Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016
Small Craft Advisory 79, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 19, 2016, 4:16 AM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 19, 2016, 4:16 AM AKDT (12:16 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 21, 2016, 4:36 AM AKDT
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted.
962 FZAK51 PAFG 191216 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-200200- 416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 998 MB LOW IN THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA WILL MOVE SE OVER BANKS ISLAND BY WED MORNING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ARCTIC PLAIN WILL MOVE OVER THE ARCTIC COAST AS THE LOW MOVES E WITH RIDGING EXTENDING NW OVER THE ARCTIC. THE RIDGING WILL BUILD SE ACROSS THE ARCTIC THROUGH FRI. $$ PKZ225-200200- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 .TODAY...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ230-200200- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 .TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. .TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ235-200200- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING... .TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. .WED...N WINDS 15 KT. .WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ240-200200- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT. .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. .WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. .WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. .THU...N WINDS 15 KT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ245-200200- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. .WED...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ SDB/NTS JUL 16
4 follow-up statements
580 FZAK51 PAFG 192338 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-201400- 338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 999 MB LOW JUST WEST OF BANKS ISLAND WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND CARRY WITH IT A WEATHER FRONT WHICH CURRENTLY LIES WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE BEAUFORT SEA COAST. A LARGE 1023 MB HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTH CHUKCHI SEA WEDNESDAY WITH RIDGING FROM THE HIGH EXTENDING EAST OVER THE ARCTIC COASTAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY. $$ PKZ225-201400- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. .WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ230-201400- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. FOG AND FREEZING FOG. .WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG AND FREEZING FOG. .WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ235-201400- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. FREEZING FOG. .WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. FREEZING FOG. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. .THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ240-201400- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND FREEZING FOG. .WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. .THU...N WINDS 10 KT. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. .FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ245-201400- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. FOG... RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. .WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ JUL 16
687 FZAK51 PAFG 201212 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-210200- 412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ARCTIC WITH A 1023 MB CENTER 200 NM N OF WRANGEL ISLAND EXTENDS SE OVER THE ARCTIC COAST WITH A 1021 MB CENTER OVER BARROW THIS MORNING. THE RIDGE WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY AND CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BUILD E WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA. $$ PKZ225-210200- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 .TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ230-210200- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 .TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG AND FREEZING FOG. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ235-210200- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 .TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT. FREEZING FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ240-210200- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 .TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. FOG. .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. .THU...N WINDS 10 KT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. .FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ245-210200- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ SDB/NTS JUL 16
004 FZAK51 PAFG 202232 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-211400- 232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN CHUKCHI SEA WITH RIDGE EXTENDING TO THE ARCTIC COAST WILL EXPAND TO COVER ALL OF THE CHUKCHI SEA AND BEAUFORT SEA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE BROAD HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. $$ PKZ225-211400- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ230-211400- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ235-211400- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. FOG. .THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. .SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ240-211400- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. FOG. .THU...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. .FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. .SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ245-211400- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. FOG. .THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ JUL 16
532 FZAK51 PAFG 211236 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-220200- 436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 999 MB LOW E OF BANKS ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE E. A 1019 MB HIGH OVER THE DATELINE 200 NM N OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL REMAIN STATIONARY WITH RIDGING BUILDING SE ACROSS THE ARCTIC TO A 1011 MB HIGH BUILDING OVER MACKENZIE BAY. $$ PKZ225-220200- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016 .TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ230-220200- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016 .TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ235-220200- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016 .TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT. FREEZING FOG AND FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. .TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FREEZING FOG. .FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. FREEZING FOG. .FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. .MON...E WINDS 25 KT. $$ PKZ240-220200- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016 .TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT. FREEZING FOG AND FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. .TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FREEZING FOG AND FOG. .FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. FREEZING FOG. .FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. .MON...E WINDS 30 KT. $$ PKZ245-220200- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016 .TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. FOG AND FREEZING FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG AND FREEZING FOG. .FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG AND FREEZING FOG. .FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ SDB/NTS JUL 16
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 19, 4:06 AM AKDT, 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 4:06 AM AKDT, 10 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 406 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 .DISCUSSION... Models...Initialized well against the 06Z surface analysis. Similar solutions through around 60 hours. A break from the westerlies later in the week as a trough develops over the state Friday and persists through the weekend. Heaviest precipitation has ended with the first wave, and the next wave of significant rainfall will be late Thursday with models currently showing amounts from 0.25 to 0.75 inch possible through Saturday. Will use primarily a blend of the current solutions and the database to maintain continuity, and fix some of the leftover discontinuities in the current forecast database. Aloft...At 500 HPA...A 516 dam low over the Beaufort Sea will move southeast to be south of Banks Island by Wednesday morning then continue moving east. A series of shortwaves will spin around the low over the eastern arctic and eastern Brooks range through Wednesday with a clearing shortwave moving through late Wednesday night. Northwest flow continues over the west coast and interior into early Friday morning when a trough develops over the west coast, and absorbs a 549 dam low that is moving east over the northern Bering Sea, and moves over the interior by Friday night. Ridging from a 598 dam high over the north Pacific extends north over the Gulf of Anadyr then west over the Kamchatka Peninsula today, and will break down as that low moves over the northern Bering Sea with ridging only extending north to the Seward Peninsula and gradually being forced south as the trough develops. Weak troughing will persist over the arctic into Friday, then ridging builds east across the area. At 850 HPA...Zero isotherm has dropped south to lie from Dawson Yukon to Arctic Village to Anaktuvuk Pass to Barrow with the temperature over Kaktovik around & below Celsius this morning. Surface...Front has moved south a bit and extends east from the Seward Peninsula over the Alaska range this morning. Front will persist over those areas through Wednesday then slide a bit north and back over the interior early Thursday morning, then persist in the area through Saturday. A weather front over the arctic continues to bring precipitation to the eastern arctic and eastern Brooks range as well as strong winds, but continues to move east and will be clearing the area by late Wednesday. Arctic coast and Brooks range...cloudy conditions prevail with some clearing over the northwest coast later today and tonight. From Barrow east the low over the arctic will continue to bring occasional showers to the area, with more persistent showers east of Nuiqsut. Up to 8 inches of snow above 3500 feet in the eastern Brooks range east of the Dalton highway today and tonight with snow ending by late Wednesday. Strong gusty winds to 45 mph east of Deadhorse will diminish later today, otherwise west to northwest winds at 10 to 20 mph will persist over the area through Friday. Temperatures will remain on the cool side through the week. West coast and western interior...Rain continues to the south of Kotzebue sound over the southern Seward Peninsula, across the Nulato hills, to the upper Kuskokwim River Basin, and over the western Alaska range. The precipitation will slowly move north as weak ridging pushes over the Kuskokwim Delta and the lower Yukon Delta tonight. Up to 1 inch of rain over those areas today and tonight before a short break midday Wednesday. Rain moves back over the lower Yukon Delta by midday Wednesday as the next weather front moves northeast into the state from the Bering Sea. Currently the Unalakleet River is running high during high tides, and expect that to continue, with no issues being seen on any of the other gages. No significantly strong winds the next few days, and wind direction will be variable as the weather fronts and weak ridge move through the area. Winds speeds generally 10 to 20 mph with slightly lighter winds north of the Bering Strait and inland. Temperatures will remain on the cool side through the week. Central and eastern interior...Significant rain with the front has basically ended for this round, but another round is in sight for Thursday as a front moves northeast into the state from the Bering Sea. Flood Advisory continues for the Chena river and caution should be used near all the local rivers as water continues to make its way into the mainstem rivers. Cloudy conditions will prevail with a few breaks possible today and tonight. Winds generally southwest to west at 5 to 15 mph today and Wednesday. Temperatures will remain cool with highs in the 60s and lows in the 50s. && Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None. && .FIRE WEATHER...Generally cloudy conditions across the area with high Relative Humidity values through the week. Rain will continue over most of the west coast, but it remains fairly dry over the Kobuk and Noatak valleys today. Rain will move into those areas Wednesday as a weather front moves northeast across the area with a high probability of wetting rains. Another front will move over the Lower Yukon Delta Wednesday spreading another round of wetting rains to the western zones and eventually into the interior zones. Temperatures will remain cool across the forecast area. Good to Excellent overnight Relative Humidity recovery through the week. && .HYDROLOGY...Flood Advisory continues for the Chena river, see latest statement for up to date information. With more rain on the way the saturated ground will allow more runoff to make its way into the mainstem rivers producing bankfull conditions in many of the basins between the Brooks range and Alaska Range. The Unalakleet river is currently flowing above action stage during the high tides, but only minor inundation of low lying areas is expected during the high tide cycles through Thursday. && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Storm Warning FOR AKZ206. Small Craft Advisory FOR PKZ245. Brisk Wind Advisory FOR PKZ235-PKZ240. && SDB JUL 16
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 19, 3:57 AM AKDT, 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 357 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 AKZ212-200200- EASTERN NORTON SOUND AND NULATO HILLS- INCLUDING...UNALAKLEET...STEBBINS...ST MICHAEL...ELIM...KOYUK... SHAKTOOLIK 357 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ...UNALAKLEET RIVER RUNNING HIGH... THE UNALAKLEET RIVER WILL BE RUNNING NEAR BANKFULL THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND COMBINED WITH THE HIGH TIDES MAY EXCEED BANKFULL FOR SHORT PERIODS. LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE MOUTH AND JUST UPSTREAM MAY BECOME INUNDATED DURING THE HIGH TIDES...BUT AT THIS TIME NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED. WITH MORE RAIN ON THE WAY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER WATER LEVELS...SO CAUTION SHOULD BE USED AND ANYTHING NEAR THE RIVER SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND IF POSSIBLE. FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FAIRBANKS.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 3:59 AM AKDT | Winter Storm Warning | AFG | 24 hr | |
| Jul 19, 3:38 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFG | 13 hr | |
| Jul 19, 3:39 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFG | 13 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.