Small Craft Advisory 936, NWS Anchorage, AK

062 
FZAK52 PAFC 280041
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-281330-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 995 MB LOW 180 NM NORTH OF SEGUAM ISLAND MOVES TO 45 NM SOUTH OF
SAND POINT MON EVENING AND DISSIPATES TUE MORNING. A 963 MB LOW
310 NM SOUTH OF ATTU TUE MORNING MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTH OF AMCHITKA
ISLAND TUE AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSHES INTO THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-281330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
25 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ155-281330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SW 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ160-281330-
BRISTOL BAY-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ165-281330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT S 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 12
FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ170-281330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT E OF DUTCH
HARBOR IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT DIMINISHING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ171-281330-
UNALASKA BAY-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ172-281330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ173-281330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ174-281330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-281330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. AND RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ176-281330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-281330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-281330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-281330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-281330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
CAPE NEWENHAM. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE
NEWENHAM. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE
NEWENHAM.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-281330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ185-281330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
341 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

602 
FZAK52 PAFC 281229
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-290145-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 993 MB LOW 80 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAINT PAUL MOVES TO NEAR COLD BAY THIS
EVENING AND DISSIPATES TUE MORNING. A NORTH PACIFIC 970 MB LOW MOVES
TO 290 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA LATE TONIGHT AT 963 MB...THEN MOVES TO NEAR
ATKA LATE TUE NIGHT AT 968 MB. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSHES INTO THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON AND STRETCHES ACROSS
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-290145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ155-290145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SW 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 25 KT
BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ160-290145-
BRISTOL BAY-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-290145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-290145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ171-290145-
UNALASKA BAY-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-290145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ173-290145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-290145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-290145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-290145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ177-290145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT BERING SIDE...21 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-290145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ179-290145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-290145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-290145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-290145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
329 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

132 
FZAK52 PAFC 290000
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-291300-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 995 MB LOW 75 NM NORTHWEST OF COLD BAY DISSIPATES TONIGHT. A
955 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK TUE
AFTERNOON AT 964 MB...THEN TO 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR AT
980 MB WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-291300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW WIND 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ155-291300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING 
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-291300-
BRISTOL BAY-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ165-291300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE WIND 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW AND
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-291300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE WIND 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ171-291300-
UNALASKA BAY-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-291300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ173-291300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ174-291300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ175-291300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ176-291300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ177-291300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 14 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS
15 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT BERING SIDE...28 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ178-291300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19
FT BUILDING TO 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ179-291300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-291300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-291300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-291300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
300 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
628 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The main feature affecting Alaska weather today is the low
pressure system rotating its way through the Eastern Bering. This
is a well stacked system with both the surface low and the upper
level low located just north of the AK Pen. The associated
occluded front has made its way across Kodiak and is slowly
marching towards the Southcentral region. The strongest winds with
this system are on the southwest side of the low, with warning
level winds currently affecting the Eastern Aleutians. These
winds are expected to move eastward and affect the western AK Pen
this afternoon as the low crosses the Peninsula.

On the mainland, northeasterly flow in Bristol Bay and the
Kuskokwim Delta is keeping surface temperatures cool and winds
quite gusty. Snow from the occluded front has only made it as far
as Bristol Bay, but this precip combined with the winds is
dropping visibilities to near blizzard conditions this morning and
is expected to continue.

Precip from the occluded front is currently falling as rain in
Kodiak and snow in Homer. The cold dome in place over the mainland
is expected to keep things primarily as snow, except for right
along the coastal regions. This will also push the main low track
further south, limiting the amount of precipitation to make it
inland today.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models have continued on an increasingly southerly track with the
low moving across the AK pen. This will make a difference in the
amount of precipitation to make it into Southcentral and the
Copper River basin over the next few days. There is also a slight
difference in timing of the onset of the precipitation, which
makes the forecast a bit challenging. Current thinking is that the
timing of the NAM is better, but that the GFS is handling the cold
air advection behind the front more accurately -- which would
prolong precip longer than the NAM would indicate.

In the west, a NAM/GFS blend was used for tonight and tomorrow,
trending more toward the GFS as the forecast moves into Sunday.
The quicker trend of the NAM continues through Sunday, which is
why the GFS solution was preferred on the next system to approach
the Aleutians.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Although snow is expected to move over PANC as early as
18z tomorrow, it should be very light with the initial front with
minimal impacts to aviation. As cold air moves in behind the
front, however, snow may increase and last beyond the current TAF
period causing MVFR vis/cig for an extended period.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A strong surface low coming in from the west will cross the
Alaska Peninsula and track across Kodiak Island this evening. North
to northeasterly winds will increase to 45 to 50 knots ahead of
and to the north of the low with similarly strong west to
northwest winds pushing in behind it. Easterly barrier jet winds
to around 45 knots will develop along the northern Gulf coast
tonight. Snow and blowing snow is a concern for the eastern Kenai
Peninsula tonight where brisk east to northeasterly winds will
orographically enhance snowfall rates and blow around the new snow
reducing visibilities. Turnagain Pass and the Portage Valley are
the most likely travel routes to be impacted by these conditions
while new snow piles up in the surrounding mountains.

The large low will gradually weaken as it tracks from west to
east across the Gulf tonight and Sunday. A trailing surface
trough will form into a secondary low over Prince William Sound
Sunday afternoon and persist through Sunday night as a cold upper
level trough crosses the Alaska range and pushes into Southcentral
Alaska. A deformation band forming on the northwest side of the
low will bring light snow to the eastern Kenai Peninsula,
Anchorage Bowl, Matanuska Valley and eastern Susitna Valley
starting late Sunday morning or early afternoon. Accumulations
will be fairly light...in the one inch or less range through late
afternoon before the cold advection dynamics take over and
increase snowfall rates Sunday evening. The heavier snow will
shift east into the Copper River Basin late Sunday night through
Monday as the surface low shifts east along the northern Gulf
Coast.

The next low pressure system will begin spinning up in the North
Pacific Monday and then rapidly deepening as it tracks into the
southern Gulf Monday night and central Gulf of Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
The weakening low that is beginning to exit the Bering will bring
continued snow (heavy at times) along blowing snow from gusty
winds coming into the low. Conditions the low levels became more
moist than expected today as the snow began, which will severely
limit widespread blizzard conditions from developing. The Blizzard
Warning however was allowed to continue into the early evening as
the strongest winds and heaviest snow are currently occurring, so
a few isolated areas briefly reduced to one-quarter mile
visibilities aren't out of the question.

Another surprise was a few snow showers that have briefly reached
as far north as Bethel. These are however not widespread or
intense enough to cause significant blowing snow issues to that
area with gusty easterly winds. Conditions over the Kuskokwim
Delta should then begin to improve by early Sunday morning as weak
ridging moves in. Further to to the south, strong cold air
advection moving into Bristol Bay will allow for snow showers to
continue into much of the day Sunday before clearing from west-
east in the late afternoon/early evening. This will once again be
a brief break in the weather as an a low currently approaching the
Aleutians will bring another round to snow to Bristol Bay late
Sunday-Monday, though winds and snowfall rates will be much less
than the current event. This will be a brief shot of snow, with
most inland areas in western Bristol Bay only receiving an inch
or two of snowfall before ridging brings quieter weather to the
region beginning late Monday-mid week.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
Winds over the eastern Aleutians-AK pen will begin to diminish
by late this evening. Over the eastern Aleutians, the strongest
winds have moved to the east of Dutch Harbor, though strong
westerly winds will continue until late tonight. Further to the
east over the AK pen, high winds will quickly develop late this
afternoon, especially near E-W oriented gaps (such as King Cove),
before diminishing throughout the area by late tonight.

An active pattern will then continue as another storm force low rapidly
approaching the central Aleutians will bring storm force winds to
that area by late tonight before spreading into the southern
Bering. The good news is that this system is expected to be much
weaker than the current Bering low, with impacts expected to be
much less. As this low approaches the Pribilof Islands,
temperatures will likely remain cool enough for a rain/wet snow
mix with gale force winds, however with the warm waters currently
surrounding the area this should not produce any blowing snow
concerns. This low will then move to near the southwest coast on
Monday as it weakens below gale force. Yet another storm force low
will then move into the western Aleutians beginning late Monday,
which will bring gale-storm force winds and rain to the western
half of the region into mid week.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The long term forecast will see a continuation of the active
weather pattern that Alaska has seen over the past one to two
weeks. Another powerful low pressure system will cross from the
North Pacific into the Bering Sea near Adak Tuesday night, which
will bring yet another borderline gale force to storm force low
into the Bering Sea. At the same time, A deepening area of low
pressure in the northern Gulf of Alaska will be sprinting
northward before making landfall along the gulf coast near
Yakutat. Both of these systems are expected to bring plenty of
rainfall/snowfall to much of the area. However, much of Southwest
and Southcentral Alaska will remain on the dry side until
Wednesday night when the frontal boundary associated with the
area of low pressure in the Bering Sea begins pushing inland.

By Thursday afternoon, the area of low pressure in the Bering Sea
will begin moving inland over Southwest Alaska which will likely
bring a showery regime and a bit of warmer air briefly back to the
state. As the low slides eastward Friday and through the weekend,
cold air on the back side of the low will once again filter in
from the Arctic which will allow below normal temperatures to
build back across Southwest and Southcentral Alaska through the
weekend. While it is hard to nail 6 to 8 days out, it appears
that a decent shot of snow will be possible for inland locations
including Anchorage next weekend as the upper level low moves over
Anchorage and downsloping from the frontal boundary gets negated.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning...181.
MARINE...Hurricane Force...150 155.
         Gale...119 120 131 136 137 138 139 141 160 165 170
                173 174 177 180.
         Heavy Freezing Spray...180 180.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...LF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...MMC