Brisk Wind Advisory 9, NWS Anchorage, AK

563 
FZAK52 PAFC 190016
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-191345-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 960 MB LOW 340 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 420 NM NORTHWEST OF
SHEMYA EARLY SAT AT 994 MB AND DISSIPATES. A 982 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP 50 NORTHEAST OF ATKA FRI AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMES PART OF
A COMPLEX LOW AS IT MOVES TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY
SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-191345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ155-191345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ160-191345-
BRISTOL BAY-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-191345-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY FROM PORT MOLLER E
IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ170-191345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. FROM UNALASKA E...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE
20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT NE 20 KT FROM UNALASKA E. SEAS
16 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ171-191345-
UNALASKA BAY-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-191345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT...EXCEPT NE 25 KT FROM UNALASKA E. SEAS 17
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ173-191345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ174-191345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ175-191345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF ATKA.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-191345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ177-191345-
ADAK TO KISKA-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-191345-
KISKA TO ATTU-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM
SHEMYA W.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-191345-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ180-191345-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-191345-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-191345-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
316 PM AKST THU FEB 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG
THE ICE EDGE.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

486 
FZAK52 PAFC 191244
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-200145-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 965 MB LOW 400 NM NORTH OF ATTU MOVES TO 435 NM NORTH NORTHEAST
OF ATTU FRI AFTERNOON AT 980 MB AND DISSIPATES. A 973 MB LOW 45 NM
SOUTH OF NIKOLSKI WILL BECOME PART OF A COMPLEX LOW CENTERED 140
NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK BY SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-200145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT.

$$

PKZ155-200145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ160-200145-
BRISTOL BAY-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-200145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ170-200145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. FROM UNALASKA E....E WIND 35 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT
FROM UNALASKA E. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
UNALASKA E...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 22 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT FROM
UNALASKA E. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ171-200145-
UNALASKA BAY-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-200145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. FROM UNALASKA E....E WIND 35 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT
FROM UNALASKA E. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT...EXCEPT 16 FT FROM UNALASKA E. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ173-200145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ174-200145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ175-200145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-200145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ177-200145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ178-200145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-200145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ180-200145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-200145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-200145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
344 AM AKST FRI FEB 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
439 PM AKST WED FEB 17 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...PATTERN REMAINS SLIGHTLY MORE DYNAMIC
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE THAN IT HAS BEEN THE PAST
SEVERAL WEEKS. A 75 KT JET FINGER IS RUNNING FROM SOUTHEAST TO
NORTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHWEST AK. THIS IS THE LAST VESTIGE OF UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THE FRONT OVER THAT AREA. THE FRONT WILL NOW
DRIFT SLOWLY EAST AS IT STARTS TO WEAKEN AND FRAGMENT. SNOW WILL
CONTINUE FOR AREAS FROM ANIAK DOWN THROUGH KOLIGANEK AND LAKE
ILIAMNA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNT IN THE
KILBUCK AND KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS. ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
FRONT...ACROSS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS AND ALASKA PENINSULA...850 MB
TEMPERATURES ARE PLUMMETING DOWN TOWARDS -15C. THIS IS MAKING FOR
WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE
FAVORED NORTHWEST CHANNELED TERRAIN.

ACROSS THE EAST...RIDGING REMAINS IN CONTROL. THIS LED TO SOME
SMALL POCKETS OF DENSE FOG THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COOK INLET AND THE KNIK ARM. LOW STRATUS CONTINUES TO PLAGUE THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN. AS OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASES SLOWLY TODAY AND
THE FEBRUARY SUN WORKS ON THAT LAYER...THE THINKING IS STILL THAT
IT WILL BURN OFF BY THIS EVENING. THE OFFSHORE/DOWN-INLET FLOW
SHOULD MAKE FOR LESS FOG AND STRATUS TONIGHT AS DRY AIR GETS
ENTRAINED INTO THE BOUNDARY LAYER. BUT A FEW POCKETS WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG OPEN WATER.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH OVERALL
PATTERN. THEY ARE NOT HOWEVER IN LOCK-STEP WITH THE EXACT
PLACEMENT OF FEATURES. IN THE EAST...HI-RES MODELS WERE FAVORED
WITH LOCAL OUTFLOW WINDS BEING THE PREDOMINANT CONCERN. ALSO...MODELS
HAVE TRENDED A BIT FURTHER SOUTH ON KODIAK ISLAND WITH THE TRIPLE
POINT LOW THIS AFTERNOON. THE EC WAS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN PULLING
IT "AWAY" IN THE GULF ON THURSDAY...BUT THEY HAVE COME INTO BETTER
CONSENSUS WITH THE LOW MORE OR LESS "STALLING" IN THE WESTERN
GULF. OUT WEST...A GFS/EC BLEND WAS USED IN HANDLING THE LOW THAT
WILL CLIP THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THURSDAY WITH NEAR STORM- FORCE
WINDS. OVERALL...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE IN THE SHORT-
TERM. MODELS SHOW MORE UNCERTAINTY AS WE HEAD INTO THE
WEEKEND...SEE THE EXTENDED DISCUSSION FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

SOME MINOR INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE INVERTED TROUGH ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF HAS BEEN PRODUCING A BAND OF ISOLATED SHOWERS
WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THROUGH
THIS EVENING. THE SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL SYSTEM
STRETCHING FROM SOUTHWEST ALASKA ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND IS CURRENTLY
CENTERED ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIP OF KODIAK ISLAND AND WILL CONTINUE
SLOWLY EAST TONIGHT THEN SOUTH ON THURSDAY. THE LOCATION OF THE
LOW AND STALLED FRONT WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION GOING STEADILY
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF KODIAK ISLAND WITH STRONG
WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW PRIMARILY
IMPACTING THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE ISLAND. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS
IT CONTINUES TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT THEN WILL
DISSIPATE FRIDAY AS IT IS PULLED BACK TO THE WEST AS A NEW LOW
TRACKS IN FROM THE WEST JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A FRONT THAT HAS MOVED IN OVER THE AREA IS NOW STALLING OUT OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA BRINGING AN AREA OF SNOW FROM THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY THROUGH BRISTOL BAY. WITH CONSISTENT SNOW LINGERING IN THE
AREA FROM DILLINGHAM NORTH OVERNIGHT...SNOW ACCUMULATION LOOKS TO
BE HIGH ENOUGH FOR ADVISORY LEVELS. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL
THAT SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE WILL MAKE
IT FURTHER INLAND CAUSING BLOWING SNOW. EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THE
SNOW WILL LIGHTEN...HOWEVER IT WILL LINGER THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE
EARLY PART OF THE DAY. CONDITIONS WILL THEN BRIEFLY CLEAR UP
BEFORE ANOTHER LOW MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE CURRENT PATTERN ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS IS WESTERLY
FLOW AND SNOW SHOWERS. THIS WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE AS A NEW LOW
WEST OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS CONTINUES ITS TRACK NORTH AND SWINGS
ITS FRONT ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS. IT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATER THIS EVENING THEN TO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS THURSDAY MORNING AND FINALLY STALL OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THURSDAY EVENING. MORE SNOW SHOWERS WILL FOLLOW THE
FRONT IN RENEWED WESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

THE MAIN CHALLENGE IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST SURROUNDS THE UPPER
LOW...MOVING SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS
SYSTEM IS PROJECTED TO INITIALLY MOVE A WEAK FRONT ACROSS THE
WESTERN GULF AND KENAI PENINSULA DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
SATURDAY. SURFACE RIDGING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL COMBINED WITH
DOWNSLOPING DUE TO STRONG LOW LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS...INHIBITS RAIN
POTENTIAL ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL WITH THIS FIRST SYSTEM. A SECOND
FRONT DEVELOPS QUICKLY BEHIND THE FIRST AND PUSHES INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF LATE SATURDAY MORNING. AT THE SAME TIME...THE UPPER
LEVEL JET STREAM BEGINS TO SHIFT INTO A FAVORABLE PATTERN TO BRING
A SATURATED PACIFIC AIR MASS ACROSS THE KENAI AND SOUTHCENTRAL.
THE FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF PUSHES TO THE NORTH COAST IN THE
EVENING BRINGING GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS AND PRECIPITATION TO THE
COASTAL AREAS AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. SEVERAL STRONG UPPER LEVEL
WAVES WILL MOVE NORTH SPREADING PRECIPITATION NORTH ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL INTO SUNDAY. THE COLDER AIR MASS ALONG THE COAST AND
JUST INLAND IS EXPECTED TO MODERATE QUICKLY TO A WARMER MARITIME
ENVIRONMENT WHICH WILL CHANGE SNOW OVER TO RAIN OR A MIX OF SNOW
AND RAIN DURING THIS EVENT.

TO THE WEST...NORTHERLY WINDS AND SHOWERY CONDITIONS PREVAIL
ACROSS THE BERING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE MAIN IMPACTS INITIALLY
WILL BE ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING WITH GALE WINDS AND MIXED
PRECIPITATION AS A LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA TRACKS INTO
BRISTOL BAY. A SECOND SYSTEM PUSHES A FRONT INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON SPREADING GUSTY EAST WINDS AND
PRECIPITATION INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS/SOUTHERN BERING BY EARLY
MONDAY.

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH MID WEEK AS THE
ALEUTIAN LOW TRACKS EASTWARD AND ANOTHER DEVELOPING EASTERN
PACIFIC LOW TRACKS TOWARD THE GULF ON TUESDAY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...161.
MARINE...STORM...150
 		GALE...130 131 132 138 155 160 170 172 173 174 175 176 177 178
               179 185
		HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...160 178 185

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...KH