Storm Warning 57, NWS Juneau, AK

266 
FZAK51 PAJK 100627 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-101515-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF WILL APPROACH
THE PANHANDLE WED NIGHT. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE WAVE WILL MOVE
ALONG THE FRONT THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF LATE WED NIGHT AND THU
MORNING. THE FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INLAND ACROSS SE AK THU. 

$$

PKZ011-101515-
GLACIER BAY-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN LATE.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-101515-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-101515-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-101515-
ICY STRAIT-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 
7 FT. RAIN LATE.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-101515-
CROSS SOUND-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE EVENING.
GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-101515-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-101515-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-101515-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO
18 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 20 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-101515-
FREDERICK SOUND-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 
5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT BY LATE EVENING. RAIN LATE.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-101515-
SUMNER STRAIT-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT 
BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN
LATE.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-101515-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
927 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...STORM WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE.
.THU...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT...
EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

252 
FZAK51 PAJK 101220
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-110100-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE ONSHORE
INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. A GALE FORCE LOW
WILL MOVE NORTH FROM THE CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. 

$$

PKZ011-110100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-110100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-110100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-110100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-110100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 55 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-110100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-110100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-110100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 20 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN EARLY IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT
16 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 16 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-110100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-110100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-110100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
350 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2016

.SHORT TERM...A storm force occluded front over the S-central
gulf will drift ne into the E gulf then stall tonight. A low
pressure wave will develop and move along the front late tonight
and Thu morning. Once the wave passes, the front will move onshore
SE AK late Thu morning and afternoon. Used blend of the 12z NAM
and GFS to handle things through Thu, with models fairly close on
main features. Main difference between them was timing and
strength of the low pressure wave.

Main forecast concern will be winds. The strongest low level flow
will reach the SE gulf and southern outer coast late tonight as
low pressure wave moves by them. The strongest wind band will move
NW with the wave into the N gulf Thu. Winds of around 55 KT are
expected in the strongest part of the band. Storm force winds will
reach Clarence Strait late tonight and continue Thu morning. Gales
are expected for most of the central and remaining southern
channels. Only the far N channels should stay out of the really
strong winds...with only 15-25 KT winds expected there. Have made
some modifications to timing of high wind warnings based on when
low level jet interacts with those areas. Have much of the
remaining central and southern area with strong wind headlines
late tonight into at least Thu morning.

Otherwise, some shower activity will occur over the area this
evening with steadier rain coming in with the front late tonight.
after the front passes, precip will transition back to showers.
Some of the rain could be heavy at times late tonight and Thu
morning. Despite the rainfall, not expecting any hydrologic
issues as water levels are on the low side. Only potential for
snow will be along the upper Klondike highway near White Pass.
Could see several inches of snow there late tonight and Thu. TSTMS
will initially move into the SW part of the offshore waters
tonight after front passes and vort max moves in. TSTM activity
will begin to move further E and affect most of the E gulf and
coastal/S sections of the inner channels by late Thu afternoon.

.LONG TERM...The next in a series of front to affect southeast
Alaska will arrive early in the extended range forecast
period...on Friday. As with the ones before it, there will be
heavy precipitation associated with it - mainly over the northern
half of the panhandle. The second will arrive along the outer
coast Saturday night and soon thereafter, the third will reach the
southern outer coast Sunday morning. Finally, a weaker fourth
front will arrive Monday night.

Each of these front will produce small craft or higher winds over
the eastern gulf. With such rapidity of frontal passages, there
will be no time for seas over the eastern gulf to subside, thus,
expect combined seas from 10 to 20 feet over all of the eastern
gulf for the entirety of the upcoming week. prevailing winds will
be 90 degrees off the primary swell direction for much of that
time, increasing wave steepness.

Snow levels remain high, so the only chance for snow will be
along the highways through the weekend. That situation may change
into the next week as temperatures gradually cool and the series
of fronts discussed above impact the panhandle.

This is payback for a mild, dry, and pleasant October.

Extended forecast remains in good shape, thus no consequential
changes prior to Sunday. used latest WPC thereafter, which
introduced a triple point low over the eastern gulf on Sunday.
Overall forecast confidence is average.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND from midnight AKST tonight through Thursday morning
     for AKZ022-026.
     High Wind Warning from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM AKST Thursday
     for AKZ027.
     STRONG WIND until 9 PM AKST this evening for AKZ027.
     STRONG WIND Thursday morning for AKZ023-027.
     STRONG WIND from Thursday morning through Thursday afternoon for
     AKZ025.
     High Wind Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM AKST Thursday
     for AKZ023.
     STRONG WIND until midnight AKST tonight for AKZ023.
     STRONG WIND from 3 AM AKST Thursday through Thursday morning for
     AKZ021.
     High Wind Warning from 3 AM to noon AKST Thursday for AKZ028.
     STRONG WIND from 9 PM this evening to 3 AM AKST Thursday for
     AKZ028.
     STRONG WIND Thursday afternoon for AKZ028.
MARINE...Storm Warning for PKZ036-041>043-051-052.
     Gale Warning for PKZ011-021-022-031>035-053.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013.
&&

RWT/Fritsch

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau