Small Craft Advisory 753, NWS Anchorage, AK

514 
FZAK51 PAFC 220406 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

UPDATED ZONE 119 125 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221630-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL EXIT TO THE EASTERN GULF
TONIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DEEPEN
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN THROUGH
FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ119-221630-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND INCREASING 
TO 70 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 50 KT TOWARD
MORNING. GUSTS TO 90 KT THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221630-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221630-
RESURRECTION BAY-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT  AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221630-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 70 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 50 KT TOWARD MORNING. GUSTS TO 90 KT OUT OF 
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221630-
PORT VALDEZ-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221630-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221630-
VALDEZ ARM-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221630-
PASSAGE CANAL-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 55 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING 
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221630-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221630-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221630-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221630-
CHINIAK BAY-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221630-
MARMOT BAY-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT  AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221630-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221630-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221630-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221630-
KACHEMAK BAY-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

190 
FZAK51 PAFC 220700 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

UPDATED 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221915-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL EXIT TO THE EASTERN GULF
TONIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DEEPEN
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN THROUGH
FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ119-221915-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND INCREASING  TO
70 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 50 KT TOWARD MORNING.
GUSTS TO 90 KT THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221915-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.   SEAS
12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221915-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.  
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221915-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 70 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 50 KT TOWARD MORNING. GUSTS TO 90 KT OUT OF  BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221915-
PORT VALDEZ-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221915-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.  
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221915-
VALDEZ ARM-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221915-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 55 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
RAIN. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING 
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221915-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221915-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
11 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221915-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221915-
CHINIAK BAY-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
2 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221915-
MARMOT BAY-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT  AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221915-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221915-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221915-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.  
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221915-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

601 
FZAK51 PAFC 221151
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230115-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
FRONT QUICKLY EXITS TO THE EAST THIS MORNING...WEAK TROUGHING
WILL REMAIN THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-230115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. NEAR THE
COAST EAST OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...EAST 45 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT THIS
MORNING. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-230115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-230115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN CHANGING TO SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-230115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 30 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-230115-
PORT VALDEZ-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN CHANGING
TO SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-230115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-230115-
VALDEZ ARM-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT THIS MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-230115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-230115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-230115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-230115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-230115-
CHINIAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-230115-
MARMOT BAY-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-230115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-230115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING SW 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-230115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-230115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

473 
FZAK51 PAFC 222338
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231215-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
WEAK TROUGHING WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF THROUGH SATURDAY. 

$$

PKZ119-231215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231215-
PORT VALDEZ-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231215-
VALDEZ ARM-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231215-
CHINIAK BAY-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231215-
MARMOT BAY-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
338 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. WIND DIMINISHING TO
10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
425 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A storm-force front moving through the western Gulf continues to
bring widespread clouds and rain to much of the Gulf Coast and
the mainland. Downslope prone areas such the Anchorage Bowl and
Matanuska Valley are remaining mostly dry from strong cross-barrier
flow. Ahead of this front, strengthening pressure rises are
beginning to bring near hurricane-force gap winds from the
Portage Valley into Turnagain Arm as well as increasing winds
along the higher elevations around the Anchorage Bowl. Just south
of the Gulf along the front, you can begin to see signs of a wave
developing as it moves northward with the jet. This development
will continue and help to keep active weather to the Gulf into
Thursday. Behind the front the weather quickly becomes much
quieter from Bristol Bay westward in a much drier air mass with
weak cold air advection. This has allowed skies to clear rapidly
from Kodiak Island into the Southwest Mainland with much lighter
winds. Over the Bering, cold air advection associated with a cold
upper low over the Bering is bringing widespread rain showers from
the Pribilofs into the Eastern Aleutians, which will continue to
spread eastward towards the southwest coast today.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
As has been the case over the past few days with this system, the
models all have the same general synoptic-scale idea, but
struggle with some of the finer scale details that are having a
significant impact on forecast confidence. The biggest challenge
is coming from timing and track of the wave that is rapidly
developing south of the Gulf that will begin to move to near
Prince William Sound by this afternoon or evening, but there
remains significant spread in the exact track of it. As a result
changes were pretty minimal to the wind forecast through this
evening, especially near Prince William Sound where the largest
uncertainty in the forecast exists. Once this low and associated
front make landfall by Thursday afternoon, forecast confidence
begins to improve as we move into a much quieter pattern with
better model agreement.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Expect winds to begin to slowly subside through the morning
and early afternoon after frontal passage around 14z to 15z. VFR
cigs should predominate until this afternoon when a more
persistent rain and MVFR cigs may begin to take over and last well
into the overnight. Confidence is lower than usual beginning this
afternoon onward due to forecast uncertainty with low track into
Southcentral.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The main focus in the short term will continue to surround the
storm-force front and it's associated winds and rain. High winds
will continue to increase through the early morning hours along
Turnagain Arm and the Anchorage Hillside before diminishing as the
front begins to weaken this afternoon. Downsloping will also limit
most of the rainfall from reaching the ground throughout the
Anchorage Bowl and Matanuska Valley until this afternoon, when
weakening cross-barrier flow should allow for steady rain down to
the surface. Another concern from this system surrounds how long
heavy rain will continue along the Gulf Coast, and especially for
the Seward area. Early morning radar data is indicating that the
back edge of the heaviest rainfall is racing to the east; however,
the heavy rain will likely redevelop in the late afternoon/early
evening as the next wave approaches from the Gulf. As is mentioned
in the model discussion above there are significant differences in
the timing of this wave, but there is general consensus that heavy
rain will redevelop to the west when the wave approaches the
northern Gulf. This wave will also have an impact on how long the
storm-force winds that are developing along the North Gulf
Coast/Prince William Sound will persist. Recent satellite trends
are indicating a very small break behind the front and the
developing low, so it appears that the gradient should remain
tight enough to keep at least gale-force winds through Wednesday
night, however this may continue to be as strong as storms as some
of the models are indicating.

&&

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The southwest mainland will shift to a much more benign pattern
today as the intense North Pacific wave riding along the front
into the Kuskokwim Valley departs to the north. This will yield
widespread cloudy and showery conditions over the area through
Thursday night in persistent onshore flow ahead of the sprawling
Bering low as it gradually approaches the coast. This will
generally keep the heaviest shower activity along the coast, with
a slight chance for a few thunderstorms along the immediate coast
of the Kuskokwim Delta this afternoon and spreading to the
Bristol Bay coastline on Thursday as the pool of cold air aloft
associated with the low center shifts eastward towards the
mainland.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The large low near Saint Matthew Island will remain the dominant
weather feature through Thursday night as it continues to fill and
make slow eastward progress towards the southwest coastline. This
will keep widespread showers and Small Craft Advisory-level winds
over much of the Bering for the next few days in broad cyclonic
flow around the low. There will also continue to be a slight
chance for thunderstorms over a large swath of the eastern Bering
in this timeframe as cold air aloft moving over the relatively
warm waters continues to generate modest instability.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Main forecast update from Friday and Friday night was to add the
mention of slight chance of thunderstorms to Gulf offshore and
outer coastal zones as the combination of colder air aloft
combined with extremely warm SSTs will make for unstable
conditions over these areas.

From previous discussion...

Beginning the extended period forecast Thursday evening,there will
be expansive upper troughing stretching from the western Bering
Sea to the southeast coast of Alaska. The remnants of a strong low
will be moving north toward the northeast Brooks Range/North Slope
leaving behind it a broad area of showers over southern Alaska and
the coast. On Friday, a digging Arctic trough will move into
southwest Alaska then move east through Southcentral Sunday and
Sunday night. This will be a weak low, but it will help to
organize precipitation along and west of the Alaska Range then
across most of Southcentral. Colder air behind this low along with
the development of shortwave ridging should allow for seasonably
cool temps to develop Sunday night and Monday.

Thereafter, all the global models continue to show some level of
continuity with the large-scale pattern even though they differ
with the details. Sometime Monday, another weakening piece of
upper level potential vorticity will split off the polar low and
dig through the eastern Bering into the western Gulf of Alaska.
This west to northwest flow pattern will favor precipitation
remaining west of and along the Alaska Range. A progressive and
fast west to northwest flow pattern will persist into late week as
the model solutions show a noisier pattern as the flow becomes
lower amplitude. Currently, the main storm track will generally
remain over eastern Siberia into the far western Bering Sea where
the active Polar Jet looks to remain through the extended.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning...101 125 135.
         Flood Advisory...125 161.
MARINE...Storms...119 125.
         Gales...120 127-129.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...JA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1038 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 W GLEN ALPS           61.10N 149.71W
09/21/2016  M103 MPH                            AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SUSTAINED WINDS 37 MPH, GUSTING TO 103 MPH.

&&

RDUELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1051 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0639 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WSW CORDOVA           60.54N 145.77W
09/21/2016  M76 MPH                             AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SUSTAINED 24 MPH GUSTING TO 76 MPH MEASURED.

&&

RDUELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1106 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW CORDOVA           60.56N 145.75W
09/21/2016  M63 MPH                             AK   BUOY

&&

RDUELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1108 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0639 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WSW CORDOVA           60.54N 145.77W
09/21/2016  M87.00 MPH                          AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SUSTAINED 28 MPH GUSTING TO 87 MPH MEASURED.

&&

RDUELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1204 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1203 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW RABBIT CREEK      61.11N 149.84W
09/21/2016                                      AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TWO SECTIONS OF FENCE BLOW OVER IN WIND. POWER WAS OUT
            FOR A BRIEF PERIOD.

&&

BLUDWIG