Small Craft Advisory 117, NWS Anchorage, AK

199 
FZAK51 PAFC 060020
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061300-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK FRONT NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF
BY SAT AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATES. A STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
SOUTHERN GULF SAT AFTERNOON AND REACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
EARLY SUN MORNING...THEN STALLS AND WEAKENS THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON.
AN ASSOCIATED 975 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK ISLAND ENTERS
THE SOUTHERN GULF SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-061300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-061300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-061300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-061300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-061300-
PORT VALDEZ-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-061300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-061300-
VALDEZ ARM-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-061300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-061300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 30 KT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-061300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-061300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-061300-
CHINIAK BAY-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-061300-
MARMOT BAY-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-061300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-061300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-061300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-061300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
320 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

206 
FZAK51 PAFC 060424 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

RETRANSMISSION

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061715-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK FRONT NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF
BY SAT AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATES. A STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
SOUTHERN GULF SAT AFTERNOON AND REACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
EARLY SUN MORNING...THEN STALLS AND WEAKENS THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON.
AN ASSOCIATED 975 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK ISLAND ENTERS
THE SOUTHERN GULF SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-061715-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-061715-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-061715-
RESURRECTION BAY-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-061715-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-061715-
PORT VALDEZ-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-061715-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-061715-
VALDEZ ARM-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-061715-
PASSAGE CANAL-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-061715-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 30 KT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-061715-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-061715-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-061715-
CHINIAK BAY-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-061715-
MARMOT BAY-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-061715-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-061715-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-061715-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-061715-
KACHEMAK BAY-
724 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

632 
FZAK51 PAFC 061211
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070130-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 995 MB LOW 35 NM NORTH OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTHEAST
OF HOMER LATE SAT MORNING AND DISSIPATES SAT EVENING. A 975 MB
LOW ENTERS 280 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK SUN AFTERNOON AND MOVES TO 120
NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK AS A 980 MB LOW BY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-070130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-070130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-070130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-070130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-070130-
PORT VALDEZ-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-070130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-070130-
VALDEZ ARM-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-070130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-070130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-070130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-070130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 21 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-070130-
CHINIAK BAY-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-070130-
MARMOT BAY-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-070130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ139-070130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-070130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-070130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
311 AM AKST SAT FEB 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
502 PM AKST THU FEB 4 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE OVERALL PATTERN REMAINS UNCHANGED AND FEATURES A LONGWAVE
TROUGH WITH STATIONARY ANCHOR LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING/ALASKA
PENINSULA. MAINLAND ALASKA REMAINS UNDER RELATIVELY WARM
SOUTHERLY/SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WHILE THE WESTERN 2/3 OF THE BERING
SEA IS UNDER NORTHERLY FLOW WITH COLD AND GUSTY CONDITIONS. A 964
MB LOW SUPPORTED BY A FAIRLY ROBUST SHORTWAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE
GULF AND IS NOW TRACKING TOWARD THE BARREN ISLANDS. THE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT IS PRODUCING STORM-FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF...THOUGH THE FRONT IS CURRENTLY PUSHING INLAND
ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA AS OF MIDDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW WINDS TO
DECREASE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE COOK INLET AREA IS SHOWING
A FAIRLY TYPICAL DOWNSLOPE SIGNATURE...ALTHOUGH THE MORE NORTHEAST
TO SOUTHWEST ORIENTATION OF THE FRONT IS HELPING SOME FLURRIES OR
SPRINKLES TO "SPILL OVER" INTO THE ANCHORAGE AREA AND WESTERN
KENAI PENINSULA.

GENERALLY UNSETTLED BUT LOW-IMPACT WEATHER CONTINUES FOR SOUTHWEST
ALASKA AND THE EASTERN BERING. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS OUT
IN THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS WHERE MORE SIGNIFICANT COLD AIR
MOVING OFF THE RUSSIAN LANDMASS IS GENERATING FAIRLY ROBUST SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH STRONG WINDS AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD GENERAL AGREEMENT AS THE LONGWAVE
PATTERN IS CHANGING SLOWLY. ALL MODELS DEPICT THE LOW CURRENTLY
MOVING QUICKLY THROUGH THE GULF WILL WEAKEN QUICKLY TONIGHT AND
WRAP INTO THE MAIN LOW CENTER OVER THE EASTERN BERING. BEHIND THIS
FRONT COLD AIR MOVING OVER THE WARM WATER WILL RESULT IN SEVERAL
PERIODS OF UNSTABLE AND SHOWERY CONDITIONS OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA...WITH MOST (BUT NOT ALL) PRECIP FALLING ONCE AGAIN ACROSS
COASTAL AREAS. THE ECMWF/NAM WERE PREFERRED OVERALL FOR SOME
SUBTLE TIMING ISSUES OF THE PARENT LOW IN THE BERING SEA...BUT NO
MODELS WERE COMPLETELY DISCARDED TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE THE PASSAGE
OF THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE 966MB LOW MOVING INTO KODIAK
ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE
PUSHING OVER THE KENAI AND CHUGACH MOUNTAINS TO PRODUCE ISOLATED
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER UPPER COOK INLET THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ELEVATED THIS EVENING OVER THE BARRENS AS
WELL AS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND INTO TURNAGAIN ARM AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN TO DECREASE THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. COASTAL AREAS WILL SEE MOSTLY RAIN WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS
AND INLAND AREAS SEEING SOME AREAS OF ACCUMULATING SNOW. THE FRONT
WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE
REGION...KEEPING PRECIPITATION MAINLY OVER THE COAST BUT ENOUGH
MOISTURE WILL SLIDE OVER THE TERRAIN TO GIVE THE UPPER COOK INLET
REGION AN INCREASED CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS LOW...A SECONDARY LOW IS EXPECTED TO FORM
NEAR THE SHUMAGINS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TO
SOUTH OF SEWARD BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE
FAIRLY WEAK AND MAINLY PROVIDE AN RE-ENFORCING SHOT OF PRECIPITATION
TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A SHORTWAVE APPROACHING BRISTOL BAY FROM THE SOUTHEAST WILL
BRING AN INCH OR SO OF ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE AREA THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING. MOST OF THIS SNOW SHOULD FALL OVER THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF BRISTOL BAY...BUT THERE IS A CHANCE SOME OF THIS
SNOWFALL MAY REACH AS FAR SOUTH AS THE DILLINGHAM AREA. A BETTER
CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD SNOW THROUGHOUT THE REGION LATE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS OVERHEAD. THERE IS SOME
DISAGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL TIMING OF THIS SNOW...BUT THERE IS
GOOD CONFIDENCE THAT MOST AREAS OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL SEE
ACCUMULATING SNOW BY SATURDAY EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL KEEP RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS THROUGHOUT
THE REGION INTO THIS WEEKEND. OVER THE WESTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS...GALE
FORCE NORTHERLY FLOW ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BRING SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE REGION. HOWEVER THIS IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO BE
HEAVY OR COLD ENOUGH TO BRING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING SNOW CONDITIONS
TO THE REGION. CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO
IMPROVE ON FRIDAY AS THE LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE AKPEN WEAKENS AND
MAKES LANDFALL OVER BRISTOL BAY. THIS WILL LEAVE WEAKENING
NORTHERLY FLOW (LESS THAN GALE FORCE) OVER MUCH OF THE BERING
WITH DIMINISHING SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

A MID LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER EASTERN RUSSIA CONTINUES TO STAY
ANCHORED WITH A LONG WAVE TROUGH EXTENDING TOWARD THE WESTERN GULF
OF ALASKA THROUGH THE LONG TERM FORECAST. A RIDGE TO THE EAST OF
THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE AN AXIS OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA. MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PATTERN...HOWEVER TIMING AND STRENGTH
DIFFERENCES FOR TWO CLOSED LOWS JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
LEAD TO UNCERTAINTY IN PRECIPITATION AND WINDS FOR THE BEGINNING
OF NEXT WEEK. THIS GENERAL PATTERN KEEPS A WARMER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURE TREND THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE HIGHEST
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA WATERS AND COASTS AS RIDGING
SHIFTS SLIGHTLY WEST AND AMPLIFIES OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA DURING
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 125 129 130 131 132 139 141
              150 174 177 178 351 352
         STORM 155 172
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 180 181 185.
&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...KH