Small Craft Advisory 528, NWS Anchorage, AK

533 
FZAK51 PAFC 302316
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011200-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH FRI
NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE WESTERN GULF COAST
TONIGHT WILL BECOME A 1007 MB AREA OF LOW PRESSURE 60NM EAST OF
CHINIAK BY SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-011200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-011200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-011200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-011200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-011200-
PORT VALDEZ-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-011200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-011200-
VALDEZ ARM-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-011200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-011200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-011200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-011200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ136-011200-
CHINIAK BAY-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-011200-
MARMOT BAY-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-011200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-011200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-011200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-011200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
316 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT EXCEPT 3 FT NEAR THE INLET.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

916 
FZAK51 PAFC 011149
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020100-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH SAT
MORNING. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF
SAT MORNING THROUGH LATE SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-020100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-020100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-020100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-020100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-020100-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-020100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-020100-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-020100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-020100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-020100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-020100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ136-020100-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ137-020100-
MARMOT BAY-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-020100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-020100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-020100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-020100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

928 
FZAK51 PAFC 011624 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

UPDATED ZONE 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020315-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH SAT
MORNING. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF
SAT MORNING THROUGH LATE SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-020315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-020315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-020315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE  LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT  IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-020315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-020315-
PORT VALDEZ-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE  LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT  IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-020315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-020315-
VALDEZ ARM-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-020315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT  AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-020315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-020315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-020315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ136-020315-
CHINIAK BAY-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE  LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS  THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ137-020315-
MARMOT BAY-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-020315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-020315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT  IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-020315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT  IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-020315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
824 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE  LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT  IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

560 
FZAK51 PAFC 012335
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021300-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL SLOWLY DRIFT
EAST THROUGH SUN. A 1005 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF AUGUSTINE FRI
MORNING WILL MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF MIDDLETON BY SUN AFTERNOON
AT 1012 MB.

$$

PKZ119-021300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-021300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-021300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-021300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-021300-
PORT VALDEZ-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-021300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-021300-
VALDEZ ARM-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE WIND
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-021300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER DEVELOPING.
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-021300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-021300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-021300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-021300-
CHINIAK BAY-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-021300-
MARMOT BAY-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-021300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-021300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FOOT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-021300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-021300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
335 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN DIMINISHING.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
423 PM AKDT WED JUN 29 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is an upper level low over the Gulf of Alaska with several
vort-maxes rotating around this low. One vort-max is over
southwest Alaska moving west while another another is over the
Alaska Panhandle and a strong vort-max to the southeast of Haida
Gwaii. There is an east-west oriented upper level ridge over
central Alaska. Another upper level low is over the western
Aleutians and the southwest Bering Sea. A front associated with
this low stretches northeast from Dutch Harbor into northeast
Russia. There are some clouds and diurnally enhanced showers
across southern Alaska.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models agree for the most part on the synoptic
situation, but have some important differences in dealing with
the timing and strength of various vort-maxes. The GFS and
especially the NAM have are stronger and faster with the first
impulse moving into south central Alaska Thursday morning. The
ECMWF is slower and weaker, and the Canadian has almost nothing.
The second and stronger system that is due in Thursday night and
Friday morning is better agreed upon, but the Canadian and the
ECMWF are slower to exit the precipitation. There is fairly high
confidence that much of southern Alaska will have a significant
precipitation event Thursday into Friday (and into Saturday for
southwest Alaska). There is less confidence in the timing.
Therefore the forecast confidence is below normal for timing, but
above normal that this will be a fairly wet event.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
There is an upper level shortwave pushing through that will exit
the region this evening. This will kick-off a few isolated
thunderstorms over the Alaska Range, Talkeetnas and the inland
areas for the Western Kenai this evening. While, there is
subsidence behind this feature resulting in more stable conditions.
Meanwhile, the models have the vertically stacked low in the Gulf
sending two significant easterly shortwaves through the region.
The first shortwave moves through the AOR starting by Thursday
afternoon. This will bring widespread wetting rains starting in
the Copper River Basin spreading west. Look for isolated thunderstorms
associated with the shortwave along the Alaska Range extending
through the Talkeetnas into the Chugach and the Kenai Mountains
Thursday afternoon. The temperatures will be cooler as the precipitation
reaches the Anchorage Bowl by Thursday afternoon. This will start the
beginning of widespread rain throughout the region accompanied by periods
of heavy rain from Thursday night through Friday as the next easterly
shortwave moves into region. Therefore, with the widespread rainfall
look for increased possibility of rapid rises in small creeks, and
possible minor urban street flooding. We are keeping a close watch
on this upcoming heavy rain scenario, and have issued a special weather
statement for this upcoming heavy rain event.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The upper level low over the Gulf will keep unstable easterly flow
over Southwest Alaska through Saturday. Multiple shortwaves will
rotate around the low bringing showers to the area. The combination
of an unstable atmosphere, diurnal heating, and shortwaves moving
through will help to kick off thunderstorms in the afternoon and
evening hours through Friday. The heaviest rain will come from two
shortwaves moving through Thursday evening and Friday morning. The
main corridor for the rain will be from the Kuskokwim Valley south
towards Bristol Bay and east towards the Alaska and Aleutian
Ranges.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The stationary front that sits in the Central Bering just west of
the Pribilof Islands and stretches south over the Eastern
Aleutians will diminish but linger on through Thursday then
dissipate by Thursday night. To the west of the front a low sits
west of the Western Aleutians and is slowly moving east. It will
bring showers to the Central and Western Aleutians into the weekend
as it moves through.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The extended forecast beginning this weekend will start off with
two lows, one weakening over the western Bering Sea, and another
developing over the Gulf of Alaska on Saturday. Easterly shortwave
troughs rotating around the Gulf low will be supporting rain
across much of southern Alaska, some possibly heavy at times. The
first of these waves will rotate south and west through the Kenai
Peninsula and Cook Inlet region Friday. The second wave will track
through the southwest Mainland while weakening Saturday, and
quickly push south over Kodiak Island by early Sunday morning.
However, this is where confidence drops off significantly, as the
model solutions diverge greatly with regards to the secondary wave
rotating around the Gulf low. Either way, expect more diurnally
driven showers over parts of the southern mainland, as the Gulf
low begins to track further east. The warmest temperatures will
likely be west of the Alaska Range with moderate temps across
Southcentral Alaska. By early next week, weak ridging is expected
to build in behind the departing Gulf low with continued inland
showers driven by diurnal heating.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...TP