Gale Warning 277, NWS Juneau, AK

119 
FZAK52 PAJK 021935 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1135 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-031345-
1135 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE SE GULF BY WED
NIGHT...THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO THE NE GULF THU. 

$$

PKZ041-031345-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1135 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT
BUILDING TO 24 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING
TO 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-031345-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1135 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT
BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO 40 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING
TO 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-031345-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1135 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. W SWELL.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN
LATE. 
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SEAS 19 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-031345-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1135 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. SW
SWELL.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SE
SWELL.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-031345-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1135 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW LATE. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

738 
FZAK52 PAJK 022330
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-031400-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW WILL APPROACH THE DIXON ENTRANCE FROM THE
SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND TRACK NORTH OVER THE EASTERN GULF
WHILE WEAKENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  

$$

PKZ041-031400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016 

...STORM WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE AND INCREASING TO 55 KT LATE.
GUSTS TO 75 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT LATE.
RAIN...THEN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55
KT. SEAS 22 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E GALE TO 35 KT LATE.
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-031400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016 

...STORM WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT
LATE. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT.
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-031400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING
TO 14 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
60 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS
16 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-031400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016 

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL IN THE
EVENING. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT E ALONG THE COAST...BECOMING S
20 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-031400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS
12 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. 

$$

039 
FZAK52 PAJK 031155
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-040100-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW OVER THE SE GULF WILL TRACK N OVER THE EASTERN
GULF WHILE WEAKENING THROUGH THU EVENING. ANOTHER STRONG LOW
WILL MOVE N INTO THE SE GULF FRI.  

$$

PKZ041-040100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
24 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 20 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-040100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN
LATE. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 19 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-040100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT. 
.MON...E GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-040100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO
14 FT. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-040100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO
12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

247 
FZAK52 PAJK 040010
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-041400-
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEAKENING GALE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR
YAKUTAT BAY THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER STORM FORCE LOW WILL ENTER
THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF ON FRIDAY AND MOVE INLAND NORTH OF CAPE
EDGECUMBE ON SATURDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-041400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING NE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 65 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN
THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO
35 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 20 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-041400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING...THEN RAIN LATE.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE AND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT INCREASING TO 70 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO
45 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 19 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-041400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE.
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS
21 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
.SAT...NW GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING W 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-041400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING LIGHT LATE. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO
14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-041400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL.
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
S SWELL.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO
12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

325 
FZAK52 PAJK 041137
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-050100-
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW WILL ENTER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF ON FRIDAY AND
MOVE INLAND NORTH OF CAPE EDGECUMBE ON SATURDAY. A SECOND LOW
WILL MOVE NORTH TO EASTERN DIXON ENTRANCE SATURDAY NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ041-050100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016 

...STORM WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
BECOMING S 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. SEAS 25 FT.
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-050100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016 

...STORM WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
70 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN EARLY IN
THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 55 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 70 KT.
SEAS 25 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SW GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 19 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-050100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016 

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING NE LATE. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS
24 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
.SAT...NW GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-050100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL BECOMING S IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-050100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
333 PM AKDT Tue Nov 1 2016

.SHORT TERM...Satellite imagery this afternoon showing a
weakening weather front extending across the eastern gulf and
tracking northward over the panhandle. This front produced rain
showers over the southern half of the panhandle through the
morning with showers developing for the northern panhandle through
the early evening, however these showers will be lighter and more
intermittent as front shears apart. Next low pressure system
moves up from the NE Pacific into the SE gulf Wednesday afternoon
with rain developing over the far southern panhandle. Temperatures
have risen to the upper 40s to low 50s and expect surface airmass
to sty warm enough to keep most precip as rain. Some clearing
breaks in between the exiting front and the advancing low for
tomorrow. Fog was a question due to the clearing breaks but timing
of these either occurred late in the afternoon or when winds
increased. Cold air at 500 mb with steep lapse rates and
convective environment evident on visible satellite imagery. Ample
CAPE for convection but as strongest forcing for ascent will be in
the mid level westerlies south of the region continued to hold off
on mention of thunder storms. Following this thinking as of the
afternoon any reported lightning strikes have been south of our
AOR.

Gales force winds under low level jet along the front today are
starting to subside with diminishing gulf winds through the
evening. Winds over the southeast gulf will pick up to small
craft levels again as the next low advances.

Main change was to the POP field using a blend of SREF and NAMDNG
to show the break between the exiting front and advancing low.
Otherwise forecast continues on track with average confidence.

.LONG TERM...Model agreement was better today, but still far from
a high confidence scenario. Night shift picked up on an eastward
adjustment to the track of the Wednesday night low and have
continued adjusting the track to the east. With the close
proximity of the low to the panhandle, the biggest manifestation
of these changes will be in the strength of the winds. Current
forecast tracks a gale force low inland near Cape Decision and
then northeast into British Columbia by Thursday evening. Expect
rapid wind shifts over the southern inner channels and coastal
marine zones as the low moves over the area. There will be a
brief break in the action as another gale force low enters the
eastern gulf from the south on friday evening. This second one is
currently forecast to remain over the eastern gulf, spreading gale
force winds up to near Yakutat Bay over the coastal marine zones.
The morning ECMWF and GFS were a reasonably good match for this
low with the GFS being slightly stronger. Afternoon model run
showing the same trend with the Canadian NH now looking more like
GFS. Forecast confidence on this low still below average. 24 hours
later, a third low will approach from the south, taking a track
very similar to the first of these three systems. Current
forecast reflects a preference for the ECMWF with this third low.

In terms of PoP, details still far from certain and confidence is
low, but there is a clear trend back to more typical weather for
this time of the year - and that would be rain, with a chance for
snow at higher elevations. Counting the short term period, there
are 4 fronts forecast to affect southeast Alaska over the coming
week.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ043-051-052.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-033-035-036-041.
     Small Craft Advisory due to Seas for PKZ042-053.
&&

PRB/Fritsch

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