Gale Warning 186, NWS Juneau, AK

324 
FZAK52 PAJK 272345
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-281400-
400 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLE WED EVENING. A
GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF WED NIGHT THEN
MOVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLE THROUGH THU NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-281400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN LATE.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-281400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-281400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016 

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 35 KT.
SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-281400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016 

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LATE.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 35 KT.
SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-281400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016 

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 40 KT.
SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

263 
FZAK52 PAJK 281135
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-290100-
400 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL DISSIPATE THURSDAY
EVENING AS IT MOVES ONSHORE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD NORTH OVER THE PANHANDLE...AND
PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THEREAFTER...A STORM FORCE FRONT
IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE GULF DURING THE WEEKEND. 

$$

PKZ041-290100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-290100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-290100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 35 KT. 
SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-290100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING THEN
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 35 KT.
SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-290100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 35 KT. 
SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

612 
FZAK52 PAJK 282323
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-291400-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL MOVE INTO CANADA THU EVENING. A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD NORTH AND PERSIST OVER
THE PANHANDLE THROUGH FRI NIGHT. THEREAFTER...A STORM FORCE
FRONT IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE GULF DURING THE WEEKEND. 

$$

PKZ041-291400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-291400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-291400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-291400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-291400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E GALE TO 35 KT LATE.
GUSTS TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
354 PM AKDT TUE APR 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...BREEZY AND WET DAY ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TODAY AS A
VIGOROUS FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. S TO SE WINDS OF AROUND 10
TO 20 MPH ARE STILL BLOWING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND
EASTERN GULF AT THE MOMENT WITH GUST REACHING 30 MPH IN SOME
PLACES. THE RAIN HAS MAINLY BEEN CONFINED TO THE OUTER COAST AND
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE. THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS
HAVE BEEN SPARED THE HEAVIER RAIN SO FAR AS LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW
HAS LEAD TO DOWNSLOPING CONDITIONS THAT HAVE LIGHTENED ANY RAIN
FALLING AND CREATED HIGH CLOUD CEILINGS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS AS OF 1
PM HAVE RANGED FROM AROUND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN THE LAST
24 HOURS IN THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TO TRACE AMOUNTS IN THE
NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS.

THE FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH THE PANHANDLE AND INTO CANADA
THIS EVENING TAKING MUCH OF THE WIND AND RAIN WITH IT. BY LATE
TONIGHT MOST PLACES IN THE PANHANDLE WILL HAVE CHANGED OVER TO
SHOWERS WITH ONLY AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH MORE RAIN EXPECTED
TONIGHT. ALSO WINDS WILL HAVE LIGHTENED UP WITH MOST PLACES SEEING
WINDS OF 20 KT OR LESS.

VERY BRIEF DRY PERIOD EXPECTED WED MORNING AS A WEAK RIDGE MOVES
INTO THE PANHANDLE. HOWEVER THIS DOES NOT LAST AS THE REMAINS OF A
WEAK LOW THAT IS CURRENTLY IN THE SOUTHERN GULF MOVES INTO THE
NORTHERN OUTER COAST AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE WED AFTERNOON. HIGHEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN
OUTER COAST WITH AROUND A QUARTER INCH EXPECTED THROUGH WED
EVENING. ALSO WINDS IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL PICK BACK UP TO 30
KT AGAIN WED AFTER WEAKENING IN THE WAKE OF THE CURRENT FRONT
TONIGHT. DECIDED NOT TO GO FOR GALES AS I WAS NOT SEEING ANY
SUPPORT FOR IT AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE INNER CHANNELS WILL ALSO
BE ON THE RISE WITH LYNN CANAL BEING THE MOST NOTICEABLE
(INCREASING TO 20 KT BY WED AFTERNOON).

YET ANOTHER FRONT WILL BE MOVING IN BEHIND THE WEAK LOW'S REMAINS
BUT IT WILL NOT MAKE IT TO THE COAST BY WED AFTERNOON. INSTEAD IT
WILL BE SPREADING MORE 25 TO 30 KT WINDS AND RAIN ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF THE GULF.

SHORT RANGE MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT RANGE
TODAY WHICH RESULTED IN FEW CHANGES TO THE OVERALL FORECAST.
DECIDED TO STICK WITH THE NAM FOR ANY NEEDED UPDATES.

.LONG TERM...WED NIGHT THROUGH MON...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SYNOPTIC
PATTERN THROUGH THE EXTENDED RANGE. MEAN TROUGH OVER THE
ALEUTIANS/W GULF WILL KEEP SE AK IN A S-SW UPPER LEVEL FLOW.
PERTURBATIONS EJECTING FROM THE PARENT LOW WILL PUSH A SERIES OF
FRONTAL SYSTEMS ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. THE FIRST WILL RESULT IN
GALES OVER THE GULF AND NRN COASTAL ZONES WED NIGHT INTO THU. THE
TIGHTENING GRADIENT WILL ALSO INCREASE WINDS TO ADVISORY LEVELS
OVER THE INSIDE WATERS WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OVER CROSS SOUND
AND CLARENCE STRAIT. PRECIP WILL PERSIST THROUGH THU AS THE
BOUNDARY DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES INLAND AND SWLY FLOW PERSISTS.

MODELS COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH A STRONGER LOW MOVING
INTO THE GULF HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER
ROUND OF WINDS AND PRECIP TO THE GULF AND SE AK SAT AND SUN.
ACTIVE PATTERN PERSISTS THROUGH THE EXTENDED AND MAIN CHANGE WAS
TO LOWER PRESSURE/TIGHTEN GRADIENT FRI THROUGH SUN.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ036-042-043-051-052.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ022-041-053.
&&

BC/EAL

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU