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY RESULT IN
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY
IN THE LOCATION AND INTENSITY OF THE LAKE SNOW BAND THAT IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
&&
$$
JJR/TMAWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow advisory went out at Feb 10, 4:29 PM EST, 3 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 4:29 PM EST, 3 hours 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
429 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY WHILE A SURFACE TROUGH SLOWLY DROPS SOUTH FROM
LAKE ONTARIO. BEHIND THIS TROUGH A PROGRESSIVELY COLDER ARCTIC
AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION INTO THE WEEKEND. THE MOST FRIGID
CONDITIONS AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT ALONG WITH ANOTHER PERIOD
OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LIES ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES THIS
AFTERNOON WITH A SURFACE LOW SHIFTING INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC. A WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH IS TRAILING THIS LOW ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WHICH WILL
SLOWLY PRESS SOUTH OVERNIGHT. REGIONAL RADARS AT 3PM ARE SHOWING
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE GREAT LAKES AS COLDER AIR
CROSSES THE STILL OPEN WATERS. RADAR ESTIMATED SNOW RATES WITHIN
MULTIPLE NARROW BANDS EAST OF LAKE ERIE ARE RANGING FROM A HALF TO
AS HIGH AS ONE AND A HALF INCHES PER HOUR INCH WITH A PERSISTENT
MORE IMPRESSIVE SNOW BAND WITH 1 TO 2+ INCHES PER HOUR RATES HUGGING
THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE ACROSS NIAGARA...ORLEANS AND MONROE
COUNTIES AND EXTENDING EAST BUT A BIT WEAKER ACROSS WAYNE...NORTHERN
CAYUGA AND SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTIES. THE MORE IMPRESSIVE SNOW RATES
ACROSS THE IMMEDIATE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE ARE DO TO SURFACE
CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SURFACE TROUGH AND AN UPSTREAM
MOISTURE CONNECTION TO GEORGIAN BAY. LAKE EFFECT WARNINGS REMAIN IN
EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHERN LAKE ONTARIO LAKE SHORE AND EAST OF LAKE
ERIE SOUTH OF BUFFALO.
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...EXPECT THE SURFACE TROUGH TO SLOWLY PRESS
SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO LIKELY NOT FULLY PASSING SOUTH OF WESTERN NEW
YORK UNTIL THURSDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SHOULD HOLD THEIR CURRENT
POSITION THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WITH A SLIGHT
SHIFT TO THE SOUTH INTO THURSDAY. BUFKIT PROFILES SHOW LAKE INDUCED
INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS COLDER AIR ARRIVES PEAKING
NEAR 12FT AROUND 12Z THURSDAY. THIS ALONG WITH A FAVORABLE CROSSHAIR
SIGNATURE OF MOISTURE...LIFT AND SNOW GROWTH SHOULD CONTINUE TO
BRING STEADY ACCUMULATING SNOW WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS. 12Z MESOSCALE
MODELS INCLUDING THE SSEO AND HIGH RES NMM/ARW SHOW THE LAKE ERIE
BAND WILL MAKE A PUSH SOUTH TOWARD ERIE PA ON THURSDAY UNDER A MORE
NORTHERLY VEERING OF THE WINDS WHICH MAY BRING A FEW HOUR BREAK IN
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR MUCH OF THE WARNING AREA. FOR LAKE ONTARIO
THE BAND SHOULD TEND TO FOCUS MORE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST SHORES OF
LAKE ONTARIO AS WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE SURFACE
TROUGH. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
WITHIN MORE PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS WILL TOTAL MORE THAN A FOOT WITH
STORM TOTAL MAXES OF NEAR TWO FEET CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST WAYNE
COUNTY AND SOUTHWEST CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY ON THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.
OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE EFFECT...MOIST CYCLONIC FLOW WILL CONTINUE A
FORECAST FOR CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS WITH LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF AN INCH OR TWO. AS FOR TEMPERATURES...EXPECT THESE TO STEADILY
DROP THROUGH THIS EVENING BOTTOMING OUT IN THE 5-15 RANGE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. ON THURSDAY CONTINUED COLD ADVECTION
BEHIND THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING TO BREAK
INTO THE TEENS WITH A STEADY NORTHWESTERLY BREEZE HOLDING WIND CHILLS
LARGELY BELOW ZERO.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL EXIT EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY
NIGHT THEN ANOTHER SHORTWAVE AND WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL APPROACH ON
FRIDAY. THIS WILL SHIFT WINDS FROM THE WNW THURSDAY EVENING TO THE
SW BY FRIDAY WHICH WILL LIFT LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS NORTHWARD.
OFF LAKE ERIE...LIMITED MOISTURE AND SHEAR FROM THE SHIFTING FLOW
SHOULD DISRUPT LAKE SNOWS THURSDAY EVENING...BUT BY FRIDAY MORNING
FORECAST WIND FIELDS SUGGEST A FAIRLY WELL ALIGNED SW/250 FLOW.
INITIALLY MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...BUT WITH THE APPROACH OF THE
LOW AND LONG FETCH DOWN THE LAKE EXPECT A FAIRLY CONSOLIDATED AND
INTENSE LAKE EFFECT BAND TO DEVELOP. CONSENSUS HIGH RESOLUTION
GUIDANCE REFLECTS THESE TRENDS...BUT SUSPECT THAT THE CONSENSUS
PLACES THE BAND TOO FAR SOUTH AND INLAND. THIS IS BECAUSE THE WSW
925MB FLOW TENDS TO FUNNEL UP THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE WHICH WOULD FOCUS
THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE AND FAR NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA
COUNTY...OR THE SOUTH TOWNS TO SKI COUNTRY WITH 6 TO 10 INCHES A
POSSIBILITY IF THE BAND DEVELOPS AS EXPECTED. THE RGEM HAS THE BEST
HANDLE ON THIS. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE SHOULD
INCREASE SHEAR AND RESULT IN A MORE DIFFUSE AREA OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WHICH WILL PRODUCE A LARGER AREA OF MODERATE SNOWS WHICH COULD BRING
A COUPLE INCHES. BASED ON THIS WILL ISSUE A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH
FOR CHAUTAUQUA/CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES. THE BAND MAY
SNEAK INTO THE NORTHERN ERIE ZONE EVEN THOUGH IT SHOULD STAY SOUTH
OF DOWNTOWN BUFFALO.
OFF LAKE ONTARIO...THE MOST TRICKY PART OF THE FORECAST IS THURSDAY
EVENING WHEN THERE IS A WELL ALIGNED AND FAIRLY STRONG WNW FLOW
FORECAST ACROSS THE LAKE. AS THIS FLOW DIMINISHES A BIT THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR THIS TO CONSOLIDATE INTO A NARROW BUT INTENSE BAND.
HOWEVER...THIS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL ONLY LAST FOR 3-6
HOURS...THEN SHEAR WILL INCREASE AS THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST
AND LIFT THE BAND QUICKLY NORTHWARD. MOST MESOSCALE GUIDANCE ONLY
SHOWS A BRIEF AND FAIRLY TRANSIENT BAND. THIS LOWERS FORECAST
CONFIDENCE A BIT...BUT WITH THE LONG FETCH AND FORECAST WIND FIELDS
THERE STILL APPEARS TO BE A FEW HOURS OF INTENSE SNOW SOUTHEAST OF
THE LAKE FROM WAYNE TO OSWEGO COUNTY. AFTER THIS...A WELL ALIGNED
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP SIMILAR TO LAKE ERIE. THIS
WILL NOT ONLY TAP INTO MOISTURE FROM THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE...BUT
ALSO MOISTURE FROM WHATEVER FORMS ON LAKE ERIE. THIS PROVIDES AMPLE
CONFIDENCE TO ISSUE A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY
WITH A POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW ON FRIDAY FOR WATERTOWN AND
VICINITY. CONSENSUS 850MB TEMPERATURES ARE STILL AROUND -16C AND THE
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN TO NEARLY 15K FT AND A
FAVORABLY DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH ZONE. GIVEN THESE INGREDIENTS IN
PLACE...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF SOME LOCATIONS TOPPED A FOOT OF
SNOW. LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY CLIP NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY...BUT FOR NOW
EXPECT ADVISORY TYPE AMOUNTS.
ON FRIDAY EVENING A POWERFUL ARCTIC FRONT WILL SURGE SOUTH ACROSS
THE REGION. THIS ARCTIC FRONT WILL LIKELY CAPTURE AND MERGE WITH THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND OFF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH A VERY HEAVY SNOW
SQUALL PASSING SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. THIS
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW IN MANY AREAS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES WHERE THE LAKE
CONTRIBUTION MAXIMIZES. BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT...MULTIPLE STREAMERS
OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE LAKES LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AS FLOW BECOMES NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY NNW. THE FRONT
WILL ALSO USHER IN BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL BE BELOW
ZERO IN MOST AREAS BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A FRIGID ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL TAKE HOLD OF THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
AND NEW ENGLAND THIS WEEKEND. A CONSENSUS OF 12Z GUIDANCE DROPS
850MB TEMPERATURES TO AROUND -30C AT BUFFALO DURING THE DAY AT
BUFFALO...WITH -33C ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. THE
COLDEST TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED AT 850MB ON A KBUF SOUNDING IN THE
MONTH OF FEBRUARY IS -28C...AND THE COLDEST EVER RECORDED FOR ANY
MONTH IS -32C.
THIS WILL RESULT IN BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAY
SATURDAY WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING TO RISE ABOVE ZERO.
DAYTIME HIGHS WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY BE BELOW ZERO IN THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION. PERSISTENT WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ON SATURDAY
NIGHT WILL LIMIT RADIATIONAL COOLING...BUT EVEN SO IT WILL BE VERY
COLD WITH BELOW ZERO LOWS REGION-WIDE. LOWS OF -20F OR COLDER ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH NO MODERATING LAKE INFLUENCE.
THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE WINDS AND FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.
THE FRIGID NORTH FLOW OVER THE LAKES WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NY. DESPITE THE
EXTREME INSTABILITY...AIRMASSES THIS COLD ARE ALSO VERY DRY AND
TEMPERATURES BECOME TOO COLD FOR DENDRITES. THIS WILL FORCE
SNOWFLAKES TO BE VERY SMALL AND LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS...ALTHOUGH
SEVERAL INCHES ARE LIKELY SOUTH OF BOTH LAKES. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SUNDAY. 12Z GUIDANCE IS A
BIT FASTER MOVING THE SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION...WITH LAKE
EFFECT SNOW LIKELY TO TAPER OFF BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
AFTER THIS THERE IS GENERAL MODEL AGREEMENT THAT TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM BACK TO NEAR NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...THE 12Z ECMWF
IS SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT FROM THE GFS/GGEM. THE ECMWF HAS
CONSISTENTLY DEVELOPED A STRONG WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WITH
SIGNIFICANT QPF ACROSS OUR REGION WHICH WOULD FALL AS RAIN OR
SNOW. THE GGEM/GFS HAVE THIS SYSTEM BUT KEEP IT WELL TO OUR
EAST...AND INSTEAD ARE A BIT COLDER WITH A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS. THE FORECAST WILL REFLECT A CONSENSUS BETWEEN THIS
GUIDANCE...WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND CHANCE POPS.
&&
.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLD AND MOIST FLOW WITHIN AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES IS CONTRIBUTING TO ENHANCED LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SOUTH AND EAST
OF THE LAKES. OVERALL EXPECT IFR OR LOWER CIGS/VIS IN LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS WITH MVFR CIGS OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE SNOWS.
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...EXPECT CONTINUED IFR/LIFR IN AREAS OF
HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTH OF THE LAKES...WITH MVFR/IFR
CIGS ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL SHIFT MORE NORTHWESTERLY LATE TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY BEHIND A SURFACE TROUGH.
OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR IN SHIFTING LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS...EAST AND SOUTH OF THE LAKES.
FRIDAY...IFR/MVFR WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...AND AREAS OF HEAVIER
LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES.
SATURDAY...IFR/MVFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS SOUTH OF THE
LAKES... WITH MVFR/VFR ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.
SUNDAY...CHANCE OF IFR/MVFR IN WEAKENING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
SOUTH OF THE LAKES.
MONDAY...MAINLY VFR. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
&&
.MARINE...
A BRISK FLOW OF PROGRESSIVELY COLDER ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
OVERSPREAD THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...RESULTING IN A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF ADVISORY-WORTHY WINDS AND WAVES ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES
ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY.
IN ADDITION TO THE ABOVE...THE PASSAGE OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT
FRIDAY EVENING WILL ALSO USHER IN A TRULY FRIGID AIRMASS FOR LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT AND THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WHICH IN CONJUNCTION WITH
THE EXPECTED BRISK WINDS WILL RESULT IN A EVEN MORE HEIGHTENED
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT FOR NYZ007.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ004>006.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
NYZ001>003-019-020-085.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NYZ019-020-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
LEZ020.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
LOZ042>045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SMITH
NEAR TERM...SMITH
SHORT TERM...APFFEL
LONG TERM...APFFEL
AVIATION...SMITH
MARINE...JJR/SMITHHazardous weather outlook, Feb 10, 4:04 PM EST, 3 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 404 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016 NYZ001>003-112115- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE- 404 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ON SATURDAY WITH LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND WIND WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ010>014-021-112115- NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY- 404 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ON SATURDAY WITH LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND WIND WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ004-005-112115- WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- 404 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ON SATURDAY WITH LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND WIND WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ019-020-085-112115- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- 404 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ON SATURDAY WITH LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND WIND WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-112115- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 404 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME ICING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR CROSSES THE LAKES WITH MODERATE WINDS AND WAVE ACTION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ007-112115- JEFFERSON- 404 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN BELOW ZERO ON SATURDAY WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND WIND WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ008-112115- LEWIS- 404 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN BELOW ZERO ON SATURDAY WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND WIND WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006-112115- OSWEGO- 404 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN BELOW ZERO ON SATURDAY WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND WIND WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF APFFEL
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 10, 3:31 PM EST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
331 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 PM SNOW BARKER 43.33N 78.55W
02/10/2016 M7.0 INCH NIAGARA NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600439
ARLocal storm report, Feb 10, 3:58 PM EST, 4 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
358 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0355 PM SNOW HANNIBAL 43.32N 76.58W
02/10/2016 M5.0 INCH OSWEGO NY POST OFFICE
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600440
ARLocal storm report, Feb 10, 5:24 PM EST, 2 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
524 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM SNOW FULTON 43.32N 76.42W
02/10/2016 M7.0 INCH OSWEGO NY SOCIAL MEDIA
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600441
THOMASSpecial weather statement, Feb 10, 5:51 PM EST, 2 hours 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
551 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
NYZ004>006-110045-
WAYNE-OSWEGO-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
551 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL IMPACT CAYUGA...OSWEGO AND
NORTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...
AT 544 PM EST...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW PRODUCING SNOW FALL RATES
OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WAS LOCATED OVER FAR NORTHERN CAYUGA
COUNTY AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. THIS BAND OF SNOW MAY
OCCASIONALLY DROP SOUTHWARD AND CLIP FAR NORTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY
INTO THE MID EVENING HOURS. OTHERWISE EXPECT THIS BAND OF SNOW TO
REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE MID EVENING HOURS.
THIS BAND OF SNOW WILL PASS OVER INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 32 AND
35.
VISIBILITIES WILL DROP QUICKLY TO LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE IN
THIS BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.
CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS. BE
PREPARED FOR SNOW OR ICE COVERED ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA
TIME WHEN TRAVELING TONIGHT.
LAT...LON 4348 7582 4333 7589 4315 7588 4320 7608
4327 7620 4322 7619 4320 7622 4324 7626
4324 7627 4321 7626 4330 7682 4334 7671
4331 7671 4341 7663 4352 7642 4351 7629
4353 7624 4357 7620 4351 7576 4347 7576
THOMASLocal storm report, Feb 10, 6:00 PM EST, 1 hour 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
600 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0556 PM SNOW EAST AURORA 42.77N 78.62W
02/10/2016 M4.3 INCH ERIE NY NWS EMPLOYEE
IN PAST 10 HOURS
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600442
THOMASLocal storm report, Feb 10, 7:00 PM EST, 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
700 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM SNOW HAMBURG 42.72N 78.83W
02/10/2016 M4.0 INCH ERIE NY SOCIAL MEDIA
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600443
THOMASThe office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 8:54 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie, Wyoming | 3 hr |
| Feb 10, 8:59 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Oswego | 76 min |
| Feb 11, 3:27 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Oswego | 78 min |
| Feb 11, 4:49 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Oswego | 56 min |
| Feb 11, 10:00 AM EST | Wind Chill Watch | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more | 18 hr |
| Feb 11, 3:35 PM EST | Lake Effect Snow Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Niagara, Orleans, Oswego and 1 more | 39 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Advisories in New York, 2016Every lake effect snow advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.