Brisk Wind Advisory 91, NWS Fairbanks, AK

685 
FZAK52 PAFG 220453 AAA
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
753 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

UPDATED ZONES 200 210 215 220

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-221615-
753 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 982 MB LOW OVER SOUTHERN BRISTOL BAY WILL MOVE TO THE YUKON
DELTA BY MON MORNING AND WEAKEN TO 998 MB. A LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER
KOTZEBUE SOUND TONIGHT AND REACH 993 MB EARLY MON MORNING. THE
LOW WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TO BE 90 NM NORTHWEST OF POINT HOPE AT
1001 MB MON AFTERNOON AS THE FORMER LOW DIMINISHES. THE LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWEST TO NEAR WRANGEL ISLAND BY
TUE.

$$

PKZ200-221615-
NORTON SOUND-
753 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SNOW.
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-221615-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
753 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1NM.
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.WED...N WINDS 25 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT.  
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-221615-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
753 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  SNOW. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SNOW.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE...S WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-221615-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
753 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1NM. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT.  SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE...SW WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

ET/DA/JB FEB 16

504 
FZAK52 PAFG 221218
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
318 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-230330-
318 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 993 MB LOW OVER SOUTHERN BRISTOL BAY WILL MOVE TO NOME AS A 1003
MB LOW BY MON AFTERNOON. A 995 MB LOW WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TO 90 NM
NORTHWEST OF POINT HOPE AT 1002 MB MON AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWEST TO NEAR WRANGEL ISLAND BY
TUE.

$$

PKZ200-230330-
NORTON SOUND-
318 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-230330-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
318 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER NOON.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-230330-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
318 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

.TODAY...SE WINDS 10 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-230330-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
318 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

CF/JK FEB 16

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
549 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS FAIRLY SIMILAR THROUGH 60 HOURS. VERTICALLY STACKED LOW
JUST SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD TO
BRISTOL BAY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE TO
MOVE TOWARDS THE YK DELTA LATE SUN NIGHT OR EARLY MON MORNING.
ANOTHER UPPER LOW IN THE BERING STRAIT WEST TO GULF OF ANADYR BY
LATE SUN NIGHT.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE FROM CALGARY TO BARROW WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT
LEAST WED BUT MODELS BECOME CONVOLUTED IN ACTUAL POSITION BY THEN.

CHINOOK FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
MON. THIS WILL KEEP MOST OF CENTRAL ALASKA DRY WHILE A SHORT WAVE
MOVES UP AND AROUND THE RIDGE ON THE WEST COAST TODAY. THIS WILLPROVIDE
A LITTLE SNOW FOR THAT AREA TODAY.

OVER THE NEXT 240 HOURS...EXPECT VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT OVER
MOST ALL OF CENTRAL ALASKA WHICH WILL BE ESTABLISHED BY ROTATING
SHORTWAVES CUTTING INTO THE RIDGE AS THEY TRACK NORTHWARD.

THE ARCTIC COAST WILL SEE THE GRADIENT SLIGHT TIGHTEN THERE BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST TILL MON MORNING. AS THE WINDS
TURN BACK TO EITHER EASTERLY OR NORTHEASTERLY...BETTER CHANCE FOR
FOG WILL BE REALIZED HERE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ223-AKZ225-AKZ226-AKZ227.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

CF FEB 16