Gale Warning 536, NWS Anchorage, AK

149 
FZAK51 PAFC 211903 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

CORRECTED ZONE 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220715-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF MOVES TO THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS MORNING AND REMAINS THROUGH THU. A 989 MB
LOW DEVELOPS 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY THIS AFTERNOON AND
MOVES INLAND 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF WHITTIER LATE TONIGHT AT 979 MB.

$$

PKZ119-220715-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 60 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 18 FT
BUILDING TO 28 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 55 KT
DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-220715-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26
FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-220715-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-220715-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-220715-
PORT VALDEZ-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-220715-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-220715-
VALDEZ ARM-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-220715-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-220715-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-220715-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22
FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-220715-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-220715-
CHINIAK BAY-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-220715-
MARMOT BAY-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-220715-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-220715-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-220715-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-220715-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1103 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

563 
FZAK51 PAFC 212347
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221315-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL EXIT TO THE EASTERN GULF
TONIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DEEPEN
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN THROUGH
FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ119-221315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 55 KT. 
GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
70 KT...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221315-
PORT VALDEZ-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221315-
VALDEZ ARM-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221315-
CHINIAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221315-
MARMOT BAY-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

514 
FZAK51 PAFC 220406 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

UPDATED ZONE 119 125 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221630-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL EXIT TO THE EASTERN GULF
TONIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DEEPEN
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN THROUGH
FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ119-221630-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND INCREASING 
TO 70 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 50 KT TOWARD
MORNING. GUSTS TO 90 KT THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221630-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221630-
RESURRECTION BAY-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT  AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221630-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 70 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 50 KT TOWARD MORNING. GUSTS TO 90 KT OUT OF 
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221630-
PORT VALDEZ-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221630-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221630-
VALDEZ ARM-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221630-
PASSAGE CANAL-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 55 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING 
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221630-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221630-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221630-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221630-
CHINIAK BAY-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221630-
MARMOT BAY-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT  AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221630-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221630-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221630-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221630-
KACHEMAK BAY-
806 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

190 
FZAK51 PAFC 220700 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

UPDATED 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221915-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL EXIT TO THE EASTERN GULF
TONIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DEEPEN
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN THROUGH
FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ119-221915-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND INCREASING  TO
70 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 50 KT TOWARD MORNING.
GUSTS TO 90 KT THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221915-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.   SEAS
12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221915-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.  
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221915-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 70 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 50 KT TOWARD MORNING. GUSTS TO 90 KT OUT OF  BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221915-
PORT VALDEZ-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221915-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.  
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221915-
VALDEZ ARM-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221915-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 55 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
RAIN. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING 
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221915-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221915-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
11 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221915-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221915-
CHINIAK BAY-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
2 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221915-
MARMOT BAY-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT  AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221915-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221915-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221915-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.  
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221915-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1100 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

601 
FZAK51 PAFC 221151
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230115-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
FRONT QUICKLY EXITS TO THE EAST THIS MORNING...WEAK TROUGHING
WILL REMAIN THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-230115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. NEAR THE
COAST EAST OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...EAST 45 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT THIS
MORNING. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-230115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-230115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN CHANGING TO SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-230115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 30 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-230115-
PORT VALDEZ-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN CHANGING
TO SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-230115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-230115-
VALDEZ ARM-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT THIS MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-230115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-230115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-230115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-230115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-230115-
CHINIAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-230115-
MARMOT BAY-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-230115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-230115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING SW 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-230115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-230115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
500 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Two high amplitude features dominate the weather across the region
with a ridge currently encompassing the Gulf of Alaska and the
mainland, and a low over the Bering. The powerful front associated
with the Bering low is currently moving into western Gulf of
Alaska towards Kodiak Island. Due to the strong pressure gradient
associated with the front, gap winds are already occurring across
the Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage Bowl and Matanuska Valley ahead of
the front. An upper level jet stretching between the ridge and low
is currently supporting southwest flow at mid levels and is
helping to support weak mountain waves and gusty winds across the
Anchorage Bowl this morning. The jet is also helping to transport
copious amounts of moisture northwards and is expected to support
heavy rainfall at times across the Western Kenai beginning this
evening.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
While models have locked on well to a solution for the eastward
progression of the low and relative stubbornness of the ridge,
models still disagree slightly on the progression of the associated
front across the gulf of alaska overnight. These differences are
fairly small, but enough to change how strong winds are across
local gaps tonight, and how far down the local mountainside winds
will travel. Models also appear to be lagging the event slightly,
so there is a chance that strong winds occur faster than expected.
For Wednesday night into Thursday the question remains how quickly
the low level coastal jet intensifies along the northern Gulf and
how far it extends into Prince William Sound.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Strong winds and rain develop rapidly this evening as the Bering
storm system lifts a triple point low just southeast of Kodiak
Island north toward the Cook Inlet. The impacts from this storm
shift toward the east into Thursday as another surface low develops
in the Pacific and races toward the northeast Gulf coast.

The main concerns with this afternoon's forecast package were the
various wind and flood products. With the front moving across the
area into Wednesday, flood advisories are now in effect for both
Tuxedni Bay along the southern Inlet and for streams and rivers of
the Seward area. The high wind warnings that were previously issued
were kept intact for portions of Anchorage Bowl, Turnagain Arm,
Portage Valley, and Cordova area. However, models are starting to
trend toward a faster push of the front into the interior, which
may taper winds down earlier than expected. The exception to this
is Cordova where strong winds will linger. The pressure gradient
along the Northeast Gulf will be re-enforced by the next surface
low moving up from the Pacific.

Heading into Thursday, the Bering storm sends a strong shortwave
from the western Gulf to the northeast Gulf which then lifts the
surface trough towards the the central interior. This spreads rain
across the Copper River and back toward Prince William Sound and
then to the areas further west and north. The wave will also
advect a colder air mass into the Gulf bringing higher instability
along the newly developing Pacific low. Added the mention for
isolated thunderstorms across the Gulf waters as the shortwave
moves to the coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A strong front currently stalled over the Southwest mainland
today will quickly hasten it's pace eastward as a triple point
low ramps up south of the Alaska Peninsula this evening and pushes
the front into the Gulf region. Forecast concerns remain focused
around the rapid development of the above mentioned triple point
low, which models continue to show quickly intensifying through
later this evening as it rides northward along the front into
interior Bristol Bay. In addition to enhancing moderate to heavy
rainfall over much of the area, this feature will also bring the
potential for strong southeast winds, especially through Kamishak
Pass and over parts of the Bristol Bay interior as the pressure
gradient rapidly tightens ahead of the system.

Forecast thinking with respect to these winds is largely unchanged
from the previous forecast packages, with winds peaking this
evening before quickly diminishing later tonight after the passage
of the low. Conditions will begin to improve by Wednesday morning
as the system quickly departs to the north, with broad onshore
flow ahead of the sprawling Bering low supporting a more benign
cloudy and showery regime through Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The large vertically stacked low in the central Bering will
remain the dominant feature impacting the weather over the region
through Thursday, as it slowly fills and tracks southeastward to
the vicinity of Nunivak Island through Wednesday night and
approaches the Western Capes by Thursday. This will support
widespread shower activity and Small Craft Advisory level winds,
with a smaller area of embedded gales today on the south and west
side of the low center. A pool of cold air aloft associated with
the low center will also continue to enhance instability and bring
the chance for a few thunderstorms to the central Bering and
Pribilof Islands through tonight. The potential for thunderstorms
continues to spread south and eastward as the low approaches the
southwest coast, extending the potential for thunderstorms over
the Eastern Aleutians/Bering and Alaska Peninsula on Wednesday and
Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Beginning the extended period forecast Thursday evening,there
will be expansive upper troughing stretching from the western
Bering Sea to the southeast coast of Alaska. The remnants of a
strong low will be moving north toward the northeast Brooks
Range/North Slope leaving behind it a broad area of showers over
southern Alaska and the coast. On Friday, a digging arctic trough
will move into Southwest Alaska then move east through Southcentral
Sunday and Sunday night. This will be a weak low, but it will help
to organize precipitation along and west of the Alaska Range then
across most of Southcentral. Colder air behind this low along with
the development of shortwave ridging should allow for seasonably
cool temps to develop Sunday night and Monday.

Thereafter, all the global models continue to show some level of
continuity with the large scale pattern even though they differ
with the details. Sometime Monday, another weakening piece of
upper level potential vorticity will split off the polar low and
dig through the eastern Bering into the western Gulf of Alaska.
This west to northwest flow pattern will favor precipitation
remaining west of and along the Alaska Range. A progressive and
fast west to northwest flow pattern will persist into late week as
the model solutions show a noisier pattern as the flow becomes
lower amplitude. Currently, the main storm track will generally
remain over eastern Siberia into the far western Bering Sea where
the active Polar Jet looks to remain through the extended.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning 101 125 135. Flood Advisory 125 161 171.
MARINE...Storm Warning 119 120 125 128 129 130 131 132 139 141.
         Gale Warning 121 127 136 137 138 150.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...JA