Severe Thunderstorm Warning 17, NWS Brownsville, TX

327 
WWUS54 KBRO 190103
SVSBRO

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
803 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

TXC215-427-190145-
/O.CON.KBRO.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160419T0145Z/
STARR TX-HIDALGO TX-
803 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN STARR AND WEST CENTRAL HIDALGO COUNTIES...

AT 802 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM LOCATED OVER LA JOYA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES...INCLUDING CRACKED WINDSHIELDS AND 
         MINOR EXTERIOR DENTS CAN EXPECTED. SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND 
         TREES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT MINOR WIND DAMAGE TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...SOME ROOFS...SIDING AND SOME FENCES. TREE LIMBS 
         WILL BLOW DOWN AND SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DAMAGE TO 
         POWER LINES AND SOME POWER POLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PENITAS...SULLIVAN CITY...LA JOYA...LOS EBANOS...LA GRULLA...NARCISO G.
CAVAZOS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL...ALTO BONITO...DOFFING...LORENZO DE ZAVALA
MIDDLE SCHOOL AND CITRUS CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 2623 9845 2622 9848 2620 9848 2621 9849
      2621 9851 2622 9850 2622 9852 2624 9852
      2623 9853 2625 9856 2624 9855 2622 9856
      2626 9859 2625 9862 2626 9862 2625 9863
      2631 9868 2644 9854 2631 9832 2620 9844
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 322DEG 17KT 2627 9850 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

60

004 
WWUS54 KBRO 190121
SVSBRO

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
821 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

TXC427-190131-
/O.CAN.KBRO.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160419T0145Z/
STARR TX-
821 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN STARR COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2621 9849 2621 9851 2622 9850 2622 9852
      2624 9852 2623 9853 2625 9856 2624 9855
      2622 9856 2624 9857 2626 9859 2642 9850
      2631 9832 2620 9844 2622 9844 2623 9845
      2622 9848 2620 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 314DEG 8KT 2624 9847 

$$

TXC215-190145-
/O.CON.KBRO.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160419T0145Z/
HIDALGO TX-
821 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL HIDALGO COUNTY...

AT 821 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER LORENZO DE
ZAVALA MIDDLE SCHOOL...OR OVER LA JOYA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND PROPERTY. VEHICLE 
         DAMAGE WILL INCLUDE CRACKED OR SHATTERED WINDSHIELDS AND 
         MAJOR DENTS REQUIRING SIGNIFICANT REPAIRS. EXPECT MINOR 
         WIND DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...SOME ROOFS...SIDING AND SOME 
         FENCES. TREE LIMBS WILL BLOW DOWN AND SMALL TREES WILL BE 
         UPROOTED. DAMAGE TO POWER LINES AND SOME POWER POLES IS 
         EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PENITAS...SULLIVAN CITY...LA JOYA...LOS EBANOS...NARCISO G. CAVAZOS
ELEMENTARY SCHOOL...LA HOMA...LA JOYA CITY HALL...DOCTOR AMERICO PAREDES
ELEMENTARY SCHOOL...JIMMY CARTER HIGH SCHOOL AND DOFFING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD
MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2621 9849 2621 9851 2622 9850 2622 9852
      2624 9852 2623 9853 2625 9856 2624 9855
      2622 9856 2624 9857 2626 9859 2642 9850
      2631 9832 2620 9844 2622 9844 2623 9845
      2622 9848 2620 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 314DEG 8KT 2624 9847 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CASTILLO

407 
WWUS54 KBRO 190143
SVSBRO

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
843 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

TXC215-190153-
/O.EXP.KBRO.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160419T0145Z/
HIDALGO TX-
843 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL HIDALGO COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 845 PM CDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2621 9849 2621 9851 2622 9850 2622 9852
      2624 9852 2623 9853 2625 9856 2624 9855
      2622 9856 2624 9857 2626 9859 2642 9850
      2631 9832 2620 9844 2622 9844 2623 9845
      2622 9848 2620 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 314DEG 8KT 2624 9847 

$$

CASTILLO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
630 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.
&&

.AVIATION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER
CENTRAL DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...MOST NEAR
MFE...WHILE BRO AND HRL ARE SO FAR TROUBLE-FREE. THE CONVECTION
TREND HAS BEEN BUILT INTO THE CURRENT SUITE OF TAFS...WITH THE
ACTIVITY LIKELY TO AFFECT THE AERODROMES DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. TOMORROW...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL WITH DRIER
CONDITIONS DUE TO THE ATMOSPHERE BEING WORKED OVER BY SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016/

SHORT TERM  /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...OH TO HAVE A CRYSTAL
BALL TO SEE EXACTLY HOW SMALL SCALE FEATURES WILL EVOLVE FROM
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SUCH A CRYSTAL
BALL WOULD SHED LIGHT ON SO MANY MODEL DIFFICULTIES IN RESOLVING
ONGOING AND EXPECTED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS WE MOVE ALONG. WHEN
FACED WITH THE NEAR IMPOSSIBILITY OF SPECIFIC MESOSCALE
DEVELOPMENT...THE BEST ANSWER ISN'T TO PUNT BUT RATHER GO WITH THE
MOST LOGICAL SOLUTION BASED ON SIMILAR PRIOR EVENTS AND THE BIGGER
PICTURE.

BEFORE DOING THIS...A DISCUSSION OF THE GFS AND RECENTLY ARRIVED
ECMWF...AS WELL AS THE HIGH RES RAPID REFRESH. FIRST...THE ECMWF IS
HIGHLY POLLUTED WITH CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK FROM UPSTREAM EVENTS IN
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS...FORECASTING A PHANTOM 0.75" IN
SOUTHEAST WEBB COUNTY *BY 18Z TODAY* WHEN NOTHING BUT CLOUDS AND A
FEW SPRINKLES HAS BEEN THE STORY.  BY 00Z...JUST A FEW HOURS FROM
NOW...IT PLOPS NEARLY 3 INCHES OVER THE JIM HOGG/EASTERN ZAPATA
RANCHLANDS.  WHILE A SINGLE STRONG CELL COULD DO THIS...THERE'S VERY
LITTLE SKILL AND ONLY THE PASSAGE OF A FAST MOVING MESO-VORT CENTER
TO MAKE THE CASE.  BY 00Z...SAID SPEED MAX IS ON THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST AND BY 06Z LINKED UP WITH AN MCS THAT DEVELOPS IN NUEVO
LEON/TAMAULIPAS AND WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION.  THE GFS ISN'T MUCH
BETTER...WITH A CONVECTIVE BOMB BY NOW ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND WITH
THE REALITY JUST THE ONSET OF SCATTERED ACTION ALONG THE WAVY
BOUNDARY.  THEREAFTER...A SIMILAR BLOSSOMING TO LAST NIGHT IS SEEN
AT 00Z ACROSS EASTERN NUEVO LEON WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY A NICE BAND
OF 250 MB DIVERGENCE AND CONTINUED DIFFLUENCE...ALBEIT WEAK. THAT
BLOB BECOMES THE EASTERN TAMAULIPAS MCS BY 06Z WHICH MATCHES THE
ECMWF AT THAT POINT.

WITH EACH MODEL...THE VALLEY SEEMS TO MISS THE ACTION OVERNIGHT.
ONLY THE HIGH-RES RAPID REFRESH HAS SOME CLIMATOLOGICAL LOGIC AT
THIS POINT WITH AT LEAST SOME CLUSTERING...DISORGANIZED ON RECENT
RUNS...OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE RANCHLANDS DURING THE
EARLY TO MID EVENING.  THEN...EVEN THEY "LOSE" THE ACTION BEFORE
MIDNIGHT...BUT IS THIS REALISTIC?

SO...USING LITTLE MORE THAN CLIMO ANALOGS...HAVE KEPT RAIN CHANCES
MINIMAL TO NONE FOR THE LOWER AND PARTS OF THE MID VALLEY THROUGH
SUNSET AS STABILIZED ATMOSPHERE AND RESURGENCE OF SOUTHEAST SYNOPTIC
WINDS WILL TEND TO KEEP DIFFERENTIAL DIABATIC HEATING BOUNDARY
ACROSS THE SH 285/SH 16 AREA AND POINTS NORTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
INITIAL STORM MOTION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTH
TEXAS BRUSH COUNTRY AND COASTAL BEND AUGUR WELL FOR LOWER CHANCES IN
THE VALLEY AS WELL.

BY SUNSET...EXPECT AN ARC OF CONVECTION TO FIRE ALONG/EAST OF THE
SIERRA MADRE TOWARD EASTERN NUEVO LEON AND NORTHERN TAMAULIPAS. SOME
OF THIS WILL SURVIVE OR DEVELOP INTO STARR/ZAPATA/SOUTHERN JIM HOGG
AND POSSIBLY REACH INTO BROOKS AND HIDALGO.  WITH ALL MODELS AND
THIS MORNING'S PRECURSOR GIVING CONFIDENCE IN A MEXICAN MCS VS. AN
RGV ONE OVERNIGHT...THE BETTER ACTION MAY WELL SHIFT ON AN
ORTHOGONAL EAST-SOUTHEAST MOTION TOWARD MIDNIGHT. THAT SAID...CAN'T
COMPLETELY RULE OUT THE POTENTIAL FOR PART OF AN MCS TO DEVELOP OVER
THE RGV...SO HAVE RETAINED THE "CHANCE" POPS BUT ADDED SEVERE
WORDING BASED ON SPC GUIDANCE...RECENT MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...AND
LOCAL GRAPHICS. WAIT AND SEE IS THE BUZZWORD AT THIS POINT.  WOULD
NOT SURPRISE TO SEE ANOTHER WAKE LOW AND SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS TO 40-
50 MPH FROM ACTION TO OUR SOUTH AT THE VERY LEAST DURING THE 11 PM
TO 4 AM TIME FRAME.

BEYOND TONIGHT...ASSUMING ATMOSPHERE IS "WORKED OVER" FROM WHATEVER
HAPPENS OVERNIGHT EXPECT A PERIOD OF QUIET THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON TUESDAY BEFORE PERHAPS A SCATTERING OF SHOWERS AND A FEW
RUMBLES BY AFTERNOON.  ANOTHER WEAK PERTURBATION SLITHERS EAST OF
THE SIERRA MADRE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY...SHOWN BY ALL MODELS...WHICH MAY
GIVE ANOTHER THREAT FOR SOMETHING.  CURRENT RAIN CHANCES IN THE
30/40 RANGE FIT THE UNCERTAINTY BILL FOR NOW.

ONE MORE ITEM TO NOT FORGET ABOUT: FOR THE BEACH...PERPENDICULAR
SWELL COURTESY OF THE BIG EASTERN U.S. HIGH FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS
MAY REACH THE COASTLINE AND CREATE RUN-UP AND SOME OVERWASH INTO
TUESDAY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR BEACH CAMS TO SEE IF STATEMENT
NEEDED FOR LATER TODAY INTO TUESDAY.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...THE UPPER LOW FINALLY
MOVES WELL NORTH OF TEXAS WEDNESDAY AND BECOMES ABSORB WITHIN A
LARGE SYNOPTIC LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST. THE ENERGY FROM
THIS LOW SWINGS EAST DRAGGING A WEAK COLD FRONT SOUTH AND WIMPS
ITS WAY THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY
ACCORDING TO THE LATEST MODEL SUITE AND CONFIRMED BY THE WPC
FORECAST. ANOTHER UPPER LOW TAKES MOVES IN FROM THE WEST COAST AND
STEADILY MOVES THROUGH THE DESERT SOUTHWEST NEXT WEEKEND.

MODEST MOISTURE AND WEAK DISTURBANCES WITHIN A NEARLY ZONAL FLOW TO
ALLOW FOR THE OCCASIONAL DAILY CROP OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP MAINLY OVER THE SIERRA MADRE AND DRIFT EASTWARD WITH THE
GENERAL WESTERLY FLOW. CAN NOT RULE OUT ISOLATED HOME GROWN
CONVECTION EACH AFTERNOON WITH ANY SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY OR OTHER
BOUNDARIES FROM PREVIOUS CONVECTION. THE WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY
THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY MAY ACT AS DECENT LIFTING MECHANISM
BUT MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH POPS AND STRENGTH OF THE
FORCING. IN A NUTSHELL...THERE IS NO ONE PARTICULAR DAY OR ELEMENT
SEEN TO PROVIDE THE REGION A MORE DEFINITE CHANCE OF RAIN. THE 20 TO
40 PERCENT EACH DAY OR EVENING THAT HAS BEEN IN THE FORECAST REMAINS
IN TACT UNTIL THERE IS A MORE DEFINITE TREND SEEN BY THE MODELS.

GFS AND ECMWF TEMPERATURES GUIDANCE ARE IN GOOD CONSISTENCY AND
SHOW NO VARIATION BETWEEN HIGHS AND LOWS. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
ARE IN ORDER AND LITTLE CHANGE TO THE EARLIER FORECAST WAS MADE.

MARINE.../TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/ THE "BACKGROUND" OF THE
FORECAST IS FAIRLY STRAIGHTFORWARD WITH MODERATE WINDS AND
HAZARDOUS SEAS PREVALENT. SEAS WILL REMAIN ON THE HIGH END DUE TO
PRIOR SWELL STILL PROPAGATING WEST FROM THE CENTRAL GULF...WHICH
HAS JUMPED LEVELS TO 8.5 FEET AT BUOY 20 AS OF 1 PM. THE
"FOREGROUND" WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON CONVECTION. SHOULD
ANOTHER NORTHEAST MEXICO MCS DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL CRANK UP AND COULD GUST TO 30-40 KNOTS AND REALLY CRANK THE
CHOP IN TIME FOR ANY EARLY MORNING FISHING EXCURSIONS. FOR THE
GULF...WILL EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH DAYBREAK
TUESDAY AT MINIMUM.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW AND A LOW TO
MODERATE SEA TO PERSIST THROUGH THE WORK WEEK WITH BROAD RIDGING
DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS. A WEAK FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY WITH ONLY BRIEF
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS FRIDAY. A LARGER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST NEXT WEEKEND WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS AND SEAS
INCREASING.
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR GMZ150-155-170-
     175.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
403 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

TXZ248>257-192100-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
403 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY UNTIL 11 PM CDT TONIGHT. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES...AND FLASH FLOODING
ARE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND AND AT BOCA CHICA BEACH DUE TO LARGE SWELLS FROM THE EAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS LIKELY AT THE LOCAL BEACHES
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ANY OBSERVATIONS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED
TORNADOES...AND FLASH FLOODING SHOULD BE REPORTED BY RESIDENTS TO
LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BROWNSVILLE.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-192100-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
403 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS
EAST OF PADRE ISLAND FROM 0 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE DUE TO
ROUGH SWELLS FROM THE EAST.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS...ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS EAST OF
PADRE ISLAND FROM 0 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE WILL REMAIN IN
EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT TUESDAY.

ADDITIONAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ANY OBSERVATIONS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND WATERSPOUTS
SHOULD BE REPORTED BY MARINERS TO THE UNITED STATES COAST GUARD
AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BROWNSVILLE.

TOMASELLI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
438 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

TXZ249-250-182300-
JIM HOGG TX-BROOKS TX-
438 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BROOKS...NORTHERN HIDALGO AND JIM
HOGG COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 437 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES EAST OF LAS LOMITAS
TO 11 MILES NORTH OF AGUA NUEVA. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 25 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FALFURRIAS...RACHAL...ENCINO...HEBBRONVILLE...AGUA NUEVA...GRUY STADIUM...
SAN RAFAEL RANCH AIRPORT...LAS LOMITAS...SOUTH FORK ESTATES AND
RANDADO.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2734 9855 2734 9852 2727 9852 2726 9799
      2678 9799 2679 9895 2727 9895 2727 9880
      2735 9880 2736 9863 2734 9862 2734 9859
      2736 9859 2736 9855
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 264DEG 22KT 2733 9854 2707 9865

60

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
614 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

TXZ250-251-190030-
KENEDY TX-BROOKS TX-
614 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN KENEDY AND
NORTHEASTERN BROOKS COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

AT 613 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS ARE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR AIRPORT ROAD ADDITION...OR NEAR
FALFURRIAS...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SARITA...KENEDY COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE...AIRPORT ROAD ADDITION AND
FLOWELLA.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2726 9773 2727 9771 2728 9765 2727 9764
      2707 9761 2705 9811 2726 9812 2726 9799
      2721 9799 2721 9797 2723 9795 2724 9792
      2724 9789 2725 9785 2724 9784 2725 9782
      2727 9782 2728 9779 2728 9776
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 262DEG 14KT 2716 9808

60

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
620 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

TXZ248-190015-
ZAPATA TX-
620 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ZAPATA COUNTY UNTIL 715
PM CDT...

AT 619 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS ARE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LAS PALMAS...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ZAPATA...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ZAPATA...BUSTAMANTE...MEDINA...ZAPATA MIDDLE SCHOOL...LAS PALMAS...ZAPATA
COUNTY AIRPORT...ZAPATA HIGH SCHOOL...ZAPATA COUNTY PUBLIC LIBRARY...
FALCON SHORES AND ZAPATA COUNTY FIRE DEPARTMENT.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2708 9943 2713 9907 2686 9907 2688 9933
      2692 9932 2693 9938 2694 9939 2696 9939
      2698 9938 2702 9942 2701 9943 2702 9945
      2704 9944 2706 9945
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 269DEG 10KT 2699 9937

60

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
654 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

TXZ250-251-253-254-190100-
INLAND WILLACY TX-KENEDY TX-HIDALGO TX-BROOKS TX-
654 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN STARR...SOUTHWESTERN
KENEDY...SOUTHERN BROOKS...NORTHEASTERN HIDALGO AND NORTHWESTERN
WILLACY COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 653 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES EAST OF SAN
RAFAEL RANCH AIRPORT TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF EL COYOTE RANCH AIRPORT TO
6 MILES EAST OF PUERTO RICO. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ARMSTRONG...LINN...SAN MANUEL...RACHAL...RUDOLPH...YTURRIA...PUERTO RICO...
EL COYOTE RANCH AIRPORT...NORIAS AND ARMSTRONG RANCH AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2675 9773 2653 9774 2658 9840 2664 9839
      2678 9832 2678 9839 2690 9842 2696 9774
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 269DEG 22KT 2684 9833 2676 9821 2667 9824

60

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
728 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

TXZ252-190100-
STARR TX-
728 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL STARR COUNTY UNTIL
800 PM CDT...

AT 727 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS ARE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST
OF RIO GRANDE CITY MUNICIPAL AIRPORT TO NEAR LAS LOMAS TO NEAR RIO
GRANDE CITY. MOVEMENT WAS EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RIO GRANDE CITY...GARCIASVILLE...LA GRULLA...GRULLA MIDDLE SCHOOL...LA
PUERTA...SANTA CRUZ...STARR COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL...ALTO BONITO...LAS
LOMAS AND STARR COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2626 9868 2627 9872 2628 9870 2629 9871
      2630 9875 2631 9875 2631 9874 2633 9875
      2632 9878 2633 9879 2637 9880 2636 9884
      2636 9888 2641 9883 2653 9874 2626 9859
      2625 9862 2626 9862 2624 9864 2624 9867
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 289DEG 12KT 2649 9874 2640 9877 2633 9883

60

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
743 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

TXZ251-253-254-190130-
INLAND WILLACY TX-KENEDY TX-HIDALGO TX-
743 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN KENEDY...
NORTHEASTERN HIDALGO...WESTERN WILLACY AND NORTHWESTERN CAMERON
COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CDT...

AT 743 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
HARGILL ELEMENTARY...OR NEAR HARGILL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RAYMONDVILLE...LYFORD...LASARA...SAN MANUEL...FAYSVILLE...LINN...HARGILL...
SEBASTIAN...SAN PERLITA AND RAYMONDVILLE FIRE STATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2654 9753 2634 9779 2635 9786 2630 9786
      2647 9830 2673 9799
TIME...MOT...LOC 0043Z 300DEG 23KT 2651 9800

CASTILLO