Small Craft Advisory 699, NWS Anchorage, AK

145 
FZAK51 PAFC 041511 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050315-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1009 MB LOW 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES ONSHORE NEAR
YAKUTAT AT 1004 MB MON NIGHT THEN DISSIPATES TUE MORNING. THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT SLIDES ACROSS THE ALEXANDER ARCHIPELAGO AND
SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-050315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-050315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-050315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-050315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-050315-
PORT VALDEZ-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-050315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-050315-
VALDEZ ARM-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT 
BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-050315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-050315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-050315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-050315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-050315-
CHINIAK BAY-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ137-050315-
MARMOT BAY-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-050315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-050315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-050315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-050315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
711 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

288 
FZAK51 PAFC 042316
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-051200-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1007 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVES TO 100 NM
SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT AT 1003 MB MON AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES INTO
THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. A WEAK FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
GULF TUE.

$$

PKZ119-051200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-051200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-051200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-051200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-051200-
PORT VALDEZ-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-051200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-051200-
VALDEZ ARM-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-051200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-051200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-051200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-051200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-051200-
CHINIAK BAY-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ137-051200-
MARMOT BAY-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ138-051200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-051200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-051200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-051200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

759 
FZAK51 PAFC 051157
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-060045-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1004 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE
ONSHORE TONIGHT 30 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT AT 1003 MB. A 1003 MB
LOW WILL FORM 80 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE EVENING AND
MOVE TO 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT AT 1003 MB BY TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-060045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-060045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-060045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-060045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-060045-
PORT VALDEZ-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-060045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-060045-
VALDEZ ARM-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-060045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-060045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-060045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-060045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-060045-
CHINIAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-060045-
MARMOT BAY-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ138-060045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-060045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-060045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-060045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

526 
FZAK51 PAFC 052304
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061200-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1001 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE TUE MORNING. A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH DEVELOPS
OVER COOK INLET AND THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT AND PERSISTS THROUGH
WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-061200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-061200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-061200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-061200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-061200-
PORT VALDEZ-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-061200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-061200-
VALDEZ ARM-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-061200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-061200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-061200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-061200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-061200-
CHINIAK BAY-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-061200-
MARMOT BAY-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-061200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-061200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-061200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-061200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
304 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
434 PM AKDT SAT SEP 3 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A large mature low along the Aleutians continues to drift
northward while a series of waves rotate around the impressive
circulation, which extends over 2000 miles from the north-central
Pacific to the western Alaska mainland. The upper jet on the front
side of the trough has shifted eastward and is now transporting
deep moisture across the Pacific and toward the southern Gulf of
Alaska. The leading short-wave of this system was completely
shearing apart this morning as it headed inland across Southwest
Alaska and approached Southcentral, with some energy heading
eastward across the Gulf and some energy rotating back westward
within the low circulation. Thus, rainfall is quite meager, with
scattered to widely scattered showers falling from Southwest
Alaska to the southern Kenai Peninsula. Sunshine dominates out
ahead of this across interior Southcentral, but clouds have been on
the increase throughout the day.

Infrared satellite imagery showed rapidly cooling clouds late
this morning along the Alaska Peninsula and into the eastern
Bering Sea. This was being produced by one of the more impressive
short-waves rounding the low. As it reached a surface occluded
front right out ahead of it this afternoon, this wave
reinvigorated the front and provided a much more widespread area
of steady rainfall. A separate short-wave south of Kodiak Island,
led to the development of a triple point low near Kodiak Island
this afternoon and helped increase rainfall across the western
Gulf. For the remainder of the region back behind the frontal
system the Aleutian low and various weaker waves continue to
produce showers.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Guidance remains in good agreement with large scale features the
next couple days. However, there are all sorts of timing issues,
especially Tonight through Sunday with progression of the
occluded front inland across Southwest and Southcentral Alaska
and track of the weak triple point low across the northern Gulf.
This is in large part due to the disjointed nature of the upper
level forcing, with multiple mostly weak waves tracking in
different directions. Thus, don't particularly favor any one
solution. Will use a fairly broad-brushed approach to the precip
forecast to account for this uncertainty in timing. Aside from
this, overall forecast confidence is above average.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A ridge presently over the Gulf of Alaska, which has provided
Southcentral Alaska with warmer and drier weather the past few
days, will begin to retreat to the south this evening. This will
make way for an upper low over the Central Aleutians to track
eastward over the Southwest Mainland over the next few days, with
multiple weak waves associated with it tracking through the Gulf
and Southcentral region within this time frame. At the surface, a
weakening front will continue to track through the Gulf tonight
and into the Northern Gulf Coast and Southcentral by Sunday, and
persist into early next week.

The net result will be a transition to a more cool and wet
pattern, with some gusty winds along the Northern Gulf coast and
through the typical gaps surrounding Prince William Sound and
along the Copper River. Light rain will continue to expand
northward tonight along the Kenai Peninsula and Northern Gulf
coast, with only some sprinkles making it into the Anchorage area
tonight into early tomorrow morning. Light rain will then envelop
much of Southcentral by late Sunday morning, and persist through
the early part of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The weather in the eastern Bering Sea looks to track through the
Southwest Alaska region during the evening tonight. Therefore, the
AOR remains influenced by onshore flow with abundant moisture
resulting in continued wetting rains. By Sunday morning an upper
level shortwave moves into the Bristol Bay coastline resulting in
a showery regime through Sunday evening. As the surface low
pressure moves farther eastward, look for several more shortwave
to rotate around the upper level low to kick-off more showers for
the Southwest Alaska region heading into Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The vertically stacked upper level low is located over the Central
Aleutians just north of Adak this evening. This system tracks south
of the Pribilof Islands by Sunday afternoon with a 996 mb low
pressure system reflected at the surface near Adak. By Sunday
afternoon the surface low will weaken to 999 mb located west of
Saint Paul. There will be southerly to southwesterly winds ahead
of this synoptic feature, and small craft advisory northerly winds
on the backside of this system. Therefore, the Bering and the
Aleutians will have a showery weather regime through the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The large upper level low will track inland from Bristol Bay into
Southwest Alaska Monday night, bringing an unsettled, showery air
mass with it. The low will then continue east across the northern
Gulf Tuesday and swing through Southeast Alaska Tuesday night and
Wednesday. A cooler trough dropping out of the northwest will
swing through Southwest Alaska Wednesday and Southcentral Alaska
Thursday. Although the trough's energy will initially
reinvigorate shower activity, the showers should taper off quickly
once the trough is through and cooler, drier north to
northwesterly flow pushes in behind it. After the trough there
looks to be at least one day of cool, dry weather in the Friday
time frame. Following that, however, model solutions rapidly
diverge...likely due to formerly tropical moisture getting caught
up in the westerly jet south of the Aleutians.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...seb
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...tp
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...pd
LONG TERM...jr