Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016
Small Craft Advisory 788, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 7, 2016, 3:02 PM AKDT. It was in force for 49 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 7, 2016, 3:02 PM AKDT (23:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 9, 2016, 3:40 PM AKDT
- In force
- 49 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
953 FZAK51 PAFC 072302 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-081230- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE GULF THROUGH LATE SAT NIGHT. A FRONT APPROACHES THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN GULF SAT. $$ PKZ119-081230- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ120-081230- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ121-081230- RESURRECTION BAY- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-081230- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-081230- PORT VALDEZ- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-081230- VALDEZ NARROWS- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-081230- VALDEZ ARM- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-081230- PASSAGE CANAL- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-081230- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-081230- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ132-081230- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ136-081230- CHINIAK BAY- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ137-081230- MARMOT BAY- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-081230- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ139-081230- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-081230- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-081230- KACHEMAK BAY- 302 PM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
5 follow-up statements
395 FZAK51 PAFC 081136 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-090045- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF THROUGH LATE SUN NIGHT. A FRONT MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF LATE TONIGHT WILL STALL AND THEN MOVE WEST OUT OF THE GULF BY SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-090045- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ120-090045- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ121-090045- RESURRECTION BAY- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-090045- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-090045- PORT VALDEZ- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-090045- VALDEZ NARROWS- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-090045- VALDEZ ARM- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-090045- PASSAGE CANAL- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...WEST WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-090045- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ131-090045- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ132-090045- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ136-090045- CHINIAK BAY- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ137-090045- MARMOT BAY- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ138-090045- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ139-090045- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ140-090045- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-090045- KACHEMAK BAY- 336 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
715 FZAK51 PAFC 081621 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 UPDATE TO ZONE 127 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-090330- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF THROUGH LATE SUN NIGHT. A FRONT MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF LATE TONIGHT WILL STALL AND THEN MOVE WEST OUT OF THE GULF BY SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-090330- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ120-090330- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ121-090330- RESURRECTION BAY- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-090330- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-090330- PORT VALDEZ- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-090330- VALDEZ NARROWS- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-090330- VALDEZ ARM- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-090330- PASSAGE CANAL- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...WEST WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-090330- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ131-090330- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ132-090330- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ136-090330- CHINIAK BAY- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ137-090330- MARMOT BAY- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ138-090330- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ139-090330- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ140-090330- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-090330- KACHEMAK BAY- 821 AM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
501 FZAK51 PAFC 082332 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-091300- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. A FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF LATE TONIGHT...STALLS...THEN MOVES BACK WEST OUT OF THE GULF BY SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-091300- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ120-091300- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ121-091300- RESURRECTION BAY- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-091300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-091300- PORT VALDEZ- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-091300- VALDEZ NARROWS- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-091300- VALDEZ ARM- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-091300- PASSAGE CANAL- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-091300- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-091300- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ132-091300- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ136-091300- CHINIAK BAY- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ137-091300- MARMOT BAY- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ138-091300- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ139-091300- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-091300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-091300- KACHEMAK BAY- 332 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
524 FZAK51 PAFC 091133 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-100030- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. A FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE WESTWARD AND OUT OF THE GULF THIS AFTERNOON. A NEW FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF FROM THE SOUTH MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-100030- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ120-100030- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ121-100030- RESURRECTION BAY- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-100030- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-100030- PORT VALDEZ- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-100030- VALDEZ NARROWS- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-100030- VALDEZ ARM- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-100030- PASSAGE CANAL- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-100030- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-100030- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ132-100030- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ136-100030- CHINIAK BAY- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ137-100030- MARMOT BAY- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ138-100030- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ139-100030- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-100030- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-100030- KACHEMAK BAY- 333 AM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
558 FZAK51 PAFC 092340 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-101300- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. A FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE WESTWARD AND OUT OF THE GULF THIS EVENING. A NEW FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF FROM THE SOUTH MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-101300- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ120-101300- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ121-101300- RESURRECTION BAY- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-101300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-101300- PORT VALDEZ- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ127-101300- VALDEZ NARROWS- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-101300- VALDEZ ARM- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ129-101300- PASSAGE CANAL- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ PKZ130-101300- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ131-101300- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ132-101300- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ136-101300- CHINIAK BAY- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ137-101300- MARMOT BAY- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ138-101300- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT EARLY...THEN INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ139-101300- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-101300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-101300- KACHEMAK BAY- 340 PM AKDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 7, 4:53 AM AKDT, 10 hours 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 7, 4:53 AM AKDT, 10 hours 9 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
453 AM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Another starry night once again has unfolded over all of
Southcentral and the portion of southwest Alaska east of Bristol
Bay as high pressure slowly strengthens over the area. This
weather pattern has once again allowed for some of the typical
features one would expect: outflow winds in the gaps near the
coast, numerous areas of calm winds causing excellent radiational
cooling, and widespread frost in those same areas. The only
locales not below freezing are right along the coast from the
southern Kenai Peninsula east through Prince William Sound. The
redevelopment of the Matanuska Valley wind has also helped to keep
portions of the valley and Wasilla warmer as well.
The front hugging the coast of southwest Alaska is in the process
of shearing apart this morning. Clearing skies are noted on
infrared satellite from both the east and west. The brief clearing
from the west over the central Bering is short lived however as
the next deep low moves into the Western Aleutians. ASCAT data
show peak winds of 60-65 knots in a corridor extending west and
south of the developing low on the cold advection side. This low
will be the next feature of interest as it tracks across the
western Bering over the next couple days.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in surprising good agreement with the track and
intensity of ex-typhoon Chaba as it begins to push into the
Western and Central Aleutians today, and into the Central Bering
by Saturday. Models continue to remain in good agreement with the
stalled front lingering over the western coast and far eastern
Bering. This lingering system will eventually be met by the
northeastward tracking front ahead of the remnants of Chaba, as
it tracks through the Eastern Bering this afternoon and evening.
Models show the remnant storm recurving back to the west Saturday
and over eastern Russia by Sunday morning.
The GFS was the preferred model with the above mentioned system,
as well as with a secondary low developing over the Northern
Pacific Saturday morning. This triple point low will develop along
the left exit region of upper jet, and head toward the western
Alaska Peninsula on Saturday. However, model confidence in this
secondary system remains low at this time due to continued model
discrepancies regarding the timing, track, and strength of this
system as it develops over the North Pacific and tracks through
the eastern Bering over the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure will continue over Southcentral Alaska into the
weekend. A front moving into the Kodiak Island area will increase
winds and bring rain Saturday night but is not expected to make it
into the mainland part of Southcentral Alaska. This will keep
mostly sunny skies over the region (except for Kodiak) through
the weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure will keep generally benign weather over the area
through Saturday afternoon. The most active weather in the region
will be along the western capes and Kuskokwim Delta coast where a
frontal system approaching this ridge will bring periods of rain
and gusty southeasterly winds to through Saturday. This front will
then begin to move inland towards Bethel for Saturday evening as
it is reinvigorated by the approaching low over the Bering,
however mainland ridging will prevent it from moving any further
inland. Otherwise sunny skies and offshore flow will keep pleasant
fall weather over the area, without even a chance of patchy
morning valley fog to speak of.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The focus over the Bering sea and Aleutians will continue to be
centered around the remnants of Super Typhoon Chaba which will
redevelop into a hurricane force low as it approaches the region
today. There were some relatively minor changes mainly to slow
the track through the Bering by about 3 hrs for the overnight
forecast updates, but forecast confidence remains good in its
impacts. This system is still expected to bring high winds to the
Central Aleutians today, as well as broad area of storm to
hurricane force winds that will stretch into the western and
northern Bering by Saturday morning. This system will also have a
strong southerly fetch accompanied with it, allowing heavy rain
and seas upwards of 30 feet to develop over the Pacific side of
the Aleutians. By Saturday afternoon, there remains uncertainty
with the track and strength of a secondary low that will develop
near the AKpen, and as a result the forecast remains fairly broad
brushed with areas of gales along the southwest coast. The last
few runs of GFS in particular have been the strongest with this
low and was treated as an outlier, however further model trends
will need to be monitored as more confidence in this deeper
solution would result in increased winds over the eastern Bering
into Sunday.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
From previous discussion...
Dominating high pressure over mainland Alaska looks to continue
into mid next week keeping most of the active weather over the
Bering, Aleutians, and Gulf of Alaska. Confidence does diminish
early next week as the models are struggling with the weaker lows
moving through the pattern. However, there is still some consensus
with the high lingering over the area. As far as when and where
the various lows will impact coastal areas there is much less
certainty based on the models struggling to handle the upper level
pattern. Because of this the ensembles where preferred to get a
middle ground solution.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning...187.
MARINE...Hurricane-Force Wind Warning...176.
Storms...173 175 177 180 185 412 413
Gales...150 155 160 165 170 172 174 178 179 181 411 414.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...DKIn the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 7, 10:26 AM AKDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 1026 AM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 AKZ121-090100- WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER... COOPER LANDING 1026 AM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...SKILAK GLACIER-DAMMED LAKE IS RELEASING... NO FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. RESIDENTS ALONG THE KENAI RIVER, PARTICULARLY IN THE KENAI KEYS AND BIG EDDY AREAS, SHOULD BE AWARE THAT WATER LEVELS WILL BE RISING OVER THE WEEKEND INSTEAD OF FOLLOWING THE NORMAL TREND OF DROPPING BEFORE WINTER. NOW IS THE TIME TO PLAN FOR HIGH WATER AND TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS, INCLUDING SECURING EQUIPMENT AND MOVING ITEMS TO HIGHER GROUND. KENAI RIVER LEVELS AT THE OUTLET OF SKILAK LAKE HAVE BEEN SHOWING A SLIGHT INCREASE SINCE TUESDAY WHILE THE UPPER RIVER AT COOPER LANDING CONTINUES TO STEADILY FALL. BASED ON CURRENT ESTIMATES OF THE SKILAK GLACIER-DAMMED LAKE VOLUME AND THE LIKELY RELEASE RATE, PEAK RIVER LEVELS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT THE KENAI RIVER GAGE BELOW SKILAK LAKE OR AREAS DOWNSTREAM. WATER LEVELS ON SKILAK LAKE AND THE KENAI RIVER DOWNSTREAM FROM SKILAK LAKE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY RISING THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH PEAK WATER LEVELS ON SKILAK LAKE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON OR NEAR TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. SKILAK LAKE IS FORECAST TO RISE APPROXIMATELY 2 TO 3 FEET WITH AREAS DOWNSTREAM ALONG THE KENAI RIVER EXPECTED TO RISE BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 FEET. IN SOME AREAS ALONG THE LOWER KENAI RIVER WATER LEVELS MAY APPROACH BANKFULL. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO COINCIDE WITH THIS GLACIER-DAMMED LAKE RELEASE EVENT. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN THE RATE THAT THE GLACIER-DAMMED LAKE WILL DRAIN. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IF THE LAKE APPEARS TO BE DRAINING FASTER OR SLOWER THAN EXPECTED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 3:26 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Oct 7, 3:38 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Oct 7, 3:38 AM AKDT | Hurricane Force Wind Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Oct 7, 3:38 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Oct 7, 3:39 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Oct 7, 3:39 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Oct 7, 7:39 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 7 hr | |
| Oct 7, 3:02 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 5 days | |
| Oct 7, 3:07 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 7, 3:07 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 13 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.