Small Craft Advisory 58, NWS Gaylord, MI

071 
WHUS73 KAPX 111448
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1048 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-112300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.160611T1800Z-160612T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1048 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 11 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-322-112300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.160611T1800Z-160612T2100Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1048 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 5 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

070 
WHUS73 KAPX 111938
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
338 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-120345-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.000000T0000Z-160612T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
338 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-322-120345-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.000000T0000Z-160612T2100Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
338 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

146 
WHUS73 KAPX 120307
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1107 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-121115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.000000T0000Z-160612T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1107 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-322-121115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.000000T0000Z-160612T2100Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1107 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

129 
WHUS73 KAPX 120720
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
320 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

LMZ323-344>346-120900-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.000000T0000Z-160612T0900Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
320 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ341-342-121500-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.000000T0000Z-160612T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
320 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-322-121530-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.000000T0000Z-160612T2100Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
320 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

778 
WHUS73 KAPX 121402
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1002 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ341-342-121515-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.000000T0000Z-160612T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1002 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-322-122100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.000000T0000Z-160612T2100Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1002 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

431 
WHUS73 KAPX 121550
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1150 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-322-122100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.000000T0000Z-160612T2100Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1150 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

847 
WHUS73 KAPX 121953
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
353 PM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-322-122100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0058.000000T0000Z-160612T2100Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
353 PM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
301 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Sat Jun 11 2016

IMPACTS: Additional showers/storms?

Synoptic pattern and observations:

Weak sfc low pressure was to our north with a warm front pushed
through all of nrn lower and into far western Chip/Mack. The WAA,
shortwave and LLJ associated with the front has all pretty much
exited east. As a result, rain has ended across most areas with just
some straggling isolated showers across the SE CWA, buried within
the warm sector. The main cold front is still out to our west and
north with no forcing acting on it. Hence, no showers/storms
upstream. We were still dealing with convective cloud blowoff,
which, when combined with a more humid air mass, has helped keep
temperatures mild in the middle and upper 60s in nrn lower. Cooler
along the warm front in eastern upper, in the middle and upper 50s.
The high level cloud was thinning out however, and with the rain
from last evening, we could see some stratus and fog develop, more
so in the vicinity of the warm front. This has been what we have
seen, as stratus and fog has started to develop in eastern upper.

Synoptic pattern and evolution:

Stratus and fog will eventually erode through the day, taking
longest in eastern upper where it will be thickest. Otherwise, skies
should start out rather sunny, and are expected to stay that way, as
the atmosphere will generally be drying through the day. That is a
key point considering the upstream cold front will get shoved
through the region, forced by a strong shortwave powering SE across
NE Ontario. Forcing looks to be quite minimal on our portion of the
front, and with only some minimal BL moisture pooling along the
front, it doesn't look like there is enough to force the development
of showers and storms. Dissecting the fcst soundings, it'll take til
peak afternoon heating to even suggest there could be any showers.
At this time, the front will be south of M-72, more along M-55.
There is little to no help aloft in the forcing department, so the
parcel looks like it will definitely have to be sfc-based on the
front. We do erode all capping for a brief time at peak heating, so
am not sure if absolutely nothing is going to happen. Could see an
isolated shower/storm still in the realm of possibility, but the
chance appears so small that it will not be included in the
forecast. Drier and drier air fill int through tonight with skies
going pretty much clear.

High reaching the upper 70s in eastern upper in the least mild air
and where the front arrives first, to the upper 80s in NE lower
where temps start out warm and in the warm sector with downsloping
winds. Lows tonight in cooling air, middle 40s to lower 50s. Also,
expect quite gusty winds today, especially behind the front as the
gradient tightens. Gusts reaching 30mph or so out of the NW.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Sat Jun 11 2016

High Impact Weather Potential: Thunderstorm potential Sunday night
into Monday.  Isolated severe possible.

Upper ridge builds through the Plains on Sunday with Great Lakes
under the influence of northwest flow as stronger upper trough
slides through the Canadian Maritimes.  Plenty of sunshine and gusty
winds but slightly cooler temperatures as weakish 850mb thermal
trough swings through the Great Lakes.  Very marginal critical fire
weather parameters and given we are at full green-up with recent
rain, will not include elevated fire danger in the HWO or graphics.
Upstream shortwave tops the ridge and slides east/southeast toward
the Great Lakes later Sunday night into Monday, following thickness
contours/H7 mean layer flow.  It looks like most of the
shower/thunderstorm chances will come during the first half of
Monday, as whatever is left of decaying MCS works across the area.
Severe threat not looking that impressive right now, as upstream
forcing/shear for large scale ascent is not overly impressive. But
something to watch in the coming days. Things should begin to dry
out by Monday afternoon as convective complex outruns it's best
support and dissipates.  Monday could be a fairly chilly, with lots
of clouds and pcpn early.  High temperatures may stay in the 60s for
some areas.

Tuesday and beyond...Forecast confidence diminishes as model
divergence increases with slow moving upper low undercutting the
ridge across the center of the country.  Models generally keep most
/all?/ of the the precipitation south/west of the Northern Michigan
throughout the week, thanks largely to expansive high pressure
extending from Hudson Bay southward into the Eastern Lakes.
Precipitation may make a run at Northern Michigan in the
Wednesday/Thursday timeframe as the surface ridge begins to weaken
its grip on us and slide east.  But even those rain chances will be
fairly low and focused over southwest parts of the area.  Gut
feeling says most, if not all, of this time period will be dry.
Temperatures should be very comfortable much of the week with highs
in the 70s and lows in the 50s...moderating to highs in the the
lower 80s by the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 142 AM EDT Sat Jun 11 2016

Just some isolated showers exiting the TVC/APN airports early this
morning with thinning high level clouds. This will help cool the
wet ground/BL for the remainder of the night with the possibility
of stratus development. This is a higher probability for PLN and
APN, closer to a warm front that was just north of there. Any
stratus will burn off after sunrise with minimal cumulus in a
drying atmosphere. We do still have a cold front to roll through
during the afternoon which could refire some isolated showers and
storms, but the chance is so low that there will be no mention in
the TAFS. Best shot in theory would be APN. Skies rather clear
entering Saturday night.

Winds are blowing hard above the sfc, resulting in LLWS. As winds
shift more NW with the cold front Saturday afternoon, gusts will
reach 22-26kts.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 300 AM EDT Sat Jun 11 2016

...Rougher seas on the way...

Winds are quite strong above the water surface attm, but tremendous
stability is preventing any widespread advisory gusts. A cold front
drops in this afternoon, and will mix these winds down to the sfc
while the air mass cools and lessens the stability. Widespread
advisory level gusts will develop through the day and continue into
Sunday. Advisories have been issued. Higher pressure and weaker
winds for later Sunday into Sunday night with winds remaining
fairly light through all of next work week.

The next chance of showers and storms comes Monday.

&&

.APX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 5 PM EDT Sunday
     for LHZ347-348.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT
     Sunday for LHZ345-346-349.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT
     Sunday for LMZ323-341-342-344>346.

LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 5 PM EDT Sunday
     for LSZ321-322.

&&

SHORT TERM...Dickson
LONG TERM...Keysor
AVIATION...Dickson
MARINE...Dickson

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1154 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2016

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-
042-111200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
1154 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. SEVERE WEATHER IS NO LONGER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL BE IN PLACE IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
SUNDAY...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
SPOTTERS SHOULD ALWAYS PASS ON PERTINENT WEATHER REPORTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

JZ/SMD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1038 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2016

MIZ022-023-028-029-033>035-110345-
OGEMAW-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-MISSAUKEE-
1038 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CRAWFORD...OSCODA...
ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW...MONTMORENCY...SOUTHEASTERN OTSEGO AND SOUTHERN
MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...

AT 1038 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR BRILEY TOWNSHIP TO NEAR HIGGINS LAKE
TO 10 MILES WEST OF BALDWIN. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALPENA...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...GRAYLING...OSSINEKE...
ROSCOMMON...PRUDENVILLE...MIO...ATLANTA...ST. HELEN...LEWISTON...
LACHINE...COMINS...MCKINLEY...GRASS LAKE...LONG RAPIDS...HILLMAN...
MCBAIN...ROSE CITY AND LOVELLS.

LAT...LON 4502 8319 4484 8330 4488 8332 4491 8341
      4491 8389 4416 8389 4417 8534 4422 8533
      4441 8490 4520 8429 4519 8338 4525 8342
      4526 8338 4526 8326 4523 8323
TIME...MOT...LOC 0238Z 277DEG 39KT 4503 8428 4440 8481 4386 8606

MSB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1118 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0933 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SE TRAVERSE CITY      44.74N 85.58W
06/10/2016  M49 MPH          GRAND TRAVERSE     MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION CHERRY CAPITAL AIRPORT /TVC/.

&&

BERGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1119 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 WSW IRONTON           45.26N 85.22W
06/10/2016  M45 MPH          CHARLEVOIX         MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION IRONTON /D7501/.

&&

BERGER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1128 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2016

MIZ029-030-034>036-041-042-110430-
OGEMAW-ALCONA-OSCODA-IOSCO-ARENAC-ROSCOMMON-GLADWIN-
1128 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ALCONA...SOUTHEASTERN
OSCODA...IOSCO...SOUTHEASTERN ROSCOMMON...GLADWIN...OGEMAW AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...

AT 1128 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM OSSINEKE TO NEAR SELKIRK TO NEAR FARWELL.
MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALGER...OSCODA...GLADWIN...EAST TAWAS...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...
STANDISH...AU GRES...STERLING...HARRISVILLE...AU SABLE...GLENNIE...
SOUTH BRANCH...MAPLE RIDGE...BEAVERTON...MIKADO...ROSE CITY...
WHITTEMORE...LINCOLN AND OMER.

LAT...LON 4479 8320 4432 8324 4420 8338 4417 8357
      4406 8359 4403 8343 4404 8349 4405 8365
      4399 8368 4400 8383 4391 8391 4391 8404
      4400 8405 4400 8417 4383 8417 4381 8460
      4415 8461 4431 8429 4479 8375
TIME...MOT...LOC 0328Z 281DEG 36KT 4491 8342 4426 8405 4389 8494

MSB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1131 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSW LAKE ANN          44.70N 85.86W
06/10/2016                   BENZIE             MI   PUBLIC

            MEDIUM SIZE TREE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

BERGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1158 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BUCKLEY                 44.50N 85.67W
06/10/2016                   WEXFORD            MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN AROUND COUNTY. NAMELY BUCKLEY AND
            CADILLAC, REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER.

&&

BERGER