Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016
Small Craft Advisory 156, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Feb 16, 2016, 8:24 AM AKST. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 16, 2016, 8:24 AM AKST (17:24 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 16, 2016, 3:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
279 FZAK51 PAFC 161724 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 UPDATED ZONES 119 120 121 125 126 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-170430- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL DISSIPATE TUE NIGHT. A 990 MB LOW NEAR SAND POINT TUE NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 75 NM EAST OF SITKINAK AT 982 MB WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ119-170430- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 UPDATED .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ120-170430- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 UPDATED .TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ121-170430- RESURRECTION BAY- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-170430- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 UPDATED .TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ126-170430- PORT VALDEZ- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 UPDATED .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ127-170430- VALDEZ NARROWS- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-170430- VALDEZ ARM- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ129-170430- PASSAGE CANAL- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-170430- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ131-170430- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ132-170430- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ136-170430- CHINIAK BAY- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ137-170430- MARMOT BAY- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ138-170430- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ139-170430- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ140-170430- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. $$ PKZ141-170430- KACHEMAK BAY- 824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
847 FZAK51 PAFC 170000 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-171300- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT. A FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF EARLY WED AND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THIS FRONT 90 NM WEST OF SITKINAK WED MORNING AND MOVES TO 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK THU AFTERNOON AT 983 MB. $$ PKZ119-171300- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ120-171300- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ121-171300- RESURRECTION BAY- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-171300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-171300- PORT VALDEZ- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-171300- VALDEZ NARROWS- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-171300- VALDEZ ARM- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ129-171300- PASSAGE CANAL- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-171300- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-171300- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ132-171300- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT EXCEPT SE 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ136-171300- CHINIAK BAY- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ137-171300- MARMOT BAY- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-171300- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ139-171300- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-171300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-171300- KACHEMAK BAY- 300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 16, 5:02 AM AKST, 3 hours 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 5:02 AM AKST, 3 hours 22 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
502 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW OFF THE SIBERIAN COAST
STRETCHES OVER THE CENTRAL BERING...WHILE A DEVELOPING LOW IS
QUICKLY MOVING IN BEHIND IT. THIS IS ALL OCCURRING UNDER A 140-KT
JET STRETCHING FROM THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TOWARDS THE PRIBILOFS.
THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP UNDER THE JET TODAY...AND BE THE
PRIMARY DRIVER FOR ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE SOUTHWEST FOR TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. RIDGING CONTINUES OVER MUCH OF THE MAINLAND AHEAD
OF THIS FRONT...WHICH IS CREATING AREAS OF FOG/STRATUS OVER THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ELSEWHERE. OVER THE
EASTERN INTERIOR A DRY UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS DIVING SOUTHWARD
TOWARDS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...BUT IS FAILING TO CREATE MUCH
MORE THAN INCREASING CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN. ELSEWHERE A WEAK NORTHEAST PACIFIC LOW IS APPROACHING THE
PANHANDLE...BRINGING WEAK OUTFLOW WINDS TO THE GULF COAST WITH
LITTLE COLD AIR ADVECTION PRESENT.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE NOW IN VERY GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW
AND ASSOCIATED FRONT APPROACHING THE SOUTHWEST COAST TODAY...BUT
CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE WARM AIR ADVECTION.
THE GFS IS THE STRONGEST WITH THE WARM AIR ADVECTION...BRINGING
RAIN OR AT LEAST A RAIN/SNOW MIX INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA ON
WEDNESDAY...WHILE THE NAM SHOWING ITS USUAL COLD BIAS AND KEEPING
PRECIP TYPE AS SNOW FOR THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND THROUGHOUT THE
EVENT. THE MODELS ARE CONSISTENT THAT THERE WILL NOT BE DEEP
SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH THIS FRONT...AS LOW LEVEL WINDS OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC WILL GENERALLY BE WESTERLY. AS A RESULT THE FORECAST IS
CURRENTLY SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN THE GFS...BUT THE NAM CONTINUES TO
BE TREATED AS A STRONG COOL OUTLIER.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THERE
WILL BE CLEARING SKIES FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. HOWEVER BEFORE
THE RIDGE THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVING FROM NORTHWEST
TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. THIS IS BRINGING SOME
CLOUDS TO THE AREA BUT IT SHOULD CLEAR OUT BY THE AFTERNOON FOR
MOST OF THE AREA. OUTFLOW WINDS THOUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST HAVE BEGUN AND WILL BE STRONGEST TODAY INTO THE
EVENING. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. A FRONT
MOVING INTO THE WESTERN GULF FROM THE BERING SEA WILL BRING SOME
RAIN TO KODIAK ISLAND WEDNESDAY. THIS FRONT WILL STALL AS IT
PUSHES INTO THE RIDGE THAT WILL BE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL BEGIN TO PUSH
EASTWARD TODAY...MAKING WAY FOR A FAST MOVING FRONT TO TRACK IN
FROM THE EASTERN BERING THIS EVENING. THIS FRONT WILL THEN STALL
ACROSS INLAND BRISTOL BAY AND THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AND
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS BEFORE THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST WEDNESDAY.
HEAVY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR
WHERE THE FRONT STALLS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE
MAIN CORRIDOR LIKELY SETTING UP NORTH OF DILLINGHAM. ACCUMULATING
SNOW ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR BLOWING
SNOW CONDITIONS FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...AS WELL AS PARTS OF THE
BRISTOL BAY INTERIOR. OTHERWISE EXPECT A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW
ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND ALEUTIAN RANGE THAT WILL EVENTUALLY
CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A FAST MOVING WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE RAPID EAST
PROGRESS TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...SPREADING
RAIN TO THE ALEUTIANS AND RAIN AND SNOW TO THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. A
COLD FRONT WILL RAPIDLY SWEEP WEST TO EAST BEHIND THE WARM
FRONT...SPREADING WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG GALE FORCE
WINDS. ANOTHER POTENTIAL STORM-FORCE LOW WILL ENTER THE WESTERN
BERING SEA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND PUSH EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
BERING/ALEUTIANS BY THURSDAY MORNING.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL WILL STRENGTHEN
AND EXPAND THURSDAY AND THEN SLIDE EAST TOWARD THE ALCAN AND YUKON
FRIDAY...WITH LOW-LEVEL OFFSHORE PRESSURE AND THERMAL GRADIENTS
ALSO WEAKENING FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE STORM SYSTEM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BRING
ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND
WILL BE WINDING DOWN...AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH INTO
THE PACIFIC AND THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH STRETCHES TO THE POINT OF
DISSIPATION OVER THE SOUTHWEST COAST. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER STORM
SYSTEM MOVES EAST INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BERING THURSDAY...BUT
ITS FRONT WILL STALL OUT BY FRIDAY MORNING AS MID-LEVEL
SOUTHEASTERLY BLOCKING FLOW INCREASES SUBSTANTIALLY OVER THE GULF
INTO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA.
AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND AND THEN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WE
WILL BE CLOSELY WATCHING AS TO HOW MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE FEATURES STRENGTHEN AND MOVE TOWARD THE STATE
FROM THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AROUND AN ANCHOR LOW NEAR OR SOUTH OF
THE AKPEN. SOME MODELS SUGGEST A TRAIN OF DISTURBANCES MOVING
SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST FROM THE GULF INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA AND THE
EASTERN BERING. WHILE SOUTHEAST-FACING UPSLOPE AREAS WILL LIKELY
BE ON THE WET SIDE DURING THIS TIME...ANY SYSTEMS THAT ARE STILL
STRENGTHENING AS THEY REACH THE STATE WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED FOR
THE POTENTIAL FOR SPILLOVER PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND
IMPACTING THE POPULATION CENTERS ON THE NORTHWEST-FACING SLOPES.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...155 161.
MARINE...GALES...150 155 160 165 170-179 185
STORMS...180 181
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...185.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...CCThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 3:06 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Feb 15, 3:13 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Feb 16, 3:22 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days | |
| Feb 16, 3:35 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Feb 16, 3:35 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Feb 16, 3:35 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Feb 16, 4:51 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AFC | 53 hr | |
| Feb 16, 12:51 PM AKST | Blizzard Warning | AFC | 16 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.