Small Craft Advisory 191, NWS Anchorage, AK

457 
FZAK51 PAFC 290025
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291315-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
TONIGHT. A SURFACE FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
ON MONDAY MORNING 150 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK. THIS FRONT WILL PROGRESS
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF AND WILL BE LOCATED 80 NM SOUTH OF
SEWARD ON TUESDAY EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-291315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-291315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-291315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-291315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-291315-
PORT VALDEZ-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-291315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-291315-
VALDEZ ARM-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 10
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-291315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-291315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-291315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-291315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-291315-
CHINIAK BAY-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-291315-
MARMOT BAY-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-291315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ139-291315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-291315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-291315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

376 
FZAK51 PAFC 291248
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010215-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT PRESSES OVER SOUTHERN KODIAK ISLAND TOWARDS THE
NORTH GULF COAST BY TUE MORNING. A 993 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF
KLAWOCK MOVES TO 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AS A 999 MB
LOW WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-010215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-010215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ121-010215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-010215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-010215-
PORT VALDEZ-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-010215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-010215-
VALDEZ ARM-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-010215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-010215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-010215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-010215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-010215-
CHINIAK BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-010215-
MARMOT BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17
FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ138-010215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-010215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-010215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-010215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
535 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW SITS SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH
MULTIPLE SMALLER LOWS EMBEDDED IN IT. ONE OF THOSE LOWS IS MOVING
FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF TO THE WEST TO BE ABSORBED BY THE MAIN LOW.
ITS FRONT ALREADY PUSHING INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. WITH RIDGING
OFF TO THE EAST WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW IS BEING BROUGHT UP FROM THE
SOUTH OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA KEEPING MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION RAIN.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING WHEN THEY
STRUGGLE WITH A NEW LOW MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTH TOWARDS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND ITS MERGING WITH THE OLD PARENT LOW. THERE
ARE ALSO DISCREPANCIES WITH THE FORMATION OF A TRIPLE POINT LOW
ALONG THE FRONT OF NEW LOW. THE EC SOLUTION WAS PREFERRED WHICH
PUSHES THE TRIPLE POINT LOW INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A FRONT CURRENTLY STRETCHES ACROSS CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA...WITH
A TRIPLE POINT CENTERED NEAR KODIAK ISLAND. TO THE NORTH OF THIS
FRONT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING ACROSS THE NORTH
GULF COAST...WITH EVEN A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES OCCURRING JUST
SOUTH OF THE KENAI PENINSULA OVERNIGHT. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA AS THIS
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH NORTHWARD TODAY. ALTHOUGH COOLER AIR
EXISTS BEHIND THIS FRONT AT MID-LEVELS...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
ADVECT WARMER SURFACE MARINE AIR TOWARDS THE GULF COAST
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AS A RESULT...ONCE MORE PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY RAIN OR RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW TODAY
INTO TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE
ELEVATED PASSES IN EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND NEAR HATCHER PASS WHERE
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL. ONCE MORE DOWNSLOPING IS
EXPECTED TO LIMIT PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE AREA AND
WEST KENAI PENINSULA.

ON MONDAY...DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH LIGHT SHOWERS ALONG
THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHCENTRAL...BEFORE THE NEXT FRONT APPROACHES
THE REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT WET PATTERN THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS AS A FRONT AND A TRAILING SHORTWAVE TRANSIT THE
REGION THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL BE THIS EVENING AS THE TRAILING SHORTWAVE
ROTATES NORTHWARD. AS THE WAVE MOVES THROUGH...PRECIPITATION WILL
TAPER OFF MONDAY MORNING WITH DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION.

WINDS WILL BE GUSTY ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST TODAY INTO THIS
EVENING AS THE LOW NEAR COLD BAY MOVES EASTWARD. WINDS OVER THE
BRISTOL BAY REGION WILL INCREASE AGAIN TOMORROW AS A SECOND LOW
APPROACHES THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ON MONDAY
WILL LIKELY BE ALONG THE BRISTOL BAY COAST AND THROUGH CHANNELED
TERRAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD
TROUGH WITH A SERIES OF LOWS MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION
OF THE REGION. AS THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW NEAR COLD BAY
THIS MORNING MOVES EASTWARD AND ELONGATES...WIDESPREAD AREAS OF
PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS TODAY. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF OVER THE
EASTERN BERING SEA TOMORROW MORNING AS THIS FRONT MOVES NORTHWARD.
A SECOND NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROACHING THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
MONDAY WILL ONCE AGAIN BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS BEFORE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

WINDS WILL REMAIN NEAR OR AT GALE FORCE ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE BERING SEA AS THE RIDGE REMAINS FIRMLY IN PLACE
OVER NORTHEASTERN RUSSIA. GALES SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING BEFORE RAMPING BACK UP TO GALE FORCE BY
EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS THE SECOND LOW MOVES INTO THE AREA. BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON WINDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND BRISTOL
BAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE THROUGH MONDAY LATE EVENING BEFORE
SLOWLY DIMINISHING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN ACTIVE WET PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF AND ALASKA
PENINSULA AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS THE DOMINANT WEATHER PATTERN
SOUTH OF THE PENINSULA. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INLAND DUE
TO DOWNSLOPING ALONG MOUNTAINS AND SURFACE RIDGING THAT REBUILDS
INTO CENTRAL ALASKA AT THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE IN
FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST WAS INFLUENCED WITH THE ECMWF AS IT PROVIDED BETTER
CONSISTENCY FOR UPDATES.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 130 131 132 138 150 155 160 165 170 172 179
              180 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...RF
LONG TERM...KH