Gale Warning 200, NWS Anchorage, AK

285 
FZAK52 PAFC 270009
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-271330-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A COMPLEX LOW 110 NM SOUTH OF SAINT PAUL WITH MULTIPLE WEAK
CENTERS WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON. A
WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS SAT AFTERNOON AND
EXITS EARLY SUN. A 967 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 240 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 961 MB SAT AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES TO
160 NM NORTHWEST OF SAND POINT AT 969 MB SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-271330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-271330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND
15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 40 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-271330-
BRISTOL BAY-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-271330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON
EAST OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-271330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-271330-
UNALASKA BAY-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-271330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-271330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-271330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-271330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-271330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-271330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-271330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-271330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-271330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-271330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ185-271330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
309 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT NE 40 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT NE 40 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE
MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

095 
FZAK52 PAFC 271210
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-280130-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A COMPLEX LOW WITH MULTIPLE WEAK CENTERS 250 NM NORTHWEST OF
DUTCH HARBOR WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH SUN NIGHT. A
WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EXIT EARLY SUN. A 974 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW TONIGHT WILL TRACK
TO 255 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 966 MB SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-280130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...S 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 21 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-280130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NE WIND 15
KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SW 40 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-280130-
BRISTOL BAY-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-280130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 6
FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-280130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-280130-
UNALASKA BAY-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-280130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-280130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-280130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-280130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-280130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-280130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-280130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT PACIFIC SIDE...NW 25 KT BERING SIDE. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT PACIFIC SIDE...NW 20 KT BERING SIDE.
SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-280130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-280130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-280130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ185-280130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
310 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 35 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

248 
FZAK52 PAFC 280009
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-281315-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED 250 NM NORTHWEST OF DUTCH
HARBOR WEAKENS. A 962 MB LOW 140 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK MOVES TO
130 NM NORTHEAST OF ATKA AT 972 MB LATE SUN NIGHT...THEN
DISSIPATES MON. A DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 200 NM
SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 960 MB SUN NIGHT THEN TO 90 NM
NORTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 986 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-281315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT S
OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ155-281315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ160-281315-
BRISTOL BAY-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-281315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-281315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-281315-
UNALASKA BAY-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-281315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT NEAR THE COAST.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-281315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ174-281315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-281315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-281315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ177-281315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-281315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ179-281315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-281315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-281315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ185-281315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
309 PM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
356 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A CLOSED LOW SPINNING JUST SOUTH OF COLD BAY IS MOVING A SHORTWAVE
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN GULF. ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM
INTO SOUTHCENTRAL AHEAD OF A RIDGE THAT HAS AN AXIS EXTENDING
ACROSS NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST ALASKA. AT THE SURFACE...A WARM
FRONT THAT MOVED INTO THE GULF COAST LAST NIGHT IS NOW DIMINISHING.
MOST OF THE RAIN ACTIVITY IS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF...EASTERN
KENAI AND SOUTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY. ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND...ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS ARE CONTINUING TO DEVELOP ALONG
AN UPPER WAVE MOVING ACROSS BRISTOL BAY. WINDS ACROSS SOUTHERN
ALASKA ARE TAPERING DOWN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH STRONGER
WINDS PICKING UP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF WITH THE APPROACH OF
THE NEXT FRONT. OVERALL TEMPERATURES TODAY WARMED SIGNIFICANTLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA WITH DIURNAL TRENDS INTO THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES WERE ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM
COAST AND ALONG THE WESTERN AREAS OF THE BERING IN THE UPPER 20S
AND LOWER 30S.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN
INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND...HOWEVER THERE ARE APPRECIABLE
DIFFERENCES WITH THE DETAILS OF THE DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC. ON FRIDAY...THIS NEXT LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE THE DOMINANT
LOW CENTER ALONG THE BROAD TROUGH THAT EXTENDS THE FROM THE BERING
TO THE GULF. THIS LOW MOVES QUICKLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF TO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA BECOMING AN OPEN WAVE AS IT CROSSES INTO THE
EASTERN BERING FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER SYSTEM DEVELOPS SOUTH OF
KODIAK ISLAND EARLY SATURDAY AND TAKES A SIMILAR TRACK. THE STORM
SYSTEM ON SATURDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER AS A COLDER AIR MASS
ADVECTS IN ALONG THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM CREATING A DEEPER LOW
CENTER AS IT MOVES INTO THE GULF.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF
ALASKA TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...SPREADING IN MORE CLOUDS AND
COASTAL PRECIPITATION. FREEZING LEVELS WILL BE RATHER HIGH SO ANY
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE RELEGATED TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITH
COASTAL RAIN. WITH DEEP LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW...THIS WILL BE A
RATHER SEVERE DOWNSLOPE DRYING PATTERN. THIS WILL ALSO BRING IN
STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND...AND STRONG SOUTHEAST GAP WINDS THROUGH TURNAGAIN
ARM AND PASSAGE CANAL. THIS LOW WEAKENS SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER
NEARLY IDENTICAL (BUT A BIT STRONGER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS) LOW
MOVING INTO THE GULF SATURDAY EVENING. IN OTHER WORDS...ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND VERY NON-WINTER LIKE WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE AS A BARRAGE OF PACIFIC STORMS HAMMER SOUTHCENTRAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...FRI AND
SAT)...
THE PATTERN WILL LOOK VERY SIMILAR FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
WEAK FRONTS WRAPPING AROUND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS SOUTH OF THE
AKPEN WILL SWING FROM THE ALEUTIAN RANGE THROUGH THE AREA AND INTO
THE BERING. MOST OF THE MOISTURE WILL BE SCRUBBED FROM THE FRONTS
BY THE ALEUTIAN RANGE. THERE WILL STILL BE ABUNDANT CLOUD
COVER...BUT THE BEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE OVER THE
KILBUCK MOUNTAINS AND COASTAL AREAS. GUSTY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
COULD SNEAK THROUGH SOME OF THE GAPS...BUT THEY SHOULD NOT BE
LONG-LIVED. WARM AIR WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL AND
FORCE ANY PRECIPITATION THAT DOES FALL TO FALL AS RAIN FOR ALMOST
ALL LOCATIONS. A SLIGHTLY STRONGER FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH LATE
FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING. THIS COULD MAKE FOR A SLIGHTLY BETTER
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO MAKE IT TO OTHER INLAND AREAS...BUT
THAT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2...FRI AND
SAT)...
THE PARENT LOW PARKED JUST SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL DRIVE THE
WEATHER OVER THE BERING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ON ITS WESTERN
FLANK...COLDER NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING SOUTH SOME 850 MB
TEMPERATURES THAT ARE HOVERING NEAR -15C. THIS WILL LEAD TO
GUSTIER WINDS IN A WELL-MIXED ATMOSPHERE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
SNOW SHOWERS. ON ITS EASTERN FLANK...WARMER SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL
MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS SHOULD HELP THE SNOW NEAR THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS TO CHANGE OVER TO RAIN LATER THIS EVENING AND END
THE THREAT OF BLOWING SNOW. IT WILL ALSO KEEP RAIN FALLING OVER
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS..ESPECIALLY ON THE PACIFIC SIDE. AS THE LOW
DRIFTS TO THE WEST...IT WILL CAUSE THE SURFACE GRADIENT TO TIGHTEN
COURTESY OF AN ARCTIC HIGH OVER RUSSIA. THIS COULD MAKE FOR SOME
GALE-FORCE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN BERING AND IT WILL HELP TO
ALLOW SOME OF THAT COLDER AIR TO WRAP AROUND AND CREEP INTO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
GULF ON SAT AND THE PATTERN WILL START TO REPEAT ITSELF ON SUN.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE STOUT WESTERN NORTH AMERICAN RIDGE AND A LONGWAVE TROUGH
ANCHORED BY A BROAD COMPLEX LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN WILL
CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT LARGE SCALE FEATURES IMPACTING THE
PATTERN THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP ONSHORE
FLOW AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION FOCUSED ALONG THE GULF COAST AS
SEVERAL EMBEDDED SYSTEMS MOVE TOWARDS THE AKPEN OR WESTERN GULF
AND SWING FRONTS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. INLAND AREAS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL AK WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY AS A RESULT OF FAIRLY
PERSISTENT DOWNSLOPE FLOW IN THE LEE OF THE COASTAL MOUNTAIN
RANGES. SHOWER POTENTIAL FOR THESE LOCATIONS WILL BE PERIODICALLY
ENHANCED AS FRONTS AND ACCOMPANYING UPPER LEVEL WAVES APPROACH THE
AREA LATE SUNDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

MOVING FURTHER INTO THE EXTENDED TERM...12Z GUIDANCE IS HINTING
AT A WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE RIDGE DURING THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO REMAINS ON THE LOW
SIDE...THIS WOULD GENERALLY SIGNAL A DRYING TREND AND THE
DEVELOPMENT OF OUTFLOW WINDS ALONG THE COAST AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE MAINLAND.

MEANWHILE...THE BERING REGION WILL REMAIN IN A BENIGN SHOWERY
PATTERN THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK IN BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW
BENEATH THE NORTH PACIFIC LONGWAVE TROUGH. THE BEST CHANCES FOR
STRONGER WINDS AND HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL BE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST BERING AS VARIOUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS APPROACH THE
AKPEN.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 119 120 125 130 131 132 139 150 180 185.
 HEAVY FRZ SPRAY 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...CB