Small Craft Advisory 40, NWS Fairbanks, AK

079 
FZAK52 PAFG 121148
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
348 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-130300-
348 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 983 MB LOW LOCATED 150 NM NORTHWEST OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL MOVE
EAST AND THEN NORTHEAST AND WILL BE LOCATED 250 NM NORTHWEST OF
BARROW MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
EASTERN BERING SEA TODAY AND MONDAY.

$$

PKZ200-130300-
NORTON SOUND-
348 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-130300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
348 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR
LESS. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-130300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
348 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TODAY...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-130300-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
348 AM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR
LESS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

CCC/NTS JUN 16

217 
FZAK52 PAFG 122222
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
222 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-131330-
222 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE E ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA TONIGHT INTO
MAINLAND ALASKA. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
SE BERING SEA TONIGHT WITH RIDGING BUILDING N INTO THE CHUKCHI
SEA MON. A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA THU.

$$

PKZ200-131330-
NORTON SOUND-
222 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-131330-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
222 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG.
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-131330-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
222 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-131330-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
222 PM AKDT SUN JUN 12 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

SDB/DA JUN 16

695 
FZAK52 PAFG 131150
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
350 AM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-140300-
350 AM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN NORTH SLOPE WILL MOVE EAST AND
SOUTH ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA TODAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD OVER THE SE BERING SEA TONIGHT WITH RIDGING BUILDING N INTO
THE CHUKCHI SEA TUESDAY. A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THURSDAY.

$$

PKZ200-140300-
NORTON SOUND-
350 AM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.TUE...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-140300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
350 AM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-140300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
350 AM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. FOG... RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-140300-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
350 AM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

.TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

CCC/NTS JUN 16

063 
FZAK52 PAFG 132207
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
207 PM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-141315-
207 PM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH SLOPE WILL MOVE EAST AND
SOUTH ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA TONIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD OVER THE SE BERING SEA TONIGHT WITH RIDGING BUILDING N
INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA TUESDAY. A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THURSDAY.

$$

PKZ200-141315-
NORTON SOUND-
207 PM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.TUE...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-141315-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
207 PM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-141315-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
207 PM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-141315-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
207 PM AKDT MON JUN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. FOG.
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

CF/DA JUN 16

552 
FZAK52 PAFG 141156
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
356 AM AKDT TUE JUN 14 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-150015-
356 AM AKDT TUE JUN 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE WILL MOVE EAST AND
SOUTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR TODAY. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SE BERING SEA TODAY TODAY AND
AND WESTERN ALASKA WEDNESDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
NORTH INTO BRISTOL BAY THURSDAY AND INTO THE LOWER YK DELTA
FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ200-150015-
NORTON SOUND-
356 AM AKDT TUE JUN 14 2016

.TODAY...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-150015-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
356 AM AKDT TUE JUN 14 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-150015-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
356 AM AKDT TUE JUN 14 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-150015-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
356 AM AKDT TUE JUN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR
LESS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

CCC/NTS JUN 16

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
113 PM AKDT SAT JUN 11 2016

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS...Very good agreement in the short term with improved
agreement in the extended periods. Initialized with a couple
millibars against the surface analysis at 11/18z. Going to
maintain continuity with the previous forecasts so just going to
nudge the current database for the short term.

ALOFT...At 500 HPA...Ridging over the southeastern interior
extends from Eagle northwest over Point Hope and will weaken a bit
as the eastern continues to move northeast while the west drops
south so the ridge will lie along the south slopes of the Brooks
range and over Kotzebue sound by Sunday morning. A 538 dam low
over Cold Bay will move east to the southwestern Gulf of Alaska
by Sunday morning at 541 dam, then continue east to 100 nm west of
Ketchikan by Monday morning. A shortwave over the western arctic
will spin around the 515 dam low 600 nm northwest of Wrangel
island to lie over the northwest coast early Sunday as it weakens.
The low will move south tonight to be 200 nm north of Wrangel
island with a shortwave extending south and merging into the
longwave trough over the west coast. The low will move east to 200
nm northwest of Barrow Sunday night then moves north into the high
arctic by Tuesday morning. The longwave trough will slowly march
east across the state with it over the middle Yukon valley by
Sunday morning and will lie from over barrow to Delta Junction to
off the coast near Sitka by Monday morning. A strong shortwave
will spin around the low in the arctic to be over the northwest
coast late Sunday evening, and will lie from barrow to Galena
Monday afternoon, and from Deadhorse to Delta Junction by Tuesday
morning. A col will move over the Bering Strait this evening, the
western interior by Sunday morning, and the eastern interior by
Monday morning. AT 850 HPA...Zero isotherm over the arctic. Over
the upper Yukon flats and south slopes of the Brooks range
temperatures around 10 celsius tonight will persist through Sunday
then start cooling. The remainder of the forecast area will
generally have temperatures between 3 and 8 degrees celsius into
Monday. The next front will move over the northwest coast monday
and the zero isotherm will lie from Deadhorse to Ambler to Cape
Espenberg by Monday afternoon.

SURFACE...Pretty benign pattern over the interior with weak
trough across the middle of the state and plenty of moisture being
slung north. Low in the northwest arctic will continue to spin
in place through tonight them moves east spinning a cold front to
the northwest coast Sunday night. Weak trough moves north to the
south slopes of the Brooks range by Monday afternoon and ridging
will build in over the eastern bering sea and along the north
slopes of the Alaska range by early Tuesday.

ARCTIC COAST AND BROOKS RANGE...Some stratus along the coast
tonight, while inland over the southern plains and central Brooks
range it will be partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Weak front will bring more clouds to the
northwest coast Sunday. GOES MVFR/IFR probability product at
11/1915Z indicates mainly VFR conditions over the arctic, which is
a drastic change from normal. Much warmer than it has been in the
inland areas and Brooks range tonight and Sunday. Winds generally
southwest to west 5 to 20 mph through Sunday with the strongest
winds over the northwest coast.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...Isolated thunderstorms and
scattered showers this evening south of ambler, and to a lesser
extend on Sunday. Some of the heaviest rains will be in the Nulato
hills tonight and Sunday with rainfall amounts around a half inch.
The next cold front will move into the area from the northwest
early Monday morning and spread some showers to the Chukchi Sea
coast and Kotzebue sound region by early Monday morning.
Temperatures similar to today through Monday morning, then cooling
a bit to begin the week. Light winds through early Monday then
picking up from the west and northwest on the coast as the cold
front moves through the area.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...Isolated thunderstorms and
scattered showers this evening with showers overnight persisting
through Monday over the central interior, and Tuesday in the
eastern interior. Some of the thunderstorms will have small hail,
short heavy downpours, and gusty winds to 25 mph. Much of the
thunderstorm activity will move north into the upper Yukon flats
on Sunday, but there will still be a slight chance to the south. A
slight cooling trend through mid week. Winds generally light
except near the Alaska range winds will be gusting to near 30 mph.

&&

.COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...None.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Minimal fire weather concerns for Northern Alaska
over the next few days. Relative Humidities will increase as
moisture spreads north, especially over the Northern Interior
where conditions have been the driest. Most locations should
generally see relative humidity values above 35 percent through
early next week.

Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected to continue
and develop over the Interior and Central Brooks Range. They will
likely be isolated in coverage, but there is the possibility for scattered
thunderstorms from Anvik to Galena east through Fairbanks and
Circle. Chances for thunderstorms will shift to the north Sunday
and in an area from Tanana to Circle and north.

Wetting rains are possible over the Middle Tanana Valley and
Fortymile Country this evening into Sunday. Numerous showers and
periods of rain are expected and could potentially bring upwards
to three quarters of an inch of rain...heaviest southeast of
Fairbanks.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Some locally heavy showers but not expected to be
widespread enough to create any issues.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ201-PKZ225-PKZ230.

&&

SDB JUN 16