Small Craft Advisory 18, NWS Anchorage, AK

575 
FZAK51 PAFC 061233
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070145-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF THROUGH WED. A FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE THU NIGHT.


$$

PKZ119-070145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE
25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ120-070145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ121-070145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-070145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF WESTERN AND
NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES. WINDS BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-070145-
PORT VALDEZ-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-070145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-070145-
VALDEZ ARM-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-070145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-070145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ131-070145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ132-070145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ136-070145-
CHINIAK BAY-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ137-070145-
MARMOT BAY-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-070145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ139-070145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-070145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-070145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
333 AM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

996 
FZAK51 PAFC 070006
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071315-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF THROUGH THU MORNING. 
A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-071315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-071315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-071315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS 
AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-071315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-071315-
PORT VALDEZ-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-071315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-071315-
VALDEZ ARM-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-071315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 20 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-071315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ131-071315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-071315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-071315-
CHINIAK BAY-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ137-071315-
MARMOT BAY-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE 
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ138-071315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ139-071315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING 
TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-071315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-071315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

335 
FZAK51 PAFC 070006 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

CORRECTED ZONE 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071315-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF THROUGH THU MORNING. 
A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-071315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-071315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-071315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS 
AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-071315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-071315-
PORT VALDEZ-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-071315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-071315-
VALDEZ ARM-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-071315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-071315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ131-071315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-071315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-071315-
CHINIAK BAY-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ137-071315-
MARMOT BAY-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE 
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ138-071315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ139-071315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING 
TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-071315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-071315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
306 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

435 
FZAK51 PAFC 071241
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080115-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GULF THROUGH THIS MORNING. A
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN GULF TODAY AND MOVE TO THE
NORTHERN GULF BY FRI NIGHT.


$$

PKZ119-080115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-080115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-080115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-080115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-080115-
PORT VALDEZ-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-080115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-080115-
VALDEZ ARM-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-080115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-080115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ131-080115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-080115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-080115-
CHINIAK BAY-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-080115-
MARMOT BAY-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-080115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ139-080115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-080115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-080115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
341 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
456 AM AKST TUE JAN 5 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN OMEGA BLOCK ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM THE
PANHANDLE INTO THE EASTERN MAINLAND CONTINUES TO KEEP MUCH OF THE
STATE UNDER A VERY PERSISTENT PATTERN WITH MOST OF THE ACTIVE
WEATHER CONFINED TO THE WEST COAST AND BERING SEA. THIS WEATHER IS
ALL ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL BERING WITH A SERIES OF WEAK LOWS ROTATING AROUND IT
THROUGHOUT THE BERING. TO THE EAST OF THIS TROUGH...DEEP SOUTHERLY
FLOW UNDER A 100 KT JET STREAK OVER THE SOUTH MAINLAND CONTINUES
TO SURGE WARM AND MOIST AIR TO THE REGION...KEEPING TEMPERATURES
WELL ABOVE NORMAL. A FRONT UNDER THIS JET CONTINUES TO BRING RAIN
OR WET SNOW TO THE GULF COAST...WITH DIMINISHING WINDS THROUGH GAP
WIND AREAS. THIS FRONT IS HOWEVER WEAKENING THE JET STREAK MOVES
TO THE NORTH AND IS REPLACED BY HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPING FROM THE
EAST. OUTSIDE OF THE AOR A DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW CENTERED
WELL SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS...IS MOVING TO THE EAST UNDER THE
BROAD BERING TROUGH. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING TODAY...AND
BECOME THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM FOR THE BERING ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE NOW IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE DISSIPATION OF
THE OF A SERIES OF LOWS OVER THE BERING THIS AFTERNOON...SO THE
FOCUS IS SHIFTING QUICKLY TO A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING LOW THAT WILL
APPROACH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS LATE TONIGHT. THEY ARE ALL IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GENERAL TRACK OF THIS LOW...BUT ARE STILL
STRUGGLING WITH BOTH LOCATION AND INTENSITY. THE GFS HAS BEEN
CONSISTENTLY THE STRONGEST AND QUICKEST WITH THIS SYSTEM...WHILE
THE EC AND NAM HAVE BEEN EQUALLY CONSISTENT WITH A SLIGHTLY SLOWER
AND WEAKER LOW. WITH THIS DISAGREEMENT THE SLIGHTLY WEAKER NAM
WAS MOSTLY USED TODAY TO INCREASE WINDS OVER THE EASTERN
BERING/ALEUTIANS TO WIDESPREAD STORM FORCE WITH GOOD
CONFIDENCE...HOWEVER THIS MAY NEED TO BE INCREASED FURTHER IF THE
MODELS TREND SLIGHTLY STRONGER. MODEL AGREEMENT THEN BEGINS TO
BREAK DOWN FURTHER LATER IN THE WEEK AS THE FIRST SYSTEM WEAKENS
OVER THE CENTRAL BERING AND ANOTHER IS QUICKLY REPLACED BY ANOTHER
RAPIDLY DEVELOPING LOW APPROACHING THE AKPEN ON FRIDAY. AGREEMENT
WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM IS MUCH LESS...ESPECIALLY WITH REGARDS TO
INTENSITY SO FORECAST CONFIDENCE QUICKLY BEGINS TO FALL BY LATE
THIS WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE KENAI
PENINSULA/SUSITNA VALLEY WEAKENS AS IT LIFTS NORTH AND EAST
TODAY. RIDING BUILDS EAST TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND
BRINGING GENERALLY FAIR SKIES...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY FOG (ESPECIALLY
OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN). THE BUILDING MAINLAND RIDGE IN
COMBINATION WITH TROUGHING OVER THE GULF WILL GIVE RISE TO OUTFLOW
WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH GULF COAST/EASTERN KENAI LATE TONIGHT AND
INTO WED AFTERNOON. OUTFLOW CONDITIONS WILL WEAKEN MOST AREAS BY
WED EVENING AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS RELAX AND SUPPORTING UPPER FLOW
ENDS. A WEAK LOW APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHEAST WED NIGHT WILL
BRING INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND CHANCES OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND KENAI PEN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A TROUGH FROM A WEAKENING LOW OVER THE NORTHERN BERING IS PUSHING
THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA BRINGING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW TO THE AREA.
THIS RESULTS IN RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE COAST AND THE SOUTHERN
SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS WITH MOSTLY SNOW NEAR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
AND RAIN AROUND BRISTOL BAY. THE TROUGH WILL PUSH EAST LATER TODAY
AND THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN DIMINISH. DRIER SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL THEN MOVE IN BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND A NEW LOW
MOVING TOWARDS THE BERING. THIS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION AWAY AND ALSO HELP TEMPERATURES COOL CLOSER TO
NORMALS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE PATTERN OF WESTERLY FLOW AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS LOOKS TO
FINALLY BREAK LATER TODAY AS A STRENGTHENING NORTH PACIFIC LOW
MOVES TOWARDS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
DEEPEN AS IT MOVES CLOSER AND AS ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES ACROSS
THE ISLANDS AND INTO THE BERING IT WILL BRING STORM FORCE WINDS TO
THE AREA. ON WEDNESDAY THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SEE A STRONG
CORE OF WINDS MOVE OVER THE AREA THAT COULD APPROACH WARNING
LEVELS. HOWEVER THERE IS STILL DISAGREEMENT AMONGST THE MODELS ON
THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW AND WINDS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST FEATURES A CONTINUATION OF THE WEATHER
PATTERN THAT HAS BROUGHT WARM AIR AND PLENTIFUL SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE INTO MAINLAND ALASKA FOR THE LAST WEEK. THE MOST ACTIVE
STORM TRACK IS GOING TO KEEP MODERATE OR PERHAPS EVEN STRONG
INTENSITY STORMS MOVING NORTHWARD FROM THE PACIFIC AND INTO THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE BERING. THE BERING/ALEUTIAN BASIN WILL BEAR
THE BRUNT OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER FOR THE NEXT WEEK WITH MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY PRECIPITATION. MEANWHILE...THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL SEE MULTIPLE BUT RELATIVELY MINOR ROUNDS
OF PRECIPITATION (MOSTLY RAIN) DURING THE PERIOD WITH WINDS
STAYING MAINLY LONG THE COAST. FURTHER TO THE EAST...A SMALL BUT
MEANINGFUL DIFFERENCE FROM LAST WEEKS PATTERN IS THAT THE JET
STREAM MOVING UP INTO THE STATE IS GOING TO BE A BIT MORE
SOUTHEASTERLY THAN IT WAS LAST WEEK (WHEN IT WAS NEARLY FROM THE
DUE SOUTH). THIS WILL GENERALLY FAVOR NORTHERLY WINDS AT THE
LOWEST LEVELS OF COOK INLET...KEEPING THE MAIN POPULATION CENTERS
DRIER AND A BIT COOLER. THE GULF COAST...WHICH HAS SEEN A
RELENTLESS SEQUENCE OF STORMS LATELY...WILL CATCH A BREAK FOR A
FEW DAYS DURING THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK BEFORE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
PRECIPITATION MOVE BACK IN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK/WEEKEND.

WHILE THE MODELS AGREE ON THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN THEY
DISAGREE ON SOME SUBSTANTIAL TIMING AND STRENGTH DIFFERENCES ON
SOME MAJOR SHORTWAVES THAT WILL PINWHEEL AROUND THE LONGWAVE
TROUGH IN THE BERING SEA. THE GFS BRINGS SEVERAL STRONG STORMS
THROUGH THE AKPEN/SOUTHWEST ALASKA REGION DURING THE EXTENDED
FORECAST TIME-FRAME...WHEREAS THE ECMWF IS SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKER
WITH THE INDIVIDUAL STORMS AND DOES NOT EVEN AGREE WITH THE GFS ON
THE NUMBER OF STORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT WEEK. AT
THIS POINT NONE OF THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH WARNING
LEVELS OF WIND OR PRECIPITATION...BUT THIS WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY
IN SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH 185.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 155 170 171 172 173 174 175 177 179.
 GALE WARNING 119 130 131 138 150 165 176 178 180 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...AD
TP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1208 PM AKST TUE JAN 5 2016

AKZ121-061800-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...
COOPER LANDING
1208 PM AKST TUE JAN 5 2016

...MINOR FLOODING ON THE ANCHOR RIVER NEAR ANCHOR POINT ALONG
BEACH ACCESS ROAD...

AN ICE JAM REMAINS IN PLACE ALONG THE ANCHOR RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF
THE OLD STERLING HIGHWAY BRIDGE. HEAVY RAINFALL YESTERDAY AND
OVERNIGHT HAS CAUSED WATER LEVELS TO RISE TO THE POINT THAT WATER
IS AGAIN FLOWING OVER BEACH ACCESS ROAD (ALSO KNOWN AS ANCHOR
POINT ROAD). WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AND FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...THE RIVER LEVELS SHOULD BEGIN TO DROP THIS AFTERNOON
AND NO LONGER IMPACT BEACH ACCESS ROAD.

CAMPGROUNDS AND OTHER LOCATIONS NORTH OF BEACH ACCESS ROAD MAY
CONTINUE TO SEE WATER FROM THE RIVER MOVING THROUGH UNTIL THE ICE
JAM RELEASES AND MOVES DOWNSTREAM TOWARD THE MOUTH OF THE RIVER.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IF NECESSARY.