Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 726, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 12, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 12, 2016, 3:59 PM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 12, 2016, 3:59 PM AKDT (23:59 UTC)
Expired
Sep 14, 2016, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

293 
FZAK52 PAFC 122359
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131300-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 978MB LOW 310 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 326 NM SOUTHWEST
OF ATKA AT 977 MB ON TUESDAY AND THEN WEAKENS TO 980 MB AND MOVES
TO 286 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR ON WEDNESDAY.

$$

PKZ150-131300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-131300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-131300-
BRISTOL BAY-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-131300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...VARIABLE
WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-131300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-131300-
UNALASKA BAY-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-131300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-131300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-131300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-131300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-131300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ177-131300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 10 FT. PAC SIDE...SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE... 21 FT PAC
SIDE.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-131300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-131300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-131300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-131300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-131300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
359 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 30 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY
FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... NE 40 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
2 follow-up statements
356 
FZAK52 PAFC 131201
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-140045-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 979 MB LOW 160 NM
SOUTH OF SHEMYA MOVES TO NEAR AMCHITKA AT 977 MB ON TUE AFTERNOON
AND THEN WEAKENS TO 984 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR SEGUAM ON WED
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-140045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-140045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-140045-
BRISTOL BAY-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-140045-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-140045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-140045-
UNALASKA BAY-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-140045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-140045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-140045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-140045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-140045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ177-140045-
ADAK TO KISKA-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 10 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...21 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE... 17 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-140045-
KISKA TO ATTU-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-140045-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-140045-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-140045-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-140045-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
401 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 30 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
725 
FZAK52 PAFC 132324
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-141200-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 978 MB LOW 150 NM WEST OF ADAK MOVES 70 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH
HARBOR AT 986 MB THU AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSHES OVER
THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND EXTENDS SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. A 985 MB LOW FORMS 105 NM
NORTH OF COLD BAY THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-141200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-141200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-141200-
BRISTOL BAY-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-141200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT W OF PORT MOLLER AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-141200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-141200-
UNALASKA BAY-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-141200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ173-141200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ174-141200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ175-141200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ176-141200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-141200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. BERING
SIDE...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...17 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-141200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 15 KT E OF SHEMYA. SEAS 13 FT.
AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ179-141200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-141200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON S OF
CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-141200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-141200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
324 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 12, 4:37 AM AKDT, 11 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 12, 4:37 AM AKDT, 11 hours 22 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
437 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The low that has been bringing rain to much of the southern
mainland now sits over the west coast of Alaska. The gradient
between this low and ridging that extends across the eastern Gulf
through the Panhandle has brought strong winds to Southcentral
Alaska. Additionally, the shallow layer of strong southeasterly
winds moving over the Chugach Mountains in between Whittier and
Anchorage has created mountain waves over the area. Out west
another system is approaching the Western Aleutians with its front
already pushing in over the Western Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in good agreement with the movement of the synoptic
features through the mid term. The 00Z NAM was slower than the
others with the system moving through the southern Bering in the
mid term, but the 06Z run has caught up with the pack. This good
agreement has resulted in high confidence and the use of the
higher resolution models. However, even with high confidence,
challenges remain with localized rainfall amounts and channeled
winds.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Wind shear improves this morning as the flow tapers down
behind the front with gusty conditions through Tuesday morning as
the pressure gradient remains tight. The storm system to the west
will initiate showers as it moves shortwaves across the region into
Tuesday morning. A significant shortwave expected to move across
this evening is being monitored as it may produce a few
thunderstorms...however, confidence is low for this development
over the terminal and was not included with the 12Z TAF package.

&&..SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Heavy rain continues along the North Gulf Coast and Prince William
Sound this morning in association with a strong warm front pushing
inland. Nearly five inches of rain fell near the Seward Airport in
the last 12 hours resulting in rapid rises along the Resurrection
River and Salmon Creek. For this reason, a Flood Advisory is in
effect for this area. The concern extends east to Eastern Prince
William Sound for the remainder of today as well as forecast
precipitation amounts have been trended upward with the morning's
forecast package, with 3 to 6 inches likely through today. This
will likely result in rapid rises on streams in these areas as
well. We have opted to cover this with a Special Weather Statement
this morning, and this area may require a Flood Advisory later
today.

Meanwhile, as low pressure tracks northeast across the northern
half of Alaska, the favorable south-north pressure gradient will
allow for gusty winds to continue across Southcentral Alaska
through much of today and tonight in the warm sector behind the
warm front which continues to barrel inland over Southcentral this
morning, though high winds will no longer be a concern. A
secondary trough approaches the area later today and tonight and
will bring drier and cooler air to the region by Tuesday from
west to east. This cooler and drier regime will be short- lived
before the return flow begins to weakly re-establish itself by
late Tuesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The upper level trough connecting the tail of the bent back
occlusion with the remnants of the original parent low currently
stretches along the west coast of Alaska running from Saint
Lawrence to Nunivak Island and south across the Alaska Peninsula.
As this trough shifts onshore this morning, showers will increase
in coverage and intensity with the potential for isolated
thunderstorms shifting from Bristol Bay and the Alaska Peninsula
inland and into Southwest Alaska across the greater Bristol Bay
area and Kuskokwim Valley through this afternoon. Additionally, as
the trough swings inland, west to northwest winds will pick up
rather substantially over the Kuskokwim Delta this morning
through afternoon.

Ridging will build in along the coast tonight, acting to
stabilize the atmosphere from west to east and shift the winds
aloft to a somewhat drier northwesterly flow. Showers will taper
off following the same pattern from west to east overnight. Fog
will become a concern along the coast and further inland in the
recently dampened valleys as skies clear through Tuesday morning.
Generally dry weather will continue through Tuesday with clouds
from the next incoming frontal system reaching Southwest Alaska
coast late Tuesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The frontal system bringing Gales and pushing into the western
Aleutians this morning will continue east...reaching the central
Aleutians and Bering tonight and the eastern Aleutians Tuesday.
The associated parent low will follow along and track to the east
just south of the western Aleutians tonight and Tuesday and then
move into the central Aleutians and southern Gulf Tuesday night.
A developing triple point/frontal wave will swing into the Alaska
Peninsula Tuesday night.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The fall-like pattern looks to continue through next weekend with
a high amplitude longwave trough encompassing the Bering Sea. The
amplification of the trough will create some downstream ridging
over the Alaska mainland which should allow for a brief period of
drier, sunnier and warmer weather over parts of Southcentral and
Southwest Alaska Tuesday afternoon. However, this will be short
lived as the trough encompassing the Bering Sea will become
anchored near Adak and Atka and quickly erode the ridging
downstream. Numerous shortwaves will be forced across Alaska
through the second half of the upcoming week with abundant cloud
cover and scattered to numerous rain showers. Models hint at this
trough gradually shifting eastward over time but diverge in
deciding how quickly it does so and the orientation of the trough.
However, with pretty good certainty, it looks like there is no
clear cut end to this upcoming showery pattern and looks like fall
is here to stay.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales 119 125 128 170 172-178 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
AVIATION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
LONG TERM...MC

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 12, 12:29 PM AKDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1229 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1222 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG PALMER                  61.60N 149.11W
09/12/2016                                      AK   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA IMAGES OF ROOF DAMAGE TO
            THE OLD SENIOR CENTER IN PALMER

1222 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG EAGLE RIVER             61.32N 149.57W
09/12/2016                                      AK   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF TREES DOWN IN THE
            EAGLEWOOD SUBDIVISION IN EAGLE RIVER

1222 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 WNW GLEN ALPS         61.11N 149.75W
09/12/2016                                      AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            NWS EMPLOYED RELAYED PICTURES OF WIND DAMAGE INCLUDING A
            DOWNED TREE AND DAMAGED FENCING

0955 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 W GLEN ALPS           61.10N 149.71W
09/11/2016  M81 MPH                             AK   MESONET

            MESONET SITE EW0989 REPORTED A GUST OF 81 MPH AT 955 PM

&&

LINGRAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 12, 2:28 AM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Sep 12, 3:47 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC11 hr
Sep 12, 3:47 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC7 days
Sep 12, 3:55 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC35 hr
Sep 12, 3:55 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC35 hr
Sep 12, 3:56 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC3 days
Sep 12, 2:51 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC49 hr
Sep 12, 3:59 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.