Small Craft Advisory 185, NWS Anchorage, AK

262 
FZAK52 PAFC 261203
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-270045-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 972 MB LOW 75 NM WEST OF COLD BAY WILL TRACK TO 200 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND AT 973 MB TONIGHT...THEN TO 175 NM
NORTH OF ADAK AT 975 MB SAT NIGHT. A 983 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF
SHEMYA WILL DRIFT INTO THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND WEAKEN THROUGH
SAT NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE ALASKA PENINSULA SAT
MORNING AND MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY SAT EVENING. 

$$

PKZ150-270045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ155-270045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NE WIND 15 KT
BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-270045-
BRISTOL BAY-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-270045-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE
25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-270045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-270045-
UNALASKA BAY-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-270045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-270045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ174-270045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-270045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-270045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-270045-
ADAK TO KISKA-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC
SIDE.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-270045-
KISKA TO ATTU-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-270045-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. PATCHY
FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-270045-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-270045-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ185-270045-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
303 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 35 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.

$$

285 
FZAK52 PAFC 270009
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-271330-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A COMPLEX LOW 110 NM SOUTH OF SAINT PAUL WITH MULTIPLE WEAK
CENTERS WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON. A
WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS SAT AFTERNOON AND
EXITS EARLY SUN. A 967 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 240 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 961 MB SAT AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES TO
160 NM NORTHWEST OF SAND POINT AT 969 MB SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-271330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-271330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND
15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 40 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-271330-
BRISTOL BAY-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-271330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON
EAST OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-271330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-271330-
UNALASKA BAY-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-271330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-271330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-271330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-271330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-271330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-271330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-271330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-271330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-271330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-271330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ185-271330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT NE 40 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT NE 40 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE
MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
537 AM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF
YESTERDAY MORNING HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER THE EASTERN KENAI
PENINSULA. AS THIS OCCURRED...STRONG PRESSURE FALLS THAT
DEVELOPED IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW ARE PRODUCING STRONG WINDS NEAR
WHITTIER...AND ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM
TOWARDS THE ANCHORAGE BOWL WHERE THEY ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
INTO THE MORNING HOURS. A STORM FORCE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
LOW CONTINUES TO BRING STRONG WINDS FROM CORDOVA INTO PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND WITH PERSISTENT RAIN ALONG THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF
THE GULF COAST THAT TRANSITIONS TO SNOW ABOVE ABOUT 1000 FT.

ANOTHER STACKED LOW CENTERED SOUTH OF THE AKPEN IS SLOWLY MOVING
NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE EASTERN BERING SEA. A WEAK DEFORMATION BAND
ATTACHED TO THIS LOW STRETCHES FROM JUST EAST OF THE PRIBILOFS
INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND IS BRINGING AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW TO
THOSE AREAS WITH DIMINISHING NORTHERLY WINDS. A WEAK WAVE OVER THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS IS BRINGING SNOW SHOWERS WITH EASTERLY
WINDS. THESE WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO DIMINISH HOWEVER AS THE WAVE
PROGRESSES INTO THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MOST OF THE MODEL ISSUES TODAY SURROUND THE LOW THAT IS MOVING
THROUGH THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS INTO SOUTHCENTRAL...AND THE
RESULTANT GUSTY WINDS. THIS IS A FEATURE THAT NONE OF THE MODELS
ADEQUATELY RESOLVED INTO YESTERDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER FORTUNATELY
SINCE THEN THE MODELS HAVE ALL IN COME INTO DECENT SYNOPTIC
AGREEMENT THIS ALLOWED THE HIGHER RESOLUTION NAM AND WRF-ARW TO BE
USED HEAVILY FOR THE FIRST PERIOD FORECAST...BOTH OF WHICH SEEM
TO BE INITIALIZING WELL. BEYOND THE FIRST PERIOD OF THE FORECAST
THE MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT SINCE YESTERDAY
WITH THE TRACK/INTENSITY OF THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW CROSSING INTO
THE BERING THIS EVENING...AND WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER LOW
IN THE GULF LATE TONIGHT. AS A RESULT THE NAM WAS ABLE TO BE
UTILIZED AGAIN FOR THE FORECAST INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A FAST MOVING TRIPLE POINT HAS SUPPORTED A GUSTY NIGHT ACROSS
MANY OF THE LOCAL GAPS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AS IT PROGRESSED FROM
JUST SOUTH OF SEWARD TO JUST SOUTH OF TALKEETNA OVERNIGHT. MODELS
CONTINUE TO PROJECT THE BUILDING OF A SURFACE RIDGE IN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND TODAY...WHICH WILL SUPPORT AN EAST TO WEST PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND SOME LOCAL GUSTS ACROSS ANCHORAGE AND THE WESTERN
KENAI. THE PROGRESSION OF A WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND THIS AFTERNOON WILL SUPPORT A BRIEF INCREASE
IN GAP WINDS AGAIN...ALTHOUGH GENERALLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

BY FRIDAY...A NEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF AND
PROGRESS TOWARDS KODIAK ISLAND. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT A LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AND LOCAL GAP WINDS...HOWEVER DUE TO THE MORE SOUTHERN TRAJECTORY
OF THIS LOW...PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL BE WEAKER AND SUBSEQUENTLY
WEAKER GAP WINDS ARE EXPECTED THAN OCCURRED THIS MORNING.
HOWEVER...A RICHER MOISTURE SUPPLY IS EXPECTED WITH THIS LOW...AND
HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT TIMES ACROSS THE EASTERN KENAI.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 THROUGH 3)...

IT IS BEGINNING TO LOOK MORE AND MORE LIKELY THAT WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AS WELL AS FAIRLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY
CENTERED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO
THE BERING SEA BY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL KEEP MUCH OF SOUTHWEST
ALASKA UNDER SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WHICH IS AN UNFAVORABLE DIRECTION
FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. THE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL NOT BE
AS STRONG AS WAS OBSERVED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS BUT WILL
STILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO DOWNSLOPE OUT MANY LOCATIONS. THE LACK
OF ANY LARGE SCALE FEATURES DOES NOT HELP THE CASE FOR
PRECIPITATION TO REALLY OVERSPREAD THE REGION. ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON
A WEAK LOW NEAR KODIAK WILL DISSIPATE AS IT CLASHES WITH THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE. THIS WILL ACT TO INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
AND WINDS ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN WHILE MOST OTHER LOCATIONS
WILL LIKELY TOP OUT AT 20 TO 25 MPH. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE TO
NEAR KODIAK ISLAND LATE SATURDAY. THIS LOW WILL FURTHER ENHANCE
THE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...LEADING TO
A CONTINUED DRY PERIOD FOR THE AREA.

THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE ANY RELIEF IN THESE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ON WEDNESDAY...KING SALMON TOPPED OUT AT 46 DEGREES
(17 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL) AND BETHEL TOPPED OUT AT 30 DEGREES (10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. TEMPERATURES FOR THESE LOCATIONS WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WITH BETHEL LIKELY REACHING 34 OR 35 DEGREES
TODAY AND KING SALMON 45 TO 46 DEGREES. ALL OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA
WILL SEE TEMPERATURES 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND ANY CHANGE IN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THAT COULD BRING
COLDER TEMPERATURES DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAPPEN ANY TIME SOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 THROUGH 3)...

THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW EXPECTED TO CROSS INTO THE BERING SEA FROM
THE NORTH PACIFIC ON FRIDAY WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE SOUTHERN
BERING SEA OVER THE WEEKEND. MODELS ARE STRUGGLING SLIGHTLY ON HOW
QUICKLY THE LOW DISSIPATES AND A BROAD AND ELONGATED TROUGH
REMAINS IN ITS WAKE. IN THE MEAN TIME...A SHEARING UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS TODAY
AND BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW. THE SNOW COUPLED WITH WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 45 MPH WILL LIKELY CREATE SOME BLOWING SNOW ISSUES BUT
VISIBILITIES WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT ONE MILE OR HIGHER AS THE SNOW
FALLS DUE TO THE LACK OF COLD AIR ADVECTION AND THE LACK OF
PRECIPITATION INTENSITY. HOWEVER...COLD AIR DOES LOOK TO FILTER
IN ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BERING SEA HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND WHICH WOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR SOME COLD AIR ADVECTION
SHOWERS TO BE QUITE NUMEROUS OVER THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
FORECAST THINKING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK REMAINS LARGELY
UNCHANGED AS THE NORTH PACIFIC LONGWAVE TROUGH AND STOUT RIDGING
OVER WESTERN CANADA HELP TO STEER A SERIES OF LOWS TOWARDS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA OR FAR WESTERN GULF. THIS WILL KEEP BROAD
ONSHORE FLOW AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION FOCUSED ALONG THE GULF
COAST THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK AS SEVERAL FRONTS TRACK
ACROSS THE GULF...WHILE INLAND AREAS IN THE LEE OF THE COASTAL
RANGES STAY RELATIVELY DRY AS A RESULT OF PERSISTENT DOWNSLOPE
FLOW. MEANWHILE...THE BERING WILL REMAIN IN A FAIRLY BENIGN
SHOWERY REGIME ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AS
THE UPPER LEVEL JET ENERGY REMAINS WELL SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN
CHAIN. THE LOWS APPROACHING THE AKPEN WILL BRING THE OCCASIONAL
POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER WINDS AND HEAVIER PRECIPITATION TO PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHEAST BERING.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MMC
LONG TERM...CB