Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016
Small Craft Advisory 277, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Mar 28, 2016, 3:34 AM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 28, 2016, 3:34 AM AKDT (11:34 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 28, 2016, 3:15 PM AKDT
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
344 FZAK51 PAFC 281134 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-290100- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 993 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND THIS MORNING MOVES UP COOK INLET INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BY TONIGHT. A FRONT DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF TUE MORNING AND MOVES INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ119-290100- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ120-290100- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ121-290100- RESURRECTION BAY- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-290100- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-290100- PORT VALDEZ- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-290100- VALDEZ NARROWS- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-290100- VALDEZ ARM- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-290100- PASSAGE CANAL- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-290100- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-290100- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-290100- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ136-290100- CHINIAK BAY- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ137-290100- MARMOT BAY- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-290100- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ139-290100- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-290100- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-290100- KACHEMAK BAY- 334 AM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
175 FZAK51 PAFC 282315 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-291215- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 996 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK WILL TRACK TO COOK INLET TONIGHT THEN DISSIPATE AS IT HEADS INLAND TUE. A SERIES OF FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WILL CROSS THE GULF THROUGH WED. $$ PKZ119-291215- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ120-291215- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ121-291215- RESURRECTION BAY- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-291215- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-291215- PORT VALDEZ- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .WED THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-291215- VALDEZ NARROWS- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-291215- VALDEZ ARM- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-291215- PASSAGE CANAL- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-291215- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. NEAR KAMISHAK BAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-291215- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-291215- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ136-291215- CHINIAK BAY- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ137-291215- MARMOT BAY- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ138-291215- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ139-291215- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-291215- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-291215- KACHEMAK BAY- 315 PM AKDT MON MAR 28 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 27, 5:29 PM AKDT, 10 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 27, 5:29 PM AKDT, 10 hours 5 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 529 PM AKDT SUN MAR 27 2016 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... AS THE EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE FURTHER BUILDS JUST TO THE EAST OF THE AOR...THE TRANSITION TO A MORE ACTIVE (AND WET) WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES UPSTREAM OF THE RIDGE AXIS. A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW SITS JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS WITH AN ASSOCIATED DECAYING FRONT STRETCHING ZONALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING. THE UPPER-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL JET IS HIGHLY AMPLIFIED OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC WITH A JET STREAK EXTENDING MERIDIONALLY ALONG THE 160W MERIDIAN FROM 40N THROUGH KODIAK ISLAND. THIS UPPER-LEVEL FEATURE ALONG WITH DEEP SOUTHERLY LOW AND MID-LEVEL FLOW IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE NORTH PACIFIC CYCLONE IS SUPPORTING DEEP MOISTURE ADVECTION INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TODAY. THE MOISTURE ADVECTION IS BEST SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON AS A LARGE PLUME OF FAST MOVING SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COAST. THIS MOISTURE WAS FOCUSED THIS MORNING ON THE ALASKA PENINSULA...WHERE THE MORNING COLD BAY SOUNDING SHOWED A PRECIPITABLE WATER (PW) VALUE OF 0.71"...WHICH IS 259% NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. IN THE PAST FEW HOURS THE FOCUS OF THE MOISTURE PLUME HAS PROGRESSED NORTHEASTWARD...SHIFTING THE AREA OF HIGHEST PW VALUES TO ALONG THE COOK INLET AND WESTERN GULF COAST REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS SETTING THE STAGE FOR A VERY WET BEGINNING TO THE WEEK FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. A WARM FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DEFORMATION OVER THE BRISTOL BAY REGION IS SUPPORTING SUBSTANTIAL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA...WHERE STEADY PRECIPITATION CAN BE SEEN ON RADAR IMAGERY THROUGH THE MORNING. SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE SOUTHWEST ARE WARMING AS THE SUBTROPICAL AIRMASS APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...BUT CURRENTLY REMAIN JUST COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SOME SNOW MIXED IN WITH THE RAIN NORTH OF BRISTOL BAY FOR NOW. MEANWHILE TEMPERATURES OVER THE WESTERN GULF COAST AND COOK INLET REGION HAVE WARMED TO ABOVE FREEZING. THE WARMER AIR IS SUPPORTING RAIN AS THE PRIMARY PRECIPITATION TYPE OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA AND KODIAK ISLAND AS THE PRECIPITATION ATTRIBUTED TO THE DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE PUSH AND SURFACE FRONT ADVANCES NORTHWARD UP THE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON. FURTHER NORTH... SHOWERS ACROSS THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND COPPER RIVER BASIN ARE ATTRIBUTED TO AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LIFTING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL INTERIOR. .MODEL DISCUSSION... MODELS REMAIN IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN IN THE SHORT TERM...WITH AN IMPRESSIVE JET POISED TO PUMP SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE TOWARDS THE GULF OF ALASKA FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC. HOWEVER...WHILE A RAINY PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED FOR MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK, MODELS DIFFER SIGNIFICANTLY ON HOW MUCH WILL FALL. THE LATEST NAM MODEL INDICATES THAT THE COASTAL JET AND DOWNSLOPING WILL BE MORE INTENSE ACROSS ANCHORAGE...THE MATANUSKA VALLEY AND WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA. MEANWHILE...THE GFS MODEL INDICATES HEAVIER AND MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. AS A RESULT...A BLEND OF MODELS WAS PREFERRED. .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)... THE FRONT HAS MADE ITS WAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BRINGING THE BEGINNINGS OF RAIN AND WARM AIR TO THE AREA. WITH RIDGING OFF TO THE EAST AND THE JET CONTINUING TO BRING MORE WARM AIR AND MOISTURE UP FROM THE SOUTH...RAIN LOOKS TO REMAIN WIDESPREAD INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THE HEAVIEST RAIN LOOKS TO BE MONDAY WHERE HIGH FREEZING LEVELS WILL ALLOW FOR RAIN EVEN IN MANY HIGHER ELEVATIONS LIKE THOMPSON PASS. ANOTHER IMPACT FROM THIS SYSTEM IS STRONGER WINDS THROUGH THE EAST TO WEST ORIENTED GAPS LIKE TURNAGAIN ARM. WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES AND BE THE STRONGEST DURING THE DAY MONDAY UNTIL DIMINISHING MONDAY NIGHT. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)... THE FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO BRING RAIN AND SNOW TO BRISTOL BAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF KING SALMON WHERE NORTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES COOL ENOUGH FOR SNOW. OVER EASTERN BRISTOL BAY...EASTERLY FLOW ALONG THE ALEUTIAN/ALASKAN RANGES HAVE SWITCHED THE SNOW OVER TO RAIN...WHICH SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. TO THE NORTH...SNOW WILL DEVELOP FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THIS EVENING...WHICH ALONG WITH GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS WILL BRING AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST...ESPECIALLY TO THE SOUTH OF BETHEL WHERE THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED. WITH NO CURRENT TRANSPORTABLE SNOW ON THE GROUND ANY BLOWING SNOW WILL BE FROM NEW SNOWFALL...AND WITH ONLY A FEW INCHES EXPECTED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. THIS FRONT WILL DEPART THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND BY MONDAY AFTERNOON...BUT AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHING THE DELTA COAST WILL KEEP RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AREA INTO TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE ALASKAN/ALEUTIAN RANGES. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)... CONFIDENCE REMAINS GOOD THAT THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THAT DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON AT SAINT GEORGE ALONG THE FRONT WILL LARGELY REMAIN SOUTH OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND...SO THE BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS JUST FOR SAINT GEORGE ISLAND THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE THE GALE FORCE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MAINLY THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS...SOUTHERN BERING SEA...AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS FRONT WILL THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING LATE TONIGHT...AND BRING A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TO REGION WITH LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND WINDS FALLING BELOW SMALL CRAFT. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)... AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND WET PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO TAKE HOLD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK AS A STOUT NORTHEAST PACIFIC RIDGE KEEPS WARM AND MOIST AIR FROM THE SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC FOCUSED ON THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND IN DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES RUNNING WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL VALUES ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA...ALONG WITH ABUNDANT RAINFALL AS SEVERAL EMBEDDED WAVES MOVE INTO THE REGION. RECENT MODEL RUNS HAVE BEEN HINTING AT A BRIEF RESPITE FROM THE WET CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHCENTRAL AK BEGINNING ON THURSDAY AS THE RIDGE EXTENDS WESTWARD OVER THE AREA AND THE PRECIPITATION SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AND EASTERN BERING. HOWEVER...THE WET PATTERN WILL THEN QUICKLY RETURN BY THE WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE IS NUDGED BACK TO THE EAST BY ANOTHER LOW APPROACHING THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE OVER THE EASTERN BERING...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASING FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE BERING AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 195 AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY 155 MARINE...GALES 119 125 177 178 179 180 181 411 412 413 414 && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RD/EN SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DK SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK LONG TERM...CB
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 3:34 AM AKDT | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Mar 28, 3:34 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 7 days | |
| Mar 28, 3:34 AM AKDT | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Mar 28, 10:14 AM AKDT | Ashfall Advisory | AFC | 23 hr | |
| Mar 28, 3:05 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Mar 28, 3:05 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 8 days | |
| Mar 28, 3:05 PM AKDT | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Mar 28, 3:15 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Mar 28, 3:15 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.