Gale Warning 446, NWS Anchorage, AK

099 
FZAK51 PAFC 172309
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181230-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1017 MB LOW DEVELOPS NEAR CORDOVA LATE TONIGHT AND REMAINS
STATIONARY THROUGH TUE NIGHT AND STRENGTHENS TO 1011 MB...THEN
MOVES TO 110 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT WED AFTERNOON AT 1009 MB. THE
NORTH PACIFIC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF SLIDES WEST THROUGH TUE
MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-181230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-181230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-181230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING N 15 KT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 25 KT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-181230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-181230-
PORT VALDEZ-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-181230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-181230-
VALDEZ ARM-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-181230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT DEVELOPING
NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-181230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-181230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-181230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-181230-
CHINIAK BAY-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-181230-
MARMOT BAY-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-181230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-181230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-181230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-181230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
309 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

453 
FZAK51 PAFC 181109
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190030-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1015 MB LOW 70 NM EAST OF CORDOVA MOVES TO 145 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT BY WED MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
DRIFTS WESTWARD THROUGH WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-190030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-190030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-190030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-190030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-190030-
PORT VALDEZ-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-190030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-190030-
VALDEZ ARM-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-190030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-190030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-190030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-190030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-190030-
CHINIAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-190030-
MARMOT BAY-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-190030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-190030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-190030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-190030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

175 
FZAK51 PAFC 182323
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191230-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY A
WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AROUND 1010 MB WILL DEVELOP 50 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA. THIS AREA WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT SOUTHWARD TO
200 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
 
$$

PKZ119-191230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-191230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-191230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-191230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-191230-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-191230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AND INCREASING TO 25 KT
DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-191230-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-191230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-191230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-191230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-191230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-191230-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-191230-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-191230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-191230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-191230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-191230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

318 
FZAK51 PAFC 191111
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-192330-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1010 MB LOW 45 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA MOVES TO 130 NM SOUTHWEST
OF YAKUTAT LATE TONIGHT AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH...THEN MOVES INTO
THE SOUTHEAST GULF BY WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-192330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-192330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-192330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-192330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-192330-
PORT VALDEZ-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-192330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-192330-
VALDEZ ARM-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-192330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-192330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-192330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-192330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-192330-
CHINIAK BAY-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-192330-
MARMOT BAY-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-192330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-192330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-192330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-192330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
311 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
452 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The longwave weather pattern features a large low up in the
Arctic Ocean and another much weaker low near the central
Aleutians that is weakening and starting to drift back to the west.
Overall we're in a high-pressure environment, with two specific
ridges of High pressure in the western Bering and another
building northward through the Gulf of Alaska. This pattern has
resulted in most of southern Alaska in a col region of weak
overall flow, which explains the ease with which midlevel
moisture/clouds have been loitering around Cook Inlet and Prince
William Sound this morning. These clouds are beginning to move
away to the northeast as a trough associated with the arctic ocean
low is approaching the interior of the state and the Copper River
Basin. Thunderstorms persisted until early this morning in the
Copper River Basin and interior Alaska, and redevelopment is
expected again today as the airmass remains very unstable. Most
of the rest of Southcentral and Southwest Alaska are under fair
weather conditions with diurnal cloudiness but mostly dry
conditions prevailing.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are in good agreement throughout the next few days of the
forecast. The cold upper trough over the interior of the state
will not make it further south than the Alaska Range. Meanwhile,
the two areas of High pressure will grow and combine...resulting
in stronger (and warmer) westerly/northwesterly flow over
Southcentral Alaska through early next week. Gap winds will also
jump up significantly as an outflow wind regime becomes
established by early Sunday morning. The higher resolution models
of the NAM and GEM-RGL were utilized today to take advantage of
these smaller features in the complex terrain.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Thunderstorm activity across Southcentral Alaska have been quite
unimpressive compared to previous days with just a few isolated
thunderstorms observed over the Copper River Basin. Visible
satellite imagery is beginning to show higher cloud tops
associated with convection forming in the Copper River Basin which
should help thunderstorm coverage to increase heading into the
evening hours. Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible over
the Susitna Valley near the Talkeetna Mountains and near Hatcher
Pass through the evening hours as well. A more stable air mass
will begin to advect across much of Alaska on Sunday and heading
into next week as temperatures aloft begin to warm and lapse rates
become very weak. This will pretty much inhibit thunderstorm
development during this period but a quick "pulse" thunderstorm
associated with unseasonably warm temperatures cannot be ruled
out.

Speaking of the warmer temperatures, offshore flow has begun to
take place today which has been observed by both Seward and
Whittier where winds have remained fairly gusty and temperatures
warming into the 70s. As this pattern takes hold in the coming
days, temperatures across all of Southcentral will warm to some
of the warmest temperatures observed so far this year. Temperatures
from the mid 70s to mid 80s should encompass much of the region
with the only reprieve of these warm temperatures being observed
at higher elevations.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

With the development of offshore flow, the low and mid-levels of
the atmosphere will dry out significantly over the next 36 to 48
hours. The drying is largely attributed to strong westerly winds
moving across the Alaska Range which will downslope into the
Susitna Valley causing relative humidities to drop to near 20
percent in several locations on Monday. A continuous feed of
drier air will be mixed down as winds of 15 to 20 mph with gusts
upwards to 30 mph impact the Susitna Valley on Monday. A fire
weather watch will be issued with the forecast package this
afternoon but if conditions look as impressive on Sunday, this
watch will likely be upgraded to a red flag warning.

In addition, the Copper River Basin will dry out significantly
following the thunderstorm activity seen over the past 3-4 days.
RH values are also expected to drop to near 20 percent in multiple
locations. Due to the showery nature of the thunderstorms observed
during the week a lot of places saw wetting rains while others
remained completely on the dry side. It is for this reason that a
fire weather watch will be issued with the package for Monday
afternoon. While red flag conditions are possible for both zones,
the Susitna Valley is the most likely to develop critical fire
weather conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Sun and Mon)...
Afternoon cumulus clouds across much of the area this afternoon
will give way to clearing skies overnight as a ridge builds from
the North Pacific. This will make for warm temperatures Sun with
many locations seeing mid 70's and some spots hitting 80 degrees.
The ridge axis will sharpen on Mon and an arctic trough will slide
through the interior portion of the state. This will make for some
gustier northwest winds across the area, especially inland during
the afternoon. Closer to the coast, some low level westerly flow
could help to push some marine stratus and fog inland a ways on
Mon. This would keep maximum temperatures significantly cooler for
those locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2...Sun and
Mon)...
The weak low currently tracking through the Central and Eastern
Aleutians is getting fractured by a building high from the North
Pacific. But it will keep conditions gusty out of the southeast at
least through the evening hours from Dutch Harbor over through
King Cove. The North Pacific high will then take over making for
widespread fog, marine stratus, and calm winds on Sun. Another
weak system will bring a chance of rain to the Central Aleutians
on Mon as it falls apart against the ridge. A stronger system will
impinge upon the Western Aleutians late Mon-Tue, bringing a much
better chance for rain and small-craft level southeasterly winds.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
By Monday evening, much of mainland Alaska will be under the
influence of west to northwesterly flow aloft between the upper
level ridge over the Alaska Peninsula and Southwest coast and the
upper low off of the Pacific Northwest coast. An upper level trough
rotating around the Arctic low will swing through Northwest and
then Interior Alaska Monday Night and Tuesday. While much of the
moisture and energy with this system will be blocked by the Alaska
Range, increasing mid and high level clouds will spread south into
the mid and lower Kuskokwim Valley and over Southcentral Alaska.

The northwesterly flow aloft will continue to strengthen the
inverted/lee-side trough along the northern Gulf Coast and help
to enhance offshore winds through coast terrain gaps. Additionally
west to northwest winds will remain breezy through the Susitna
Valley, Copper River Basin and Anchorage bowl. Another shortwave
swinging through interior Alaska on Wednesday will bring
additional clouds and the chance for some spotty light rain to the
northern Susitna Valley and Copper River Basin.

Models have sped the low pressure system coming in from the west
up substantially in comparison to yesterday's runs. The changes
are primarily due to the surface low now being forecast to cross
the Aleutians a bit further east and then getting caught up in
the westerly flow faster as it phases with one of the shortwaves
rotating around the Arctic low. The leading edge of the frontal
system now looks to reach the southwest coast Wednesday morning
and swing onshore and over Southwest Alaska through the afternoon
and evening. The associated low will reach the Y/K delta Thursday
morning continue east to be centered over Southcentral Alaska
Friday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...Fire Weather Watch...141 145.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...JR