Gale Warning 295, NWS Juneau, AK

149 
FZAK52 PAJK 080248 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
543 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-082045-
543 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT WILL DISSIPATE ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN GULF COAST
MONDAY NIGHT. A 950 MB LOW WILL THEN ADVANCE TOWARD THE SOUTHERN
GULF DURING WEDNESDAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED STORM FORCE FRONT
MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. 

$$

PKZ041-082045-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
543 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS
23 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT.
SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING
TO 15 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-082045-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
543 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT.
SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING
TO 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-082045-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
543 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
18 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS
28 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING
TO 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-082045-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
543 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS
17 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT...
EXCEPT 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING
TO 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-082045-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
543 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS
15 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...E GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT.
SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 



$$

768 
FZAK52 PAJK 081555
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
345 AM AKST Tue Nov 8 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-090645-
345 AM AKST Tue Nov 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A DEVELOPING 950 MB LOW WILL ADVANCE TOWARD THE SOUTHERN GULF
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED STORM FORCE FRONT MOVING
ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. 

$$

PKZ041-090645-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
345 AM AKST Tue Nov 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT.
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO STORM FORCE WIND TO
50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS
23 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-090645-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
345 AM AKST Tue Nov 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT.
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS
24 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-090645-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
345 AM AKST Tue Nov 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT.
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-090645-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
345 AM AKST Tue Nov 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT
SUBSIDING TO 19 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-090645-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
345 AM AKST Tue Nov 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT
SUBSIDING TO 18 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

074 
FZAK52 PAJK 081603
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-090100-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A DEVELOPING 950 MB LOW WILL ADVANCE TOWARD THE SOUTHERN GULF
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED STORM FORCE FRONT MOVING
ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. 

$$

PKZ041-090100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT.
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO STORM FORCE WIND TO
50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS
23 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-090100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT.
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS
24 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-090100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT.
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-090100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT
SUBSIDING TO 19 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-090100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT
SUBSIDING TO 18 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
215 PM AKST Mon Nov 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...A large cyclonic gyre was centered at 49.7N/146.3W
during midday Monday, with an embedded upper disturbance rotating
around its SWRN periphery. The disturbance and an associated
surface wave are forecast to eject NE toward the ERN gulf by
Tuesday afternoon. As this occurs, gale force SELYS will develop
over the outer marine zones, as well as the southern inner
channels. In addition, forcing for ascent associated with the
previously mentioned disturbance combined with a potentially
unstable atmosphere will support isolated thunderstorm development
over the gulf and immediate coast throughout the short term
period. Meanwhile, temperatures will hover near freezing along the
Haines and Klondike Highways. As a result, waves of precipitation
spreading north across the region will yield periods of
snow...though 12 hour accumulations are forecast to remain just
below advisory level at this time.

.LONG TERM...A low will drift N and dissipate over the NW gulf by
late Tue night. Next in parade of systems will move into the gulf
Wed. Strong low will head N toward the SW gulf, while strong
occluded front will move into the SE gulf by Wed evening. The
front will push slowly across the area Wed night and Thu. The low
should move N across the W gulf Thu-Fri while weakening. Another
system will move into the gulf for the weekend, with models still
trying to figure out track of main low center. Models hint that
another system or two will affect the area for early next week,
but they differ somewhat on this. Ended up using a blend of the
12z NAM with previous for 18z Wed-00z Fri, then used mainly latest
WPC for 12z Fri onward.

The showers over the area will persist Tue night with weakening
low over the W gulf. Still threat for TSTMS with the low and
associated vort maxima aloft along mainly the N gulf. Warming
aloft should diminish the TSTM threat from the S during the
night.

More rain and wind will move in with strong occluded front Wed and
Wed night. Looking like storm force winds ahead of the front over
the E gulf mainly Wed night. Will likely need wind headlines for a
good part of the panhandle Wed night into Thu with high winds not
out of the question. Transition back to showers should occur Thu.
Will likely have some TSTM activity around the main low and along
any trofs/vort maxima in post-frontal environment over the gulf
for at least Thu. The wet and windy weather will persist even
behind the front with a strong pressure gradient and onshore flow
persisting over entire area into Fri, and there will likely be one
or more trofs moving across the area that enhance this.

Weekend still looks wet but temps may begin to cool a bit
especially Sun into early next week. Still does not look cold
enough for snow near sea level though.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND Tuesday afternoon for AKZ025-027.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ033-036-041>043-051-052.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ013-021-022-031-032-034-035.
     Small Craft Advisory due to Seas for PKZ053.
&&

Garner/RWT

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