Gale Warning 152, NWS Juneau, AK

792 
FZAK52 PAJK 060607 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
907 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-070015-
907 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL BE LOCATED WEST OF HAIDA GWAII BY SUNDAY
MORNING. THE LOW WILL DRIFT NORTH WHILE WEAKENING THROUGH
MONDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-070015-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
907 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-070015-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
907 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-070015-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
907 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. 
S SWELL. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-070015-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
907 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. S
SWELL.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-070015-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
907 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 



$$

948 
FZAK52 PAJK 061231
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-070100-
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WEST OF HAIDA GWAII WILL DRIFT NORTH THROUGH
MONDAY BEFORE WEAKENING NEAR BARANOF ISLAND MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. 

$$

PKZ041-070100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE IN THE MORNING.
GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-070100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-070100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND.
SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-070100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. S SWELL.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-070100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. S SWELL.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN
THE EVENING.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
SE SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
354 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...ANOTHER LOW IS TRACKING NORTHWEST ACROSS THE EASTERN
GULF AND A SECOND ONE IS HEADED FOR THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN GULF BY
SUNDAY MORNING AND THE FORECAST ISSUES REMAIN THE SAME AS THEY
HAVE BEEN FOR SEVERAL DAYS NOW. THE LOWS WILL KEEP THE
NORTHEASTERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHT AND THERE IS THE CHANCE THAT
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL NEED STRONG WIND HEADLINES,
NAMELY SKAGWAY/KLONDIKE HIGHWAY, THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS, AND
THE SOUTHERN OUTER COAST. IN ADDITION, AM EXPECTING IT WILL BE A
BLUSTERY DAY IN DOWNTOWN JUNEAU TOMORROW. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL OVER PORTIONS OF THE INNER CHANNELS TOMORROW WITH
GALE WARNINGS OUT FOR NORTHERN LYNN CANAL AND CLARENCE STRAIT. A
BRIEF PERIOD OF GALES IS EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING OVER COASTAL
MARINE ZONE 41 AND THEN AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON FOR THE OUTSIDE
WATERS SOUTH OF CAPE EDGECUMBE. ELSEWHERE, SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
DUE TO WINDS, SEAS, OR BOTH.

THE LOW WEST OF THE DIXON ENTRANCE AS OF THIS AFTERNOON IS
PRODUCING RAIN SHOWERS AND THESE WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE NIGHT
BUT SHOULD BE GONE BY TOMORROW MORNING. BY TOMORROW EVENING, THE
THREAT OF RAIN FROM THE NEXT LOW MOVES IN OVER THE SOUTHERN INNER
CHANNELS. IN BETWEEN, LOOK FOR PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE PANHANDLE WITH HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE MID TO UPPER 40S. IT SHOULD BE A GREAT DAY TO GET OUTDOORS.

USED ECMWF FOR UPDATED TO PRESSURE AND WIND. POP IS A BLEND OF THE
CANADIAN NH AND ECMWF. QPF FROM ECMWF. TEMPS ADJUSTED - MAINLY UP
- USING THE GFS MOS WITH A LITTLE HELP FROM THE NAM MOS. OVERALL
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...THE PERSISTENT PATTERN CONTINUES WITH ONE MORE
FRONT/TROUGH TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PANHANDLE WHILE FALLING APART. SHOULD SEE SOME BRIEF GUSTY WINDS
NEAR THE FRONT AND POSSIBLY SOME LIGHT SCATTERED PRECIPITATION
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. THE PARENT LOW FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA IS
BEING FORCED NORTHWARD ALONG THE OUTER COAST AND WILL MOVE ALONG
THE OUTER COAST TO BE WEST OF CROSS SOUND BY MONDAY NIGHT. THE LOW
IS FILLING AS SOME WARM AIR ADVECTION IS SUPPRESSING THE LOW AND
IT WILL BE DISSIPATING MONDAY NIGHT. THE SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO
THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL BE IN THE LOWER 960S MB AND ITS FRONTAL
BAND WILL SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TUESDAY. WOULD EXPECT
GALE FORCE WINDS WITH THIS TUESDAY FRONT FOR THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE.

THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO CURVE BACK INTO THE GULF AND ROTATE ABOUT IN
THE CENTRAL FROM MID WEEK ON. THE EXTENDED MODEL SOLUTION WAS
BASED ON THE ECMWF AND ITS ENSEMBLE SOLUTION. DO NOT THINK THAT
THE FORECAST SHIFTED ABOUT MUCH FROM THE CURRENT FORECAST. WITH
THE LOW EXPECTED TO PERSIST IN THE CENTRAL GULF A RETURN TO SEMI
REGULAR SHORT WAVE TROUGHS OF WIND/RAIN HEADED TO NEXT WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR AKZ028.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-036-041-042.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031>035-043-051.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ052.
&&

FRITSCH/BEZENEK

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU