Small Craft Advisory 947, NWS Anchorage, AK

215 
FZAK51 PAFC 011220
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020115-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH
TODAY. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT
969 MB THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES INLAND 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT
FRI AFTERNOON AT 979 MB. A 982 MB LOW DEVELOPS 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF
CORDOVA FRI AFTERNOON AND DRIFTS TO 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF OF CORDOVA
AT 989 MB LATE FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-020115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-020115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-020115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-020115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-020115-
PORT VALDEZ-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-020115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ128-020115-
VALDEZ ARM-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-020115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-020115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-020115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-020115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT EXCEPT NW 40 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
19 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-020115-
CHINIAK BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ137-020115-
MARMOT BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-020115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-020115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-020115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-020115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

871 
FZAK51 PAFC 020058
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021345-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 967 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 35 NM SOUTH
OF YAKUTAT AT 976 MB FRI AFTERNOON AND THEN DRIFT TO 90 NM EAST OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 996 MB SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-021345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-021345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-021345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHER SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-021345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-021345-
PORT VALDEZ-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-021345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-021345-
VALDEZ ARM-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-021345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-021345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 75 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 60 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-021345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-021345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 35 KT
INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-021345-
CHINIAK BAY-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-021345-
MARMOT BAY-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-021345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 75 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-021345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-021345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-021345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
358 PM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
440 AM AKST Wed Nov 30 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The low over the eastern Gulf is falling apart as it moves inland
near Yakutat. As it exits so does much of the cloud cover and snow
for Southcentral Alaska. However, in the more stable environment,
some areas of low level stratus have formed, especially with
places near water like around Cook Inlet. Out west another low
over the Central Aleutians is tracking east across the islands.
Its associated front is pushing through the Alaska Peninsula
towards the Bristol Bay area. This setup is also bringing cold air
to the other areas around the southwest.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in good agreement with the main synoptic features.
There are however some issues with some of the smaller scales
impacts like how much snow will fall around Southcentral Alaska
Wednesday night into Thursday. The higher resolution models were
chosen to help with these decisions.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...There is uncertainty as to when the approaching front will
make it over Anchorage. This will impact when ceilings will fall
as well as visibility. It looks to be a more gradual decline for
ceilings with intermittent worse conditions, but there is
uncertainty in when these changes will happen. However, the snow
should be light and conditions should stay above IFR.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A triple point low develops this afternoon along the broad warm
occluded front(frontal trough) which extends southeast across the
Gulf. The frontal trough heads north ahead of the triple point low
bringing snow to the northern Gulf and Kenai Peninsula by
afternoon. Some light snow will make it over the Chugach mountains
this afternoon into the Anchorage Bowl and Matanuska and Western
Susitna Valleys. Snow should become mixed with rain along the
coasts by early evening, but will stay cold enough for snow
elsewhere. Storm force winds are expected to develop along the
Barren island marine zones this afternoon with gales elsewhere
ahead of the north moving front and triple point. There could be
some brief blowing snow issues in the Cordova area late this
afternoon before the snow mixes with rain. Some brief periods of
blowing snow are also possible through Portage Valley. Things
could get a little more interesting across the Anchorage Bowl
tonight as the triple point moves near eastern Kenai Pen and the
cross barrier flow diminishes. Probably will see measurable
snowfall, though with model spread on the low position, there is
still a fair amount of uncertainty on snow amounts. Mid level
southerly flow across the Susitna Valley developing tonight
should bring a fair amount of snow (sub-advisory) to the northern
Susitna Valley tonight through Thursday morning. The threat of
snow inland from the Anchorage Bowl north continues into Thursday
night with a mix along the coasts.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The front moving across the Alaska Peninsula this morning will
begin to pivot, and take up residence along the Aleutian and
Alaska Ranges through Thu night before dissipating on Fri. During
this time light snow will fall initially south of King Salmon
today, and then along the Aleutian and Alaska Ranges through Thu
night, ending on Fri. Light snow from this feature will ultimately
affect much of the Bristol Bay zone and Kuskokwim Valley through
the period. While this is happening, cold air and breezy
conditions will affect the Kuskokwim Delta, with advisory level
wind chills this morning and Thu morning. Some weak waves will
then bring some snow showers to the Southwest AK coast on Fri. A
tightening pressure gradient will also develop across the Alaska
Peninsula Thu through Fri with strong winds, especially through
channeled terrain and into marine areas south of the Peninsula.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A low moving rapidly along the Aleutians will spread some rain
and snow along the islands and southern Bering today. Beginning
tonight strong cold advection will sweep across the Bering on
west to northwest flow. This will bring snow showers to the entire
area. On Fri a strong front from a Kamchatka low will bring
significant warming to the western Aleutians with snow changing
to rain as it begins its traverse of the Bering.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7...Fri through Tue)...
Beyond the late week snow threat, be prepared for the coldest
temperatures of the season this weekend. As the afore mentioned
low moves toward SE AK, some more energy will dive from the Seward
Peninsula into the base of the longwave trough over the Gulf. Then
a ridge building over the Bering will serve to reinforce very
cold, dry air moving over the AK Range and into Southcentral AK.
Clouds could help to keep the bottom from falling out, but skies
should clear by Mon allowing for the coldest morning of the 2016
winter.

The cold air will also help to usher in some impressive outflow
winds. Typical places like Thompson Pass, Whittier, and the Copper
River Delta could see very strong gusts. But gaps along the AK
Range will likely see the strongest winds with gusts approaching
hurricane-force as they blast into Shelikof Strait.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Wind Chill Advisory...155.
MARINE...Storm...119 130.
		 Gales...120 125 131 138 139 155 160 165 170 171 172 173
				 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 351 352 411 412
				 413 414.
		 Heavy Freezing Spray...129 140 160 180 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...MO