Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 79, NWS Fairbanks, AK

July 19, 2016

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 19, 2016, 4:16 AM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2016, 4:16 AM AKDT (12:16 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2016, 4:36 AM AKDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

962 
FZAK51 PAFG 191216
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-200200-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 998 MB LOW IN THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA WILL MOVE SE OVER BANKS
ISLAND BY WED MORNING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN
ARCTIC PLAIN WILL MOVE OVER THE ARCTIC COAST AS THE LOW MOVES E
WITH RIDGING EXTENDING NW OVER THE ARCTIC. THE RIDGING WILL BUILD
SE ACROSS THE ARCTIC THROUGH FRI.

$$

PKZ225-200200-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-200200-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-200200-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-200200-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-200200-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SDB/NTS JUL 16
4 follow-up statements
580 
FZAK51 PAFG 192338
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-201400-
338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 999 MB LOW JUST WEST OF BANKS ISLAND WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND CARRY WITH IT A WEATHER FRONT
WHICH CURRENTLY LIES WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE BEAUFORT SEA COAST.
A LARGE 1023 MB HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTH CHUKCHI
SEA WEDNESDAY WITH RIDGING FROM THE HIGH EXTENDING EAST OVER THE
ARCTIC COASTAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY.
 
$$

PKZ225-201400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-201400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. FOG AND FREEZING
FOG.
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG AND FREEZING FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-201400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. FREEZING FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. FREEZING FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-201400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND FREEZING FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-201400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
338 PM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. FOG...
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

JUL 16
687 
FZAK51 PAFG 201212
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-210200-
412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ARCTIC WITH A 1023 MB
CENTER 200 NM N OF WRANGEL ISLAND EXTENDS SE OVER THE ARCTIC
COAST WITH A 1021 MB CENTER OVER BARROW THIS MORNING. THE RIDGE
WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY AND CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BUILD E WITH A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA.
$$

PKZ225-210200-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-210200-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG AND FREEZING FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-210200-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

.TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT. FREEZING FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-210200-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-210200-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
412 AM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

SDB/NTS JUL 16
004 
FZAK51 PAFG 202232
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-211400-
232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN
CHUKCHI SEA WITH RIDGE EXTENDING TO THE ARCTIC COAST WILL EXPAND
TO COVER ALL OF THE CHUKCHI SEA AND BEAUFORT SEA BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE BROAD HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$

PKZ225-211400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-211400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-211400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-211400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-211400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
232 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. FOG.
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

JUL 16
532 
FZAK51 PAFG 211236
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-220200-
436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 999 MB LOW E OF BANKS ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE E.
A 1019 MB HIGH OVER THE DATELINE 200 NM N OF WRANGEL ISLAND
WILL REMAIN STATIONARY WITH RIDGING BUILDING SE ACROSS THE
ARCTIC TO A 1011 MB HIGH BUILDING OVER MACKENZIE BAY.


$$

PKZ225-220200-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-220200-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-220200-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016

.TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT. FREEZING FOG AND FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FREEZING FOG. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. FREEZING FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-220200-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016

.TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT. FREEZING FOG AND FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FREEZING FOG AND FOG. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. FREEZING FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-220200-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
436 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. FOG AND FREEZING
FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG AND FREEZING FOG. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG AND FREEZING FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

SDB/NTS JUL 16

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 19, 4:06 AM AKDT, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 4:06 AM AKDT, 10 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
406 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Models...Initialized well against the 06Z surface analysis.
Similar solutions through around 60 hours. A break from the
westerlies later in the week as a trough develops over the state
Friday and persists through the weekend. Heaviest precipitation has
ended with the first wave, and the next wave of significant
rainfall will be late Thursday with models currently showing
amounts from 0.25 to 0.75 inch possible through Saturday. Will use
primarily a blend of the current solutions and the database to
maintain continuity, and fix some of the leftover discontinuities
in the current forecast database.

Aloft...At 500 HPA...A 516 dam low over the Beaufort Sea will
move southeast to be south of Banks Island by Wednesday morning
then continue moving east. A series of shortwaves will spin around
the low over the eastern arctic and eastern Brooks range through
Wednesday with a clearing shortwave moving through late Wednesday
night. Northwest flow continues over the west coast and interior
into early Friday morning when a trough develops over the west
coast, and absorbs a 549 dam low that is moving east over the
northern Bering Sea, and moves over the interior by Friday night.
Ridging from a 598 dam high over the north Pacific extends north
over the Gulf of Anadyr then west over the Kamchatka Peninsula
today, and will break down as that low moves over the northern
Bering Sea with ridging only extending north to the Seward
Peninsula and gradually being forced south as the trough develops.
Weak troughing will persist over the arctic into Friday, then
ridging builds east across the area. At 850 HPA...Zero isotherm
has dropped south to lie from Dawson Yukon to Arctic Village to
Anaktuvuk Pass to Barrow with the temperature over Kaktovik around
& below Celsius this morning.

Surface...Front has moved south a bit and extends east from the
Seward Peninsula over the Alaska range this morning. Front will
persist over those areas through Wednesday then slide a bit north
and back over the interior early Thursday morning, then persist in
the area through Saturday. A weather front over the arctic
continues to bring precipitation to the eastern arctic and eastern
Brooks range as well as strong winds, but continues to move east
and will be clearing the area by late Wednesday.

Arctic coast and Brooks range...cloudy conditions prevail with
some clearing over the northwest coast later today and tonight.
From Barrow east the low over the arctic will continue to bring
occasional showers to the area, with more persistent showers east
of Nuiqsut. Up to 8 inches of snow above 3500 feet in the eastern
Brooks range east of the Dalton highway today and tonight with
snow ending by late Wednesday. Strong gusty winds to 45 mph east
of Deadhorse will diminish later today, otherwise west to
northwest winds at 10 to 20 mph will persist over the area through
Friday. Temperatures will remain on the cool side through the
week.

West coast and western interior...Rain continues to the south of
Kotzebue sound over the southern Seward Peninsula, across the
Nulato hills, to the upper Kuskokwim River Basin, and over the
western Alaska range. The precipitation will slowly move north as
weak ridging pushes over the Kuskokwim Delta and the lower Yukon
Delta tonight. Up to 1 inch of rain over those areas today and
tonight before a short break midday Wednesday. Rain moves back
over the lower Yukon Delta by midday Wednesday as the next
weather front moves northeast into the state from the Bering Sea.
Currently the Unalakleet River is running high during high tides,
and expect that to continue, with no issues being seen on any of
the other gages. No significantly strong winds the next few days,
and wind direction will be variable as the weather fronts and weak
ridge move through the area. Winds speeds generally 10 to 20 mph
with slightly lighter winds north of the Bering Strait and inland.
Temperatures will remain on the cool side through the week.

Central and eastern interior...Significant rain with the front
has basically ended for this round, but another round is in sight
for Thursday as a front moves northeast into the state from the
Bering Sea. Flood Advisory continues for the Chena river and
caution should be used near all the local rivers as water
continues to make its way into the mainstem rivers. Cloudy
conditions will prevail with a few breaks possible today and
tonight. Winds generally southwest to west at 5 to 15 mph today
and Wednesday. Temperatures will remain cool with highs in the 60s
and lows in the 50s.

&&

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Generally cloudy conditions across the area with
high Relative Humidity values through the week. Rain will continue
over most of the west coast, but it remains fairly dry over the
Kobuk and Noatak valleys today. Rain will move into those areas
Wednesday as a weather front moves northeast across the area with
a high probability of wetting rains. Another front will move over
the Lower Yukon Delta Wednesday spreading another round of wetting
rains to the western zones and eventually into the interior zones.
Temperatures will remain cool across the forecast area. Good to
Excellent overnight Relative Humidity recovery through the week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Flood Advisory continues for the Chena river, see
latest statement for up to date information. With more rain on the
way the saturated ground will allow more runoff to make its way
into the mainstem rivers producing bankfull conditions in many of
the basins between the Brooks range and Alaska Range. The
Unalakleet river is currently flowing above action stage during
the high tides, but only minor inundation of low lying areas is
expected during the high tide cycles through Thursday.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Winter Storm Warning FOR AKZ206.

Small Craft Advisory FOR PKZ245.

Brisk Wind Advisory FOR PKZ235-PKZ240.

&&

SDB JUL 16

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 19, 3:57 AM AKDT, 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
357 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

AKZ212-200200-
EASTERN NORTON SOUND AND NULATO HILLS-
INCLUDING...UNALAKLEET...STEBBINS...ST MICHAEL...ELIM...KOYUK...
SHAKTOOLIK
357 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...UNALAKLEET RIVER RUNNING HIGH...

THE UNALAKLEET RIVER WILL BE RUNNING NEAR BANKFULL THE NEXT FEW
DAYS AND COMBINED WITH THE HIGH TIDES MAY EXCEED BANKFULL FOR
SHORT PERIODS. LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE MOUTH AND JUST UPSTREAM
MAY BECOME INUNDATED DURING THE HIGH TIDES...BUT AT THIS TIME NO
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

WITH MORE RAIN ON THE WAY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER WATER LEVELS...SO CAUTION SHOULD BE USED AND
ANYTHING NEAR THE RIVER SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND IF
POSSIBLE.

FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FAIRBANKS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 3:59 AM AKDTWinter Storm WarningAFG24 hr
Jul 19, 3:38 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG13 hr
Jul 19, 3:39 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG13 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.