Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Advisories in 2016

Lake Effect Snow Advisory 15, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 10, 20166 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow advisory at Feb 10, 2016, 4:00 AM EST for 6 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 10, 2016, 6:39 AM EST. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 10, 2016, 4:00 AM EST (09:00 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 10, 2016, 6:39 AM EST
Expired
Feb 10, 2016, 3:57 PM EST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-02-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-02-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -20 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
631 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

858 
WWUS41 KBUF 100900
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
400 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

NYZ004>006-101700-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0014.160210T1800Z-160211T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0006.160210T1500Z-160212T0900Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
400 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
4 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM
EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND OSWEGO COUNTIES...WITH
  THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED FROM NORTHEASTERN WAYNE
  COUNTY ACROSS NORTHERN CAYUGA AND SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES TODAY...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT...
  3 TO 5 INCHES THURSDAY...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES THURSDAY NIGHT...
  LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES IN THE MOST 
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4341 7583 4361 7581 4363 7620 4324 7688 
        4324 7606 
TIME Y16M02D10T1500Z-Y16M02D11T0000Z
COORD...4324 7645 4333 7627 4337 7668 4326 7694 
        4325 7727 4302 7650 
TIME Y16M02D11T0000Z-Y16M02D11T0900Z
COORD...4330 7618 4329 7723 4311 7717 4302 7650 
        4318 7647 4316 7588 
TIME Y16M02D11T0900Z-Y16M02D11T1800Z
COORD...4326 7622 4335 7673 4326 7694 4324 7733 
        4302 7650 4320 7647 
TIME Y16M02D11T1800Z-Y16M02D12T0600Z
COORD...4352 7584 4363 7620 4331 7672 4325 7609 
        4331 7588 
TIME Y16M02D12T0600Z-Y16M02D12T0900Z

$$

NYZ085-101700-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
400 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY. THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW
  AMOUNTS EXPECTED JUST INLAND FROM LAKE ERIE ACROSS THE BOSTON
  HILLS AND SKI COUNTRY.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES TODAY...2 TO 4 INCHES
  TONIGHT...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ019-020-101700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
400 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...WITH THE
  GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED JUST INLAND FROM LAKE ERIE ALONG
  THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES TODAY...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT...AND
  3 TO 6 INCHES THURSDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-101700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.160210T1200Z-160211T0300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
400 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES...WITH THE GREATEST
  SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES TODAY AND AN INCH OR TWO THIS
  EVENING...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-101700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.160210T2100Z-160211T2100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
400 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM EST THURSDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA...ORLEANS...AND MONROE COUNTIES...WITH THE
  GREATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED ALONG AND A BIT INLAND FROM
  THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS THIS AFTERNOON...2 TO 4 INCHES 
  TONIGHT...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS 
  OF 4 TO 7 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

JJR
3 follow-up statements
380 
WWUS41 KBUF 101139
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
639 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

NYZ019-020-085-101945-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
639 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW 
  AMOUNTS EXPECTED JUST INLAND FROM LAKE ERIE ACROSS THE BOSTON 
  HILLS AND SKI COUNTRY.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY...2 TO 4
  INCHES TONIGHT...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-101945-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.160210T1500Z-160212T0900Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
639 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND OSWEGO COUNTIES...
  WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED FROM NORTHEASTERN 
  WAYNE COUNTY ACROSS NORTHERN CAYUGA AND SOUTHERN OSWEGO 
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES TODAY...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT...
  3 TO 5 INCHES THURSDAY...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES THURSDAY NIGHT...
  LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES IN THE MOST 
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4341 7583 4361 7581 4363 7620 4324 7688 
        4324 7606 
TIME Y16M02D10T1500Z-Y16M02D11T0000Z
COORD...4324 7645 4333 7627 4337 7668 4326 7694 
        4325 7727 4302 7650 
TIME Y16M02D11T0000Z-Y16M02D11T0900Z
COORD...4330 7618 4329 7723 4311 7717 4302 7650 
        4318 7647 4316 7588 
TIME Y16M02D11T0900Z-Y16M02D11T1800Z
COORD...4326 7622 4335 7673 4326 7694 4324 7733 
        4302 7650 4320 7647 
TIME Y16M02D11T1800Z-Y16M02D12T0600Z
COORD...4352 7584 4363 7620 4331 7672 4325 7609 
        4331 7588 
TIME Y16M02D12T0600Z-Y16M02D12T0900Z

$$

NYZ012-101945-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.160210T1139Z-160210T2100Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
639 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS OVER
  THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES TODAY...LEADING TO
  STORM TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE
  SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-101945-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.160210T1200Z-160211T0300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
639 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES...WITH THE GREATEST 
  SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY AND AN INCH OR TWO THIS
  EVENING...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-101945-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.160210T2100Z-160211T2100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
639 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA...ORLEANS...AND MONROE COUNTIES...WITH THE 
  GREATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED ALONG AND A BIT INLAND FROM 
  THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS THIS AFTERNOON...2 TO 4 INCHES 
  TONIGHT...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS 
  OF 4 TO 7 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

JJR
087 
WWUS41 KBUF 101419
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
919 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

NYZ001>003-102230-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.160210T2100Z-160211T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
919 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY. THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA...ORLEANS...AND MONROE COUNTIES...WITH THE
  GREATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED ALONG AND A BIT INLAND FROM
  THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE AND MAINLY NORTH OF DOWNTOWN
  ROCHESTER.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TODAY...2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT...
  AND 1 TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 7 TO 15 INCHES
  IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4330 7690 4329 7765 4338 7820 4338 7859 
        4326 7900 4316 7764 4322 7692 
TIME Y16M02D10T1300Z-Y16M02D11T0300Z

$$

NYZ019-020-085-102230-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
919 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES...WITH
  THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED JUST INLAND FROM LAKE ERIE
  ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS AND SKI COUNTRY.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES TODAY...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT...
  AND 3 TO 6 INCHES THURSDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 7 TO 14 INCHES
  IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-102230-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.160210T1500Z-160212T0900Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
919 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND OSWEGO COUNTIES...
  WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED FROM NORTHEASTERN 
  WAYNE COUNTY ACROSS NORTHERN CAYUGA AND SOUTHERN OSWEGO 
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES TODAY...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT...
  3 TO 5 INCHES THURSDAY...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES THURSDAY NIGHT...
  LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 11 TO 21 INCHES IN THE MOST 
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4330 7690 4329 7765 4338 7820 4338 7859 
        4326 7900 4316 7764 4322 7692 
TIME Y16M02D10T1300Z-Y16M02D11T0300Z
COORD...4330 7620 4335 7673 4322 7736 4304 7683 
        4302 7650 4318 7647 
TIME Y16M02D11T0300Z-Y16M02D11T2100Z
COORD...4324 7645 4326 7622 4336 7634 4339 7664 
        4326 7694 4325 7720 4305 7650 
TIME Y16M02D11T2100Z-Y16M02D12T0900Z

$$

NYZ007-008-102230-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-160211T0300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
919 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES...WITH THE GREATEST 
  SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY AND AN INCH OR LESS THIS 
  EVENING.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ012-102100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-160210T2100Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
919 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS 
  OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES TODAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

SMITH
467 
WWUS41 KBUF 102057
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
357 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

NYZ007-110500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-160211T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0900Z-160213T0600Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
357 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT
  TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...ABOVE AVERAGE. AN INTENSE BAND OF HEAVY
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AND IMPACT PORTIONS
  OF JEFFERSON COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ008-102200-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-160211T0300Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
357 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

$$

NYZ012-102200-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-160210T2100Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
357 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

LIGHT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...WITH MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-110500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0007.160212T0600Z-160213T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
357 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE
  COUNTIES...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED JUST INLAND
  FROM LAKE ERIE ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS AND SKI COUNTRY THROUGH
  THURSDAY. LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY A NARROW BAND OF
  STEADIER SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND MAY BRING LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
  BETWEEN DUNKIRK AND BLASDELL...EXTENDING EASTWARD INTO THE
  BOSTON HILLS AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 
  LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN 
  EFFECT FROM OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY 
  EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES TONIGHT AND ON THURSDAY.
  THEN A TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY
  NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE WATCH IS
  AVERAGE. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION AND
  INTENSITY A BAND WHICH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY
  NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-110500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160212T0900Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
357 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND OSWEGO COUNTIES...
  WITH THE GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED FROM NORTHEASTERN 
  WAYNE COUNTY ACROSS NORTHERN CAYUGA AND SOUTHERN OSWEGO 
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TONIGHT...3 TO 6 INCHES
  THURSDAY...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES THURSDAY NIGHT...LEADING TO STORM
  TOTALS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4330 7690 4329 7765 4338 7820 4338 7859 
        4326 7900 4316 7764 4322 7692 
TIME Y16M02D10T1300Z-Y16M02D11T0300Z
COORD...4330 7620 4335 7673 4322 7736 4304 7683 
        4302 7650 4318 7647 
TIME Y16M02D11T0300Z-Y16M02D11T2100Z
COORD...4324 7645 4326 7622 4336 7634 4339 7664 
        4326 7694 4325 7720 4305 7650 
TIME Y16M02D11T2100Z-Y16M02D12T0900Z

$$

NYZ001>003-110500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160211T2100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
357 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA...ORLEANS...AND MONROE COUNTIES...WITH THE 
  GREATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED ALONG AND A BIT INLAND FROM 
  THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE AND MAINLY NORTH OF DOWNTOWN 
  ROCHESTER.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES TONIGHT...AND 2 TO 4 INCHES
  THURSDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 18 INCHES ALONG THE
  IMMEDIATE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4330 7690 4329 7765 4338 7820 4338 7859 
        4326 7900 4316 7764 4322 7692 
TIME Y16M02D10T1300Z-Y16M02D11T0300Z

$$

APFFEL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow advisory went out at Feb 9, 10:36 PM EST, 5 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 9, 10:36 PM EST, 5 hours 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1036 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE EAST
TONIGHT. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST...AN ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL FILTER
IN ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WITH ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS INTO
THE WEEKEND. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL LIKELY STRUGGLE TO CLIMB
ABOVE ZERO ACROSS MANY LOCATIONS WITH DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILLS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED IMMEDIATELY WEST OF
TORONTO WILL DRIFT EAST ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO OVERNIGHT AS AN UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING THE FINGER LAKES AND
GENESEE VALLEY...SHOULD REMAIN LARGELY DRY FOR MUCH OF THE
NIGHT...SNOWFALL WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS FAR WESTERN NEW
YORK THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND PARTICULARLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
DEEPER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND COLDER AIR ALOFT WRAP ACROSS THE AREA
FROM THE WEST. WHILE ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD WEST OF THE GENESEE...AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
AROUND AN INCH OR LESS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AREAS NEAR THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE WHERE UPSLOPE FLOW AND LAKE ENHANCEMENT SHOULD PUSH
AMOUNTS INTO THE 2-4 INCH RANGE BY DAYBREAK.

SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY
AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO AND ON INTO
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. BROAD WESTERLY FLOW WILL USHER IN INCREASINGLY
COLD AIR WITH 850MB TEMPS FALLING TO -12C TO -18C BY THE END OF THE
DAY...COLDEST IN THE WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A
REASONABLY ROBUST LAKE RESPONSE OFF OF LAKE ERIE THAT SHOULD
GENERATE AN ADDITIONAL 3-6 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER. THE LIMITING FACTOR IN SPITE OF FAVORABLE 280 FLOW
WITH UPSTREAM HELP OFF OF LAKE HURON WILL BE BOTH DIURNAL EFFECTS
AND THE PRESENCE OF SHORTWAVE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING THAT WILL KEEP
MAIN MOISTURE BELOW 750MB.

EXPECT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO ALSO DEVELOP SOUTHEAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO...HOWEVER ONSET WILL BE DELAYED UNTIL AT LEAST LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY PENDING THE ARRIVAL OF COLDER
AIR AND WNW FLOW. ELSEWHERE...LOOK FOR AREAS OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA TO BRING LIMITED ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH
OR LESS OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT AREAS. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 20S TONIGHT WITH READINGS REMAINING RELATIVELY
STEADY OR ONLY WARMING SLIGHTLY WEDNESDAY AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO
THE REGION. HIGHS WEDNESDAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S
WITH AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO FLIRTING WITH THE FREEZING MARK.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE REGION WILL BE IN NORTHWESTERLY COLD AIR ADVECTION FLOW DURING
THE PERIOD WITH COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT INCREASING LAKE
INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...THE SPECIFICS WILL BE QUITE COMPLEX WITH
SUBTLE FEATURES DETERMINING EXACTLY WHERE THE STEADIEST LAKE EFFECT
SNOW OCCURS. IN ADDITION TO THE LAKE EFFECT WARNINGS/ADVISORY EAST
OF LAKE ERIE...A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. NOW
FOR THE DETAILS...

A BROAD WNW FLOW WILL BE MAINTAINED WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
HOWEVER...A NARROW 500 MB RIDGE AXIS IS FORECAST TO BE ACROSS
WESTERN NEW YORK WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE CROSSES
THE REGION LATER IN THE NIGHT. THIS WILL BOTH PROVIDE SOME EXTRA
MOISTURE. BEHIND THIS CONSENSUS 850MB TEMPERATURES DROP TO AROUND
-22C WITH THE AIRMASS FAIRLY DRY. THIS WILL MAKE CONNECTIONS
UPSTREAM TO LAKE HURON AND GEORGIAN BAY MORE IMPORTANT FOR STEADIER
SNOWS.

OFF LAKE ERIE...EXPECT MODEST LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO CONTINUE EAST OF
THE LAKE WEDNESDAY EVENING TO INTENSIFY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
SHORTWAVE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING. STEADIEST
SNOWS WILL BE ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND SKI COUNTRY WHERE
UPSLOPING WILL ENHANCE LIFT AND PRODUCE MODERATE TO SOMETIMES HEAVY
SNOW. INTENSITY WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER THERE
MAY BE A NARROW BAND OF STEADIER SNOW DUE TO LAKE HURON ENHANCEMENT
WHICH IS MOST LIKELY TO BE SOMEWHERE ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...SNOW WILL ALSO PICK UP SOUTH OF THE LAKE ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORTWAVE AND WITH A WEAK
SURFACE LOW FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. WINDS WILL SHIFT
ABRUPTLY TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE SURFACE LOW WHICH WILL PROBABLY
PROVIDE A DECENT SNOW BURST TO ALL AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO IN
THE 1-3 INCH RANGE. AFTER THIS...A WNW FLOW BECOMES BETTER ALIGNED
WITH STEADIER SNOWS IN WAYNE/N CAYUGA/OSWEGO COUNTIES LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE DIFFERS HERE WITH THE
NMM/ARW HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS MORE AGGRESSIVE IN DEVELOPING A
CONVERGENCE BAND AND BRINGING IN SOME GEORGIAN BAY MOISTURE. THE
NAM/RGEM ARE LESS IMPRESSIVE...BUT STILL SHOW DECENT SNOWS IN THIS
AREA. EXPECT DAY AND A HALF STORM TOTALS TO PUSH 10 INCHES IN SOME
AREAS...WHICH PROMPTED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. THIS AREA WILL
HAVE TO BE MONITORED WITH A CHANCE THAT THE BAND WILL DEVELOP EARLY
OR BECOME MORE INTENSE. ALSO...MODEL GUIDANCE TYPICALLY STRUGGLES IN
A NORTHWEST FLOW. LOCALLY HEAVIER SNOWS ARE POSSIBLE WITH A GEORGIAN
BAY CONNECTION IN NIAGARA/ORLEANS/MONROE COUNTIES...BUT FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS SHORT OF ISSUING HEADLINES FOR THESE AREAS.

OTHERWISE...PERIODIC SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE GENERALLY LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE
TEENS IN MOST AREAS. LIGHTER LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY
NIGHT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AND WIND SHEAR. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM
WNW TO WSW WHICH WILL LIFT WHAT BANDS ARE IN PLACE NORTHWARD WITH
ADDITIONAL BUT MODEST ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE EAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FRIDAY AFTERNOON THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH...THE CROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY EVENING. WITH THIS WILL BE A SHORTWAVE WHICH WILL
PROVIDE A BIT MORE MOISTURE WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EXPECTED TO
BRIEFLY PICK UP IN A WSW FLOW AHEAD OF THIS. EXPECT LAKE EFFECT SNOW
TO INTENSIFY EAST OF THE LAKES JUST AHEAD OF THE ARCTIC FRONT
POSSIBLY PRODUCING DECENT ACCUMULATIONS...THEN MOVE SOUTH OVERNIGHT
AND BREAK APART INTO MULTIPLE BANDS SOUTH OF THE LAKES AS BOUNDARY
LAYER FLOW BECOMES NORTHERLY. THE BOUNDARY ITSELF COULD ALSO PRODUCE
A DECENT BURST OF SNOW.

TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET BEHIND THE FRONT ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND LAST
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE INSTABILITY WILL BE EXTREME WITH SUCH A
COLD AIRMASS...BUT ALL AIRMASSES THIS COLD ARE ALSO VERY DRY. THE
DRY AIR...SHORT NORTHERLY FETCH...AND POOR CLOUD MICROPHYSICS IN THE
BITTERLY COLD AIR WILL LIKELY KEEP ACCUMULATIONS RELATIVELY MINOR
FOR SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE INLAND EXTENT OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WILL DIMINISH WITH DIMINISHING WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY.

THE BIG STORY THIS WEEKEND WILL BE THE EXTREME COLD. MEDIUM RANGE
GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT IN BRINGING THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE
WINTER BY FAR INTO THE LOWER LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND. BOTH THE GFS AND
ECMWF TAKE 850MB TEMPS DOWN TO AROUND -32C ON SATURDAY. TO PUT THIS
IN PROSPECTIVE...THE COLDEST TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED AT 850MB ON A
KBUF SOUNDING IN THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY IS -28C...AND THE COLDEST
EVER RECORDED FOR ANY MONTH IS -32C. THIS FRIGID AIRMASS WILL KEEP
HIGHS IN THE LOWER SINGLE NUMBERS ON SATURDAY...AND IF THE TIMING
WORKS OUT WITH THE CORE OF THE COLD CROSSING DURING THE DAY HIGHS
MAY NOT GET ABOVE ZERO. AS A SIDE NOTE...THIS MAY NOT BREAK RECORDS
FOR THE COLDEST HIGH BECAUSE THE TEMPERATURE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT WILL PROBABLY BE MUCH WARMER THAN THE DAYTIME
HIGH WILL BE.

LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE BELOW ZERO EVERYWHERE...AND 20 BELOW OR
BETTER ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH NO LAKE INFLUENCE. THE
COMBINATION OF BITTER COLD AND WIND WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD
WIND CHILLS.

THE CORE OF THE COLD BEGINS TO MOVE OFF BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH A
RAPID WARM-UP TO NEAR AVERAGE BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE GFS/ECMWF
DIFFER QUITE A BIT WITH THE GFS FASTER/COLDER/WEAKER WITH THE NEXT
SYSTEM. FOR NOW WILL USE A BLEND...WITH A BROAD PERIOD OF CHANCE
POPS MONDAY AND TUESDAY TO ACCOUNT THESE TIMING DIFFERENCES. IT WILL
PROBABLY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW...HOWEVER IF THE ECMWF VERIFIES
SOME RAIN IS EVEN POSSIBLE.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A SLOW-MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...BRINGING
DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL NEW YORK
OVERNIGHT AND ON WEDNESDAY AS AREAS OF SNOW EXPAND ACROSS THE
REGION. CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY FALL INTO MVFR RANGE OVERNIGHT
WITH AREAS OF IFR ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

AS THE LOW MOVES EAST OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE AND AN
INCREASINGLY COLD AIRMASS WILL WRAP ACROSS THE REGION...RESULTING IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD SNOW AND IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST
TERMINALS FROM APPROXIMATELY 10-12Z ONWARDS. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE TO LIFR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN
SOUTHER TIER WHERE WESTERLY WINDS LAKE ENHANCEMENT WILL FURTHER
INCREASE SNOWFALL RATES AND REDUCE VISIBILITIES.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...MVFR/IFR IN PERIODS OF SNOW.
FRIDAY...MVFR. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...VFR/MVFR...CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
A SLOW-MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS LAKE
ONTARIO TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
WILL STRENGTHEN AS THIS LOW PASSES ACROSS THE LAKE WITH SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY-LEVEL WINDS ALREADY OCCURRING ON LAKE ERIE. WINDS
WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT ON LAKE ONTARIO
AS THE LOW CENTER CROSSES THE LAKE...HOWEVER WINDS WILL FRESHEN BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS COLD AIR SURGES ACROSS THE LAKE ON WEST-
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW...PROMPTING ANOTHER ROUND OF SCA FOR THE LAKE
ONTARIO NEARSHORE ZONES.

INCREASINGLY COLD AIR WILL FILTER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE ARRIVAL OF A PARTICULARLY COLD AIRMASS IN
THE FORM OF AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT...BRINGING THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ON BOTH LAKES FROM FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM EST
     THURSDAY FOR NYZ004>006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ019-
     020.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST
         FRIDAY FOR LOZ043>045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST
         FRIDAY FOR LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...WOOD
SHORT TERM...APFFEL
LONG TERM...APFFEL/HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...WOOD
MARINE...WOOD
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 9, 3:50 PM EST, 12 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
350 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

NYZ001>003-010>014-021-102100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
350 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY EVENING. THIS
MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY A HEAVY SNOW SQUALL.

A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ON SATURDAY
WITH LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID
TEMPERATURES AND WIND MAY PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-102100-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
350 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY EVENING. THIS
MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY A HEAVY SNOW SQUALL.

A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ON SATURDAY
WITH LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID
TEMPERATURES AND WIND MAY PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-102100-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
350 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY EVENING AND MAY PRODUCE A HEAVY SNOW SQUALL.

A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ON SATURDAY
WITH LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID
TEMPERATURES AND WIND MAY PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ085-102100-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
350 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY EVENING AND MAY PRODUCE A HEAVY SNOW SQUALL.

A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ON SATURDAY
WITH LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID
TEMPERATURES AND WIND MAY PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-102100-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
350 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY DEVELOP FRIDAY. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL
THEN CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY EVENING...AND MAY PRODUCE A HEAVY
SNOW SQUALL.

A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ON SATURDAY
WITH LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID
TEMPERATURES AND WIND MAY PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-102100-
OSWEGO-
350 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY DEVELOP FRIDAY. AN ARCTIC COLD
FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY EVENING...AND MAY PRODUCE
A HEAVY SNOW SQUALL.

A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH ZERO ON SATURDAY WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF FRIGID
TEMPERATURES AND WIND MAY PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-102100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
350 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT AS BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR CROSSES LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

APFFEL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 10, 11:47 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFNiagara, Orleans88 min
Feb 10, 1:10 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOrleans95 min
Feb 10, 3:57 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis and 1 more24 hr
Feb 10, 5:51 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego114 min

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Advisories in New York, 2016Every lake effect snow advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.