Gale Warning 9, NWS Fairbanks, AK

527 
FZAK52 PAFG 091321
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
421 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-100030-
421 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE JUST NORTH OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC
COAST OF ALASKA WILL PERSIST THROUGH MON. A STRONG LOW IN THE
NORTHWEST GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE TO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA AS A
971 MB LOW BY 3AM SUN AND TO THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA AS A 971 MB
LOW BY 3PM SUN.

$$

PKZ200-100030-
NORTON SOUND-
421 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-100030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
421 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...E WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 12FT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT.  SEAS 12FT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-100030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
421 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-100030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
421 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

JAN 16

807 
FZAK52 PAFG 100015
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
315 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-101515-
315 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE HIGH ARCTIC
WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH AND EAST ONTO THE NORTH SLOPE THROUGH
MONDAY. A 971 MB LOW IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE
TO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA AS A 974 MB LOW SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND TO
THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA AS A 978 MB LOW BY MONDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ200-101515-
NORTON SOUND-
315 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-101515-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
315 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 45 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-101515-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
315 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-101515-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
315 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

CCC/DJH JAN 16

888 
FZAK52 PAFG 101315
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
415 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-110015-
415 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT LIES NORTH OF THE ARCTIC
COAST OF ALASKA WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUE. A 968 MB LOW JUST SOUTH
OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 200 NM WEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND
AS A 970 MB LOW BY 3PM SUN AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN IN PLACE. A
SECOND STRONG LOW IN THE GULF OF AK WILL MOVE TO THE YUKON DELTA
AS A 984 MB LOW BY 3AM TUE.

$$

PKZ200-110015-
NORTON SOUND-
415 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-110015-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
415 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-110015-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
415 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-110015-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
415 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

JAN 16

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1253 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

.DISCUSSION...

12Z MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM...INITIALIZING WELL AGAINST THE 12 ANALYSIS AND VERIFYING
WELL AGAINST THE 18Z ANALYSIS. MODELS EXHIBIT REASONABLE SPREAD ON
FEATURE LOCATION TRACK AND STRENGTH THROUGH BOTH THE MID TERM AS
WELL AS THE LONG TERM.

THE HIGH AMPLITUDE SKINNY RIDGE OVER WESTERN CANADA AND EASTERN
ALASKA WILL CONTINUE WITH NORTHERN MOST PORTION OF THE RIDGE
CLOSING OFF TO FORM AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER WRANGLE
ISLAND. A SHORT WAVE OVER BRISTOL BAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE
NORTH AND WEST. SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AS A 970 MB LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE TO THE NORTH AND WEST TO BE LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN BRISTOL BAY
AS A 972 MB LOW SATURDAY MORNING AND NEAR ST PAUL ISLAND SATURDAY
EVENING. A 1034 MB HIGH OVER THE HIGH ARCTIC WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD SOUTH AND EAST AND WILL PUSH ONTO THE THE NORTH SLOPE SUNDAY
EVENING.

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE BRISTOL BAY LOW AND ARCTIC HIGH WILL
BUILD TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY OVER THE CENTRAL
AND WESTERN INTERIOR AS WELL AS THE WEST COAST BEGINNING THIS
EVENING OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AND SATURDAY OVER THE WEST
COAST. WIND ADVISORIES HOISTED FOR THE SUMMITS OVER THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR WHERE WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING.
GUSTY EAST WIND GUSTS WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
OVER THE WEST COAST AND SEWARD PENINSULA. OLD ICE CRUSTED SNOW
PACK AND LACK OF FALLING SNOW WILL LIMIT BLOWING SNOW AND
RESULTING LOWER VISIBILITIES ESPECIALLY OVER INTERIOR SUMMITS WITH
EXPECTED WINDS.

NEXT LOW MOVES NORTHWEST OUT OF THE GULF OF ALASKA TO NEAR SAND
POINT MONDAY AND WILL BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT MIXED
PRECIPITATION TO THE LOWER YK DELTA AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE
NORTH SLOPES OF THE ALASKA RANGE AND PASSES. PATTERN OF LOWS
MOVING NORTH ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE BLOCKING UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER WESTERN CANADA WILL PERSIST WELL INTO NEXT
WEEK...LEADING TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF EASTERN
AND CENTRAL ALASKA ALONG WITH LIMITED CHANCES FOR SNOW. WESTERN
ALASKA WILL CONTINUE WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PERIODS OF
LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE INTERIOR
ALONG WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN AND
MAINTAIN INTERIOR VALLEY INVERSIONS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230.
&&

CCC JAN 16