Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 154, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 15, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Feb 15, 2016, 3:13 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2016, 3:13 PM AKST (00:13 UTC)
Expired
Feb 16, 2016, 3:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

743 
FZAK51 PAFC 160013
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161315-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK TROUGH LINGERS OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH TUE. A 984
MB LOW ENTERS THE LOWER GULF OF ALASKA 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF KLAWOCK
AND MOVES TO 40 NM SOUTHWEST OF KLAWOCK TUE MORNING BEFORE MOVING
ONSHORE TUE AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW FORMS 50 NM EAST OF CHIGNIK WED
MORNING AND MOVES TO NEAR SITKINAK WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-161315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-161315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-161315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-161315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-161315-
PORT VALDEZ-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-161315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-161315-
VALDEZ ARM-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-161315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-161315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-161315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ132-161315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-161315-
CHINIAK BAY-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-161315-
MARMOT BAY-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-161315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-161315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-161315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FOOT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FOOT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-161315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
313 PM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
3 follow-up statements
003 
FZAK51 PAFC 161222
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170115-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL DISSIPATE TUE NIGHT.
A 990 MB LOW NEAR SAND POINT TUE NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 75 NM EAST OF
SITKINAK AT 982 MB WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-170115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ120-170115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-170115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-170115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ126-170115-
PORT VALDEZ-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-170115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-170115-
VALDEZ ARM-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-170115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-170115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ131-170115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ132-170115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-170115-
CHINIAK BAY-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-170115-
MARMOT BAY-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ138-170115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ139-170115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ140-170115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ141-170115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
322 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$
279 
FZAK51 PAFC 161724 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

UPDATED ZONES 119 120 121 125 126

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170430-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL DISSIPATE TUE NIGHT.
A 990 MB LOW NEAR SAND POINT TUE NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 75 NM EAST OF
SITKINAK AT 982 MB WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-170430-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

UPDATED

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ120-170430-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

UPDATED

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-170430-
RESURRECTION BAY-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-170430-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

UPDATED

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ126-170430-
PORT VALDEZ-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

UPDATED

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-170430-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-170430-
VALDEZ ARM-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-170430-
PASSAGE CANAL-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-170430-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ131-170430-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ132-170430-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-170430-
CHINIAK BAY-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-170430-
MARMOT BAY-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ138-170430-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ139-170430-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ140-170430-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ141-170430-
KACHEMAK BAY-
824 AM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$
847 
FZAK51 PAFC 170000
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171300-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT.
A FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF EARLY WED AND REMAINS IN PLACE
THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THIS FRONT 90 NM
WEST OF SITKINAK WED MORNING AND MOVES TO 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK
THU AFTERNOON AT 983 MB.

$$

PKZ119-171300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ120-171300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-171300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-171300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-171300-
PORT VALDEZ-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING
TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-171300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-171300-
VALDEZ ARM-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-171300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-171300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-171300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ132-171300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT EXCEPT SE 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-171300-
CHINIAK BAY-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-171300-
MARMOT BAY-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-171300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-171300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-171300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-171300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
300 PM AKST TUE FEB 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 15, 4:29 AM AKST, 10 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 4:29 AM AKST, 10 hours 44 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
429 AM AKST MON FEB 15 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A DECAYING UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN ALASKA
PENINSULA/EASTERN ALEUTIANS IS IN THE PROCESS OF TRANSFERRING ITS
ENERGY EASTWARD TO A DEVELOPING UPPER LOW AND ATTENDANT SURFACE
LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF. THIS EASTWARD
SHIFT TO THE UPPER LOW...AND THE PATTERN AS A WHOLE...IS ALSO
BEING AIDED BY THE ENCROACHING SUBTROPICAL JET PUSHING EASTWARD
ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THIS IS EVIDENCED BY THE
RAPIDLY MOVING UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE
WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS. THE SUBTROPICAL JET IS ALSO
ENERGIZING A DEEPENING LOW RACING NORTHEASTWARD OFF THE COAST OF
THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. THIS LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL BE
THE PRIMARY DRIVERS OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER ACROSS THE BERING THE
NEXT COUPLE DAYS. THE UPPER LEVELS ARE RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL AS THE LARGER AND STRONGER UPPER LEVEL FEATURES
TRAVERSE WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA.

ANCHORAGE'S 00Z SOUNDING AND MORE RECENT ACARS SOUNDINGS SHOW SLOW
COOLING HAS OCCURRED THROUGHOUT THE LOWEST 100 MB. MESONET OBS
FROM THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS EAST OF ANCHORAGE HAVE BEEN COOLING THE
PAST FEW HOURS AS THOSE OBSERVATIONS COOL THROUGH THE 30S. IR
SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL SUGGEST A GENERAL
DISSIPATION OF THE CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT HAS OCCURRED IN RESPONSE
TO WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL.

NEARLY STATIONARY WEAK UPPER LEVEL AND SURFACE TROUGHINESS ACROSS
THE BRISTOL BAY REGION HAS KEPT A NARROW AREA OF RAIN AND SNOW FOR
PORTIONS OF BRISTOL BAY THROUGH MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT. THIS
FEATURE HAS BEEN SLOWLY DIMINISHING AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD.
ELSEWHERE...WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER PERSISTS ALSO DUE TO THE WEAK
LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH. LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW INTO THE LOW
OVER THE SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA ARE KEEPING A SEASONABLE AIR
MASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING
AND INTENSITY OF THE FRONT EXPECTED TO SWEEP ACROSS THE BERING
INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE NAM WAS THE MODEL OF CHOICE THIS
MORNING. WITH THE LOCAL AND GLOBAL MODELS LARGELY IN
AGREEMENT...THEN NAM WAS CHOSEN TO BETTER HANDLE THE LOCAL EFFECTS
AS THE FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH. A FEW DIFFERENCES ARISE VERY LATE IN
THE PERIOD WHEN THE FRONT MOVES INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AS TO HOW
STRONG THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE WITH IT. NONETHELESS FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER NOW THAT THE MODELS ARE IN BETTER CONSENSUS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE LAST OF THE SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL WAVES IS MOVING THROUGH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THIS MORNING. THIS WAVE IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES EASTWARD AHEAD OF A RIDGE BUILDING IN
FROM THE WEST. THERE ARE SOME RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGIONS THIS MORNING BUT THESE
SHOWERS SHOULD TAPER OFF THROUGH THE DAY. WITH THE APPROACHING
RIDGE THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK SHOULD SEE SOME CLEARING FOR MOST OF
SOUTHCENTRAL. THIS PATTERN WILL ALSO BRING SOME GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS TO THE NORMAL OUTFLOW AREAS SUCH AS SEWARD AND WHITTIER AS
WELL AS THOMPSON PASS AND THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA HAVE STARTED TO
TAPER OFF AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA
CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE THIS MORNING. WITH THE LINGERING MOISTURE
FROM THE DISSIPATING LOW AND A WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT...
PATCHY FOG WILL BECOME THE MAIN CONCERN ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TODAY. AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN OVER THE
AREA TONIGHT...THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FOG OVER THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL INCREASE AND PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. A FAST MOVING FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE BERING WILL BEGIN
TO OVERSPREAD THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND BRISTOL BAY COAST
TUESDAY...SPREADING INCREASINGLY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS...RAIN...
AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW OVER SOME OF THE INTERIOR
AREAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
BERING AS A WEAKENING LOW NEAR COLD BAY CONTINUES TO FALL APART.
THIS WILL QUICKLY BE REPLACED BY A FAST MOVING GALE-FORCE WARM
FRONT WHICH WILL RACE FROM THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS/BERING THIS
MORNING AND REACH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA BY
TUESDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN...
BUT A MIX WITH SNOW MAY OCCUR FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS BEFORE RAPIDLY TURNING TO RAIN. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL
FOLLOW BEHIND THE FRONT ALONG WITH GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS...AS
COLDER AIR FROM EASTERN RUSSIA SWEEPS IN BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

...FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

THE WEAKENING OF THE NORTH AMERICA RIDGE AND TWO LOWS SWINGING
INTO THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN GULF AND EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC WILL
HELP SHIFT AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA. THE RIDGE
WILL SHARPEN TUESDAY NIGHT AS A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER EASTERN RUSSIA REACHES THE WEST COAST OF
ALASKA AND PUSHES AGAINST IT. THE FRONT SUPPORTED BY A VERY
STRONG JET STREAM JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AS WELL AS A LARGE
AREA OF COLD AIR OVER THE BERING WILL PROGRESS EAST WEDNESDAY
GRADUALLY WEAKENING THE UPPER RIDGE. AS THE FRONT HITS THE UPPER
RIDGE THE ENERGY FROM THE FRONT WILL SPLIT...WITH THE JET AND A
PORTION COLD AIR ALOFT DIGGING SOUTH OF THE WESTERN GULF WHILE THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FRONT IS SHEARED APART BY THE NORTHWESTERLY
RETURN FLOW AROUND THE LARGE UPPER LOW OVER RUSSIA. A RESULTING
DEFORMATION BAND STRETCHED ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED FOR THE POTENTIAL TO BRING
A FAIR BIT OF ACCUMULATING SNOW.

THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN AND BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER
EASTERN INTERIOR ALASKA AND THE YUKON TERRITORY FRIDAY. GENERAL
TROUGHING WILL REMAIN STRETCHED FROM BRISTOL BAY ACROSS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF WITH SMALLER
TROUGHS FALLING APART AS THEY ROTATE FURTHER NORTH INTO THE GULF.
THE PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE
UPPER RIDGE STRENGTHENING ACROSS WESTERN CANADA AND A CLOSED
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW SETTING UP SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND AROUND
50N THEN TRACKING NORTH AS IT WEAKENS THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES...165 170 173 178-181 185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ML
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...JR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 3:06 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC61 hr
Feb 16, 3:22 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Feb 16, 3:35 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC35 hr
Feb 16, 3:35 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC24 hr
Feb 16, 3:35 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC48 hr
Feb 16, 4:51 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC53 hr
Feb 16, 8:24 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC7 hr
Feb 16, 12:51 PM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFC16 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.