Small Craft Advisory 305, NWS Anchorage, AK

731 
FZAK51 PAFC 072257
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081215-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 991 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA MOVES INTO THE NORTH GULF
COAST FRI MORNING...THEN RAPIDLY DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES INLAND. A
FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF MIDDAY FRI...REACHES THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE FRI NIGHT...THEN STALLS THROUGH SAT
AFTERNOON. A 991 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND SAT
MORNING MOVES TO 25 NM WEST OF SITKINAK AT 990 MB SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-081215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE COAST
E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. NEAR THE COAST...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-081215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT W 15 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-081215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-081215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-081215-
PORT VALDEZ-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-081215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-081215-
VALDEZ ARM-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-081215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-081215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-081215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-081215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-081215-
CHINIAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-081215-
MARMOT BAY-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-081215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-081215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-081215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-081215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT THU APR 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

071 
FZAK51 PAFC 081138
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090015-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF THIS MORNING AND MOVES INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF LATE TONIGHT...THEN STALLS THROUGH SAT NIGHT. A
995 MB LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THIS FRONT 280 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK TONIGHT
AND MOVES INLAND NEAR DILLINGHAM SAT MIDDAY AT 992 MB. 

$$

PKZ119-090015-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-090015-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-090015-
RESURRECTION BAY-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-090015-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-090015-
PORT VALDEZ-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-090015-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-090015-
VALDEZ ARM-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-090015-
PASSAGE CANAL-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-090015-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-090015-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-090015-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-090015-
CHINIAK BAY-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-090015-
MARMOT BAY-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-090015-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-090015-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-090015-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-090015-
KACHEMAK BAY-
338 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

183 
FZAK51 PAFC 082258
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091130-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
TONIGHT. A 991 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND THIS
EVENING MOVES INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY SAT MORNING. AN
ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF UNTIL SUN
MORNING...THEN DISSIPATE.

$$

PKZ119-091130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT EARLY BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-091130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-091130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-091130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-091130-
PORT VALDEZ-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.


$$

PKZ127-091130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-091130-
VALDEZ ARM-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-091130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-091130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-091130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-091130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-091130-
CHINIAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-091130-
MARMOT BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-091130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-091130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 20 KT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-091130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-091130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
440 PM AKDT WED APR 6 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THERE ARE TWO PRIMARY LOW PRESSURE AREAS IMPACTING THE ANCHORAGE
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY CURRENTLY. THE FIRST IS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
CENTERED NEAR KAMISHAK BAY IN LOWER COOK INLET. THIS FEATURE IS
BRINGING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS TO MUCH OF SOUTHERN
ALASKA...PARTICULARLY TO SOUTH- AND EAST-FACING SLOPES OF THE
MOUNTAIN RANGES.

THE SECOND LOW IS ACTUALLY A WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY
LOCATED OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN BERING SEA. THE WESTERLY
GRADIENT IS SUBSIDING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THIS FEATURE OVER
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS...RESULTING IN DIMINISHING WINDS. AT THE
SURFACE...A FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING EXTENDING TO THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS IS GETTING STRETCHED AS THE ENERGY ALOFT SHEARS
APART.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS REMAIN IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WORK WEEK. THE NAM CONTINUES AS AN EASTERLY OUTLIER WITH A LOW
MOVING FROM THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC NORTH TOWARD THE NORTH GULF
COAST THURSDAY BEFORE MOVING INLAND THURSDAY NIGHT AND LEAVING A
RESIDUAL LOW NEAR THE GULF COAST OR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THE
GFS...WHICH IS TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF A TIGHT CLUSTER OF MODELS
EXCLUDING THE NAM...IS PREFERRED. THE MAIN IMPACTS OF THE EVENTUAL
TRACK WILL BE RAIN FOR THE COASTAL AREAS...WITH SNOW POTENTIALLY
FOR THOMPSON PASS AND PARTS OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WHERE
UP TO SEVERAL INCHES SNOW ACCUMULATION WOULD BE POSSIBLE.

BACK TOWARD THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS...JET ENERGY DIVING INTO THE
BASE OF THE TROUGH OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL HELP TO ENERGIZE A
SURFACE FRONT AND PUSH IT TOWARD THE SOUTHERN BERING...WHICH WOULD
INCLUDE THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THROUGH AKPEN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. A NEW TRIPLE POINT LOW MAY THEN BE POISED TO DEVELOP FROM
THIS FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING SEA FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE UPPER LEVELS HAVE A STRONG 115 KNOT SOUTHERLY JET STREAKING
THROUGH THE GULF BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE REGION. THIS IS STREAMING MOISTURE INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
SPILLING INTO THE ANCHORAGE BOWL...MAT-SU VALLEYS AND THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN REGION THIS LATE AFTERNOON. WHILE AT 500 MB THERE IS A
NEGATIVE TILTED TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WHICH IS KICKING OFF
NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN GULF THAT IS SPREADING INTO
THE NORTHERN COASTAL COMMUNITIES. THIS SYNOPTIC FEATURE WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME THROUGH THURSDAY.
WHILE THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND THE WESTERN KENAI CONTINUES TO GET
DOWNSLOPED OUT RESULTING IN DRIER CONDITIONS WITH THE CROSS-
BARRIER FLOW. THERE WILL BE A GALE FORCE NORTH PACIFIC LOW
TRACKING INTO THE GULF BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE
NEXT SWATH OF MOISTURE APPROACHING THE NORTHERN GULF BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK JUST SOUTH OF CAPE
SUCKLING WHICH WILL BRING GALE FORCE EASTERLY WINDS ALONG THE
COASTLINE NEAR CAPE SUCKLING. THIS WILL BRING A BAND OF
PRECIPITATION INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND EXTENDING INTO MATANUSKA
VALLEY BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX WITH
RAIN ALONG THE COASTLINE BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX
FARTHER INLAND EXCEPT FOR ALL SNOW THROUGH THOMPSON PASS AND
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THERE WILL BE SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES TRACKING THROUGH
THE NORTHERN GULF INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION THROUGH FRIDAY.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME WITH THE
NORTHERN COASTAL COMMUNITIES RECEIVING THE MAJORITY OF THE
PRECIPITATION. THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND THE WESTERN KENAI WILL HAVE
DRIER CONDITIONS WITH DOWNSLOPING EXCEPT FOR THE LOWER WESTERN
KENAI. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE RED FLAG
CRITERIA THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BROAD UPPER TROUGH CENTERED OVER BRISTOL BAY AND SOUTHWEST
ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE
AREA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THURSDAY NIGHT. A
TRANSIENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OUT AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW SHIFTS EAST
ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND BRISTOL BAY THURSDAY NIGHT AND
INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM STRETCHING ACROSS THE BERING AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS WILL SHEAR APART AND WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO ROTATE
NORTHEAST TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE NEXT DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TO AROUND 48N
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL LIFT
NORTH OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS THURSDAY NIGHT TO
STRETCH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING AND ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE EASTERN PART OF THE MAINLAND FRIDAY AND
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH A BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING AND
ALEUTIANS. MULTIPLE LOWS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TROUGH BRINGING
WINDS AND PRECIPITATION PRIMARILY TO THE ALEUTIANS AND COASTAL
AREAS. NEXT WEEK WEDNESDAY THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A DEEP LOW TO
MOVE INTO THE AREA. AT THIS TIME THE MODELS VARY WIDELY ON ITS
POTENTIAL DEPTH AND WHETHER IT WOULD MOVE INTO THE BERING OR STAY
SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. HOWEVER...THEY DO SEEM TO BE MOVING MORE
TO THE SOUTH WITH THE MOST RECENT RUNS. THESE DIFFERENCES COULD
RESULT IN MAJOR CHANGES TO THE WINDS FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE...119 155 172 174 176 177.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
LONG TERM...DK