Brisk Wind Advisory 58, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
557 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY
BEFORE A DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL LOW WITH THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH
SINKS FURTHER SOUTH OUT OF THE HIGH ARCTIC TO WESTERN CANADA AND
EASTERN ALASKA BY LATE MON NIGHT.

HIGH ALOFT OVER THE NORTH POLE WILL EXPAND SOUTHWARD TO BE OVER THE
ARCTIC SLOPE BEGINNING TUESDAY. THIS HIGH IS ORIGINATING FROM THE
HIGH THAT WAS OVER NORTHERN ALASKA MON MORNING...THEN DRIFTED
NORTH TO THE NORTH POLE.

THE SURFACE LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH
AND THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL PUSH TO THE NORTH GULF COAST
BY TUE NIGHT OR WED MORNING.

DENSE FOG ON THE ARCTIC COAST COMES AND GOES WITH NO REAL REASONFOR
THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS HAS BEEN MOST CHALLENGING FINDING A
PATTERN AND ESTABLISHING WHEE THE DENSE FOG WILL DRIFT TO. IT IS
VERY LIKELY THAT THERE ARE OPEN LEADS IN THE ICE SOMEWHERE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE ARCTIC COAST FOR THE DENSE FOG TO DEVELOP AND
ADVECT IN OVER THE COASTAL AREAS.

WINDS OVER THE WEST COAST WILL BE DIMINISHING THROUGHOUT THE DAY
TODAY AS THE SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO PULL NORTHWESTWARD. THE
PRECIP BAND IS GETTING STRUNG OUT AND THE TEMPERATURES IN THE
BERING STRAIT AND THE WEST COAST AREAS ARE IN MANY PLACES ABOVE
FREEZING SO BLOWING SNOW IS NO LONGER AN ISSUE.

WINDS OVER THE Y-K DELTA WILL BE DIMINISHING ALSO THROUGHOUT THE
DAY AS THE LOW PULLS NORTHWARD AND THE HIGH PULLS NORTH.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ230.
&&

CF FEB 16