Small Craft Advisory 73, NWS Anchorage, AK

896 
FZAK51 PAFC 230017
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231330-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 984 MB LOW 75 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL DISSIPATE NEAR THE BARREN
ISLANDS TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF SAT MORNING
THEN MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST SAT NIGHT. A 971 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTH
OF CHIGNIK TONIGHT WILL BE A 973 MB LOW 50 NM NORTHEAST OF CHIGNIK SAT
NIGHT THEN WEAKEN TO 979 MB LOW 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF DILLINGHAM SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-231330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231330-
PORT VALDEZ-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231330-
VALDEZ ARM-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231330-
CHINIAK BAY-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231330-
MARMOT BAY-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
317 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
425 PM AKST THU JAN 21 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
UPPER LEVELS THIS MORNING HAVE A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH OVER THE
STATE WITH A COLD CORE LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND A STRONG
RIDGE EXTENDING FROM CANADA INTO THE INTERIOR. ANOTHER RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO THE ALEUTIANS...SEPARATING THE
LOW IN THE GULF OF AK FROM ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW WEST OF THE
ALEUTIANS. AT THE SURFACE BOTH SYSTEMS ARE WELL STACKED WITH
OCCLUDED FRONTS EXTENDING FROM THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER. BOTH
FRONTS ARE DETERIORATING AND WINDS ARE DECREASING IN THE ALEUTIANS
AS WELL AS ON LAND. THE FRONT MOVING NORTHWARD ONTO THE GULF
COAST IS DETERIORATING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DO SO AS IT
MOVES ONSHORE. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE FRONT MOVING ONSHORE AND
THE RIDGE IN THE INTERIOR IS CAUSING SOME OUTFLOW WINDS AROUND
SOUTHCENTRAL THIS MORNING BUT AS THIS FRONT BREAKS DOWN...THE
GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN AND OUTFLOW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE
TODAY. FURTHER WEST...BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS A WEAK DEFORMATION
BAND HAS SET UP OVER THE PRIBILOFS BRINGING SNOW TO THE AREA THIS
MORNING. THIS DEFORMATION BAND IS ALSO EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND MOVE
WESTWARD SO CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TODAY...NOT JUST IN THE SHORT TERM
BUT IN THE LONG TERM AS WELL. ONE MINOR DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE
MODELS IS IN THE AMOUNT OF WARM AIR MOVING INTO SOUTHCENTRAL. GFS
IS MUCH MORE BULLISH WITH PLENTY OF WARM AIR MAKING IT ACROSS THE
COASTAL RANGES...WHILE NAM PREFERS TO KEEP IT COLD. THIS WILL MAKE
A DIFFERENCE WITH REGARD TO PRECIPITATION TYPE ALTHOUGH MOST OF
THE PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO REMAIN SOUTH ALONG THE COAST. A
GEM/NAM BLEND WAS PREFERRED FOR THE SHORT TERM...WITH A TREND
TOWARDS EC/GFS AT 60 HOURS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BROAD LOW OVER THE GULF WILL CONTINUE TO BRING AREAS OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS TO THE GULF COAST WITH GUSTY OFFSHORE FLOW INTO
FRIDAY. THESE WINDS ARE LARGELY A RESULT OF THE TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
INTERIOR AS COLD AIR ADVECTION IS WEAK IN MOST PLACES OUTSIDE OF
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BEGIN TO DIMINISH ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN MOST AREAS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FALLS.
PRECIPITATION ON THE OTHER HAND WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
TOMORROW AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST...BRINGING
ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GULF COAST.
THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE THROUGH THOMPSON PASS AS WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BLOW DUE TO STRONGER COLD AIR ADVECTION FROM THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN. THIS WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW
THROUGH THOMPSON PASS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...BUT WITH LITTLE
TRANSPORTABLE SNOW CURRENTLY IN THE PASS BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE
NOT EXPECTED. INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHCENTRAL WILL CONTINUE TO
EXPERIENCE FAIRLY BENIGN CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIP CHANCES AND LIGHT WINDS. ON SATURDAY
THE NEXT FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE GULF...SPREADING WINDS
(POSSIBLY GALE FORCE) ALONG WITH RAIN INTO KODIAK ISLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

COLD AND DRY NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ALASKA HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WHICH
WILL HELP SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
SUNDAY APPEARS MORE PROMISING FOR SNOW/RAIN CHANCES AS AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND. SOME
WARMER AIR WILL BE ADVECTED NORTHWARD SOUTH OF KING SALMON ON
SUNDAY WHICH WILL CAUSE A TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO RAIN SOUTH OF
KING SALMON ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE NEAR NORMAL
BUT BY THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM 10 TO 20 ABOVE ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND IN THE 30S ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE MID 20S ACROSS
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM DELTA SUNDAY AFTERNOON
WHILE HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO NEAR 40 DEGREES ACROSS THE
BRISTOL BAY REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A WEAKENING FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS TONIGHT. SATELLITE IMAGES FROM THIS AFTERNOON HAVE SHOWN
THE FRONT GETTING SHEARED APART WHILE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW
WIND GUSTS NO LONGER ANYWHERE NEAR GALE FORCE. THE REMAINS OF THE
PARENT LOW WILL DRIFT JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...HELPING TO SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER A
LARGE PORTION OF THE BERING SEA. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE
A BIT HIGHER OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA AS ENERGY CONTINUES TO
WRAP AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC/SOUTHERN
BERING SEA. A FAIRLY ROBUST VORTICITY MAXIMUM WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA AS WELL FRIDAY MORNING WHICH WILL HELP
INVIGORATE SHOWER DEVELOPMENT AS WELL.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

A PARADE OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTH FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA BEFORE QUICKLY FALLING APART.
THIS WILL USHER NORTHWARD A MUCH WARMER AIR MASS THAT WILL RESULT
IN A STRETCH OF SEVERAL DAYS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHERE PERIODIC HEAVIER RAIN AND SNOW CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG SOUTH AND EAST-FACING SLOPES OF SOUTHERN
ALASKA...WITH ONLY OCCASIONAL...BUT PERHAPS NOT
INCONSEQUENTIAL...PERIODS OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION ON THE LEE SIDES
WHERE THE POPULATION CENTERS ARE LOCATED.

WITH SUCH A WARM AIR MASS ALOFT MOVING OVER THE VALLEY INVERSIONS
TRAPPING COLDER AIR NEAR THE SURFACE...AT LEAST INITIALLY THERE
MAY BE PRECIPITATION-TYPE CONCERNS AS SOON AS SUNDAY...WITH LIGHT
RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN A POSSIBILITY...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN
ANY SPECIFIC EVENT AT THIS TIME. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BE A
CONCERN...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THOUGH AT THIS TIME
THERE APPEAR TO BE NO SURE-FIRE HIGH WIND EVENTS...BUT THIS COULD
CHANGE AS MODELS GET A BETTER GRASP ON THE PARADE OF SYSTEMS
MOVING TOWARD THE REGION FROM THE PACIFIC.

TO THE WEST...MOST OF THIS REGION WILL BE ON THE NORTH AND WEST
SIDE OF THE PARADE OF LOWS MOVING NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN ALASKA
MAINLAND. THIS WILL MEAN MAINLY NORTHERLY COLD ADVECTION FLOW WITH
WIDESPREAD SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS FOR MUCH OF THE
BERING.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 119 120 131 178 411.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...LF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...CC