Small Craft Advisory 942, NWS Anchorage, AK

886 
FZAK51 PAFC 291242
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300215-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 964 MB LOW 270 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVES INLAND NEAR
YAKUTAT TONIGHT AT 976 MB. A FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF
LATE TONIGHT AND MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF BY WED
AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS IN PLACE THROUGH WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-300215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 30 KT FROM MIDDLETON ISLAND NORTH. GUSTS
TO 60 KT NEAR THE COPPER RIVER DELTA IN THE EVENING. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 45
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-300215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-300215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-300215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT TOWARD MORNING.
GUSTS TO 35 KT DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT OUT OF NORTHERN AND
WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-300215-
PORT VALDEZ-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-300215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-300215-
VALDEZ ARM-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-300215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 60 KT NEAR WHITTIER THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 60 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-300215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ131-300215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-300215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-300215-
CHINIAK BAY-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-300215-
MARMOT BAY-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-300215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ139-300215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-300215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-300215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
342 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

436 
FZAK51 PAFC 300012
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301300-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 MB LOW AT 80 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE INLAND 20 NM
NORTHWEST OF YAKUTAT THIS EVENING. A FRONT WILL ENTER THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF LAT TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHERN GULF BY 
WED AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN IN PLACE THROUGH WED NIGHT. ANOTHER
FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-301300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 40 KT SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 16 FT SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-301300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-301300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-301300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-301300-
PORT VALDEZ-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-301300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-301300-
VALDEZ ARM-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD SNOW
AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-301300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-301300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ131-301300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-301300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. WIDESPREAD 
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-301300-
CHINIAK BAY-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 
MIDNIGHT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-301300-
MARMOT BAY-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-301300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-301300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-301300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-301300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
312 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT...STRONGEST NEAR THE OUTER WATERS. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT...STRONGEST NEAR THE OUTER WATERS.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
451 AM AKST Mon Nov 28 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The weather across the Anchorage area of responsibility this
morning remains active, with a shortwave trough and associated
frontal boundary over Southcentral and the northern Gulf moving
quickly northeast toward the Alcan border region and the Yukon.
This feature continues to bring snow to eastern Prince William
Sound north through much of the Copper River Basin. Meanwhile,
cold air spilling through the Alaska Range terrain gaps has helped
to produce a mesoscale surface low near Kenai that is helping to
produce areas of light snow from near Anchorage south across the
western Kenai Peninsula. Dry air at the surface is causing the
snow to largely evaporate in many areas before it reaches the
ground, however.

To the west over the Bering and Southwest Alaska region, low
pressure continues to spin just east of Saint George moving toward
the Alaska Peninsula where it will dissipate into a trough later
today. A front out ahead of this low continues to move northeast
across the Bristol Bay marine area toward the Bristol Bay zone,
but is showing signs of weakening as it does so. Infrared
satellite indicates mostly snow and rain shower activity around
the occluded low.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The GEM Regional seems to be verifying best with QPF associated
with the meso-low over the Cook Inlet region, along with its
associated areas of convergence as cold advection spills into the
region through the Alaska Range. This would indicate low-level
moisture and at least some flurries could linger around the
region through at least this morning, and maybe even through the
afternoon and/or early evening.

Otherwise, models have come into better agreement with low
pressure poised to move north through the Gulf of Alaska and
inland in the vicinity of Yakutat and the southern Alcan border.
This has allowed us enough confidence with outflow winds on the
western periphery to issue a Blizzard Watch through Thompson Pass
for Tuesday, as there is plenty of transportable snow from the
last and ongoing storms for blowing snow conditions to appear. The
main question will be how much snow falls depending on the low
track.

Out west, the GFS and EC are in good agreement with another fast-
moving low traversing the Aleutian chain from west to east late
Monday through mid-week before eventually moving into the Gulf of
Alaska. Forecast confidence with the synoptic features is medium
to high through the next five days.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds are expected throughout the
period, though there is some disagreement this morning through the
afternoon with the degree of low-level moisture remaining. Given
the success of the NAM model the last several days with
forecasting low-level moisture, will carry a SCT015 stratus deck for
much of the morning and afternoon in the TAF.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A developing storm-force low over the Northeastern Pacific
intensifies as it moves to over the northern Panhandle Tuesday
night. Storm-force winds are expected to develop over the offshore
Gulf waters tonight and Tuesday with this system with gales over
some coastal marine locations. The strongest winds are expected om
the backside (west) of the low center track. Pressure gradients
will increase across much of Southcentral Alaska with the approach
of the low center giving rise to brisk to very strong gap flows
beginning early Tuesday morning and continuing into Tuesday night.
The strongest channeled winds are expected across the eastern
Kenai Pen and along the North Gulf Coast. Very strong winds
through Thompson Pass on Tuesday combined with transportable snow
could create blizzard conditions. Wind chills become a concern
Tuesday through Wednesday with gusty winds and cold air spilling
through the gaps along the Alaska Range. The approaching storm
will spread measurable snow to the North Gulf and the Copper River
Basin Tuesday. There is still some uncertainty how far west the
snow will push Tuesday/Tuesday night as models differ some on the
low track.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The front along the southwest AK coast will weaken today with
some lingering snow showers. As the low associated with the
front slowly dissipates over the eastern Bering, dry and gusty
offshore flow will develop throughout much of the southwest
mainland through mid week. With the cold temperatures currently
over the area, this may create nighttime wind chills as low as 30
below in interior locations, especially Tuesday night when the
coldest air will move into the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Cold air advection is strong enough to bring wet snow today to the
eastern Aleutians as the low slowly dissipates to the north. This
will also bring gale-force gusts to the Eastern Aleutians,
however with the warm waters in the southern Bering, areas of
blowing snow are not expected. Afterwards, an active but far less
impactful pattern will continue into mid-week as a gale and storm
force low moves into the western Aleutians beginning late tonight.
This low will then spread rain and gale-force winds throughout
the Aleutians through Wednesday, with another chance of rain/wet
snow for the Pribilofs.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Quite a bit has changed amongst both ensemble and deterministic
guidance since yesterday. As was thought yesterday, an area of low
pressure will skirt the Aleutian Islands Thursday and move into
the Gulf of Alaska on Friday. That is where the similarities end.
Yesterday, models progged this area of low pressure to move across
the northern gulf over Kodiak Island and near Prince William
Sound which would have brought a very decent shot of snowfall
across much of Southcentral Alaska. However, models now prog this
low further south in the Gulf of Alaska which could potentially
keep a good bit of the moisture further south instead of pushing
it inland. At the same time, a brief warm up was expected with the
track of the low pressure system but now it appears that this will
not be the case as the more southern track will likely keep a tap
of colder and drier arctic air over Southwest and Southcentral
Alaska.

The take-away message is that snow chances for interior portions
of Southcentral and Southwest Alaska continue to look quite
disappointing as the synoptic features are tracking just a little
too far north or a little too far south. Some of the coldest
temperatures are expected by next weekend with the potential for
single digit high temperatures over west Anchorage next Sunday.
There is still the potential for snow across Southwest and
Southcentral Alaska as models fluctuate so it's something worth
keeping an eye on.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Watch...131
 		 Wind Chill Advisory...145.
MARINE...Storms...178 351 352
 Gales...119 120 127 129 130-132 155 170 172-177 179 410-414
 Heavy Freezing Spray...180 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CC
AVIATION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...MC