Gale Warning 208, NWS Anchorage, AK

067 
FZAK51 PAFC 281438 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290415-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 969 MB LOW 95 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 40 NM
NORTHWEST OF KODIAK AND DISSIPATES MON MORNING. A 978 MB LOW
MOVES TO 450 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MON AFTERNOON THEN
TRACKS TO 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK BY TUE MORNING AT 981 MB.

$$

PKZ119-290415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-290415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-290415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-290415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-290415-
PORT VALDEZ-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-290415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-290415-
VALDEZ ARM-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-290415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-290415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-290415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-290415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-290415-
CHINIAK BAY-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-290415-
MARMOT BAY-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-290415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ139-290415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-290415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-290415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
538 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

899 
FZAK51 PAFC 281808
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290430-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 969 MB LOW 95 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 40 NM
NORTHWEST OF KODIAK AND DISSIPATES MON MORNING. A 978 MB LOW
MOVES TO 450 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MON AFTERNOON THEN
TRACKS TO 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK BY TUE MORNING AT 981 MB.

$$

PKZ119-290430-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-290430-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-290430-
RESURRECTION BAY-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-290430-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-290430-
PORT VALDEZ-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-290430-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-290430-
VALDEZ ARM-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-290430-
PASSAGE CANAL-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-290430-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-290430-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-290430-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-290430-
CHINIAK BAY-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-290430-
MARMOT BAY-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-290430-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ139-290430-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-290430-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-290430-
KACHEMAK BAY-
908 AM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

457 
FZAK51 PAFC 290025
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291315-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
TONIGHT. A SURFACE FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
ON MONDAY MORNING 150 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK. THIS FRONT WILL PROGRESS
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF AND WILL BE LOCATED 80 NM SOUTH OF
SEWARD ON TUESDAY EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-291315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-291315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-291315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-291315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-291315-
PORT VALDEZ-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-291315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-291315-
VALDEZ ARM-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 10
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-291315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-291315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-291315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-291315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-291315-
CHINIAK BAY-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-291315-
MARMOT BAY-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-291315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ139-291315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-291315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-291315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
325 PM AKST SUN FEB 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

376 
FZAK51 PAFC 291248
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010215-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT PRESSES OVER SOUTHERN KODIAK ISLAND TOWARDS THE
NORTH GULF COAST BY TUE MORNING. A 993 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF
KLAWOCK MOVES TO 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AS A 999 MB
LOW WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-010215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-010215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ121-010215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-010215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-010215-
PORT VALDEZ-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-010215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-010215-
VALDEZ ARM-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-010215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-010215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-010215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-010215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-010215-
CHINIAK BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-010215-
MARMOT BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17
FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ138-010215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-010215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-010215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-010215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
348 AM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

491 
FZAK51 PAFC 292350
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011230-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF
COAST MON NIGHT. RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE GULF THROUGH WED
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-011230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT E 25 KT TOWARD THE COAST. SEAS
16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-011230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-011230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING N 
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT TOWARD EVENING. SEAS 2
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-011230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-011230-
PORT VALDEZ-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-011230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-011230-
VALDEZ ARM-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-011230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 20 KT DEVELOPING LATE AFTERNOON NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2
FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-011230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NE 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-011230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-011230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-011230-
CHINIAK BAY-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-011230-
MARMOT BAY-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-011230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT BY MORNING. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT
TOWARD MORNING. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ139-011230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING
TO 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-011230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-011230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
250 PM AKST MON FEB 29 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
436 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

ANALYSIS...
CLOUD COVER HAS BECOME EXTENSIVE OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN ALASKA
THIS AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY FROM THE MATANUSKA VALLEY SOUTH.
THIS IS THANKS TO THE APPROACH OF A STRONG FRONT TOWARDS THE GULF
COAST FROM THE SOUTH. THE LATEST ASCAT SCATTEROMETER
PASS/SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS SHOWS EAST WINDS OF 35-45 KNOTS OVER
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF...LOCAL GUSTS ARE HIGHER WITH
THE FEW BUOYS THAT ARE OUT OVER THE OPEN GULF REPORTING GUSTS
EXCEEDING 50 MPH ALREADY EARLIER TODAY.

TEMPERATURES OVER NEARLY ALL OF SOUTHERN ALASKA ARE WELL ABOVE
NORMAL ONCE AGAIN TODAY. 12Z SOUNDINGS THIS MORNING FROM
ANCHORAGE TO KODIAK TO KING SALMON ALL SHOW DEEP AND BROAD
SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW THROUGHOUT NEARLY ALL OF THE
ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN. THESE WINDS CONTINUE TO PUMP ABNORMALLY WARM
AIR THROUGHOUT MAINLAND ALASKA...THOUGH THE CLOUD COVER SHOULD
TEMPER THE WARMING FROM THE STRENGTHENING LATE FEBRUARY SUN
SOMEWHAT.

RADAR SHOWS SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY THROUGH
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND INTO THE EASTERN KENAI...ALONG WITH
A FEW MORE BEING DETECTED SOUTH OF CLAM GULCH. A FEW FLURRIES AND
SPRINKLES ARE ALL THAT HAVE BEEN REPORTED TODAY AROUND THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL AS THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS HAVE LARGELY SHADOWED THE
PRECIPITATION TRYING TO CROSS THEM. FURTHER WEST...A WEAK WAVE IS
MOVING INTO THE WOOD RIVER MOUNTAINS AND DISSIPATING FLURRIES ARE MOVING
NORTH ALONG THE COAST WEST OF BETHEL.

UPPER LEVELS...
THERE ARE TWO UPPER LEVEL LOWS NEAR SOUTHERN ALASKA. THE
STRONGEST/COLDEST ONE IS CENTERED SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.
WHILE NOT PRODUCING MUCH IN THE WAY OF SENSIBLE SURFACE
WEATHER...THIS LOW WILL ABSORB EACH OF THE OTHER LOWS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH IT IN THE SHORT-TERM. THE OTHER WEAKER LOW IS THE
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW TRACKING SOUTH OF KODIAK. WHILE THIS LOW
HAS A MUCH MORE IMPRESSIVE SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE...WEAKENING OF
THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING
WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS...BUT IT WILL BE THE FIRST
VICTIM OF THE STRONG UPPER LOW. THE STRONG SURFACE FRONT MOVING
NORTH THROUGH THE GULF STRETCHES INTO THE UPPER LEVELS NORTH OF
THE KODIAK LOW...BOTH OF WHICH ARE HELPING DRIVE THE FRONT TOWARDS
THE GULF COAST. FINALLY...THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL WAVE THAT WILL MOVE
INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF IS TRACKING ALONG WITH THE VERY ACTIVE
SUBTROPICAL JET SOUTH OF THE UPPER LOW OVER THE OPEN NORTH
PACIFIC. MORE ON THIS FEATURE BELOW.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MANY OF THE FORECAST MODELS HAVE BEEN HAVING TROUBLE INITIALIZING
THE KODIAK LOW...THE FRONT BARRELING TOWARDS THE COAST...AND
THEIR ASSOCIATED SMALLER FEATURES THIS AFTERNOON. THE CANADIAN/GEM
MODEL HAS BEEN HANDLING THE LOW THE BEST OF ALL OF THE OTHERS...SO
IT WAS THE CHOSEN SOLUTION FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. THIS
SOLUTION WAS ALSO CHOSEN FOR ITS INITIAL HANDLING OF THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVING OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

AFTER ABOUT 36 HOURS...THE GEM BECOMES AN OUTLIER...SO A BLEND TO
THE EC SOLUTION WAS TAKEN FROM THERE. THE DISAGREEMENT AT 36 HOURS
REGARDS THE NEXT DISTURBANCE IN THE WAVE TRAIN. THIS
DISTURBANCE... CURRENTLY TRACKING SOUTH OF THE UPPER LOW WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL JET...WILL ROUND THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW AND
HEAD TOWARDS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE
OUTLIER GFS IS MUCH QUICKER THAN THE OTHER MODELS BRINGING THE LOW
THROUGH THAT AREA. THE EC WAS IN FAR BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE
OTHER MODELS...AND HAS THE MOST REASONABLE TRACK OF THE
LOW...LARGELY KEEPING AS THE AVERAGE BETWEEN THE OTHER MODELS
CLUSTERED AROUND IT.

A FRONT AND A NEW ASSOCIATED LOW DEVELOPS EAST OF THIS
LOW...TRACKING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE GULF. JUST LIKE WITH THE
KODIAK LOW...THE GFS WAS TOO STRONG AND TOO FAST WITH ITS MOVEMENT.
THE EC FOLLOWED VERY CLOSELY WITH THE SREF AND WAS CLUSTERED IN
THE MIDDLE OF THE OTHER MODELS MOVING THE FRONT NORTHWARD TOWARDS
THE GULF. IN FACT...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE GFS...ALL OF THE
MODELS ARE CLUSTERED CLOSE TOGETHER WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE
LARGE SCALE FRONT...BUT WHERE THE ASSOCIATED LOW DEVELOPS IS THE
SUBJECT OF SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH DISAGREEMENT THAT THE EC WAS CHOSEN
AS AN AVERAGE SOLUTION BETWEEN THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
SOLUTIONS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE...WITH GOOD
CONFIDENCE ON WHERE THE LARGER FEATURES TRACK...AND LOWER
CONFIDENCE ON THE SMALLER SCALE DISTURBANCES AND LOWS THAT DEVELOP
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THEM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM STRETCHED ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA
WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH THIS EVENING TO THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST WHERE IT WILL STALL THROUGH SUNDAY. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW IN THE SOUTHERN GULF IS CURRENTLY STRETCHING TO AN ELONGATED
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND DEVELOPING MULTIPLE CENTERS. THE WESTERN
MOST LOW WILL PULL BACK TO THE NORTHWEST AND CROSS THE ALASKA
PENINSULA JUST TO THE EAST OF COLD BAY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. THE NEXT LOW CENTER LIFTS NORTH AND OVER SOUTHERN
KODIAK ISLAND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WHILE A THIRD MORE OPEN WAVE
TROUGH ROTATES ACROSS THE BARREN ISLANDS MIDDAY SUNDAY. WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF
COAST REGION THROUGHOUT THIS PROGRESSION WITH ABUNDANT RAIN AT
LOWER ELEVATIONS AND HEAVY WET SNOW HIGHER UP.

THE NEXT FEATURE OF INTEREST IS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LIFTING
NORTH OVER KODIAK ISLAND SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA SUNDAY EVENING AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA SUNDAY
NIGHT. THIS TROUGH IS BRINGING ENOUGH COLD AIR AND INSTABILITY
WITH IT THAT THE PRECIPITATION TYPE SHOULD SWITCH OVER TO SNOW
SHOWERS FAIRLY QUICKLY AS IT PASSES WITH A FAST INCH OR TWO OF
SNOW POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT. CURRENTLY 850 AND 700 MB FLOW
DIRECTION LOOKS MOST FAVORABLE FOR OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT OF THESE
SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE SUSITNA VALLEY AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN
AND WESTERN TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE MAINLAND WILL REMAIN UNDER AN EASTERLY FLOW PATTERN ALOFT IN
THE SHORT TERM WITH A BRIEF BREAK TOMORROW EVENING AS A NORTH
PACIFIC SYSTEM SHIFTS THE FLOW TO THE SOUTH...SENDING A TROUGH
OVER THE MAINLAND. MOSTLY CLOUDY TO OVERCAST CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL WITH MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE AS THE NORTH
PACIFIC SYSTEM SENDS A COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES TOWARD THE MAINLAND.
EASTERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL KEEP EVERYWHERE MOSTLY DRY. A
SPRINKLE OR TWO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. A BETTER CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION COMES TOMORROW EVENING AS TROUGH PUSHES FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH. MONDAY INTO TUESDAY THE STORM TRACK STAYS WELL TO THE
SOUTH KEEPING THE MAINLAND DRY WITH NORTHERLY SURFACE
WINDS...CLOUDS SHOULD BE DECREASING AS WELL...THROUGH AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL KEEP SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SHEAR OUT OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA
TONIGHT WHICH WILL SEND A FRONT FROM THE ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH
THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. AREAS OF RAIN IN THAT VICINITY WILL
GRADUALLY PUSH NORTHWARD ON SUNDAY BRINGING A BRIEF DRIER PERIOD
TO MOST OF THE EASTERN CHAIN AND BERING. LATE SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY...A COMPACT SYSTEM WILL PUSH TOWARD THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA SENDING A GALE FORCE FRONT INTO THE
SOUTHERN BERING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN ACTIVE WET PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF AND ALASKA
PENINSULA AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS THE DOMINANT WEATHER PATTERN
SOUTH OF THE PENINSULA. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INLAND DUE
TO DOWNSLOPING ALONG MOUNTAINS AND SURFACE RIDGING THAT REBUILDS
INTO CENTRAL ALASKA AT THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE IN
FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST WAS INFLUENCED WITH THE ECMWF AS IT PROVIDED BETTER
CONSISTENCY FOR UPDATES.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 119 120 130 131 138.
 GALE WARNING 125 132 136 137 139 150 155 160 180 185.
 HEAVY FRZ SPRAY 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ML
LONG TERM...KH