Small Craft Advisory 460, NWS Anchorage, AK

690 
FZAK51 PAFC 051150
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-060045-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WEAKENS THROUGH TONIGHT. A
1010 MB LOW 325 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA MOVES INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT
BAY THIS EVENING AT 1002 MB. A 1002 MB LOW OVER INTERIOR ALASKA
TONIGHT DROPS SOUTH TO 40 NM EAST OF KING SALMON AT 1009 MB MON
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-060045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-060045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-060045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-060045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-060045-
PORT VALDEZ-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-060045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-060045-
VALDEZ ARM-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-060045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT 
BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-060045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-060045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-060045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-060045-
CHINIAK BAY-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-060045-
MARMOT BAY-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-060045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-060045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-060045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-060045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
350 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

252 
FZAK51 PAFC 052300
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061130-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1005 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BAY WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR
YAKUTAT BAY LATE TONIGHT. A 1002 MB LOW OVER INTERIOR ALASKA MON
MORNING MOVES SOUTH NEAR SITKINAK TUE MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN GULF MON MORNING
AND BUILD WESTWARD THROUGH TUE EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-061130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-061130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-061130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-061130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-061130-
PORT VALDEZ-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-061130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-061130-
VALDEZ ARM-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-061130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-061130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-061130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-061130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-061130-
CHINIAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-061130-
MARMOT BAY-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-061130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-061130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-061130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-061130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
448 AM AKDT SAT JUN 4 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Weak flow continues over the forecast area this morning, allowing
for the continuation of a fairly stagnant weather pattern.
Northerly shortwaves rotating around an arctic low have once again
triggered showers and weak thunderstorms over the mainland today.
With the loss of daytime heating and instability, these showers
have largely weakened and dissipated in the overnight hours. Over
the eastern Gulf of Alaska, a low pressure system is tracking
northwestward towards the northern Gulf Coast. This is bringing an
area of precipitation and lower marine stratus up the southeast
coast, poised to move to the northern gulf coast later this
morning. Further west, northerly flow with gusty winds continues
over the Bering Sea. A weakening front associated with a low
pressure system west of Shemya is moving through the western
Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models continue to be in good synoptic agreement through Sunday.
The main difference arises in the track of an arctic trough
pushing southward into southern Alaska on Monday, which leads to
some uncertainty in the precipitation forecast for Monday and
Monday night. The GFS is the most aggressive with the trough,
tracking the upper level trough energy further east over the
Alaska Range than the NAM and the ECMWF. As a result, the GFS
solution favors heavier precipitation over Southcentral than the
NAM and the EC solutions. The NAM/EC solution was used in the
morning package.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A change in the upper level pattern will bring more significant
upper level features into Southcentral the next couple days and
beyond. This will generally result in cooler, cloudier, and in
some cases wetter conditions. The focus today is an upper level
short-wave crossing the northern Gulf. This will bring steady
rain to coastal areas along with a cooler more stable air mass.
The areas of greatest instability will shift northward to interior
Southcentral where a few thunderstorms are possible.

A surface ridge will build along the north Gulf coast this afternoon
and evening with pressure rises of around 1 mb/hr at the peak.
This will produce a surge of winds along the coast, through Prince
William Sound, and inland. Winds will be magnified as they pass
through the usual terrain gaps resulting in fairly strong and
gusty winds late this afternoon through this evening for the
Anchorage and Palmer areas as well as across the heart of the
Copper River Basin. With pressure rises persisting into the
overnight hours winds will not die down completely until Sunday
morning.

For Sunday through Sunday night a low will cross the eastern Gulf
headed toward the northeast Gulf coast and the Eastern Copper
River Basin. This will likely spread rain into portions of Eastern
Prince William Sound and the eastern Copper Basin, though there
is some uncertainty in how far west precip will extend. Meanwhile,
a sharp cold trough will drop out of the Arctic and approach the
Susitna Valley and Cook Inlet corridor late Sunday. While showers
will likely develop out ahead of it Sunday afternoon, it is
looking more likely that steady rain will settle into this region
Sunday night into Monday with strong upward motion aided by deep
south to southwest flow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Another round of showers and thunderstorms is in order for most of
the mainland today. Coastal Bristol Bay will see activity mainly
in the afternoon that tapers off overnight, and lightning will be
more isolated in nature. The better chance for thunder will be over
the Kuskokwim Delta and Valley beginning late this morning as the
remnants of the thermal trough drift back northward as the flow
changes to more southeasterly aloft. The more frequent thunder
will reside on a line from the Kilbucks through the Alaska Range.
Sunday brings a pattern change as a disturbance from the north
moves into the area. The diurnal showers and thunderstorms will
take more of a stratiform nature with embedded thunder as ongoing
convection is enhanced by the incoming trough over the Alaska
Range. Temperatures will still be running above normal in most
locations with generally light winds outside of thunderstorm
gusts.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The frontal boundary over the western Bering Sea and Central
Aleutians will begin to weaken pretty quickly through the day
today. The flow will switch to be mostly easterly for the Bering
Sea with increasing cloud cover. Spotty rain will remain with the
front as it falls apart over the southern Bering, but the next
threat for active weather will be a developing low pressure system
and front south of the Central Aleutians on Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
By Monday, an arctic trough will be digging south along the Alaska
Range, spreading rain and showers from interior southwest Alaska
to western Southcentral including Anchorage. The heaviest
rainfall will likely occur across the northern Susitna Valley and
along the Alaska Range. Farther west across the Bering, high
pressure will dominate before a large and sprawling upper low and
associated front move from the western Bering toward the eastern
Bering by the end of the week. Meanwhile, the arctic trough will
cutoff and move into the North Pacific Tuesday night, with weak
and flat ridging building into southern Alaska Wednesday and
Thursday and possibly lasting into Friday. This is a slight change
from previous days, and this change should allow for increasing
temperatures and drying conditions (although showers and possible
thunderstorms will still be a threat over the mountains during the
afternoon and evening periods).

By the end of the week into the weekend, uncertainty rises again
as the very large North Pacific low straddling the Aleutian chain
moves into the Gulf of Alaska through the weekend with increasing
clouds and better chances for showers.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MTL
LONG TERM...Ahsenmacher

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
115 PM AKDT SAT JUN 4 2016

AKZ101-111-121-145-060100-
ANCHORAGE-MATANUSKA VALLEY-WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON...KENAI...
SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
115 PM AKDT SAT JUN 4 2016

...RISING WATER LEVELS ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS AS SNOW MELT
CONTINUES...

ALTHOUGH WATER IS FAIRLY HIGH AND WILL RISE A BIT MORE ON SOME
AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS THIS WEEKEND...NO FLOODING IS EXPECTED.
SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF FROM THE MELTING OF THE MOUNTAIN SNOWPACK
CONTINUES TO BE EARLIER THAN USUAL DUE TO VERY WARM SPRING
TEMPERATURES. AVAILABLE DATA SUGGESTS ABOUT HALF OF THE HEAVY
WINTER SNOWPACK IN THE KENAI MOUNTAINS HAS MELTED SINCE APRIL 1.
AN EVEN HIGHER PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL SNOWPACK LOSS HAS OCCURRED ON
THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS.

IN PARTICULAR, AS A RESULT OF BOTH SNOWMELT AND GLACIER-MELT, WATER
ON THE MATANUSKA RIVER HAS RISEN TO SUMMERTIME HIGH WATER LEVELS.
INTERESTED PARTIES AND THOSE RECREATING ON OR NEAR THE RIVER
SHOULD BE AWARE OF HIGH WATER CONDITIONS.

A GENERAL TREND TOWARD CLOUDIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND
WILL RESULT IN A DOWNWARD TREND ON MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS ARE ALWAYS AVAILABLE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/APRFC. THIS STATEMENT WILL NOT BE UPDATED.