Small Craft Advisory 720, NWS Anchorage, AK

971 
FZAK51 PAFC 112303
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121200-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT REMAINS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
ANOTHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON AND
MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF BY MON AFTERNOON. A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF MON AFTERNOON AND MOVES INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TUE.

$$

PKZ119-121200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR THE
COAST. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-121200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-121200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-121200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-121200-
PORT VALDEZ-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-121200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-121200-
VALDEZ ARM-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-121200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-121200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-121200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-121200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-121200-
CHINIAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-121200-
MARMOT BAY-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-121200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-121200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-121200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-121200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

516 
FZAK51 PAFC 121147
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130115-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF THIS
AFTERNOON. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF MON
AFTERNOON AND MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TUE.

$$

PKZ119-130115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT EARLY THIS MORNING DIMINISHING TO S 20 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR THE COAST.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-130115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 30 KT. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-130115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-130115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT EARLY THIS MORNING
BECOMING S 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-130115-
PORT VALDEZ-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 15
KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-130115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S WIND 25 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-130115-
VALDEZ ARM-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-130115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-130115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-130115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 30 KT. 
SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-130115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 15 KT. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-130115-
CHINIAK BAY-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-130115-
MARMOT BAY-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-130115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-130115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-130115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-130115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
347 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT TOWARD THE INLET. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

919 
FZAK51 PAFC 122251
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131200-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY WEST OF KODIAK ISLAND MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL GULF MONDAY EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY. ON WEDNESDAY A FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IN THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF
OF ALASKA. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW.

$$

PKZ119-131200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-131200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-131200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-131200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-131200-
PORT VALDEZ-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-131200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-131200-
VALDEZ ARM-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-131200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-131200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-131200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-131200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-131200-
CHINIAK BAY-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-131200-
MARMOT BAY-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-131200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-131200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-131200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-131200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
432 PM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A rather amplified upper level pattern is over the state this
afternoon with a strong ridge over most of the mainland part of
Alaska and a strong low near the central part of the Aleutian
Islands. There is a good amount of upper level support around
these systems as the 250 mb jet stream is running south of the
Aleutian low and then north and around the mainland ridge. Strong
subsidence under the ridge combined with weak onshore flow in
southwest mainland Alaska has brought some persistent fog into the
Kuskokwim delta through early afternoon. This should start to
diminish as the approaching low creates better mixing throughout
the boundary layer.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models remain in good agreement with very little to discuss. They
are all bringing the rain into southwest mainland Alaska tonight
and into South Central Alaska Sunday morning. The heaviest
precipitation amounts are all shown to be in the Prince William
Sounds area Sunday night. The only real item worth mentioning is
the higher resolution NAM model shows downslope greatly
diminishing the rainfall in the Anchorage area and the other areas
prone to downslope in southeast flow.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...One of the big questions for Sunday around PANC will be
wind shear. The Turnagain Arm wind will be blowing very strong and
wind shear will be dependent on where these winds go when
reaching Cook Inlet proper. At this time it looks like some gusty
southeast winds will move over the airport early Sunday morning
and then the gradient will become more down-Inlet Sunday afternoon
causing the lower level winds to become northeast to east but
winds above the surface will be increasing and remain from the
southeast causing the threat of significant wind shear over PANC.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A very impressive low straddling the Aleutian chain will track a
warm front into the Gulf of Alaska tonight through Sunday, with
clear skies quickly giving way to extensive clouds and rain
across most of the region through the day Sunday. The actual
surface low will move through the Kuskokwim Delta, but with a very
stout coastal ridge in place, this will accelerate powerful winds
through favored E-W oriented mountain gaps including Turnagain
Arm. As a result, a high wind warning will be issued with this
forecast package with winds expected to exceed hurricane force
(75+ MPH). Winds will also be strong along the upper hillside of
Anchorage, with some gusty southeast winds eventually crossing
through all of town by Sunday night. While these winds in
Anchorage proper will be below high wind warning criteria, with
the extensive foliage on trees, there may still be some tree
damage to smaller branches, especially across south and west
Anchorage where the strongest winds in town will occur. As the
winds weaken Sunday night, the heaviest rain is expected to move
inland and will last through Monday morning as the front moves
eastward. Showery and cloudy weather will continue through Monday
as the main upper trough moves through the region.

Along the coast, rain will be locally heavy at times with local
streams and rivers expected to rise rapidly in response. Rivers
will remain well below flood levels, but those who are prone to
fast riving streams and rivers should remain cautious.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The mainland forecast will be dominated by the front/low pressure
system spinning out over the Bering Sea. The warm front will push
onshore late this evening into the overnight hours, spreading rain
from south to north. Rain will be especially heavy and prolonged. Along
with the front will come gusty easterly winds, especially through
the gaps of the Alaska/Aleutian range. Steady rain will continue
even after the front passes Sunday morning as the jet stream
lingers overhead along with a plentiful moisture tap from the
subtropics. These conditions and disturbances within the flow will
bring a second round of widespread steady rain on Sunday. The
trough is still overhead on Sunday night into Monday, but the
frontal forcing will be past. On Monday, lingering moisture and
upper level forcing will continue areas of rain that will taper
off from west to east across the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The warm front draped across the Bering will continue to bring
rain and areas of fog from the Adak area through the Pribilof
Islands and eastward toward the mainland. Gale force winds will
continue tonight but drop off by Sunday. The whole system will
linger over the eastern Bering through Monday, continuing areas of
rain, but a weakening trend will begin today. High pressure will
build over the western Bering before a new front approaches late
tomorrow.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The upper levels have a trough sweeping through from the north which
brings a swath of showers across the northern AOR by Tuesday before
exiting our region by Wednesday morning. While upstream an amplified
ridge is located over the Eastern Aleutians extending into the northern
Bering resulting in patchy fog/stratus. This feature get pushed eastward
going into Wednesday resulting in sunny skies for the Southcentral/Southwest
region. Meanwhile, a storm force North Pacific low is located over the
Western Aleutians with a triple point low positioned just southwest
of Unalaska. This system brings gale force easterly winds through the
central/western Bering as it tracks eastward. By Wednesday, these two
lows phase into one system located just west of Nikolski accompanied
by gale force northeasterly winds through the Bering. Therefore, look
for a showery weather regime as this system tracks along the Alaska
Peninsula by Friday. Therefore, the Bering/Aleutians will be dominated
by northwesterly flow with gusty gap winds along the Eastern Aleutians.
Look for a secondary low to develop in the Gulf by Thursday with gale
force southeasterly winds along the northern Gulf. This system moves
inland by Thursday afternoon with the bulk of the precipitation along
the northern coastal communities. Otherwise, the Gulf of Alaska will
be influenced by southerly flow bringing a scattered showery regime
for the Southcentral region heading into Friday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High wind warning 101.
MARINE...Gales 119 120 125 130 131 132 150 160 165 175 176 177 351
               352 413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ML
LONG TERM...PD