Small Craft Advisory 570, NWS Anchorage, AK

453 
FZAK51 PAFC 181109
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190030-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1015 MB LOW 70 NM EAST OF CORDOVA MOVES TO 145 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT BY WED MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
DRIFTS WESTWARD THROUGH WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-190030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-190030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-190030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-190030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-190030-
PORT VALDEZ-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-190030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-190030-
VALDEZ ARM-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-190030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-190030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-190030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-190030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-190030-
CHINIAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-190030-
MARMOT BAY-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-190030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-190030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-190030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-190030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

175 
FZAK51 PAFC 182323
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191230-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY A
WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AROUND 1010 MB WILL DEVELOP 50 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA. THIS AREA WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT SOUTHWARD TO
200 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
 
$$

PKZ119-191230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-191230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-191230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-191230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-191230-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-191230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AND INCREASING TO 25 KT
DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-191230-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-191230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-191230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-191230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-191230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-191230-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-191230-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-191230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-191230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-191230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-191230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

318 
FZAK51 PAFC 191111
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-192330-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1010 MB LOW 45 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA MOVES TO 130 NM SOUTHWEST
OF YAKUTAT LATE TONIGHT AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH...THEN MOVES INTO
THE SOUTHEAST GULF BY WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-192330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-192330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-192330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-192330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-192330-
PORT VALDEZ-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-192330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-192330-
VALDEZ ARM-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-192330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-192330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-192330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-192330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-192330-
CHINIAK BAY-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-192330-
MARMOT BAY-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-192330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-192330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-192330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-192330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
418 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The upper levels continue to have the closed high pressure over
the Kamchatka Peninsula with associated ridge extending into the
northern Bering. While, another closed high near 48N 151W with a
ridge extending into the lower southwestern Gulf. This leaves the
Southwest/Southcentral Alaska in a weak col region. In the
interior north of the Alaska Range there is a trough moving
through the region. The satellite imagery is picking this feature
up well with a swath of moisture from the Bering Strait streaming
towards the southeast direction. This is bringing high clouds
into the AOR, but with the offshore flow things remain pretty dry
throughout the forecast region. Looking along the Aleutains, at
300 millibars there is a 100 knot southwesterly jet supporting a
1012 mb North Pacific low positioned near Unalaska this morning.
This system is bringing stratus/fog accompanied by rain along the
Eastern Aleutains before spilling over into the eastern Bering,
and along the Alaska Peninsula. This will bring cooler
temperatures, and will inhibit any thunderstorms for the Southwest
Alaska region heading into Monday. The temperatures in the
Anchorage Bowl, Copper River Basin, and Mat-su Valleys will
continue with warmer and drier conditions resulting from the
northwesterly to northerly winds. This wind direction will result
in downsloping conditions, and Seward area will continue with a
warming trend producing close to record high temperatures heading
into Monday.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models remain in good agreement, and the Canadian/NAM models were
used in the short term due to higher resolution. The NAM was
faster with the next weather system that is tracking into the
Western Aleutians by Tuesday morning. Therefore, the ECMWF/GFS
were the preferred models of choice heading into the midweek. The
gap winds will become gusty coinciding with offshore northwesterly
flow through the midweek. The forecast confidence remains above
average for the next several days.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A very large and unseasonably strong upper low over the Arctic
Ocean is driving the northern branch of the storm track into
northern and central Alaska. Upper level high pressure to the
south will keep the main brunt of the action north of Southcentral
Alaska, although some showers will reach areas near the Alaska
range. The main impacts of this pattern will be that offshore flow
will strengthen over the area. This will increase winds near the
Alaska Range, as well as the offshore winds near the coast.
Temperatures will be well above normal, and some daily records may
fall today and Monday. The cloud cover will be quite difficult as
clouds from the storm track will drift south over southern Alaska.
This will help to cap temperatures over the further north portions
of the area (Susitna and Copper basins).

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Red Flag conditions are possible on Monday over the Susitna
Valley and Copper River Basin. Gusty west to northwest winds will
develop as surface high pressure builds to the west, and a lee
trough develops over the northern Gulf of Alaska. There is some
uncertainty that high temperatures and humidities will reach
critical levels, but it is enough of a possibility to keep the
watch in effect. The limiting factor with temperatures is just how
much cloud cover there will be, which could keep maximum
temperatures down. Minimum humidities could also be limited by
this. Also, the air mass is currently rather moist from recent
shower activity, and dew points will need to drop considerably on
Monday. The areas most likely to meet Red Flag criteria are the
Susitna Valley south of Talkeetna, and the central Copper River
Basin. The northern portion of these two zones are the least
likely to reach Red Flag, as cloud cover and moisture look to be
too high.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
Ridging is building in over Southwest Alaska from the North
Pacific helping to clear out skies and allow for Sunday afternoon
temperatures to reach the mid 70s with the Lower Kuskokwim Valley
getting to around 80. Moving into Monday the main ridge axis will
slide to the west allowing for more influence from the north. This
push from the north will help to moderate high temperatures Monday
and Tuesday. Northwest flow over the Kuskokwim Delta could also
pull in marine layer low clouds, and fog that would additionally
work to restrict high temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
Ridging is building in over the eastern Bering and a weak low
sits to the south of the Western Aleutians allowing for weak
southerly flow over much of the area. Stratus and fog dominant
much of the Bering and Aleutians, and these conditions are being
reinforced by the high pressure building in from the east. A
change to the pattern comes late Monday when a new system
approaches the Western Aleutians from the south bringing more
steady rain and stronger winds to the area.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
An upper level trough rotating around the Arctic low will swing
through Northwest, and then Interior Alaska Monday Night and
Tuesday. While much of the moisture and energy with this system
will be blocked by the Alaska Range, increasing mid and high level
clouds will spread south into the mid and lower Kuskokwim Valley
and over Southcentral Alaska.

The northwesterly flow aloft will continue to strengthen the
inverted/lee-side trough along the northern Gulf Coast, and help
to enhance offshore winds through coast terrain gaps. Additionally
west to northwest winds will remain breezy through the Susitna
Valley, Copper River Basin and the Anchorage bowl. Another
shortwave swinging through interior Alaska on Wednesday will bring
additional clouds, and the chance for some spotty light rain to
the northern Susitna Valley and the Copper River Basin.

Models have sped the low pressure system coming in from the west
up substantially in comparison to yesterday's runs. The changes
are primarily due to the surface low now being forecast to cross
the Aleutians a bit further east, and then getting caught up in
the westerly flow faster as it phases with one of the shortwaves
rotating around the Arctic low. The leading edge of the frontal
system now looks to reach the southwest coast Wednesday morning
and swing onshore and over Southwest Alaska through the afternoon
and evening. The associated low will reach the Y/K delta Thursday
morning, and tracks eastward before being centered over the
Southcentral Alaska region by Friday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning...130 131.
FIRE WEATHER...Fire Weather Watch...141 145.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...JR