Alert archive / North Dakota / Special Weather Statements in 2016
Special Weather Statement, NWS Bismarck, ND
NWS Bismarck, ND issued this special weather statement at Jul 3, 2016, 4:05 PM MDT for Grant County, North Dakota. It was in force for 25 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 3, 2016, 4:05 PM MDT (22:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 3, 2016, 4:30 PM MDT
- In force
- 25 min
- Issued by
- NWS Bismarck, ND
County Grant County, ND
The radar
The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 894 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 41 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 32 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 3, 3:37 PM MDT, 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 3:37 PM MDT, 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Bismarck ND 437 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 .UPDATE... Issued at 432 PM CDT Sun Jul 3 2016 Thunderstorms have been forming into a line along the frontal boundary in west central North Dakota. This update will focus on adding likely thunderstorm pops along the line for the remainder of the afternoon and early evening from the western end of Lake Sakakawea south through the west river region west of the Missouri River. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday) Issued at 247 PM CDT Sun Jul 3 2016 Main forecast highlight in the short term period will continue to be possible severe convection this afternoon and evening. Currently...surface boundary not entering far western ND indicated by the wind fields and sfc Td readings. Axis of instability over western ND shifting eastward with time along to ahead of the frontal boundary, with mixed layer CAPE around 500 and MUCAPE 2-3K J/KG right now. Effective shear around 35kts. Storms initialization underway with one cell developing past hour just west of McKenzie county, and CU fields expanding and getting agitated over my southwest. Expect further development over the next few hours. Best PVA over far south central CANADA, however effects of the wave should still help trigger convection over my west and central today into this evening. With the wave currently aloft, we think thunderstorms will be more diurnal in nature this afternoon through mid evening, then waning quite rapidly with the onset of darkness though a few lingering robust updrafts very possible over my east after 03z. More convection may impact southwestern ND late tonight, though non-severe. For the 4th of July, strong dry air advection west to east will result in a mostly sunny day for most if not all locations. There remains a slight chance of convection over my southeast, though models continue to push precipitation chances east of my area more into either eastern SD or the Red River Valley of ND. Westerly mixing winds coupled with moderate waa will result in temperatures from the low 80s to low 90s. Warmer along the thermal ridge into south central ND where we could see 95F or higher. Stayed more conservative with my peak highs south central in the low 90s for now. .LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday) Issued at 247 PM CDT Sun Jul 3 2016 West/southwesterly flow aloft will be in place for the majority of the long term bringing daily chances for thunderstorms though with slightly below seasonal temperatures. Upper low over the southwestern Canada remains quasi-stationary through Tuesday night, then ejects east towards and into the Northern Plains Wed-Thurs. Decent chances for rain ahead of this feature as embedded impulses eject east, though hard to time. Better chances towards Thursday when the low directly impacts our area. At this time storm severity remains very questionable with models keeping the more favorable instability to our south. This may change late next weekend when stronger southwest flow aloft is bring depicted by medium range models. Temperatures are forecast to trend towards below average after Monday with increasing precipitation chances and as the upper level jet stream dips south with the arrival of the upper level low. Warmer next weekend. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon) Issued at 247 PM CDT Sun Jul 3 2016 Low VFR and pockets of MVFR stratus from KMOT to around KJMS will continue to lift and erode this afternoon. Meanwhile, a weak front moving across western ND will cause isolated to scattered storms to develop and move eastward with local MVFR or IFR conditions. We still believe KDIK, KBIS, and KMOT could be impacted by storms in the late afternoon and evening. Any showers and storms will diminish by late evening. VFR conditions will prevail area-wide overnight and Monday. && .BIS Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NONE. && UPDATE...WAA SHORT TERM...NH LONG TERM...NH AVIATION...CJS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 1:31 PM MDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 231 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 NDZ001>004-009>012-017>022-031>036-040>047-050-041945- DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCHENRY- MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-GOLDEN VALLEY- BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT- BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-MCINTOSH- 231 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 /131 PM MDT SUN JUL 3 2016/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY INTO TONIGHT. ISOLATED STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED...ESPECIALLY AFTER 3 PM CDT OR 2 PM MDT AND ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. NDZ005-013-023-025-037-048-051-041945- ROLETTE-PIERCE-WELLS-FOSTER-STUTSMAN-LA MOURE-DICKEY- 231 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. THERE IS A MARGINAL CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON INDEPENDENCE DAY AND TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY IN THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. HEINERT
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 2:30 PM MDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 330 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 NDZ017-032130- MCKENZIE ND- 330 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN MCKENZIE COUNTY UNTIL 430 PM CDT/330 PM MDT/... AT 329 PM CDT/229 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF ARNEGARD TO 4 MILES EAST OF ALEXANDER TO 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EAST FAIRVIEW. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 25 MPH. HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... WATFORD CITY...ALEXANDER...ARNEGARD...KEENE AND RAWSON. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && LAT...LON 4803 10270 4771 10326 4774 10387 4798 10330 TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 259DEG 23KT 4794 10336 4786 10356 4777 10380 ABELING
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 3:27 PM MDT, 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
327 PM MDT SUN JUL 3 2016
NDZ041-032200-
HETTINGER ND-
327 PM MDT SUN JUL 3 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN HETTINGER COUNTY
UNTIL 400 PM MDT...
AT 326 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTH OF MOTT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOTT AND BURT.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
&&
LAT...LON 4621 10227 4621 10242 4625 10250 4648 10238
4635 10205 4620 10222
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 216DEG 19KT 4626 10233
HEINERTSpecial weather statement, Jul 3, 3:29 PM MDT, 36 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 429 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 NDZ010-017-018-021-032215- MOUNTRAIL ND-MCKENZIE ND-MCLEAN ND-DUNN ND- 429 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN MCLEAN... SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTRAIL...NORTHWESTERN DUNN AND SOUTHEASTERN MCKENZIE COUNTIES... AT 429 PM CDT/329 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE NORTH UNIT OF THEODORE ROOSEVELT NATIONAL PARK TO JUST SOUTHWEST OF NEW TOWN. THE STORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... NEW TOWN...PARSHALL...MANDAREE...VAN HOOK PARK...4 BEARS LODGE... THEODORE ROOSEVELT NATIONAL PARK NORTH UNIT...BELDEN... PARSHALL BAY RECREATION AREA...SKUNK CREEK BAY RECREATION AREA... POUCH POINT RECREATION AREA AND JOHNSONS CORNER. IF YOU ARE ON OR NEAR LAKE SAKAKAWEA...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM. && LAT...LON 4818 10235 4784 10201 4740 10319 4763 10339 TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 232DEG 19KT 4778 10280 CJS
Local storm report, Jul 3, 3:42 PM MDT, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
442 PM CDT SUN JUL 03 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM HAIL 6 S MOTT 46.29N 102.33W
07/03/2016 E0.50 INCH HETTINGER ND TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL LASTED WAS ENDING AT THE TIME OF CALL. NO WIND.
&&
KROLAKSpecial weather statement, Jul 3, 4:03 PM MDT, 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
503 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016
NDZ010-021-032245-
MOUNTRAIL ND-MCLEAN ND-
503 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN MCLEAN AND
SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTRAIL COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...
AT 503 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11
MILES NORTHWEST OF INDIAN HILLS RECREATION AREA...OR 37 MILES WEST OF
GARRISON...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PARSHALL...PLAZA...PARSHALL BAY RECREATION AREA...DEEP WATER CREEK
RECREATION AREA AND RAUB.
LAT...LON 4803 10194 4765 10206 4768 10226 4773 10226
4774 10228 4775 10229 4776 10226 4778 10226
4780 10234 4807 10234
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 187DEG 16KT 4776 10220
CJSSpecial weather statement, Jul 3, 4:05 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 405 PM MDT SUN JUL 3 2016 NDZ041-042-032230- HETTINGER ND-GRANT ND- 405 PM MDT SUN JUL 3 2016 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN HETTINGER AND WEST CENTRAL GRANT COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM MDT... AT 405 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES WEST OF NEW LEIPZIG...OR 10 MILES EAST OF MOTT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MOTT...ELGIN...NEW LEIPZIG...BURT AND BENTLEY. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && LAT...LON 4621 10218 4636 10231 4665 10204 4630 10165 TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 242DEG 17KT 4633 10213 HEINERT
The office that day
Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 6:05 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Billings, Golden Valley, Slope | 55 min |
| Jul 2, 6:41 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Billings, Golden Valley | 49 min |
| Jul 3, 2:30 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | McKenzie | 60 min |
| Jul 3, 3:27 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Hettinger | 33 min |
| Jul 3, 3:29 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Dunn | 46 min |
| Jul 3, 3:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Dunn, McLean, Mercer | 64 min |
| Jul 3, 4:03 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Mountrail | 42 min |
| Jul 3, 4:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Dunn, Mercer | 66 min |
| Jul 3, 4:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McLean, Mountrail | 64 min |
| Jul 3, 4:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Dunn, McLean, Mercer, Oliver | 60 min |
| Jul 3, 4:50 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Grant | 25 min |
| Jul 3, 5:18 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Grant | 27 min |
| Jul 3, 5:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burleigh, McLean, Mercer, Morton, Oliver | 61 min |
| Jul 3, 5:47 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Grant | 28 min |
| Jul 3, 5:55 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Renville | 50 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in North Dakota, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.