Small Craft Advisory 841, NWS Anchorage, AK

088 
FZAK51 PAFC 272329
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281245-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 982 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO 1000
MB 550 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO THE
SOUTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT. A FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM A BERING SEA LOW
ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND SOUTH ALONG 153W BY FRI NIGHT. A 1004 MB LOW
WILL FORM NEAR KODIAK SAT AFTERNOON AND DRIFT TO THE NORTHEAST
THROUGH SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-281245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-281245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-281245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-281245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-281245-
PORT VALDEZ-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-281245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-281245-
VALDEZ ARM-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-281245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-281245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-281245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-281245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-281245-
CHINIAK BAY-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-281245-
MARMOT BAY-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-281245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-281245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-281245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-281245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
329 PM AKDT THU OCT 27 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

918 
FZAK51 PAFC 281119
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290030-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF FRI NIGHT AND
WEAKEN IN PLACE THROUGH SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-290030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-290030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-290030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-290030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-290030-
PORT VALDEZ-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-290030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-290030-
VALDEZ ARM-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-290030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-290030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-290030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-290030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-290030-
CHINIAK BAY-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-290030-
MARMOT BAY-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-290030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-290030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-290030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-290030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
319 AM AKDT FRI OCT 28 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
420 PM AKDT WED OCT 26 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

IR satellite imagery this afternoon shows the intensifying surface
low spinning well to the south of the Alaska Peninsula. The
associated upper level trough and surface baroclinicity are
supporting widespread showers across the southwest mainland
although the main low remains well to the south. In addition, the
associated low level jet on the eastern side of the surface low is
supporting gusty winds through channeled terrain across the Alaska
Peninsula and Kodiak Island. To the west of this system, strong
downward vertical motion is occurring across the Bering and
supporting widely scattered showers and relatively benign
conditions. Across Southcentral, high pressure is partly
maintaining its hold, but upper level clouds associated with the
Alaska Peninsula baroclinic zone continue to push eastward into
the region. As a result, sunny skies are currently limited to the
Copper River Basin.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models remain in generally good agreement in the short term as the low
pressure system south of the Alaska Peninsula drifts into the
southern Gulf of Alaska. Models are still showing much more
disagreement on the development of a triple point along the front
that pushes into Bristol bay Friday. Currently the Canadian model
shows the best compromise between the solutions in terms of
strength and track, but there is still a lot of uncertainty in how
it will develop and bring gusty winds to the southwest mainland
coast.

&&

.AVIATION...

For PANC...LIGHT winds and VFR conditions will persist into
Thursday.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Low pressure south of the Akpen will gradually move southeast
through Fri. An associated front will swing across the Gulf to the
north Gulf coast tonight through Thu. This will bring small craft
level winds to Kodiak Island and Gales to the northwest Gulf
coast and Shelikof Strait through Thu morning. Rain will affect
Kodiak Island through Thu, and then will remain mainly offshore
until some affects the north Gulf coast Thu night into Fri.
Interior zones will be dry with increasing clouds through Fri.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The low currently south of the Alaska Peninsula will continue
east and further into the Gulf of Alaska pulling the frontal
system/deformation band stretched across Bristol Bay and into
Southwest Alaska off to the east tonight through Thursday morning.
The next frontal system will approach the Kuskokwim Delta coast
Thursday night and the Bristol Bay area Friday. Strong
southeasterly winds will increase substantially along the coast
Thursday night and spread further inland Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
An area of low pressure near the western Aleutians will lift east
northeast into the southern Bering as it weakens tonight. A
strengthening low off of the Kamchatka Peninsula will continue to
deepen as it tracks northeastward through the western Bering
while an associated front crosses to the northern and eastern
Bering Thursday night and Friday. A compact but strong frontal
wave developing to the west of Saint Matthew Island Thursday night
will bring storm force winds to the waters north and east of Saint
Matthew Island and the waters north of Nunivak Island Thursday
night through Friday morning. A potentially larger but lower
confidence triple point feature will develop over the eastern
Aleutians Friday morning and lift north into the eastern Bering
Friday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
A very active weather pattern currently over the for the
Bering/Aleutians and southwest Mainland will continue into early
next week. The front associated with a gale force low over the
northern Bering will weaken as it moves the southwest coast,
bringing rain and gusty southerly winds to the area. This front
will also have enough strength to force the persistent Mainland
ridging well east of the area. This will allow for a portion of
the front to move into the Gulf, bringing a chance of rain back to
the north Gulf coast with a cloudy (but generally dry) and warm weekend
for Southcentral.

Starting Sunday, yet another strong low will begin moving through
the western Aleutians. The models have come into much better
agreement in the placement of this low through Monday, allowing
winds/seas over the region to be significantly increased with
today's forecast update. There is now high confidence that this
will become at least a storm force low with at least 30 ft seas over
the central Bering and Aleutians, and has the potential to bring
hurricane force winds to the region with its much stronger
dynamics than the last 2 systems that have moved through the area.
Without the protection of a strong blocking ridge over the
Mainland, the front associated with this low will then move into
the Gulf, bringing increasing winds and chances of rain back into
the north Gulf Coast and Southcentral into early next week. Deep
and warm southerly flow will also accompany this front, allowing
temperatures to rise well above normal late this weekend into the
middle of next week for most of the south Mainland.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm 181 185.
         Gale 120 130 131 132 138 150 155 165 170 171 172 173 174
              175 176 177 178 179 180..

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
LONG TERM...DEK