Small Craft Advisory 161, NWS Anchorage, AK

015 
FZAK51 PAFC 181651
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

UPDATED ZONE 119

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF
ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK
INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190415-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 976 MB LOW 110 NM EAST OF SITKINAK MOVES TO 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF
SITKINAK AT 979 MB EARLY FRI MORNING...THEN MOVES BACK TO 75 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK BEFORE DISSIPATING. A COMPLEX LOW DEVELOPS
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-190415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NORTH 35 KT THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-190415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-190415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-190415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-190415-
PORT VALDEZ-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-190415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-190415-
VALDEZ ARM-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-190415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-190415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-190415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ132-190415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-190415-
CHINIAK BAY-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-190415-
MARMOT BAY-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-190415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-190415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-190415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-190415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
751 AM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

111 
FZAK51 PAFC 190039
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191330-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 MB LOW 170 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK DRIFTS TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SITKINAK FRI AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATES. A 967 MB NORTH
PACIFIC LOW 450 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK FRI AFTERNOON MOVES TO
310 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK SAT AFTERNOON AT 973MB. AN ASSOCIATED
FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF SAT MORNING AND MOVES INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-191330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ120-191330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ121-191330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-191330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-191330-
PORT VALDEZ-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-191330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-191330-
VALDEZ ARM-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-191330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-191330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-191330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ132-191330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ136-191330-
CHINIAK BAY-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ137-191330-
MARMOT BAY-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ138-191330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-191330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-191330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-191330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
339 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

906 
FZAK51 PAFC 191247
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200130-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK DRIFTS TO 50 NM SOUTHWEST
OF SITKINAK THIS EVENING AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH...THEN DISSIPATES.
A 972 MB COMPLEX LOW DEVELOPS 200 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK LATE TONIGHT
AND MOVES TO 130 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK LATE SAT NIGHT WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF
SAT MORNING AND MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL GULF SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-200130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ120-200130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ121-200130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-200130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-200130-
PORT VALDEZ-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-200130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-200130-
VALDEZ ARM-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-200130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-200130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-200130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 14 FT.  RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.

$$

PKZ132-200130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 30 FT.

$$

PKZ136-200130-
CHINIAK BAY-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ137-200130-
MARMOT BAY-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ138-200130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATER THIS MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-200130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-200130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-200130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

026 
FZAK51 PAFC 192033 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

UPDATED ZONE 127

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200415-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK DRIFTS TO 50 NM SOUTHWEST
OF SITKINAK THIS EVENING AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH...THEN DISSIPATES.
A 972 MB COMPLEX LOW DEVELOPS 200 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK LATE TONIGHT
AND MOVES TO 130 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK LATE SAT NIGHT WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF
SAT MORNING AND MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL GULF SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-200415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ120-200415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ121-200415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-200415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-200415-
PORT VALDEZ-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-200415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-200415-
VALDEZ ARM-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-200415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-200415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-200415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 14 FT.  RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.

$$

PKZ132-200415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 30 FT.

$$

PKZ136-200415-
CHINIAK BAY-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ137-200415-
MARMOT BAY-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ138-200415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATER THIS MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-200415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-200415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-200415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1133 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

097 
FZAK51 PAFC 200022
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201315-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 975 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK DRIFTS TO 80 NM SOUTHWEST
OF SITKINAK LATE TONIGHT THEN DISSIPATES. A 974 MB LOW 240 NM
SOUTH OF SAND POINT MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY SUN AFTERNOON AT 982
MB. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF SAT MORNING
AND MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE SAT...THEN STALLS
THROUGH SUN.

$$

PKZ119-201315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
ALONG THE COAST...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ120-201315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ121-201315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-201315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ126-201315-
PORT VALDEZ-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-201315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-201315-
VALDEZ ARM-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-201315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-201315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-201315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N TO E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ132-201315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...EXCEPT
E WIND 35 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ136-201315-
CHINIAK BAY-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ137-201315-
MARMOT BAY-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ138-201315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ139-201315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-201315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-201315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
322 PM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
439 PM AKST WED FEB 17 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...PATTERN REMAINS SLIGHTLY MORE DYNAMIC
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE THAN IT HAS BEEN THE PAST
SEVERAL WEEKS. A 75 KT JET FINGER IS RUNNING FROM SOUTHEAST TO
NORTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHWEST AK. THIS IS THE LAST VESTIGE OF UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THE FRONT OVER THAT AREA. THE FRONT WILL NOW
DRIFT SLOWLY EAST AS IT STARTS TO WEAKEN AND FRAGMENT. SNOW WILL
CONTINUE FOR AREAS FROM ANIAK DOWN THROUGH KOLIGANEK AND LAKE
ILIAMNA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNT IN THE
KILBUCK AND KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS. ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
FRONT...ACROSS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS AND ALASKA PENINSULA...850 MB
TEMPERATURES ARE PLUMMETING DOWN TOWARDS -15C. THIS IS MAKING FOR
WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE
FAVORED NORTHWEST CHANNELED TERRAIN.

ACROSS THE EAST...RIDGING REMAINS IN CONTROL. THIS LED TO SOME
SMALL POCKETS OF DENSE FOG THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COOK INLET AND THE KNIK ARM. LOW STRATUS CONTINUES TO PLAGUE THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN. AS OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASES SLOWLY TODAY AND
THE FEBRUARY SUN WORKS ON THAT LAYER...THE THINKING IS STILL THAT
IT WILL BURN OFF BY THIS EVENING. THE OFFSHORE/DOWN-INLET FLOW
SHOULD MAKE FOR LESS FOG AND STRATUS TONIGHT AS DRY AIR GETS
ENTRAINED INTO THE BOUNDARY LAYER. BUT A FEW POCKETS WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG OPEN WATER.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH OVERALL
PATTERN. THEY ARE NOT HOWEVER IN LOCK-STEP WITH THE EXACT
PLACEMENT OF FEATURES. IN THE EAST...HI-RES MODELS WERE FAVORED
WITH LOCAL OUTFLOW WINDS BEING THE PREDOMINANT CONCERN. ALSO...MODELS
HAVE TRENDED A BIT FURTHER SOUTH ON KODIAK ISLAND WITH THE TRIPLE
POINT LOW THIS AFTERNOON. THE EC WAS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN PULLING
IT "AWAY" IN THE GULF ON THURSDAY...BUT THEY HAVE COME INTO BETTER
CONSENSUS WITH THE LOW MORE OR LESS "STALLING" IN THE WESTERN
GULF. OUT WEST...A GFS/EC BLEND WAS USED IN HANDLING THE LOW THAT
WILL CLIP THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THURSDAY WITH NEAR STORM- FORCE
WINDS. OVERALL...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE IN THE SHORT-
TERM. MODELS SHOW MORE UNCERTAINTY AS WE HEAD INTO THE
WEEKEND...SEE THE EXTENDED DISCUSSION FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

SOME MINOR INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE INVERTED TROUGH ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF HAS BEEN PRODUCING A BAND OF ISOLATED SHOWERS
WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THROUGH
THIS EVENING. THE SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL SYSTEM
STRETCHING FROM SOUTHWEST ALASKA ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND IS CURRENTLY
CENTERED ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIP OF KODIAK ISLAND AND WILL CONTINUE
SLOWLY EAST TONIGHT THEN SOUTH ON THURSDAY. THE LOCATION OF THE
LOW AND STALLED FRONT WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION GOING STEADILY
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF KODIAK ISLAND WITH STRONG
WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW PRIMARILY
IMPACTING THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE ISLAND. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS
IT CONTINUES TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT THEN WILL
DISSIPATE FRIDAY AS IT IS PULLED BACK TO THE WEST AS A NEW LOW
TRACKS IN FROM THE WEST JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A FRONT THAT HAS MOVED IN OVER THE AREA IS NOW STALLING OUT OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA BRINGING AN AREA OF SNOW FROM THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY THROUGH BRISTOL BAY. WITH CONSISTENT SNOW LINGERING IN THE
AREA FROM DILLINGHAM NORTH OVERNIGHT...SNOW ACCUMULATION LOOKS TO
BE HIGH ENOUGH FOR ADVISORY LEVELS. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL
THAT SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE WILL MAKE
IT FURTHER INLAND CAUSING BLOWING SNOW. EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THE
SNOW WILL LIGHTEN...HOWEVER IT WILL LINGER THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE
EARLY PART OF THE DAY. CONDITIONS WILL THEN BRIEFLY CLEAR UP
BEFORE ANOTHER LOW MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE CURRENT PATTERN ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS IS WESTERLY
FLOW AND SNOW SHOWERS. THIS WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE AS A NEW LOW
WEST OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS CONTINUES ITS TRACK NORTH AND SWINGS
ITS FRONT ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS. IT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATER THIS EVENING THEN TO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS THURSDAY MORNING AND FINALLY STALL OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THURSDAY EVENING. MORE SNOW SHOWERS WILL FOLLOW THE
FRONT IN RENEWED WESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

THE MAIN CHALLENGE IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST SURROUNDS THE UPPER
LOW...MOVING SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS
SYSTEM IS PROJECTED TO INITIALLY MOVE A WEAK FRONT ACROSS THE
WESTERN GULF AND KENAI PENINSULA DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
SATURDAY. SURFACE RIDGING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL COMBINED WITH
DOWNSLOPING DUE TO STRONG LOW LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS...INHIBITS RAIN
POTENTIAL ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL WITH THIS FIRST SYSTEM. A SECOND
FRONT DEVELOPS QUICKLY BEHIND THE FIRST AND PUSHES INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF LATE SATURDAY MORNING. AT THE SAME TIME...THE UPPER
LEVEL JET STREAM BEGINS TO SHIFT INTO A FAVORABLE PATTERN TO BRING
A SATURATED PACIFIC AIR MASS ACROSS THE KENAI AND SOUTHCENTRAL.
THE FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF PUSHES TO THE NORTH COAST IN THE
EVENING BRINGING GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS AND PRECIPITATION TO THE
COASTAL AREAS AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. SEVERAL STRONG UPPER LEVEL
WAVES WILL MOVE NORTH SPREADING PRECIPITATION NORTH ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL INTO SUNDAY. THE COLDER AIR MASS ALONG THE COAST AND
JUST INLAND IS EXPECTED TO MODERATE QUICKLY TO A WARMER MARITIME
ENVIRONMENT WHICH WILL CHANGE SNOW OVER TO RAIN OR A MIX OF SNOW
AND RAIN DURING THIS EVENT.

TO THE WEST...NORTHERLY WINDS AND SHOWERY CONDITIONS PREVAIL
ACROSS THE BERING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE MAIN IMPACTS INITIALLY
WILL BE ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING WITH GALE WINDS AND MIXED
PRECIPITATION AS A LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA TRACKS INTO
BRISTOL BAY. A SECOND SYSTEM PUSHES A FRONT INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON SPREADING GUSTY EAST WINDS AND
PRECIPITATION INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS/SOUTHERN BERING BY EARLY
MONDAY.

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH MID WEEK AS THE
ALEUTIAN LOW TRACKS EASTWARD AND ANOTHER DEVELOPING EASTERN
PACIFIC LOW TRACKS TOWARD THE GULF ON TUESDAY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...161.
MARINE...STORM...150
 		GALE...130 131 132 138 155 160 170 172 173 174 175 176 177 178
               179 185
		HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...160 178 185

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...KH