Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016

Gale Warning 518, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 12, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 12, 2016, 3:47 AM AKDT. It was in force for 11 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 12, 2016, 3:47 AM AKDT (11:47 UTC)
Expired
Sep 12, 2016, 2:51 PM AKDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

516 
FZAK51 PAFC 121147
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130115-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF THIS
AFTERNOON. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF MON
AFTERNOON AND MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TUE.

$$

PKZ119-130115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT EARLY THIS MORNING DIMINISHING TO S 20 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR THE COAST.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-130115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 30 KT. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-130115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-130115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT EARLY THIS MORNING
BECOMING S 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-130115-
PORT VALDEZ-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 15
KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-130115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S WIND 25 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-130115-
VALDEZ ARM-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-130115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-130115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-130115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 30 KT. 
SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-130115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 15 KT. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-130115-
CHINIAK BAY-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-130115-
MARMOT BAY-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-130115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-130115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-130115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-130115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT TOWARD THE INLET. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
1 follow-up statement
919 
FZAK51 PAFC 122251
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131200-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY WEST OF KODIAK ISLAND MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL GULF MONDAY EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY. ON WEDNESDAY A FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IN THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF
OF ALASKA. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW.

$$

PKZ119-131200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-131200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-131200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-131200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-131200-
PORT VALDEZ-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-131200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-131200-
VALDEZ ARM-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-131200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-131200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-131200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-131200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-131200-
CHINIAK BAY-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-131200-
MARMOT BAY-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-131200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-131200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-131200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-131200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 11, 4:45 PM AKDT, 11 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 11, 4:45 PM AKDT, 11 hours 2 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
445 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Main weather system continues to be a large low pressure system
situated in the far eastern Bering Sea, stretching down over the
eastern Aleutians. This low pressure system has two fronts, the
first of which is pushing inland this afternoon with rain along
the North Gulf coast and Prince William Sound regions with some
showers in the Copper River Basin. This front has supported gusty
winds through coastal gaps such as Turnagain Arm this afternoon
and is expected to support strong winds into the overnight hours.
The second front extends from southwest mainland into the
southwest Gulf with a continuation of widespread rain.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
All the models are in good agreement for the next few days. The
model questions come in over the details of the way the storm
moves into south central Alaska and the precipitation
intensity/downslope relationship. The high resolution NAM model is
very confident that there will be a significant amount of downward
motion across the leeward slopes of the Kenai and Chugach Ranges
which will diminish the amount of precipitation over the Western
Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage bowl and Matanuska Valley. This would
mean that winds near the mountains (including places such as the
eastern half of Anchorage) would be stronger than they looked
yesterday which is what is reflected the latest High Wind Warning
product for this event. In spite of this downward motion the
heaviest rains are expected to move through the region this
evening through the overnight hours in association with the jet
streak which will enhance lifting at higher levels of the
atmosphere.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A powerful low is moving into the Kuskokwim Delta this evening
with the associated warm front moving into Southcentral. This is
spreading rather widespread rain across the region, although
downslope winds are limiting precip across inland locations. The
pressure gradient continues to tighten, and this is helping to
accelerate strong gap winds across favored locations. The high
wind warning for Anchorage area remains in effect as the pressure
gradient is expected to peak by late this evening. The strongest
winds will be down Turnagain Arm and the upper Hillside with winds
possibly reaching 40-60 MPH across parts of Anchorage proper,
especially across south and west Anchorage and near the Chugach
Mountains. However, the bulk of wind activity will remain in more
typical locations with the main impact in town being small tree
damage and possible power outages.

By late this evening, the warm front will move east far enough,
with the actual low lifting far enough north, to allow for a
weakening of the pressure gradient and for heavier rain to
overspread inland locations. Rain and showers will continue
through Monday, and may be locally heavy at times, especially
along the coast where a region of instability will exist as a
shortwave trough deamplifies and lift through the northern Gulf. A
secondary trough will move through Southcentral Tuesday, bringing
in cooler and drier air.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
While the front continues to push into the Interior, the
mainland is left in a moist flow from the southwest with a few
embedded disturbances. Steady rain will continue through the
evening hours for the Kuskokwim Valley along with gusty southerly
winds, before becoming more showery overnight everywhere. Into
Monday morning, the upper trough to the west and cold front will
push eastward, bringing steadier rain back for the day. Rain will
linger along the Alaska Range through the overnight hours into
Tuesday morning, but for the most part the rain will end in most
places by late Monday night. Ridging moves overhead on Tuesday,
bringing a brief period of clear conditions and light winds.
Temperatures will dip back down toward climatological normals in
the coming days.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The exiting trough will linger in the eastern Bering tonight
before pushing eastward onto the mainland on Monday. Northerly
winds across the central Bering will begin to taper this evening
and overnight hours. A new front will enter the western Bering
overnight bringing gale force winds and steady rain. This front
will slowly rotate to the northeast in coming days across the
chain.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The fall-like pattern looks to continue through next weekend with
a high amplitude longwave trough encompassing the Bering Sea. The
amplification of the trough will create some downstream ridging
over the Alaska mainland which should allow for a brief period of
drier, sunnier and warmer weather over parts of Southcentral and
Southwest Alaska Tuesday afternoon. However, this will be short
lived as the trough encompassing the Bering Sea will become
anchored near Adak and Atka and quickly erode the ridging
downstream. Numerous shortwaves will be forced across Alaska
through the second half of the upcoming week with abundant cloud
cover and scattered to numerous rain showers. Models hint at this
trough gradually shifting eastward over time but diverge in
deciding how quickly it does so and the orientation of the trough.
However, with pretty good certainty, it looks like there is no
clear cut end to this upcoming showery pattern and looks like fall
is here to stay.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning Zone 101.
MARINE...Gale Warning 119 120 125 129 130 131 132 139 141 173 174
175 176 177 178 181 .

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ / LIW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ML
LONG TERM...MC

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 12, 12:21 AM AKDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1221 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1220 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SEWARD                  60.11N 149.39W
09/12/2016  M3.51 INCH                          AK   ASOS

            TOTAL PRECIPITATION IN THE EIGHT HOURS FROM 4PM SUNDAY
            THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

&&

JPW
Special weather statement, Sep 12, 12:23 AM AKDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1223 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

AKZ125-122030-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS
1223 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...HIGH RIVER AND STREAM LEVELS NEAR SEWARD...

INTERESTS ALONG THE RESURRECTION RIVER AND OTHER LOCAL STREAMS IN
SEWARD SHOULD USE CAUTION AS HEAVY RAINFALL THIS PAST EVENING IS
RESULTING IN CONTINUED RAPID RISES. SEWARD AIRPORT HAS MEASURED
3.5 INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN 4 PM AKDT SUNDAY AND MIDNIGHT MONDAY.
CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS MAY BRING LOCAL RIVER AND STREAM
LEVELS TO NEAR BANKFULL...BUT CURRENTLY THEY ARE NOT FORECAST TO
REACH FLOOD STAGE. HOWEVER...RIVER LEVELS WILL BE CONTINUALLY
MONITORED. HEAVY SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF THROUGH THE
MORNING.

THE LATEST FORECAST AND OBSERVATIONS ARE ALWAYS AVAILABLE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/APRFC
Special weather statement, Sep 12, 12:31 AM AKDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1231 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

AKZ125-122045-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS
1231 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...HIGH RIVER AND STREAM LEVELS NEAR SEWARD...

INTERESTS ALONG THE RESURRECTION RIVER AND OTHER LOCAL STREAMS IN
SEWARD SHOULD USE CAUTION AS HEAVY RAINFALL THIS PAST EVENING IS
RESULTING IN CONTINUED RAPID RISES. SEWARD AIRPORT HAS MEASURED
3.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE EIGHT HOURS FROM 4 PM AKDT SUNDAY
THROUGH MIDNIGHT. CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS MAY BRING LOCAL
RIVER AND STREAM LEVELS TO NEAR BANKFULL...BUT CURRENTLY THEY ARE
NOT FORECAST TO REACH FLOOD STAGE. HOWEVER...RIVER LEVELS WILL BE
CONTINUALLY MONITORED. HEAVY SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF
THROUGH THE MORNING.

THE LATEST FORECAST AND OBSERVATIONS ARE ALWAYS AVAILABLE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/APRFC
Special weather statement, Sep 12, 12:40 AM AKDT, 3 hours 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1240 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

AKZ135-122045-
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CORDOVA
1240 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST NEAR CORDOVA...

INTERESTS IN EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND NEAR CORDOVA SHOULD USE
CAUTION AS HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED
AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. THE CORDOVA AREA IS FORECAST TO RECEIVE
FOUR TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT. THE RAIN WILL TAPER
OFF ON TUESDAY.
Special weather statement, Sep 12, 3:43 AM AKDT, 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
343 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

AKZ131-135-130200-
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS...CORDOVA
343 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST NEAR CORDOVA
AND VALDEZ...

INTERESTS IN EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND NEAR CORDOVA AND VALDEZ
SHOULD USE CAUTION AS HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING...INCLUDING THE LOWE
RIVER AND VALDEZ GLACIAL STREAM. THE CORDOVA AND VALDEZ AREAS ARE
FORECASTED TO RECEIVE THREE TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF ON TUESDAY.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 12, 2:28 AM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Sep 12, 3:47 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC7 days
Sep 12, 3:55 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC35 hr
Sep 12, 3:55 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC35 hr
Sep 12, 3:56 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC3 days
Sep 12, 2:51 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC49 hr
Sep 12, 3:59 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Sep 12, 3:59 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.