Small Craft Advisory 307, NWS Anchorage, AK

071 
FZAK51 PAFC 081138
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090015-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF THIS MORNING AND MOVES INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF LATE TONIGHT...THEN STALLS THROUGH SAT NIGHT. A
995 MB LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THIS FRONT 280 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK TONIGHT
AND MOVES INLAND NEAR DILLINGHAM SAT MIDDAY AT 992 MB. 

$$

PKZ119-090015-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-090015-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-090015-
RESURRECTION BAY-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-090015-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-090015-
PORT VALDEZ-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-090015-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-090015-
VALDEZ ARM-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-090015-
PASSAGE CANAL-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-090015-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-090015-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-090015-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-090015-
CHINIAK BAY-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-090015-
MARMOT BAY-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-090015-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-090015-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-090015-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-090015-
KACHEMAK BAY-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

183 
FZAK51 PAFC 082258
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091130-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
TONIGHT. A 991 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND THIS
EVENING MOVES INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY SAT MORNING. AN
ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF UNTIL SUN
MORNING...THEN DISSIPATE.

$$

PKZ119-091130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT EARLY BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-091130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-091130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-091130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-091130-
PORT VALDEZ-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.


$$

PKZ127-091130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-091130-
VALDEZ ARM-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-091130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-091130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-091130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-091130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-091130-
CHINIAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-091130-
MARMOT BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-091130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-091130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 20 KT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-091130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-091130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
452 AM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A FRONTAL OCCLUSION EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHWESTERN BERING SEA DOWN
THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THIS MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS HAVE
MOVED ACROSS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS AS WHAT LITTLE FORCING THAT
REMAINS WITH THE WEAKENING FRONT HAS MOVED OVERHEAD. THIS FRONT
SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING AND BE NEARLY
DISSIPATED COME SUNRISE. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND HAS SPARKED SOME RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS...ALTHOUGH COVERAGE HAS DECREASED THIS MORNING AS THE
TROUGH LIFTS TO THE NORTH. A STEADY STREAM OF RAIN SHOWERS HAVE
BEEN MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA AHEAD OF A WARM
FRONT THAT IS POISED TO MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF
DURING THE DAY. SOME OF THESE SHOWERS HAVE MADE IT INLAND AS FAR
AS THE SUSITNA VALLEY BUT A FAIRLY ROBUST DRY LAYER (AS SEEN ON
00Z AND 12Z RAOBS FROM PANC) HAS KEPT MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION
FROM ACTUALLY MAKING IT TO THE SFC.

LOOKING AT THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED AT 46N
173E HAS BEGUN TO AMPLIFY THE UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE PATTERN WHICH
CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM EASTERN RUSSIA TO THE NORTHERN REACHES OF
THE ALASKA PANHANDLE. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE HAS BEEN SPECTACULAR AND HAS SHOWN THAT THE MODELS HAVE A
VERY GOOD GRASP ON THE EVOLUTION OF THIS LONGWAVE TROUGH. A POTENT
JET STREAK OF AROUND 100 KT AT 500 MB WILL ONLY STRENGTHEN AS THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO INTENSITY AND CREATES A VERY COMPACT
GEOPOTENTIAL GRADIENT. THIS DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS HELPED
SPIN UP A SFC LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THIS MORNING AND
HAS BEEN STRENGTHENING AT A RATE OF ABOUT 1 MB PER HOUR.
HOWEVER...MUCH OF THE SENSIBLE WEATHER WITH THIS FEATURE WILL
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF
TODAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WHICH
IS A CHANGE FROM EARLIER IN THE DAY. FOR THE PAST SEVERAL MODEL
RUNS THE MODELS HAVE HAD A HARD TIME RESOLVING AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE TRANSITIONING FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO THE GULF OF
ALASKA THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...MODELS HAVE NOW COME INTO MUCH
BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THIS LOW MOVING INLAND NEAR CORDOVA LATE
THIS EVENING. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE HANDLES A DEVELOPING ARE OF LOW
PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THIS MORNING VERY WELL BUT
BEGINS TO STRUGGLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AS SOLUTIONS DIVERGE
FROM A TRIPLE POINT LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS OR A
MORE BROAD AND COMPLEX LOW CENTER FORMING JUST SOUTH OF THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE IMPACTS ON SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL BE FAIRLY
SIGNIFICANT BASED ON THE SOLUTION FOR BOTH WIND AND PRECIPITATION
PATTERNS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM WESTERN ALASKA TO OVER
THE GULF LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH TONIGHT. A SECONDARY LOBE OF
ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH A NORTH ADVANCING UPPER LOW OVER THE
EASTERN GULF PUSHES WESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF/COPPER RIVER BASIN
TODAY AND PHASES WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH LIFTING NORTH TONIGHT.
THE MAIN WEATHER CHALLENGE IS HOW FAR WEST WILL THE MOISTURE
SPREAD WITH THIS SECONDARY WAVE. CURRENT THOUGHT IS TO PUSH THE
MOISTURE AS FAR WEST AS THE NORTHERN KENAI/ANCHORAGE BOWL/MATSU
THIS EVENING WITH PRECIPITATION TYPES OF RAIN AND SNOW.
PRECIPITATION INTENSITY WEST OF THE CHUGACH SHOULD BE FAIRLY LIGHT
AS THE 850/700MB WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY FROM THE NORTH. RAIN AND
SNOW/SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM THE WEST/SOUTHWEST AS
THE LONGWAVE TROUGH LIFTS NORTH. CLEARING WILL BE BRIEF AS THE
NEXT FRONT MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF BRINGS INCREASING
CLOUDS AND CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION (RAIN OR MIX) TO THE
SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND (EXCEPT COPPER RIVER BASIN) FRI NIGHT.

WEAK OUTFLOW CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN
KENAI AND WESTERN AND NORTHERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TODAY...THEN
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. THE FRONT MOVING INTO THE WESTERN GULF LATE
FRI WILL BRING GALES TO SOME COASTAL MARINE AREAS AND BRISK GAP
FLOWS TO FAVORED LOCALS LATE FRI AFTERNOON THROUGH FRI NIGHT.

.FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BROAD UPPER TROUGH CENTERED OVER BRISTOL BAY AND SOUTHWEST
ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE
AREA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THURSDAY NIGHT. A
TRANSIENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OUT AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW SHIFTS EAST
ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND BRISTOL BAY THURSDAY NIGHT AND
INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM STRETCHING ACROSS THE BERING AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS WILL SHEAR APART AND WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO ROTATE
NORTHEAST TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE NEXT DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TO AROUND 48N
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL LIFT
NORTH OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS THURSDAY NIGHT TO
STRETCH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING AND ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE EASTERN PART OF THE MAINLAND FRIDAY AND
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH A BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING AND
ALEUTIANS. MULTIPLE LOWS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TROUGH BRINGING
WINDS AND PRECIPITATION PRIMARILY TO THE ALEUTIANS AND COASTAL
AREAS. NEXT WEEK WEDNESDAY THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A DEEP LOW TO
MOVE INTO THE AREA. AT THIS TIME THE MODELS VARY WIDELY ON ITS
POTENTIAL DEPTH AND WHETHER IT WOULD MOVE INTO THE BERING OR STAY
SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. HOWEVER...THEY DO SEEM TO BE MOVING MORE
TO THE SOUTH WITH THE MOST RECENT RUNS. THESE DIFFERENCES COULD
RESULT IN MAJOR CHANGES TO THE WINDS FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE...119 155 165 170 172 176 180

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MMC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MTL
LONG TERM...DK