Small Craft Advisory 87, NWS Anchorage, AK

838 
FZAK51 PAFC 270036 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

CORRECTED 121

PKZ197-271345-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN
GULF TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THROUGH WED ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. A 945 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 300
NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT 959 MB WED AFTERNOON...THEN FURTHER
WEAKEN TO 972 MB 50 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD THU MORNING BEFORE MOVING
INLAND THU AFTERNOON OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA.

$$

PKZ119-271345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. ALONG
THE COAST...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 25 FT...SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-271345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 55 KT ALONG THE COAST IN THE MORNING. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-271345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
N 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-271345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 45 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN
THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-271345-
PORT VALDEZ-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-271345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-271345-
VALDEZ ARM-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-271345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-271345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 55 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24
FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-271345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT BUILDING TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 25 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE
COAST...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22
FT BECOMING 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-271345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
15 FT EARLY BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-271345-
CHINIAK BAY-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 INCREASING TO 45 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-271345-
MARMOT BAY-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
EARLY BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-271345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 23 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT
SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-271345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-271345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-271345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
336 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

786 
FZAK51 PAFC 270722 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

UPDATED ZONES 121 127 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-272030-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN
GULF TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THROUGH WED ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. A 945 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 300
NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT 959 MB WED AFTERNOON...THEN FURTHER
WEAKEN TO 972 MB 50 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD THU MORNING BEFORE MOVING
INLAND THU AFTERNOON OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA.

$$

PKZ119-272030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. ALONG
THE COAST...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 25 FT...SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-272030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 55 KT ALONG THE COAST IN THE MORNING. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-272030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT...BUILDING TO 4 FT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT DECREASING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-272030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 45 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN
THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-272030-
PORT VALDEZ-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-272030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-272030-
VALDEZ ARM-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-272030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-272030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 55 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
24 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-272030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 25 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE
COAST...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT BECOMING 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-272030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
15 FT EARLY BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-272030-
CHINIAK BAY-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 INCREASING TO 45 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-272030-
MARMOT BAY-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT EARLY BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-272030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-272030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-272030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-272030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1022 PM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
545 AM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA CONTINUES TO PROMOTE
WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS MORNING. INLAND
LOCATIONS REMAIN LIMITED TO MAINLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AS A RESULT
OF PERSISTENT DOWNSLOPE FLOW IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS. FARTHER
WEST...A DEEP LOW IS CROSSING THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTO BRISTOL
BAY AND SPREADING A MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WITH
MAINLY RAIN OVER BRISTOL BAY AND A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND VALLEY. THIS LOW IS EMBEDDED ON THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A RATHER DIFFUSE LONGWAVE TROUGH SPANNING MUCH OF THE
BERING AND NORTH PACIFIC...WITH BENIGN SHOWERY CONDITIONS
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS. WELL TO THE
SOUTH...THE NEXT IN THE SERIES OF DEEP NORTH PACIFIC LOWS TO
IMPACT THE REGION IS BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE NEAR 45N AS IT
INTENSIFIES BENEATH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL
JET OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE SYSTEM
CURRENTLY CROSSING THE ALASKA PENINSULA...BUT STILL DIFFER WITH
SOME OF THE DETAILS REGARDING THE NEXT LOW. THE NEXT LOW WILL
BEGIN TO CURVE NORTHWARD THIS MORNING AND APPROACH THE WESTERN
GULF ON WEDNESDAY. THE INITIAL FORECAST CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM
REVOLVES AROUND THE TIMING OF THE FRONT AS IT ENTERS THE GULF THIS
EVENING AND MOVES TO THE NORTH GULF COAST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THE NAM IS THE OUTLIER FOR THIS ASPECT OF THE SYSTEM AS IT LAGS
BEHIND THE OTHER GUIDANCE BY ROUGHLY 6 HOURS ON THE 00Z RUNS.
THE FOCUS THEN TURNS TO THE PROGRESSION OF THE LOW ITSELF AS IT
APPROACHES THE REGION LATER ON WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS HAVE
GENERALLY STARTED TO CONVERGE ON A SOLUTION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS
AS THE MAIN CIRCULATION MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF AND A
SECONDARY LOW CENTER DEVELOPS OVER BRISTOL BAY...HOWEVER THERE ARE
STILL SOME NOTABLE DIFFERENCES AS THIS EVOLUTION TAKES PLACE.
THESE DIFFERENCES ARE MOST APPARENT WITH RESPECT TO THE GFS AS IT
STRUGGLES WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SECONDARY LOW WHEN THE
SYSTEM APPROACHES THE GULF. THEREFORE THE EC WAS THE PRIMARY MODEL
OF CHOICE FOR THE MORNING PACKAGE...WITH SOME GFS INCORPORATED
EARLY ON WITH THE FRONT. THEN A SWITCH TO THE NAM WAS MADE ON
WEDNESDAY AS FRONTAL TIMING BECOMES LESS OF AN ISSUE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE WEATHER IMPACTS FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECAST WILL BE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW THAT MOVES INTO THE GULF THIS EVENING.
FOR TODAY...MAINLY QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL AS LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE WEAKENS ON ITS
TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST. EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY...DEVELOPING ALONG WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES MOVING INLAND FROM THIS SYSTEM. RAIN ACROSS THE GULF
WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE NEXT NORTH
PACIFIC LOW THAT IS EXPECTED TO TAKE A NORTHWARD TURN THIS
EVENING.

A RAPID CHANGE IN THE WEATHER TAKES PLACE THIS EVENING AS A FRONT
MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF. WIDESPREAD STORM FORCE WINDS
INCREASE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
KODIAK LATE THIS EVENING. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THEN MOVES TO THE
KENAI AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AROUND MIDNIGHT. GAP FLOWS INCREASE ACROSS
THE COASTAL AREAS OVERNIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS
BETWEEN RIDGING OVER THE COPPER RIVER AND THE ADVANCING LOW. A
LARGE PLUME OF MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING HEAVY
PRECIPITATION TO KODIAK ISLAND...THE EASTERN KENAI...AND AREAS
ALONG PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. A BREAK IN THE GUSTY CONDITIONS AND
PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER
ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS AND PRECIPITATION MOVES IN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS A SURFACE LOW ON ITS TRACK NORTH
TOWARD THE KENAI.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

AN INTENSE PACIFIC JET STREAM CONTINUES TO SPIN UP LOWS ALONG THE
EXIT OF THE JET STREAK...WHICH THEN MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA THROUGH THE ALASKA PENINSULA. ANOTHER OF THESE GALE FORCE
LOWS HAS NOW MOVED INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA...BRINGING RAIN
SHOWERS TO THE BRISTOL BAY REGION...WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE
KUSKOKWIM COAST. SOME ACCUMULATING LIGHT SNOW WITH BLOWING SNOW IN
THE MORNING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE DELTA COAST. WARMER WINDS WILL
SWEEP THROUGH ALL OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA TODAY AS THE LOW TRACKS
PARALLEL TO THE COAST...BRINGING PACIFIC AIR INTO THE REGION. THIS
WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL COOL DOWN AS THE LOW CONTINUES
MOVING NORTH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...ANOTHER STRONG MAX GALE FORCE LOW
WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA FROM THE GULF...BRINGING GUSTY
EASTERLY WINDS AND A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW. HOWEVER...AS IS TYPICAL
WITH THIS PATTERN...DOWNSLOPE FORCING WILL BE RATHER PRONOUNCED
WITH PRECIPITATION REMAINING ON THE LIGHT SIDE...EXCEPT IN THE
HIGH MOUNTAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

MOST OF THE BERING CONTINUES TO REMAIN IN A RATHER PERSISTENT
PATTERN OF CYCLONIC AND NORTHEASTERLY FLOW...WITH A TRAIN OF NORTH
PACIFIC LOWS MOVING OUT OF THE PACIFIC INTO THE EASTERN BERING
EVERY DAY OR TWO. THIS GENERAL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY AS BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING DOMINATES. THE THERMAL
GRADIENT WILL REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WITH WARMER AIR TO
THE EAST...AND COLDER AND UNSTABLE AIR TO THE WEST. SNOW SHOWERS
WILL BE QUITE ACTIVE FROM THE WESTERN BERING TO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS...WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN
BERING. ANOTHER NEAR STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE ALASKA
PENINSULA TUE EVENING...THEN WEAKEN OVER THE EASTERN BERING
THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH MULTIPLE
LOWS MOVING THROUGH THE BERING. THIS WILL KEEP SHOWERS THROUGH
MUCH OF THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FOR
SOUTHCENTRAL...THE FLOW WILL BE PRIMARILY SOUTHERLY...RESULTING IN MOST
OF THE RAIN AND SNOW REMAINING CONFINED TO THE NORTH GULF COAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. RIDGING WILL THEN MOVE IN OVER THE
WEEKEND...KEEPING SOME LIGHTER PRECIPITATION ALONG THE COAST. THE
MODELS ARE IN ABOVE AVERAGE AGREEMENT WITH THIS PATTERN AND THE
MOVEMENT OF THE MAJOR FEATURES RESULTING IN ABOVE AVERAGE FORECAST CONFIDENCE.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...185. STORMS...119 120 130 131 132
137 138 139. GALES...125 127 129 136 140 141 150 160.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...DK