Small Craft Advisory 941, NWS Anchorage, AK

696 
FZAK52 PAFC 291232
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-300145-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 964 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 70 NM EAST OF ATKA AT
966 MB LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVES TO 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY AT
984 MB LATE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-300145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-300145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-300145-
BRISTOL BAY-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-300145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. WIDESPREAD
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-300145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED..SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-300145-
UNALASKA BAY-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-300145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 35 KT BY AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-300145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ174-300145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ175-300145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-300145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ177-300145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. BERING
SIDE...SEAS 13 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT BERING SIDE...27 FT PACIFIC 
SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ178-300145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ179-300145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. WIDESPREAD SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-300145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-300145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-300145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

062 
FZAK52 PAFC 300037
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-301315-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 968 MB LOW AT 125 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK MOVES TO 100 NM EAST OF
DUTCH HARBOR WED AFTERNOON AT 979 MB THEN BECOMES ABSORBED INTO 
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK THU MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-301315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...EXCEPT
NE 25 KT ALONG THE COAST. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT NE 25 KT ALONG THE COAST IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING ALONG THE COAST.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-301315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ160-301315-
BRISTOL BAY-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-301315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-301315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ171-301315-
UNALASKA BAY-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-301315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ173-301315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ174-301315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ175-301315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-301315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ177-301315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT BERING SIDE...27 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ178-301315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 21 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ179-301315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ180-301315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-301315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ185-301315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
337 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 30 KT 
W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
451 AM AKST Mon Nov 28 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The weather across the Anchorage area of responsibility this
morning remains active, with a shortwave trough and associated
frontal boundary over Southcentral and the northern Gulf moving
quickly northeast toward the Alcan border region and the Yukon.
This feature continues to bring snow to eastern Prince William
Sound north through much of the Copper River Basin. Meanwhile,
cold air spilling through the Alaska Range terrain gaps has helped
to produce a mesoscale surface low near Kenai that is helping to
produce areas of light snow from near Anchorage south across the
western Kenai Peninsula. Dry air at the surface is causing the
snow to largely evaporate in many areas before it reaches the
ground, however.

To the west over the Bering and Southwest Alaska region, low
pressure continues to spin just east of Saint George moving toward
the Alaska Peninsula where it will dissipate into a trough later
today. A front out ahead of this low continues to move northeast
across the Bristol Bay marine area toward the Bristol Bay zone,
but is showing signs of weakening as it does so. Infrared
satellite indicates mostly snow and rain shower activity around
the occluded low.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The GEM Regional seems to be verifying best with QPF associated
with the meso-low over the Cook Inlet region, along with its
associated areas of convergence as cold advection spills into the
region through the Alaska Range. This would indicate low-level
moisture and at least some flurries could linger around the
region through at least this morning, and maybe even through the
afternoon and/or early evening.

Otherwise, models have come into better agreement with low
pressure poised to move north through the Gulf of Alaska and
inland in the vicinity of Yakutat and the southern Alcan border.
This has allowed us enough confidence with outflow winds on the
western periphery to issue a Blizzard Watch through Thompson Pass
for Tuesday, as there is plenty of transportable snow from the
last and ongoing storms for blowing snow conditions to appear. The
main question will be how much snow falls depending on the low
track.

Out west, the GFS and EC are in good agreement with another fast-
moving low traversing the Aleutian chain from west to east late
Monday through mid-week before eventually moving into the Gulf of
Alaska. Forecast confidence with the synoptic features is medium
to high through the next five days.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds are expected throughout the
period, though there is some disagreement this morning through the
afternoon with the degree of low-level moisture remaining. Given
the success of the NAM model the last several days with
forecasting low-level moisture, will carry a SCT015 stratus deck for
much of the morning and afternoon in the TAF.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A developing storm-force low over the Northeastern Pacific
intensifies as it moves to over the northern Panhandle Tuesday
night. Storm-force winds are expected to develop over the offshore
Gulf waters tonight and Tuesday with this system with gales over
some coastal marine locations. The strongest winds are expected om
the backside (west) of the low center track. Pressure gradients
will increase across much of Southcentral Alaska with the approach
of the low center giving rise to brisk to very strong gap flows
beginning early Tuesday morning and continuing into Tuesday night.
The strongest channeled winds are expected across the eastern
Kenai Pen and along the North Gulf Coast. Very strong winds
through Thompson Pass on Tuesday combined with transportable snow
could create blizzard conditions. Wind chills become a concern
Tuesday through Wednesday with gusty winds and cold air spilling
through the gaps along the Alaska Range. The approaching storm
will spread measurable snow to the North Gulf and the Copper River
Basin Tuesday. There is still some uncertainty how far west the
snow will push Tuesday/Tuesday night as models differ some on the
low track.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The front along the southwest AK coast will weaken today with
some lingering snow showers. As the low associated with the
front slowly dissipates over the eastern Bering, dry and gusty
offshore flow will develop throughout much of the southwest
mainland through mid week. With the cold temperatures currently
over the area, this may create nighttime wind chills as low as 30
below in interior locations, especially Tuesday night when the
coldest air will move into the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Cold air advection is strong enough to bring wet snow today to the
eastern Aleutians as the low slowly dissipates to the north. This
will also bring gale-force gusts to the Eastern Aleutians,
however with the warm waters in the southern Bering, areas of
blowing snow are not expected. Afterwards, an active but far less
impactful pattern will continue into mid-week as a gale and storm
force low moves into the western Aleutians beginning late tonight.
This low will then spread rain and gale-force winds throughout
the Aleutians through Wednesday, with another chance of rain/wet
snow for the Pribilofs.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Quite a bit has changed amongst both ensemble and deterministic
guidance since yesterday. As was thought yesterday, an area of low
pressure will skirt the Aleutian Islands Thursday and move into
the Gulf of Alaska on Friday. That is where the similarities end.
Yesterday, models progged this area of low pressure to move across
the northern gulf over Kodiak Island and near Prince William
Sound which would have brought a very decent shot of snowfall
across much of Southcentral Alaska. However, models now prog this
low further south in the Gulf of Alaska which could potentially
keep a good bit of the moisture further south instead of pushing
it inland. At the same time, a brief warm up was expected with the
track of the low pressure system but now it appears that this will
not be the case as the more southern track will likely keep a tap
of colder and drier arctic air over Southwest and Southcentral
Alaska.

The take-away message is that snow chances for interior portions
of Southcentral and Southwest Alaska continue to look quite
disappointing as the synoptic features are tracking just a little
too far north or a little too far south. Some of the coldest
temperatures are expected by next weekend with the potential for
single digit high temperatures over west Anchorage next Sunday.
There is still the potential for snow across Southwest and
Southcentral Alaska as models fluctuate so it's something worth
keeping an eye on.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Watch...131
 		 Wind Chill Advisory...145.
MARINE...Storms...178 351 352
 Gales...119 120 127 129 130-132 155 170 172-177 179 410-414
 Heavy Freezing Spray...180 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CC
AVIATION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...MC