Small Craft Advisory 74, NWS Anchorage, AK

876 
FZAK52 PAFC 230019
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-231300-
100 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST
ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS...

A 969 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MERGE WITH A DEVELOPING
974 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR SAT EVENING. THIS LOW
WILL THEN BECOME ABSORBED INTO ANOTHER DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC
LOW THAT WILL MOVE TO 450 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK AT 954 MB SUN AFTERNOON.
A 971 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK SAT AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO
75 NM SOUTHWEST OF DILLINGHAM AT 979 MB SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-231300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ155-231300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ160-231300-
BRISTOL BAY-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-231300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-231300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-231300-
UNALASKA BAY-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-231300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ173-231300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-231300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-231300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-231300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-231300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-231300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-231300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-231300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-231300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-231300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
319 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

932 
FZAK52 PAFC 231236
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-240115-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 972 MB LOW 200 NM S OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 210 NM S OF NIKOLSKI AT
977 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT. A 968 MB LOW 240 NM S OF
SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO NEAR CHIGNIK AT 975 MB LATE TONIGHT AND
THEN MOVE INLAND OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA SUN MORNING. ANOTHER
NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 310 NM S OF SITKINAK AT 954 MB BY
EARLY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-240115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ155-240115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ160-240115-
BRISTOL BAY-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-240115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-240115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-240115-
UNALASKA BAY-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-240115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ173-240115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-240115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-240115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-240115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-240115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-240115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-240115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-240115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-240115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-240115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

240 
FZAK52 PAFC 240010
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-241245-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 975 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WILL MOVE TO 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF
ATKA AT 977 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT. A 968 MB LOW 120
NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY AT 978 MB
SUN MORNING AND DISSIPATES. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 370
NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 951 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES
TO 85 NM EAST OF SAND POINT AT 957 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-241245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ155-241245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ160-241245-
BRISTOL BAY-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-241245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-241245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ171-241245-
UNALASKA BAY-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-241245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-241245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-241245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-241245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-241245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-241245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-241245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ179-241245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-241245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-241245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-241245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
425 PM AKST THU JAN 21 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
UPPER LEVELS THIS MORNING HAVE A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH OVER THE
STATE WITH A COLD CORE LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND A STRONG
RIDGE EXTENDING FROM CANADA INTO THE INTERIOR. ANOTHER RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO THE ALEUTIANS...SEPARATING THE
LOW IN THE GULF OF AK FROM ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW WEST OF THE
ALEUTIANS. AT THE SURFACE BOTH SYSTEMS ARE WELL STACKED WITH
OCCLUDED FRONTS EXTENDING FROM THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER. BOTH
FRONTS ARE DETERIORATING AND WINDS ARE DECREASING IN THE ALEUTIANS
AS WELL AS ON LAND. THE FRONT MOVING NORTHWARD ONTO THE GULF
COAST IS DETERIORATING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DO SO AS IT
MOVES ONSHORE. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE FRONT MOVING ONSHORE AND
THE RIDGE IN THE INTERIOR IS CAUSING SOME OUTFLOW WINDS AROUND
SOUTHCENTRAL THIS MORNING BUT AS THIS FRONT BREAKS DOWN...THE
GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN AND OUTFLOW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE
TODAY. FURTHER WEST...BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS A WEAK DEFORMATION
BAND HAS SET UP OVER THE PRIBILOFS BRINGING SNOW TO THE AREA THIS
MORNING. THIS DEFORMATION BAND IS ALSO EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND MOVE
WESTWARD SO CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TODAY...NOT JUST IN THE SHORT TERM
BUT IN THE LONG TERM AS WELL. ONE MINOR DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE
MODELS IS IN THE AMOUNT OF WARM AIR MOVING INTO SOUTHCENTRAL. GFS
IS MUCH MORE BULLISH WITH PLENTY OF WARM AIR MAKING IT ACROSS THE
COASTAL RANGES...WHILE NAM PREFERS TO KEEP IT COLD. THIS WILL MAKE
A DIFFERENCE WITH REGARD TO PRECIPITATION TYPE ALTHOUGH MOST OF
THE PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO REMAIN SOUTH ALONG THE COAST. A
GEM/NAM BLEND WAS PREFERRED FOR THE SHORT TERM...WITH A TREND
TOWARDS EC/GFS AT 60 HOURS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BROAD LOW OVER THE GULF WILL CONTINUE TO BRING AREAS OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS TO THE GULF COAST WITH GUSTY OFFSHORE FLOW INTO
FRIDAY. THESE WINDS ARE LARGELY A RESULT OF THE TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
INTERIOR AS COLD AIR ADVECTION IS WEAK IN MOST PLACES OUTSIDE OF
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BEGIN TO DIMINISH ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN MOST AREAS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FALLS.
PRECIPITATION ON THE OTHER HAND WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
TOMORROW AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST...BRINGING
ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GULF COAST.
THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE THROUGH THOMPSON PASS AS WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BLOW DUE TO STRONGER COLD AIR ADVECTION FROM THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN. THIS WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW
THROUGH THOMPSON PASS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...BUT WITH LITTLE
TRANSPORTABLE SNOW CURRENTLY IN THE PASS BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE
NOT EXPECTED. INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHCENTRAL WILL CONTINUE TO
EXPERIENCE FAIRLY BENIGN CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIP CHANCES AND LIGHT WINDS. ON SATURDAY
THE NEXT FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE GULF...SPREADING WINDS
(POSSIBLY GALE FORCE) ALONG WITH RAIN INTO KODIAK ISLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

COLD AND DRY NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ALASKA HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WHICH
WILL HELP SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
SUNDAY APPEARS MORE PROMISING FOR SNOW/RAIN CHANCES AS AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND. SOME
WARMER AIR WILL BE ADVECTED NORTHWARD SOUTH OF KING SALMON ON
SUNDAY WHICH WILL CAUSE A TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO RAIN SOUTH OF
KING SALMON ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE NEAR NORMAL
BUT BY THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM 10 TO 20 ABOVE ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND IN THE 30S ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE MID 20S ACROSS
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM DELTA SUNDAY AFTERNOON
WHILE HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO NEAR 40 DEGREES ACROSS THE
BRISTOL BAY REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A WEAKENING FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS TONIGHT. SATELLITE IMAGES FROM THIS AFTERNOON HAVE SHOWN
THE FRONT GETTING SHEARED APART WHILE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW
WIND GUSTS NO LONGER ANYWHERE NEAR GALE FORCE. THE REMAINS OF THE
PARENT LOW WILL DRIFT JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...HELPING TO SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER A
LARGE PORTION OF THE BERING SEA. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE
A BIT HIGHER OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA AS ENERGY CONTINUES TO
WRAP AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC/SOUTHERN
BERING SEA. A FAIRLY ROBUST VORTICITY MAXIMUM WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA AS WELL FRIDAY MORNING WHICH WILL HELP
INVIGORATE SHOWER DEVELOPMENT AS WELL.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

A PARADE OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTH FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA BEFORE QUICKLY FALLING APART.
THIS WILL USHER NORTHWARD A MUCH WARMER AIR MASS THAT WILL RESULT
IN A STRETCH OF SEVERAL DAYS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHERE PERIODIC HEAVIER RAIN AND SNOW CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG SOUTH AND EAST-FACING SLOPES OF SOUTHERN
ALASKA...WITH ONLY OCCASIONAL...BUT PERHAPS NOT
INCONSEQUENTIAL...PERIODS OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION ON THE LEE SIDES
WHERE THE POPULATION CENTERS ARE LOCATED.

WITH SUCH A WARM AIR MASS ALOFT MOVING OVER THE VALLEY INVERSIONS
TRAPPING COLDER AIR NEAR THE SURFACE...AT LEAST INITIALLY THERE
MAY BE PRECIPITATION-TYPE CONCERNS AS SOON AS SUNDAY...WITH LIGHT
RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN A POSSIBILITY...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN
ANY SPECIFIC EVENT AT THIS TIME. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BE A
CONCERN...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THOUGH AT THIS TIME
THERE APPEAR TO BE NO SURE-FIRE HIGH WIND EVENTS...BUT THIS COULD
CHANGE AS MODELS GET A BETTER GRASP ON THE PARADE OF SYSTEMS
MOVING TOWARD THE REGION FROM THE PACIFIC.

TO THE WEST...MOST OF THIS REGION WILL BE ON THE NORTH AND WEST
SIDE OF THE PARADE OF LOWS MOVING NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN ALASKA
MAINLAND. THIS WILL MEAN MAINLY NORTHERLY COLD ADVECTION FLOW WITH
WIDESPREAD SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS FOR MUCH OF THE
BERING.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 119 120 131 178 411.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...LF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...CC