Gale Warning 32, NWS Fairbanks, AK

544 
FZAK52 PAFG 010012
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
312 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-011515-
312 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 960 MB LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 58N AND THE DATE LINE WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH AND WEST TO BE LOCATED NEAR 60N AND 175E
AS A 972 MB LOW MONDAY MORNING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD SOUTH OUT OF THE HIGH ARCTIC OVER THE NORTH SLOPE TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

$$

PKZ200-011515-
NORTON SOUND-
312 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-011515-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
312 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT..EXCEPT 35 KT OFF THE YUKON DELTA...INCREASING
TO 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.MON...SE WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-011515-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
312 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-011515-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
312 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. WINDS STRONGEST WELL OFFSHORE. BLOWING
SNOW.
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. WINDS STRONGEST WELL OFFSHORE. BLOWING
SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

CCC/DJH JAN 16

188 
FZAK52 PAFG 011307
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
407 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-020415-
407 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 974 MB LOW NEAR 60N AND 175E WILL DISSIPATE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OUT OF THE HIGH ARCTIC
OVER THE NORTH SLOPE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

$$

PKZ200-020415-
NORTON SOUND-
407 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. BLOWING
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-020415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
407 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-020415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
407 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. BLOWING
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-020415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
407 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

CF/JK FEB 16

202 
FZAK52 PAFG 012344
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
244 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-021445-
244 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 972 MB LOW OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA NEAR THE RUSSIAN COAST
WILL DRIFT WEST AND WEAKEN THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. A WEAK RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE BERING STRAIT AND CHUKOTSK
PENINSULA TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ200-021445-
NORTON SOUND-
244 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-021445-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
244 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT OFF THE YUKON DELTA. SE WINDS 30 KT
ELSEWHERE DECREASING TO 15 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-021445-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
244 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-021445-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
244 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

LTH/DJH FEB 16

062 
FZAK52 PAFG 021256
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
356 AM AKST TUE FEB 2 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-030400-
356 AM AKST TUE FEB 2 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 972 MB LOW OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA NEAR THE RUSSIAN COAST
WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT WEST AND WEAKEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A WEAK
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE BERING STRAIT AND
CHUKOTSK PENINSULA TUE MORNING AND THEN WEAKEN AND DRIFT WESTWARD
ON WEDNESDAY.

$$

PKZ200-030400-
NORTON SOUND-
356 AM AKST TUE FEB 2 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-030400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
356 AM AKST TUE FEB 2 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-030400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
356 AM AKST TUE FEB 2 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-030400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
356 AM AKST TUE FEB 2 2016

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

JK/BJB FEB 16

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1222 PM AKST SAT JAN 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z MODELS INITIALIZED WELL AGAINST THE 12 ANALYSIS AND
VERIFIED WELL AGAINST THE 18Z ANALYSIS. MODELS SPREAD IS
CONSIDERABLE ESPECIALLY ON POSITION AND STRENGTH OF CENTRAL BERING
SEA LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AS EARLY AS SUNDAY EVENING AND MONDAY
MORNING. SPREAD NEVER REALLY RECOVERS IN THE MID AND LONG TERM
WITH CONSIDERABLE SPREAD NOTED BETWEEN MODEL FAMILIES AND MODEL
RUNS THROUGH THE MID AND LONG TERM.

ALOFT AT 500 HPA...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE WESTERN SEWARD
PENINSULA CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTH AND WEST AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN INTERIOR CONTINUES TO BUILD NORTH AND
WEST OVER THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BY MONDAY A VERY HIGH
AMPLITUDE AND SKINNY RIDGE WITH AXIS FROM WRANGEL ISLAND TO JUNEAU
PARKS IN PLACE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK EFFECTIVELY
LIMITING PRECIP CHANCES IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR.
PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO BE LIMITED OVER THE NORTH SLOPE. AREAS OF
STRATUS AND FOG TRAPPED UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CREATE A
FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR CEILINGS AND TEMPERATURES OVER THE
INTERIOR.

ON THE WEST COAST A FRONTAL BAND STRETCHING FROM A 972 MB LOW
JUST NORTH OF ADAK AND STRETCHING NORTH TO NEAR ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND AND THEN SOUTHEAST TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO
BE THE FOCAL POINT FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION SOUTH OF UNALAKLEET
WITH MOSTLY SNOW TO THE NORTH AND WEST. BLIZZARD WARNING FOR ZONE
213 AS SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED AS FRONT STALLS OVER ST
LAWRENCE ISLAND AND GRADIENT INCREASES BETWEEN INTERIOR RIDGE AND
LOW MOVING NORTH FROM THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA.

ARCTIC SLOPE...WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE ARCTIC SLOPE AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AS A STRONG
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM NORTH OF THE STATE BUILDS SOUTH AND
EAST OVER THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ213.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ214.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220.
&&

CCC JAN 16