Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 106, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 31, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 31, 2016, 3:04 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 31, 2016, 3:04 PM AKST (00:04 UTC)
Expired
Feb 1, 2016, 3:05 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

659 
FZAK51 PAFC 010004
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011245-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST
MON MORNING AND THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY BEFORE DISSIPATING
TUE. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 390 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK AT
956 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-011245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ120-011245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 30 KT.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ121-011245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-011245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-011245-
PORT VALDEZ-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-011245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-011245-
VALDEZ ARM-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-011245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-011245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-011245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-011245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-011245-
CHINIAK BAY-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-011245-
MARMOT BAY-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-011245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SOUTH END OF THE STRAIT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING ALONG THE
SOUTH END OF THE STRAIT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT E 15 KT NORTH END OF THE STRAIT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-011245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-011245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-011245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
3 follow-up statements
908 
FZAK51 PAFC 011239
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020130-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE THE WESTERN GULF MOVES INTO THE NORTH GULF COAST
THIS MORNING AND THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY BEFORE DISSIPATING
TUE. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 290 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK AT
961 MB EARLY WED.

$$

PKZ119-020130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ120-020130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ121-020130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-020130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-020130-
PORT VALDEZ-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-020130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-020130-
VALDEZ ARM-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-020130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-020130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-020130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-020130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT YE WIND 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE
THIS MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-020130-
CHINIAK BAY-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-020130-
MARMOT BAY-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-020130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-020130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-020130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-020130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
777 
FZAK51 PAFC 011400 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020130-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE THE WESTERN GULF MOVES INTO THE NORTH GULF COAST
THIS MORNING AND THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY BEFORE DISSIPATING
TUE. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 290 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK AT
961 MB EARLY WED.

$$

PKZ119-020130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ120-020130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ121-020130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-020130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-020130-
PORT VALDEZ-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-020130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-020130-
VALDEZ ARM-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-020130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-020130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-020130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-020130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT E WIND 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE
THIS MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-020130-
CHINIAK BAY-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-020130-
MARMOT BAY-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-020130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-020130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-020130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-020130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
339 AM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
507 
FZAK51 PAFC 020005
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021245-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND
THEN DISSIPATE TUE. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 80 NM SOUTH
OF SITKINAK AT 958 MB WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-021245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-021245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-021245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-021245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-021245-
PORT VALDEZ-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-021245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-021245-
VALDEZ ARM-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-021245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-021245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-021245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. NEAR KENNEDY ENTRANCE...NE WIND 40 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-021245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 BUILDING TO 23 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-021245-
CHINIAK BAY-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-021245-
MARMOT BAY-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-021245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-021245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-021245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-021245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
305 PM AKST MON FEB 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 31, 5:07 AM AKST, 9 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 5:07 AM AKST, 9 hours 57 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
507 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE BROAD MULTI-CENTER LOW REMAINS OVER THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS
WITH AN AMPLIFYING RIDGE STRETCHING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF NORTH
AND INLAND THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL AND INTERIOR ALASKA. A VARIETY OF
SMALLER LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATIONS...TROUGHS AND FRONTAL WAVES
CONTINUE TO SPIN AROUND THE LARGER LOW. THE NORTHERN MOST
CIRCULATION IS UP NEAR 60N AND 180 WITH SEVERAL TROUGHS SWINGING
THROUGH THE ALEUTIAN BRINGING WITH THEM AREAS OF MORE ORGANIZED
SHOWERS. A SECONDARY WRAP AROUND LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING RUNS
JUST TO THE WEST OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF
SNOW SHOWERS.

THE MAIN FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE BERING LOW
STRETCHES ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING...ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO
THE NORTH PACIFIC AND IS CURRENTLY PUSHING ONSHORE INTO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA BRINGING WINDY CONDITIONS WITH IT. FURTHER TO THE EAST
HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS WITH THE LOCATIONS OF PATCHY DENSE FOG AND
LOW STRATUS BEING THE MAIN CHALLENGE FOR THE NIGHT.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE CURRENTLY IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH REGARDS TO THE
POSITION OF THE LARGE SCALE LOW IN THE BERING AND THE RIDGE IN
GULF. HOWEVER...THEY ARE MORE CHALLENGED BY THE NUMBER AND
COMPLEXITY OF SMALLER SCALE CIRCULATIONS ROTATING AROUND THE LOW.
ONE FEATURE OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE FRONTAL WAVE BEGINNING TO
SPIN UP SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THE NAM...EC AND CANADIAN
MODELS SPIN THIS UP INTO A CLOSED SURFACE LOW WHILE THE GFS DOES
NOT APPEAR TO BE PICKING UP ON IT VERY WELL. IMPLICATIONS TO THE
FORECAST INCLUDE A SLOWING OF THE MAIN FRONTAL SYSTEMS PROGRESSION
EASTWARD AS THE NEW LOW LIFTING NORTH UP THE FRONT.

THE NEXT POINT OF MODEL DISAGREEMENT IS WITH REGARDS TO THE TROUGH
OR SURFACE LOW MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF ON MONDAY.
THE NAM LOOKS TO BE THE OUTLIER DEVELOPING THE LOW INTO A CLOSED
SURFACE LOW WHILE THE OTHER MODELS KEEP IT AN OPEN TROUGH. FURTHER
OUT IN TIME...THE MODELS ARE COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE
POSITION OF THE NEXT BIGGER SURFACE LOW LIFTING NORTH OUT OF THE
NORTH PACIFIC EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WELL AS TRENDING IT STRONGER.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...INCREASED
NORTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THIS AFTERNOON WILL
END THE FOG THREAT FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THAT SAID...THERE IS
STILL DENSE FOG POTENTIAL IN THE ANCHORAGE BOWL (KNIK ARM SOURCE
REGION) THIS MORNING.

A BROAD RIDGE ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL/GULF WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND
DRIFT EAST AND WEAKEN THROUGH MON. THIS WILL ALLOW UPPER SHORT
WAVES AND SURFACE FEATURES (FRONTS/LOWS) TO PUSH FURTHER
NORTH...INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AND STRONG WINDS
THROUGH MON NIGHT MAINLY ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS. A STRONG
SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC MOVES NORTH INTO BRISTOL
BAY THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONTAL TROUGH
WILL BRING GALES TO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF THIS MORNING
WHICH WILL THEN PUSH SLOWLY NORTH TONIGHT AND MON. MARGINAL GALE
CONDITIONS MAY LINGER ON IN THE NORTHERN GULF MARINES MON
NIGHT...DEPENDING ON INTENSITY OF A NORTH MOVING FRONTAL WAVE.
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT KODIAK ISLAND TODAY...WITH SNOW OR MIX
REACHING THE SOUTHERN KENAI LATER THIS MORNING. COASTAL AREAS OF
THE KENAI WILL LIKELY SEE SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TYPES WITH
INLAND AREAS OF THE EASTERN KENAI PEN GENERALLY SNOW. AREAS TO THE
LEE (WEST) OF THE CHUGACH/KENAI MOUNTAINS WILL BE LARGELY ON THE
DRY SIDE DUE TO DOWNSLOPE (SE CROSS BARRIER FLOW).

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS IN THE PROCESS OF STALLING OUT OVER THE
MAINLAND. THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING STRONG WIND TO THE BRISTOL BAY AREA WHILE WINDS WILL
SLACKEN SOMEWHAT OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA TODAY. STRONG CROSS-BARRIER
FLOW WILL KEEP MOST AREAS ON THE DRY SIDE ALTHOUGH SOME SPRINKLES
ARE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
WILL SEE STEADIER RAIN...MIXED WITH SNOW AT TIMES. UPSLOPE AREAS
OF THE AHKLUN MOUNTAINS WILL EXPERIENCE STEADIER RAIN AS WELL.
THIS AFTERNOON A SHORTWAVE MARCHING NORTH IN THE PACIFIC ALONG THE
FRONT WILL GIVE THE BOUNDARY A NUDGE...SHIFTING INLAND BY THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT...BRINGING AREAS OF RAIN TO THE NORTH OF
DILLINGHAM AND WEST OF ILIAMNA. ONCE THE WINDS BEGIN TO WANE
OVERNIGHT TOWARD MORNING FOR INTERIOR BRISTOL BAY PRECIPITATION
SHOULD TURN FROM RAIN TO SNOW. UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS FRONT IS
LARGER THAN NORMAL WITH SOME GUIDANCE STALLING THE FRONT IN ONE
PLACE AND OTHERS SLOWLY MOVING IT EASTWARD. IF THE BAND SITS IN
ONE PLACE FOR TOO LONG...SNOW ACCUMULATION COULD PILE UP PRETTY
QUICKLY...HOWEVER THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE SOLUTION AT THIS POINT.
OTHERWISE THE MAINLAND WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY DECREASING
CLOUDS/WINDS...AND FALLING TEMPERATURES FROM THE RECENT WARM
SPELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A SHOWERY PATTERN CONTINUES FOR MUCH OF THE BERING AS A MATURE
SYSTEM SPINS OVERHEAD. VERY COLD UPPER LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE PROMOTING
MARGINAL CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA...WITH AN
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE POSSIBLE TODAY AS THIS AREA SHIFTS
TOWARD UNALASKA. COVERAGE OF SHOWERS SHOULD DECREASE THROUGH
MONDAY AS THE RESPONSIBLE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD OUT
OF THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

ANOTHER STRONG LOW APPROACHES THE AKPEN AND KODIAK FROM THE SOUTH
TUESDAY AND PUSHES A FRONT TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A TRAIN OF SYSTEMS CONTINUES THEREAFTER
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...SETTING UP AN ACTIVE PATTERN
FOR THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.

PRECIPITATION-TYPE WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR MUCH OF
SOUTHERN ALASKA...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LIQUID PRECIPITATION AS
FAR NORTH AS ANCHORAGE AT TIMES WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPERATURES. WINDS TO GALE-FORCE AND PERHAPS TO STORM-FORCE WITH
POTENTIAL BARRIER JET FORMATION WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN FOR NORTH GULF
COASTAL LOCATIONS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 120 130-132 136-139 150 155 160 175 177 179-181 185 351
         352 411-414.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JR
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ML
LONG TERM...CC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 31, 3:04 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 31, 3:04 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 31, 3:04 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 1, 3:25 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Feb 1, 3:25 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Feb 1, 3:39 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC72 hr
Feb 1, 3:39 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.